Breyias Dean3B FCL Marlins
Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION151 act + 100 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .281 / .323
PA100
HR2
K%28
BB%8
BABIP264
ISO123
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -10.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +7.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.50.60.50.60.50.30.1+$19M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 43
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER43
scouting grade only
EYE53
scouting grade only
SPEED54
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.6$1M+$1.0M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2035Arb-1$0.6M+0.3$0.6M+$0.4M
2036Arb-2$5M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $5M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Miami — 200168 25502 138617 43 149278214492 65280 436 229 33 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Miami — 200159 35913 225917 43 220374346720 126323 3011 336 115 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Miami — 170142 24301 156812 91 169302211513 42311 409 226 31 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Miami — 170132 34602 244912 91 258414348763 91390 2914 359 133 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Marlins — 137127 16303 6623 22 126184220404 94206 454 188 2 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Marlins — 137123 27614 10423 22 220294382676 163295 317 301 89 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKMIA — 151128 26513 14483 52 203297328625 125277 329 272 66 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
YTD20 ROKMIA — 151120 32714 22333 52 267393442835 175315 2215 361 135 +6 +0 +0 +1 +4 1.1
ROS20 ROKMIA 0% 10089 18312 8282 21 201281323604 123268 288 264 61 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
ROS20 MLBMIA 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 263 —— 247 47 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL20 ROKMIA — 151129 26513 14483 52 202297326622 124274 329 272 66 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
TOT20 ROKMIA — 251217 44825 22765 73 202290326616 124271 309 269 64 -10 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBMIA 34% 265237 491015 21725 52 207285321606 114269 278 273 67 -10 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
202822 MLBMIA 48% 374335 711428 301006 72 212288337626 125272 278 281 73 -11 +1 +0 +1 +11 0.1
202923 MLBMIA 54% 445398 8617210 361178 93 216294344638 128273 268 285 76 -12 +1 +0 +2 +13 0.3
203024 MLBMIA 55% 491440 9418211 401288 103 214291339630 125275 268 288 79 -12 +1 +0 +2 +14 0.5
203125 MLBMIA 56% 516460 10019312 421349 113 217295350645 133275 268 289 79 -12 +1 +0 +2 +15 0.6
203226 MLBMIA 56% 529472 10320312 431379 114 218296350645 131275 268 290 80 -12 +1 +0 +2 +15 0.5
203327 MLBMIA 55% 533475 10320312 441399 114 217295347643 131274 268 290 80 -12 +1 +0 +2 +15 0.6
203428 MLBMIA 55% 531473 10120212 441399 113 214293340633 127274 268 288 79 -13 +1 -1 +2 +15 0.5
203529 MLBMIA 53% 523465 9919212 441389 103 213293340633 127273 268 286 77 -13 +1 -1 +2 +15 0.3
203630 MLBMIA 57% 513456 9518211 431369 103 208289329618 121271 278 284 75 -14 +1 -2 +2 +15 0.1
202721 MLBMIA 34% 9182 16302 7252 21 195275305580 110264 278 257 55 -5 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.2
202822 MLBMIA 48% 181162 33614 14483 41 204279327606 123267 278 264 60 -8 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.2
202923 MLBMIA 54% 241216 45915 19634 52 208285329613 120269 268 269 64 -10 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.2
203024 MLBMIA 55% 272243 511016 22715 62 210289333622 123270 268 272 66 -10 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
203125 MLBMIA 56% 289259 551117 23755 62 212289344633 131270 268 273 67 -11 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
203226 MLBMIA 56% 298267 561117 24775 62 210287337624 127270 268 273 67 -11 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
203327 MLBMIA 55% 295264 561117 24775 62 212290341631 129270 268 273 67 -11 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
203428 MLBMIA 55% 291260 551117 24765 62 212291342633 131269 268 272 66 -11 +0 -0 +1 +8 -0.2
203529 MLBMIA 53% 279249 521016 23735 62 209289329618 120268 268 270 65 -11 +0 -1 +1 +8 -0.3
