Lizandro Espinoza

Lizandro EspinozaSS Columbus Clingstones

Age 23 R/R 5'7" / 158 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION156 act + 164 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .245 / .302

PA164

HR4

SB12

K%34

BB%7

BABIP244

ISO128

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	—	141	124	27	4	1	0	10	31	4	10	6	218	297	266	563	48	287	22	7	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	—	141	117	34	7	2	0	17	21	4	10	6	291	399	385	783	94	351	15	12	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	2 teams	—	194	178	23	3	3	1	10	86	2	5	1	129	184	197	381	67	234	44	5	177	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	2 teams	—	194	173	36	6	5	2	15	58	2	5	1	208	279	335	614	127	293	30	8	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	413	369	48	11	1	5	29	167	6	13	7	130	205	206	411	76	214	40	7	188	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	413	359	66	15	1	7	39	106	6	13	7	184	275	290	564	106	236	26	9	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	354	313	41	6	2	4	28	147	8	16	4	131	221	201	422	70	224	42	8	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	354	303	61	10	3	6	37	97	8	16	4	201	304	314	617	112	271	27	10	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	482	447	64	13	2	15	24	190	5	25	14	143	195	282	477	139	198	39	5	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	482	436	93	22	4	12	35	137	5	25	14	213	279	365	644	151	277	28	7	285	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	ATL	—	156	133	32	6	3	5	15	49	6	26	5	241	344	444	788	203	333	31	10	328	109	+2	+3	+0	+2	+4	1.1
YTD	23	AA	ATL	—	156	126	35	7	3	5	22	38	6	26	5	278	409	500	909	222	353	24	14	398	163	+11	+3	+0	+2	+4	2.1
ROS	23	AA	ATL	2%	164	149	26	5	1	4	11	56	3	12	3	174	245	302	547	128	250	34	7	260	57	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
ROS	23	MLB	ATL	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						250	33	0	246	46	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	ATL	—	159	136	32	6	3	5	15	50	6	26	5	235	338	434	771	199	325	31	9	326	108	+1	+3	+0	+2	+5	1.1
TOT	23	AA	ATL	—	320	282	58	11	4	9	26	105	9	38	8	206	293	369	662	163	287	33	8	293	82	-6	+4	+0	+3	+9	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	ATL	31%	483	438	80	15	4	13	34	163	8	29	8	183	254	324	578	142	253	34	7	261	58	-23	+3	+0	+5	+14	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	ATL	45%	513	462	88	16	4	15	37	167	9	30	9	190	264	340	604	149	256	33	7	268	64	-21	+2	+0	+5	+15	0.1
2029	26	MLB	ATL	51%	529	476	91	17	4	15	39	170	9	31	9	191	265	338	604	147	258	32	7	272	67	-20	+3	+0	+6	+15	0.3
2030	27	MLB	ATL	53%	535	481	94	18	4	16	40	171	9	32	9	195	270	349	619	154	259	32	7	274	68	-19	+3	+0	+6	+15	0.4
2031	28	MLB	ATL	53%	534	479	92	17	4	15	41	171	9	30	9	192	268	338	607	146	259	32	8	273	67	-20	+2	-1	+6	+15	0.3
2032	29	MLB	ATL	53%	527	473	91	17	4	15	40	170	9	28	8	192	268	340	609	148	258	32	8	271	66	-20	+2	-1	+6	+15	0.1
2027	24	MLB	ATL	31%	150	136	25	5	1	4	10	50	3	9	3	184	255	324	579	140	253	33	7	249	49	-9	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	ATL	45%	229	206	40	7	2	7	17	75	4	14	4	194	269	350	618	155	256	33	7	256	54	-12	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	ATL	51%	269	243	47	9	2	8	20	86	4	16	5	193	266	346	612	152	258	32	7	260	57	-13	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
2030	27	MLB	ATL	53%	281	253	49	9	2	8	21	90	5	17	5	194	269	340	609	146	259	32	7	262	59	-13	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
2031	28	MLB	ATL	53%	285	256	49	9	2	8	22	91	5	16	5	191	269	336	604	145	259	32	8	261	58	-14	+1	-0	+3	+8	-0.2
