Adrian Rodriguez
P Hub City Spartanburgers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A+TEX | 35 | 0 | 42 | 6.64 | 5.29 | 34.9% | 25.5% | — | K 26.9% · BB 29.3% · FIP 6.46 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX3 levels | 30 | 0 | 41 | 3.76 | 2.24 | 39.2% | 17.0% | — | K 33.7% · BB 20.7% · FIP 2.87 |
| 2026 | 25 | MIX2 levels | 17 | 0 | 18 | 9.00 | 5.77 | 23.3% | 18.9% | — | K 16.7% · BB 21.7% · FIP 7.41 |
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBTEX | — | — | 0 | 5.63 | 5.63 | 23.9% | 19.8% | — | |
| 2028PROJ37% MLB | 27 | MLBTEX | 10 | 0 | 10 | 5.53 | 5.54 | 23.9% | 18.8% | -0.1 |
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | 14 | 0 | 20 | 103 | 35 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.1% | 34.0% | -10.9% | 2.7% | 7.78 | 6.92 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL Rangers | 14 | 0 | 20 | 103 | 35 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 34.0% | 27.2% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 7.78 | 5.13 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 29 | 115 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 27.8% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 3.14 | 2.43 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 29 | 115 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 37.4% | 11.3% | 26.1% | 0.9% | 3.14 | 1.91 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | 30 | 1 | 34 | 153 | 33 | 32 | 2 | 3% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 24.7% | -8.7% | 1.6% | 5.08 | 5.74 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A RAW | Down East Wood Ducks | 30 | 1 | 34 | 153 | 33 | 32 | 2 | 3% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 20.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 5.08 | 4.76 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | 35 | 0 | 42 | 212 | 74 | 54 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.9% | 29.3% | -2.4% | 3.5% | 6.64 | 6.46 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | 35 | 0 | 42 | 212 | 74 | 54 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.9% | 29.3% | -2.4% | 3.5% | 6.64 | 6.46 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ RAW | Hickory Crawdads | 35 | 0 | 42 | 212 | 74 | 54 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 34.9% | 25.5% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 6.64 | 5.29 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 41 | 176 | 69 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 33.7% | 20.7% | 13.1% | 0.0% | 3.76 | 2.87 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 41 | 176 | 69 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 33.7% | 20.7% | 13.1% | 0.0% | 3.76 | 2.87 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 41 | 176 | 69 | 30 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 39.2% | 17.0% | 22.2% | 0.6% | 3.76 | 2.24 | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 18 | 90 | 21 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 21.7% | -4.9% | 5.4% | 9.00 | 7.41 | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 18 | 90 | 21 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 21.7% | -4.9% | 5.4% | 9.00 | 7.41 | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 18 | 90 | 21 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 18.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 9.00 | 5.77 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.9% | 19.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.63 | 5.63 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | TEX | 25 | 0 | 26 | 112 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 18.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.53 | 5.54 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | TEX | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 18.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.53 | 5.54 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 9 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 18.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.53 | 5.16 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 206 | 165 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 18.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.53 | 5.16 | -1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 145 | 1 | 183 | 849 | 212 | 206 | 17 | 1% | 1.3 | 24.9% | 24.3% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 5.52 | 5.20 | -0.3 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 159 | 1 | 200 | 930 | 232 | 226 | 19 | 1% | 1.3 | 24.9% | 24.3% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 5.52 | 5.20 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 14 IPFIP 6.04 → 7.41 (+1.38)K% 21.7% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 21.74% | — | ×0.770 | 16.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 18.84% | — | ×1.150 | 21.67% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×1.250 | 5.43% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 6.04 → 7.41, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Rangers · 4 IPFIP 3.10 → 4.48 (+1.38)K% 28.6% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 28.57% | — | ×0.680 | 19.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 19.05% | — | ×1.250 | 23.81% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.400 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 3.10 → 4.48, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 21 IPFIP 1.68 → 2.87 (+1.19)K% 43.8% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 43.82% | — | ×0.770 | 33.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 17.98% | — | ×1.150 | 20.67% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.215 | ×1.250 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 143).
Result: FIP 1.68 → 2.87, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AHickory Crawdads · 10 IPFIP 1.36 → 2.42 (+1.06)K% 37.0% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 36.96% | — | ×0.740 | 27.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.87% | — | ×1.180 | 12.83% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×1.300 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 107).
Result: FIP 1.36 → 2.42, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Rangers · 10 IPFIP 4.54 → 6.19 (+1.65)K% 31.7% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 31.71% | — | ×0.680 | 21.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 21.95% | — | ×1.250 | 27.44% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.44% | ÷1.302 | ×1.400 | 2.62% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 160).
Result: FIP 4.54 → 6.19, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hickory Crawdads · 42 IPFIP 4.93 → 6.46 (+1.52)K% 34.9% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 34.91% | — | ×0.770 | 26.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 25.47% | — | ×1.150 | 29.29% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.83% | ÷1.014 | ×1.250 | 3.49% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).
Result: FIP 4.93 → 6.46, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADown East Wood Ducks · 34 IPFIP 4.65 → 5.74 (+1.09)K% 21.6% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 21.57% | — | ×0.740 | 15.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 20.92% | — | ×1.180 | 24.68% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.31% | ÷1.082 | ×1.300 | 1.57% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 116).
Result: FIP 4.65 → 5.74, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Rangers · 17 IPFIP 0.99 → 2.43 (+1.44)K% 40.9% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 40.91% | — | ×0.680 | 27.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.61% | — | ×1.250 | 13.26% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×1.400 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 104).
Result: FIP 0.99 → 2.43, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).