203630 MLBMIA 57% 293261 531016 25785 62 203285318603 115266 279 267 63 -12 +0 -1 +1 +8 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 25302264 47292957 20566344 5318 208287333620 124267 268 270 65 -101 +3 -2 +9 +72 -1.9
/ 162G— — 650582 12224215 5317011 145 210288335623 125268 268 270 65 -26 +1 -1 +2 +18 -0.5
Career— — 53274737 98418923113 4291484115 11237 208289329618 121275 288 279 72 -169 +8 -4 +19 +151 0.4
/ 162G— — 650578 12023314 5218114 145 208289330619 123274 288 279 72 -21 +1 -1 +2 +18 0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Miami — 200159 35913 225917 43 220374346720 126323 3011 336 115 +3 -0 — — +6 0.9
202418 ROKDSL Miami — 170132 34602 244912 91 258414348763 91390 2914 359 133 +6 +1 — — +5 1.3
202519 ROKFCL Marlins — 137123 27614 10423 22 220294382676 163295 317 301 89 -2 -0 — — +4 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA
102,7534277228318337+4+55.36.0
/1626641019+1.0+1.31.3pk7: 7
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA
92,4203578239286365+13-03.74.5
/1626641021+3.6-0.11.0pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
62,6826054214289341+10+31.71.8
/1626641513+2.4+0.70.4pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Breyias Dean (OGILVIE) 20 20→25 38→43 49→54 53 202/290/326 124271 57 30% 9% 64 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Jose Meza
2023 · A 		20 41→34 41→45 48→50 40 199/264/295 96283 910 32% 6% 54 -1.4 202/295/301 99301 98 33% 10% 69 -0.4 182/291/2769427591033%11%61-0.6
✕Kevin Padlo
2016 · A 		20 38→40 45→55 50 46 193/270/323 130263 128 30% 9% 64 -0.8 183/268/311 128268 128 34% 10% 60 -1.0 195/265/371176262221234%8%73-0.1
✕Misael Urbina
2022 · A 		20 36→29 40→45 51→50 48 177/255/271 94227 713 24% 8% 44 -2.1 175/249/266 91263 610 33% 8% 40 -2.4 157/237/2367924751036%9%25-2.0
✕Jhostynxon Garcia
2023 · A 		20 37→41 41→55 48→50 44 180/262/280 101277 88 36% 9% 50 -1.8 198/258/332 134287 1410 34% 6% 61 -1.0 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
✕Jose Cordoba
2023 · A 		20 37 41→45 44→55 39 187/251/282 95271 109 33% 6% 46 -2.0 202/259/294 92279 611 28% 6% 51 -1.7 199/258/2929326841526%6%47-0.8
✕Emilio King
2010 · A 		20 40 37→45 51→40 43 190/274/270 79258 49 26% 6% 53 -1.5 203/253/290 87301 64 33% 4% 47 -1.9 213/250/309963117233%3%47-1.0
✕Janelfry Zorrilla
2011 · A 		20 41 40→45 50 42 202/257/291 89262 713 26% 6% 49 -1.8 224/280/353 129280 1310 24% 6% 76 +0.0 226/277/35312728514825%5%72-0.1
✕Jeter Downs
2018 · A 		20 42→40 43→50 47→55 47 208/276/316 107257 119 23% 7% 64 -0.8 211/277/355 144271 1517 27% 7% 75 -0.0 175/266/324149236182633%9%63-0.4
✕Gilbert Gomez
2012 · A 		20 39→35 40 52→50 40 193/252/284 91274 714 31% 6% 46 -2.0 201/271/278 77305 48 32% 8% 53 -1.5 191/271/264742963733%9%45-1.3
✕Zack Larson
2014 · A 		20 46→35 41→45 53→50 41 222/281/319 97293 813 26% 6% 67 -0.5 197/253/262 65273 310 27% 6% 40 -2.4 177/233/2234724911027%5%21-2.0
✕Rey Duran
2009 · A 		20 36 41→50 49→40 41 183/243/277 94256 96 31% 6% 40 -2.4 213/267/338 125268 145 25% 6% 66 -0.6 210/263/34913924619223%5%65-0.3
✕Garrett Whitley
2017 · A 		20 40→36 42→50 47→55 44 197/267/302 105280 99 31% 8% 56 -1.3 191/270/310 119334 1213 42% 9% 61 -1.0 169/260/316147293151844%10%55-0.9
✕Alexis Hernandez
2023 · A 		20 40 38→50 47→50 46 191/256/270 79241 611 23% 7% 44 -2.1 209/284/304 95294 817 30% 8% 65 -0.7 196/277/321126268141731%8%64-0.3
✕Ismael Alcantara
2019 · A 		20 39→28 38→45 51→50 41 185/255/266 81281 513 34% 7% 43 -2.2 211/277/317 106330 915 36% 7% 64 -0.8 193/256/311118287121635%6%52-0.7
✕Denzer Guzman
2023 · A 		19 38→36 40→45 47→50 42 190/245/284 93260 79 29% 6% 43 -2.2 187/246/287 100286 98 36% 7% 43 -2.2 205/268/331127286151232%7%61-0.7
✕Maximo Rivera
2012 · A 		19 35 41→45 47→60 41 179/238/272 93242 1013 30% 6% 37 -2.7 221/272/301 80287 719 24% 6% 58 -1.2 235/283/2996430252423%5%60-0.3
✕Gilberto Vizcarra
2019 · A 		20 35 38→45 47→40 46 171/243/241 71215 63 23% 7% 32 -3.0 206/263/288 82261 64 22% 6% 51 -1.7 226/269/325992749121%4%62-0.3
✕Wendell Rijo
2016 · A 		20 42→41 42→55 49→50 40 204/258/310 106288 812 31% 6% 55 -1.4 194/248/276 82270 610 29% 6% 41 -2.3 208/263/371163264201429%6%70-0.2
✕Ricardo Rosario
2023 · A 		20 40 37→40 50→55 42 191/251/266 76262 412 28% 6% 40 -2.4 205/277/292 87289 819 29% 8% 59 -1.1 203/290/29289267112926%9%63-0.4
✕Juan Mora
2021 · A 		21 43 42→45 53→55 49 209/289/317 108255 914 21% 8% 71 -0.3 228/292/345 117310 1010 28% 6% 79 +0.3 224/280/33311029810827%5%68-0.2