Lizandro Espinoza

Lizandro EspinozaSS Columbus Clingstones

Age 23 R/R 5'7" / 158 lbs AA BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.3 · 2026

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .233 / .292

PA320

HR7

SB22

K%38

BB%6

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30→30

PWR

40→40

SPD

55→55

EYE

45↘30

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$7M		$-0.9M	-$8M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	141	124	27	4	1	0	10	31	4	10	6	.218	.297	.266	.563	.048	.287	22	7	.258	56	-7	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2022	19	ROK	2 teams	194	178	22	3	3	1	10	85	2	5	1	.124	.179	.191	.370	.067	.221	44	5	.174	-9	-24	+1	+0	+2	+5	-1.6
2023	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	413	369	51	12	1	5	29	157	6	13	7	.138	.213	.217	.430	.079	.218	38	7	.195	7	-43	-0	+0	+4	+12	-2.8
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	354	313	41	6	2	4	28	147	8	16	4	.131	.221	.201	.422	.070	.224	42	8	.196	8	-37	+2	+0	+4	+10	-2.2
2025	22	A+	3 teams	482	448	65	14	2	13	23	184	5	25	14	.145	.195	.272	.468	.127	.203	38	5	.205	15	-46	-1	+0	+5	+14	-2.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	AA	Columbus Clingstones	62	52	13	2	0	3	8	19	1	10	1	.250	.361	.462	.822	.212	.323	31	13	.342	120	+1	+2	+0	+1	+2	0.6
ROS	23	MLB	ATL	258	235	44	9	1	7	18	95	3	12	3	.187	.254	.323	.577	.136	.270	37	7	.254	52	-14	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
TOT	23	MLB	ATL	320	287	57	11	1	10	26	114	4	22	4	.199	.274	.348	.623	.150	.285	36	8	.271	66	-12	+3	+0	+3	+9	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 11%	ATL	483	439	82	16	2	12	35	165	6	21	6	.187	.256	.314	.571	.128	.266	34	7	.259	57	-24	+2	+0	+5	+14	-0.3
2028	25	MLB 26%	ATL	513	463	90	18	2	13	39	170	6	21	6	.194	.266	.326	.592	.132	.269	33	8	.267	63	-22	+2	+0	+5	+15	0.0
2029	26	MLB 44%	ATL	529	477	93	18	2	14	41	172	6	21	6	.195	.267	.329	.596	.134	.271	33	8	.272	66	-20	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.2
2030	27	MLB 59%	ATL	535	482	95	19	2	14	42	174	6	20	5	.197	.270	.332	.602	.135	.272	33	8	.273	67	-20	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.3
2031	28	MLB 69%	ATL	534	480	94	18	2	14	43	174	6	18	5	.196	.270	.329	.599	.133	.271	33	8	.272	66	-20	+2	-1	+6	+15	0.2
2032	29	MLB 77%	ATL	527	474	93	18	2	14	42	173	6	16	4	.196	.270	.331	.601	.135	.270	33	8	.270	65	-21	+2	-1	+6	+15	-0.0
2033	30	MLB 95%	ATL	518	465	89	17	2	13	42	172	6	15	4	.191	.267	.320	.587	.129	.269	33	8	.267	62	-22	+1	-2	+6	+15	-0.3
2034	31	MLB	ATL	505	453	86	17	2	12	41	170	6	12	3	.190	.266	.316	.582	.126	.267	34	8	.263	60	-23	+1	-3	+5	+14	-0.5
2035	32	MLB	ATL	487	440	83	16	2	12	39	167	5	9	2	.189	.262	.316	.578	.127	.265	34	8	.258	56	-24	+1	-4	+5	+14	-0.8
2036	33	MLB	ATL	458	414	75	14	2	10	36	160	5	8	1	.181	.255	.297	.552	.116	.263	35	8	.253	52	-25	+1	-4	+5	+13	-1.0
2037	34	MLB	ATL	412	372	66	13	1	9	33	147	4	6	1	.177	.252	.290	.542	.113	.261	36	8	.247	47	-25	+1	-5	+4	+12	-1.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7343	6626	1196	232	31	167	551	2543	90	248	78	.181	.253	.300	.553	.120	.260	35	8	.250	50	-417	+18	-20	+79	+208	-13.4
/ 162G	—			650	587	107	21	3	15	49	225	8	22	7	.182	.255	.305	.560	.123	.262	35	8	.250	50	-37	+2	-2	+7	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	141	117	34	7	2	0	17	21	4	10	6	.291	.399	.385	.783	.094	.351	15	12	.352	128	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	73	69	11	1	1	1	3	29	0	1	0	.159	.194	.246	.441	.087	.256	40	4	.196	8	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2022	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	121	104	25	5	4	1	12	29	2	4	1	.240	.331	.394	.725	.154	.312	24	10	.317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	413	359	66	15	1	7	39	106	6	13	7	.184	.275	.290	.564	.106	.236	26	9	.257	55	-21	-0	—	—	+12	-1.0
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	354	303	61	10	3	6	37	97	8	16	4	.201	.304	.314	.617	.112	.271	27	10	.282	74	-10	+2	—	—	+10	0.1
2025	22	AA	Columbus Clingstones	51	42	10	4	0	2	7	16	1	3	0	.238	.360	.476	.836	.238	.320	31	14	.363	136	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	22	A+	Rome Emperors	377	343	69	15	3	10	26	107	3	20	13	.201	.263	.350	.613	.149	.257	28	7	.272	66	-14	-1	—	—	+11	-0.5
