Jordy Barley — OGILVIE

Jordy BarleySS Harrisburg Senators

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .273 / .313

PA13

HR0

K%29

BB%8

ISO110

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	17	ROK	AZL Padres	—	195	182	44	11	6	4	11	65	2	7	2	242	292	434	726	192	354	33	6	318	102	+0	+1	—	—	+4	0.5
2018	18	ROK	AZL Padres 2	—	218	195	39	9	2	4	15	59	5	12	7	200	274	328	603	128	259	27	7	271	69	-8	-0	—	—	+5	-0.4
2019	19	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	67	62	17	3	1	2	5	19	0	4	0	274	328	452	780	177	366	28	7	344	119	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2021	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	420	364	83	14	2	10	48	125	6	45	11	228	328	360	688	132	316	30	11	313	98	-1	+5	—	—	+9	1.3
2022	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	319	295	60	11	4	2	22	100	0	34	4	203	259	288	547	85	297	31	7	248	54	-18	+5	—	—	+7	-0.6
2023	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	60	53	15	0	0	2	6	24	0	9	2	283	356	396	752	113	481	40	10	335	113	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	203	180	41	9	2	3	17	67	2	22	3	228	302	350	652	122	336	33	8	290	82	-4	+3	—	—	+4	0.3
2024	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	129	108	17	2	0	2	20	44	0	10	3	157	289	231	521	74	242	34	16	252	56	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	17	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	195	186	25	6	3	2	7	94	2	7	2	134	174	231	406	97	259	48	4	184	11	-21	+1	—	—	+4	-1.6
2018	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	—	218	201	27	6	1	3	9	85	5	12	7	134	191	219	410	85	194	39	4	176	5	-25	-0	—	—	+5	-2.1
2021	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	420	383	65	11	2	6	29	176	6	45	11	170	239	256	495	86	282	42	7	221	36	-32	+5	—	—	+9	-1.9
2022	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	319	302	46	8	3	1	15	134	0	34	4	152	192	209	401	56	259	42	5	178	7	-35	+5	—	—	+7	-2.4
2023	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	60	55	12	0	0	1	4	29	0	9	2	218	271	273	544	55	439	48	7	251	56	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	203	186	32	7	2	2	11	92	2	22	3	172	226	263	490	91	300	45	5	216	32	-16	+3	—	—	+4	-0.9
2024	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	129	115	16	2	0	2	13	53	0	10	3	139	227	209	435	70	225	41	10	193	17	-13	+1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2017	17	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	195	186	25	6	3	2	7	94	2	7	2	134	174	231	406	97	256	48	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	—	195	182	44	11	6	4	11	65	2	7	2	242	292	434	726	192	354	33	6	318	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	—	218	201	27	6	1	3	9	85	5	12	7	134	191	219	410	85	207	39	4	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 2	—	218	195	39	9	2	4	15	59	5	12	7	200	274	328	603	128	259	27	7	271	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	INTL MLE	Canberra Cavalry	—	67	62	17	3	1	2	5	19	0	4	0	274	328	452	780	177	366	28	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	INTL RAW	Canberra Cavalry	—	67	62	17	3	1	2	5	19	0	4	0	274	328	452	780	177	366	28	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	420	383	65	11	2	6	29	176	6	45	11	170	239	256	495	86	291	42	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	420	364	83	14	2	10	48	125	6	45	11	228	328	360	688	132	316	30	11	313	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	319	302	46	8	3	1	15	134	0	34	4	152	192	209	401	56	266	42	5	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	319	295	60	11	4	2	22	100	0	34	4	203	259	288	547	85	297	31	7	248	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	263	241	45	7	2	4	15	122	2	31	5	187	240	282	522	95	347	46	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	263	233	56	9	2	5	23	91	2	31	5	240	314	361	674	120	364	35	9	300	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	129	115	16	2	0	2	13	53	0	10	3	139	227	209	435	70	233	41	10	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	—	129	108	17	2	0	2	20	44	0	10	3	157	289	231	521	74	242	34	16	252	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	195	184	25	6	3	2	7	94	2	7	2	136	174	234	408	98	259	48	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	—	218	202	27	6	1	3	9	85	5	12	7	134	191	218	409	84	194	39	4	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	420	382	65	11	2	6	29	176	6	45	11	170	239	257	496	86	282	42	7	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	319	301	46	8	3	1	15	134	0	34	4	153	192	209	402	56	259	42	5	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	263	244	45	7	2	4	15	122	2	31	5	184	240	279	519	94	332	46	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	129	115	16	2	0	2	13	53	0	10	3	139	227	209	435	70	225	41	10	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	263	244	45	7	2	4	15	122	2	31	5	184	240	279	519	94	332	46	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	129	115	16	2	0	2	13	53	0	10	3	139	227	209	435	70	225	41	10	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	WSH	2%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	167	231	167	397		279	31	8	267	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	WSH	27%	262	237	49	9	1	5	21	75	2	7	2	207	277	316	593	110	280	29	8	273	71	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2028	28	MLB MLE	WSH	40%	314	282	59	11	1	6	26	89	3	8	2	209	283	319	602	110	281	28	8	276	73	-10	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	WSH	45%	335	301	65	12	2	7	28	94	3	8	2	216	289	339	628	123	281	28	8	277	74	-11	+1	-1	+4	+7	-0.0
