Lizandro Espinoza

CF Columbus Clingstones
Age 24 R/R 5'7" / 158 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421ASTL354.201/.304/.31461622—.142/.223/.218
202522AA/A+/INTL2 orgs482.213/.279/.365122533—.151/.199/.286
202623AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs296.251/.377/.42073890—.214/.313/.347
2027PROJMLE24MLBATL3.182/.260/.3070061-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB25MLBATL70.186/.264/.3142464-0.1
2029PROJ45% MLB26MLBATL123.189/.267/.3193866-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
BB%81
Speed71
Max EV55
K%45
Whiff%28
Z-Con%26
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 0.7, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%
CompsJackson Loftin (age 24) · Phillip Sikes (age 25) · Mike Antico (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .260 / .307
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%8
BABIP241
ISO129
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKDSL Cardinals Red — 141117 34720 17214 106 291399385783 94351 1512 352 45 — — — — — —
202219 APalm Beach Cardinals — 7369 11111 3290 10 159194246441 87256 404 196 -22 — — — — — —
202219 ROKFCL Cardinals — 121104 25541 12292 41 240331394725 154312 2410 317 28 — — — — — —
202320 APalm Beach Cardinals — 413359 661517 391066 137 184275290564 106236 269 257 15 — — — — — —
202421 APalm Beach Cardinals — 354303 611036 37978 164 201304314617 112271 2710 282 22 — — — — — —
202522 AAColumbus Clingstones — 5142 10402 7161 30 238360476836 238320 3114 363 97 — — — — — —
202522 A+Rome Emperors — 377343 6915310 261073 2013 201263350613 149257 287 272 15 — — — — — —
202522 INTLBravos de Margarita — 5451 14310 2141 21 275315373687 98378 264 308 95 — — — — — —
202623 AAAGwinnett Stripers — 11697 20402 16271 113 206325309634 103261 2314 292 53 — — — — — —
202623 AAColumbus Clingstones — 156126 35735 22386 265 278409500909 222353 2414 398 108 — — — — — —
202623 INTLBravos de Margarita — 2420 6300 232 11 300417450867 150353 128 393 152 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals Red — 141123 23410 11264 106 187275236511 49227 188 234 45 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 7370 9111 2410 10 129153214367 86246 563 136 -22 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLEFCL Cardinals — 121108 18331 8422 41 167237278515 111223 357 209 28 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 413371 521115 271526 137 140210216426 75203 377 190 15 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 354316 45634 251368 164 142223218442 76222 387 201 22 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEColumbus Clingstones — 5144 10402 5191 30 227320455775 227300 3710 311 97 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLERome Emperors — 377354 509210 151433 2013 141183263446 121187 384 191 15 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLEGwinnett Stripers — 116101 19401 12321 113 188281257538 69246 2810 246 53 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEColumbus Clingstones — 156133 31634 15466 265 233338414751 180312 2910 328 108 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals Red — 141123 23410 11264 106 187275236511 49235 188 234 45 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWDSL Cardinals Red — 141117 34720 17214 106 291399385783 94351 1512 352 45 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLE2 teams — 194178 25431 10822 51 140195213408 73245 425 182 9 — — — — — —
202219 ROK RAW2 teams — 194173 36652 15582 51 208279335614 127293 308 272 9 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 413371 521115 271526 137 140210216426 75216 377 190 15 — — — — — —
202320 A RAWPalm Beach Cardinals — 413359 661517 391066 137 184275290564 106236 269 257 15 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 354316 45634 251368 164 142223218442 76229 387 201 22 — — — — — —
202421 A RAWPalm Beach Cardinals — 354303 611036 37978 164 201304314617 112271 2710 282 22 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE3 teams — 482449 6514213 221825 2514 145193272465 127201 385 205 25 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW3 teams — 482436 9322412 351375 2514 213279365644 151277 287 285 25 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE3 teams — 296255 551136 28869 389 216315353668 137295 299 293 84 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAW3 teams — 296243 611437 40689 389 251377420796 169316 2314 356 84 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEDSL Cardinals Red — 141125 23410 11264 106 184275232507 48227 188 234 45 — — — — — —