2032	29	MLB	ATL	53%	277	250	48	9	2	8	21	89	4	15	4	192	265	340	605	148	258	32	8	259	57	-14	+1	-1	+3	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1494	1347	258	48	11	43	111	482	25	87	26	192	266	339	605	148	260	32	7	259	56	-74	+7	-1	+16	+42	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	113	21	5	19	48	210	11	38	11	193	267	343	610	150	261	32	7	259	56	-32	+3	-0	+7	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	4869	4389	765	142	34	118	343	1689	81	261	87	174	247	303	550	129	247	35	7	247	47	-289	+17	-2	+52	+138	-8.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	103	19	5	16	46	225	11	35	12	176	249	307	556	131	249	35	7	247	47	-39	+2	-0	+7	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	—	141	117	34	7	2	0	17	21	4	10	6	291	399	385	783	94	351	15	12	352	128	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	73	69	11	1	1	1	3	29	0	1	0	159	194	246	441	87	256	40	4	196	8	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2022	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	121	104	25	5	4	1	12	29	2	4	1	240	331	394	725	154	312	24	10	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	413	359	66	15	1	7	39	106	6	13	7	184	275	290	564	106	236	26	9	257	55	-21	-0	—	—	+12	-1.0
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	354	303	61	10	3	6	37	97	8	16	4	201	304	314	617	112	271	27	10	282	74	-10	+2	—	—	+10	0.1
2025	22	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	51	42	10	4	0	2	7	16	1	3	0	238	360	476	836	238	320	31	14	363	136	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	22	A+	Rome Emperors	—	377	343	69	15	3	10	26	107	3	20	13	201	263	350	613	149	257	28	7	272	66	-14	-1	—	—	+11	-0.5
2025	22	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	54	51	14	3	1	0	2	14	1	2	1	275	315	373	687	98	378	26	4	308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,497	43	86	192	263	340	+16	+9	0.6	0.7
	/162	664	19	38	192	263	340	+7.1	+4.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lizandro Espinoza (OGILVIE)	23	30	40	55	30	206/293/369	163	287	9	38	33%	8%	82	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	45	52→65	39	191/248/311	120	257	14	21	31%	6%	51	-1.7	219/287/347	128	293	11	39	27%	8%	77	+0.1	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	35→34	49→50	54→50	36	188/246/332	144	269	17	14	36%	6%	56	-1.3	199/257/342	143	302	18	13	38%	6%	63	-0.8	180/243/309	129	278	16	12	39%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	35→33	44→45	51→55	37	184/244/295	111	265	12	16	35%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/327	127	297	14	15	35%	8%	67	-0.5	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→50	38	201/251/299	98	265	10	15	28%	5%	49	-1.8	209/254/332	123	305	13	11	34%	5%	59	-1.1	181/215/331	150	258	17	11	37%	3%	42	-0.5
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	35→31	43→50	47→50	33	181/224/287	106	270	10	13	36%	4%	34	-2.8	185/234/295	110	296	11	12	39%	5%	40	-2.4	179/230/328	148	260	18	12	38%	5%	47	-1.3
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	40	43→45	51→55	40	193/267/298	105	296	11	13	36%	7%	56	-1.3	203/272/299	96	311	8	12	35%	8%	58	-1.2	170/253/239	69	277	4	11	36%	9%	33	-0.6
✕Joe Gray Jr. 2023 · A	23	29→33	47→45	55→50	37	160/236/295	134	264	15	14	43%	8%	43	-2.2	171/228/267	96	273	10	13	39%	6%	31	-3.0	165/208/246	82	252	9	14	38%	4%	15	-3.3
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	33→36	41→45	53→55	43	170/253/270	99	234	9	20	30%	7%	44	-2.1	183/267/288	105	279	10	20	36%	8%	55	-1.4	148/255/300	152	246	20	20	45%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Yusuf Carter 2009 · A	24	36→33	48→50	50	34	191/232/333	142	279	16	13	37%	5%	50	-1.7	219/259/358	139	313	17	9	34%	5%	67	-0.5	231/270/372	141	319	18	5	33%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	39	46→50	51→50	38	199/250/328	129	280	15	11	34%	6%	56	-1.3	200/251/341	141	277	15	11	32%	5%	61	-1.0	192/239/333	141	232	19	10	27%	5%	51	-1.1
✕Edward Salcedo 2014 · AA	23	39→41	46→50	47→50	36	201/242/327	125	277	14	16	33%	5%	53	-1.5	194/244/303	109	255	11	13	28%	6%	47	-1.9	176/231/277	101	224	10	12	26%	6%	33	-1.7
✕Jose Torres 2023 · A	23	39→32	44→40	55	38	200/245/310	110	269	13	20	31%	5%	50	-1.8	178/231/270	92	282	10	15	39%	6%	33	-2.9	163/218/258	94	259	12	13	40%	6%	22	-1.8
✕Ethan Murray 2023 · AA	23	35→45	41→40	51→50	42	177/250/275	97	266	9	13	35%	8%	43	-2.2	197/270/288	91	301	7	12	34%	8%	55	-1.4	193/271/278	85	293	6	13	33%	8%	49	-1.1
✕Jose Acosta 2023 · A	23	37	46→45	49→55	36	188/247/315	127	295	14	16	40%	6%	52	-1.6	188/242/296	108	280	11	17	35%	6%	44	-2.1	162/209/252	91	232	8	22	33%	5%	16	-1.1