2025	22	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	54	51	14	3	1	0	2	14	1	2	1	.275	.315	.373	.687	.098	.378	26	4	.308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lizandro Espinoza (OGILVIE)	23	30	40	55	30	.174/.233/.292	.119	.263	7	9	38%	6%	41	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	44→45	51→55	40	.195/.268/.308	.113	.290	12	13	35%	7%	59	-1.1	.200/.270/.300	.100	.307	9	12	35%	8%	58	-1.2	.166/.253/.240	.073	.276	4	11	37%	10%	33	-0.6
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	.190/.256/.326	.136	.273	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.205/.269/.352	.147	.297	17	9	35%	6%	72	-0.2	.199/.264/.350	.151	.290	18	7	36%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	36	43→50	49→40	40	.184/.244/.291	.107	.270	10	4	35%	7%	44	-2.1	.200/.256/.326	.126	.277	13	4	32%	6%	59	-1.1	.206/.268/.347	.141	.262	15	2	27%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	44→45	51→60	39	.187/.243/.297	.111	.259	12	21	32%	6%	46	-2.0	.218/.284/.349	.131	.292	12	37	28%	7%	76	+0.1	.226/.298/.368	.142	.297	13	49	27%	8%	84	+0.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	40→30	46→45	50	37	.202/.259/.333	.131	.288	14	12	34%	6%	62	-0.9	.210/.268/.306	.096	.313	9	17	34%	6%	58	-1.2	.216/.274/.290	.074	.331	7	24	35%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	36	48→50	54→50	37	.191/.251/.335	.144	.272	16	14	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.202/.261/.344	.142	.302	17	13	37%	7%	66	-0.6	.180/.244/.304	.124	.276	15	12	39%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	36→32	44→55	47→50	33	.188/.230/.306	.119	.276	12	12	36%	4%	42	-2.3	.190/.235/.310	.120	.293	12	12	38%	5%	45	-2.1	.185/.235/.340	.155	.265	19	12	37%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	36	40→45	52→50	36	.183/.218/.281	.098	.255	7	9	31%	4%	30	-3.1	.212/.258/.297	.085	.293	5	9	28%	6%	50	-1.7	.233/.289/.308	.075	.313	4	8	25%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Joe Gray Jr. 2023 · A	23	32→34	48→45	56→50	38	.172/.245/.314	.141	.270	16	14	40%	7%	52	-1.6	.176/.233/.278	.102	.269	11	14	37%	6%	37	-2.7	.175/.218/.259	.084	.253	10	14	34%	4%	22	-2.9
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→29	42→45	48→50	42	.191/.254/.286	.095	.257	11	14	30%	7%	47	-1.9	.192/.267/.310	.118	.259	14	15	30%	8%	59	-1.1	.186/.266/.299	.113	.246	14	14	29%	9%	54	-0.9
✕LeDarious Clark 2017 · A	23	37→33	47→45	52→55	30	.194/.225/.331	.137	.291	15	19	38%	3%	46	-2.0	.184/.243/.310	.126	.297	14	18	40%	6%	49	-1.8	.164/.235/.283	.119	.266	14	19	41%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→40	44→45	54→55	35	.194/.253/.305	.111	.299	13	14	38%	6%	52	-1.6	.200/.252/.326	.126	.285	15	18	34%	5%	57	-1.2	.198/.249/.325	.127	.276	15	22	33%	5%	52	-1.2
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	38	42→50	52→45	40	.189/.250/.291	.102	.286	10	11	36%	7%	46	-2.0	.204/.266/.313	.109	.307	11	9	35%	7%	59	-1.1	.164/.224/.258	.094	.235	10	0	33%	7%	25	-0.6
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	36→42	48→50	56→55	32	.184/.238/.325	.140	.293	16	19	41%	5%	51	-1.7	.204/.262/.347	.143	.288	18	22	34%	6%	67	-0.5	.205/.267/.345	.140	.279	18	23	32%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	41	39→45	53→50	39	.193/.262/.274	.080	.300	7	13	36%	7%	48	-1.9	.208/.307/.328	.120	.294	12	12	31%	10%	82	+0.5	.212/.315/.318	.105	.301	9	14	29%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Yusuf Carter 2008 · A	23	36→34	46→50	48→50	31	.189/.222/.315	.126	.290	15	9	40%	4%	40	-2.4	.213/.254/.357	.144	.303	17	11	34%	5%	66	-0.6	.219/.264/.370	.151	.296	19	10	32%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Jose Acosta 2023 · A	23	39	45	49→55	36	.194/.252/.316	.122	.300	13	15	38%	6%	54	-1.4	.192/.244/.301	.109	.280	11	16	34%	6%	46	-2.0	.168/.215/.260	.093	.234	9	22	31%	5%	20	-1.0
✕Korry Howell 2022 · AA	23	40→34	44→40	53→55	39	.193/.268/.308	.115	.314	12	19	40%	8%	59	-1.1	.191/.277/.327	.136	.310	14	23	40%	8%	69	-0.4	.159/.257/.289	.130	.257	13	32	40%	8%	50	-0.6
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA	24	41	44→50	54→60	37	.199/.259/.318	.119	.313	12	19	38%	6%	58	-1.2	.202/.269/.329	.127	.302	12	25	35%	7%	66	-0.6	.193/.269/.328	.135	.286	12	34	35%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	40	40	54→65	40	.192/.269/.282	.090	.299	8	28	36%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.284/.315	.099	.302	7	27	29%	7%	67	-0.5	.225/.290/.320	.095	.304	4	32	25%	7%	66	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)