202219 ROK MLE2 teams — 194180 25431 10822 51 139195211406 72232 425 182 9 — — — — — —
202320 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 413377 521115 271526 137 138210212423 74203 377 190 15 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 354318 45634 251368 164 142223217440 75222 387 201 22 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE3 teams — 482452 6514213 221825 2514 144193270463 126200 385 205 25 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE3 teams — 296257 551136 28869 389 214315350665 136284 299 293 84 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 354318 45634 251368 164 142223217440 75222 387 201 22 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE3 teams — 482452 6514213 221825 2514 144193270463 126200 385 205 25 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE3 teams — 296257 551136 28869 389 214315350665 136284 299 293 84 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEATL 2% 322289 531127 25965 205 182260307567 125241 308 258 61 -15 +2 +0 +1 +7 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXATL 2% 33 0000 010 00 182260307567 125241 330 258 61 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEATL 31% 226202 37815 18664 144 186264314578 128244 298 262 64 -10 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.3
202926 MLB MLEATL 45% 276248 46926 22804 174 189267319586 130246 298 265 66 -11 +2 +0 +1 +6 -0.3
203027 MLB MLEATL 49% 297266 511027 24855 185 191269321590 130248 298 267 67 -12 +2 +0 +1 +6 -0.3
203128 MLB MLEATL 52% 310277 541127 25895 175 192270321590 129250 298 267 67 -12 +1 -1 +1 +7 -0.4
203229 MLB MLEATL 52% 306274 541127 25874 154 192270319589 127251 288 267 67 -12 +1 -1 +1 +7 -0.5
202825 MLB CTXATL 31% 7063 11202 6201 41 186264314578 128244 299 262 64 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
202926 MLB CTXATL 45% 123110 21413 10362 82 189267319586 130246 298 265 66 -5 +1 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
203027 MLB CTXATL 49% 146131 25513 12422 92 191269321590 130248 298 267 67 -6 +1 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
203128 MLB CTXATL 52% 160144 28614 13462 92 192270321590 129250 298 267 67 -6 +1 -0 +1 +3 -0.2
203229 MLB CTXATL 52% 158142 27514 13452 82 192270319589 127251 288 267 67 -6 +1 -1 +1 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 657590 11222416 541899 389 190268322590 132247 298 266 47 -26 +4 -1 +2 +14 -0.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 11122416 531879 389 190268324591 134247 298 266 47 -26 +4 -1 +2 +14 -0.7
Career— MLE — 34693114 5361052365 251112359 19966 172247283530 111241 327 238 47 -65 +8 -2 +6 +34 -1.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 10020412 4721011 3712 172246281527 110240 327 238 47 -27 +3 -1 +2 +14 -0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 156 PAwOBA .391 → .328 (−63)K% 24.4% → 29.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.36%÷1.000×1.220——29.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.46%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0129.26%
HBP% /PA3.85%—×0.840—×1.0123.27%
Singles /BIP22.73%÷1.000×0.920×0.966×1.01220.44%
Doubles /BIP7.95%÷1.000×0.910×0.966×1.0127.07%
Triples /BIP3.41%÷1.000×0.880×0.966×1.0122.93%
Home runs /BIP5.68%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0124.60%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .391 → .328; ISO .222 → .191; BABIP .353 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 116 PAwOBA .288 → .246 (−42)K% 23.3% → 27.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.28%÷1.000×1.200——27.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.79%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0489.97%
HBP% /PA0.86%—×0.940—×1.0480.85%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.930×0.999×1.04819.48%
Doubles /BIP5.71%÷1.000×0.830×0.999×1.0484.97%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.999×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP2.86%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0482.10%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .288 → .246; ISO .103 → .082; BABIP .261 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Rome Emperors · 377 PAwOBA .267 → .191 (−76)K% 28.4% → 37.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.38%÷0.983×1.310——37.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.90%÷1.020×0.600—×0.9984.05%
HBP% /PA0.80%—×0.770—×0.9980.61%
Singles /BIP17.37%÷1.098×0.870×0.958×0.99813.15%
Doubles /BIP6.36%÷1.173×0.780×0.958×0.9984.04%
Triples /BIP1.27%÷1.075×0.850×0.958×0.9980.96%
Home runs /BIP4.24%÷0.819×0.880—×0.9984.54%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 120, 2B 135, 3B 115, K 97, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .267 → .191; ISO .149 → .124; BABIP .257 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAColumbus Clingstones · 51 PAwOBA .361 → .311 (−50)K% 31.4% → 37.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.37%÷1.011×1.220——37.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.73%÷1.036×0.680—×1.0279.25%
HBP% /PA1.96%—×0.840—×1.0271.69%
Singles /BIP15.38%÷1.038×0.920—×1.02714.01%
Doubles /BIP15.38%÷0.951×0.910—×1.02715.12%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.108×0.880—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP7.69%÷0.934×0.800—×1.0276.77%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 108, 2B 90, 3B 122, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .361 → .311; ISO .238 → .220; BABIP .320 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 APalm Beach Cardinals · 354 PAwOBA .278 → .201 (−77)K% 27.4% → 38.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.40%÷0.968×1.360——38.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.45%÷0.999×0.690——7.22%
HBP% /PA2.26%—×0.780——1.76%
Singles /BIP20.39%÷1.040×0.920×0.960—17.31%
Doubles /BIP4.85%÷1.153×0.830×0.960—3.36%
Triples /BIP1.46%÷0.946×0.910×0.960—1.35%
Home runs /BIP2.91%÷1.036×0.800——2.25%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 108, 2B 131, 3B 89, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .278 → .201; ISO .112 → .079; BABIP .271 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 APalm Beach Cardinals · 413 PAwOBA .253 → .190 (−63)K% 25.7% → 36.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.67%÷0.950×1.360——36.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.44%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0156.61%
HBP% /PA1.45%—×0.780—×1.0151.15%
Singles /BIP17.00%÷0.998×0.920×0.950×1.01515.10%
Doubles /BIP5.93%÷1.007×0.830×0.950×1.0154.71%
Triples /BIP0.40%÷1.023×0.910×0.950×1.0150.34%
Home runs /BIP2.77%÷1.010×0.800—×1.0152.23%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 101, 3B 105, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .253 → .190; ISO .106 → .077; BABIP .236 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Cardinals · 121 PAwOBA .317 → .209 (−108)K% 24.0% → 34.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.97%÷1.005×1.440——34.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.92%÷0.976×0.620—×0.9956.27%
HBP% /PA1.65%—×0.720—×0.9951.18%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.021×0.820×0.950×0.99515.18%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷1.074×0.720×0.950×0.9954.22%
Triples /BIP5.33%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×0.9953.63%
Home runs /BIP1.33%÷1.127×0.780—×0.9950.92%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 104, 2B 115, 3B 100, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .317 → .209; ISO .154 → .096; BABIP .312 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 APalm Beach Cardinals · 73 PAwOBA .191 → .136 (−54)K% 39.7% → 55.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA39.73%÷0.966×1.360——55.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.11%÷1.029×0.690—×1.0302.84%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.985×0.920×1.007×1.03019.38%
Doubles /BIP2.50%÷1.076×0.830×1.007×1.0302.00%
Triples /BIP2.50%÷0.900×0.910×1.007×1.0302.62%
Home runs /BIP2.50%÷0.880×0.800—×1.0302.34%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .191 → .136; ISO .087 → .062; BABIP .256 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .