Adrian Rodriguez
P
Hub City Spartanburgers
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 192 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 17 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 107
ERA4.72
FIP4.72
K%25.0%
BB%14.2%
K-BB%10.8%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 14 | 0 | 20 | 103 | 35 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.1% | 34.0% | -10.9% | 2.6% | 7.78 | 6.90 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 14 | 0 | 20 | 103 | 35 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 34.0% | 27.2% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 7.78 | 5.13 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 29 | 115 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 27.8% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 3.14 | 2.43 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 29 | 115 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 37.4% | 11.3% | 26.1% | 0.9% | 3.14 | 1.91 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 30 | 1 | 34 | 153 | 33 | 32 | 2 | 3% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 24.7% | -8.7% | 1.5% | 5.08 | 5.68 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 30 | 1 | 34 | 153 | 33 | 32 | 2 | 3% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 20.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 5.08 | 4.76 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 35 | 0 | 42 | 212 | 74 | 54 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.9% | 29.3% | -2.4% | 3.4% | 6.64 | 6.43 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 35 | 0 | 42 | 212 | 74 | 54 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 34.9% | 25.5% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 6.64 | 5.29 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 41 | 176 | 69 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 33.7% | 20.7% | 13.1% | 0.0% | 3.76 | 2.87 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 41 | 176 | 69 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 39.2% | 17.0% | 22.2% | 0.6% | 3.76 | 2.24 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 15 | 0 | 16 | 80 | 21 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 23.4% | -3.8% | 6.4% | 9.19 | 7.90 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TEX | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.0% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.72 | 4.72 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 33 | 152 | 39 | 26 | 5 | — | — | 25.7% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 6.86 | 6.24 | -0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 25.0% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.72 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 21 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.28 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 207 | 115 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 143 | 1 | 180 | 839 | 212 | 205 | 17 | 1% | 1.3 | 25.3% | 24.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 5.49 | 5.20 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 159 | 1 | 200 | 930 | 235 | 228 | 19 | 1% | 1.3 | 25.3% | 24.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 5.49 | 5.20 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adrian Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.72 | 25.0% | 14.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.66 | 25.1% | 11.4% | 20 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 89 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 85 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 84 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.72 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .282 | 4.81 | 20.3% | 2.9% | 127 | +1.09 | 3.72 | 197 | 84 |
| Logan Boyer R 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.65 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .267 | 4.98 | 17.9% | 1.6% | 54 | +1.33 | 3.65 | 121 | 83 |
| Trey Benton R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.68 | 23.8% | 13.9% | 3.3% | .366 | 2.92 | 18.1% | 7.4% | 31 | -1.76 | 2.92 | 139 | 83 |
| Conor Grammes R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.03 | 28.6% | 16.8% | 4.0% | .293 | 4.37 | 20.8% | 1.1% | 128 | -0.66 | 3.89 | 171 | 83 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 83 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.02 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .305 | 7.93 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.91 | 3.54 | 153 | 83 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.00 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 1.9% | .284 | 2.56 | 30.9% | 21.0% | 165 | -1.44 | 1.52 | 452 | 83 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2025 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 104 | 83 |
| Cayne Ueckert R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.42 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .150 | 5.65 | 21.4% | 5.1% | 124 | +1.23 | 3.88 | 205 | 82 |
| Justin Evans R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.73 | 23.6% | 14.3% | 1.5% | .323 | 4.80 | 16.4% | -7.9% | 14 | +1.07 | 3.73 | 105 | 82 |
| Matt Blackham R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.90 | 24.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .236 | 4.88 | 25.9% | 12.0% | 80 | +0.98 | 2.08 | 187 | 82 |
| Cameron Gann R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 82 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 82 |
| Dakota Mekkes R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .290 | 4.81 | 16.7% | 1.8% | 70 | +0.30 | 2.99 | 246 | 82 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 82 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.39 | 21.5% | 14.4% | 2.3% | .326 | 4.55 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 79 | +0.16 | 3.96 | 242 | 82 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 82 |