2030	30	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	350	315	66	12	2	7	29	99	3	8	2	210	282	327	609	117	280	28	8	276	73	-11	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	WSH	27%	70	63	12	2	0	1	6	20	1	2	0	190	271	270	541	79	279	29	9	266	71	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	WSH	40%	125	113	23	4	0	3	10	35	1	3	1	204	274	319	593	115	279	28	8	269	73	-4	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	WSH	45%	150	136	28	5	1	3	12	42	1	4	1	206	275	324	599	118	279	28	8	270	74	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
2030	30	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	166	150	32	6	1	3	14	47	1	4	1	213	285	327	612	113	279	28	8	268	73	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	511	462	95	17	2	10	42	144	4	13	3	206	278	316	594	110	273	28	8	268	41	-17	+1	-2	+5	+11	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	122	22	3	13	53	183	5	17	4	207	279	321	600	114	275	28	8	268	41	-21	+2	-2	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2885	2637	482	87	18	45	198	1044	26	174	40	183	247	281	527	98	279	36	7	228	41	-41	+3	-4	+14	+28	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	109	20	4	10	45	235	6	39	9	184	248	281	530	98	280	36	7	228	41	-21	+2	-2	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.8	515	10	13	212	281	329	+6	+6	0.4	0.4
/162	664	13	17	+7.1	+7.7	0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jordy Barley (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	204/273/313	109	279	3	5	29%	8%	67	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tony Thomas 2012 · AAA	26	41→46	44→50	53→55	39	205/255/330	124	274	11	16	29%	5%	63	-1.3	200/247/326	126	279	11	17	31%	5%	59	-1.6	193/240/322	128	273	11	16	32%	5%	53	-1.5
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→42	44→45	54→50	42	193/265/307	114	268	12	15	32%	7%	63	-1.4	194/259/303	109	286	10	12	34%	7%	59	-1.6	153/220/251	99	233	9	9	37%	7%	30	-1.4
✕Rylan Bannon 2022 · AAA	26	34→44	47→50	50	47	182/256/313	131	221	15	11	26%	8%	61	-1.5	197/286/336	139	259	16	13	29%	10%	78	-0.3	191/289/327	136	253	16	12	29%	11%	75	-0.4
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	38→40	44→50	51→50	39	193/251/307	114	272	12	15	33%	6%	57	-1.8	199/261/336	137	306	16	11	38%	7%	68	-1.0	179/258/334	155	270	19	6	39%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	45	54→55	37	199/248/318	119	278	13	18	33%	5%	59	-1.7	188/245/293	105	275	11	22	34%	6%	52	-2.2	171/232/261	89	254	9	26	35%	5%	37	-1.5
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2012 · AAA	26	40	44→40	51→50	43	205/266/313	108	265	13	14	27%	7%	63	-1.3	218/256/309	91	276	10	11	24%	4%	59	-1.7	199/234/276	76	254	10	9	26%	3%	39	-0.8
✕Cody Puckett 2013 · AAA	26	38→40	46→50	50	40	198/250/327	129	260	14	11	30%	6%	61	-1.5	212/256/344	132	247	16	10	22%	5%	67	-1.1	208/243/344	136	220	20	8	17%	4%	60	-1.0
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	45→40	48→55	42	208/268/333	125	282	13	14	30%	7%	70	-0.9	232/303/339	107	302	9	27	24%	8%	84	+0.1	241/321/332	91	311	6	48	22%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	44	198/278/323	125	278	13	16	32%	8%	72	-0.7	198/274/306	108	267	10	16	28%	8%	65	-1.2	157/242/244	87	210	7	20	27%	8%	37	-1.4
✕Drew Jackson 2019 · AA	26	43→45	44→45	50→55	43	211/283/326	115	281	11	19	28%	7%	74	-0.6	198/276/308	110	289	11	20	33%	8%	68	-1.0	179/266/269	90	285	9	25	37%	9%	53	-1.0
✕Yusniel Díaz 2023 · AAA	26	41→50	42→45	46→50	42	202/263/297	94	285	10	12	32%	7%	59	-1.7	229/303/370	141	289	16	12	25%	10%	91	+0.6	241/315/397	156	292	17	8	23%	10%	99	+0.8
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	46→45	52→50	42	198/262/325	127	277	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	189/270/297	108	298	10	14	37%	9%	63	-1.4	173/262/275	101	278	9	12	37%	10%	52	-1.2
✕Jason Martinson 2015 · AA	26	40→41	44→45	57→50	39	198/258/309	111	294	12	17	35%	7%	60	-1.6	183/240/288	105	297	11	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	164/223/265	101	276	11	8	42%	6%	34	-2.5
✕Derrick Mitchell 2013 · AAA	26	42→45	45→50	49→55	41	211/259/332	120	265	13	17	26%	5%	65	-1.2	204/261/326	122	261	13	14	26%	7%	65	-1.2	189/251/313	124	239	13	15	26%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Travis Witherspoon 2015 · AA	26	41→47	46→45	53→55	43	209/269/337	127	277	14	23	29%	7%	70	-0.8	200/252/300	100	274	10	17	29%	6%	55	-1.9	169/211/228	59	227	7	19	28%	5%	20	-2.1
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	49→45	39	205/249/331	126	254	13	8	25%	4%	61	-1.5	209/262/319	110	263	11	9	24%	5%	63	-1.3	191/247/278	87	234	9	6	22%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	37→35	47→50	50→55	40	194/258/322	128	272	15	14	34%	7%	63	-1.3	219/295/348	129	314	13	16	32%	8%	83	+0.1	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	39	43→45	51→50	40	191/266/297	106	296	11	14	37%	8%	61	-1.5	204/277/306	102	299	9	14	32%	8%	67	-1.1	198/298/294	96	261	9	24	25%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Ryan Kreidler 2023 · MLB	25	41→44	46→45	52→55	44	206/284/334	128	293	14	17	33%	8%	76	-0.4	187/269/305	118	273	13	20	34%	9%	64	-1.3	182/264/296	114	262	10	19	32%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	185/248/306	121	260	15	19	34%	7%	56	-1.9	181/262/305	124	259	14	22	34%	8%	62	-1.4	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps