Jordy Barley — OGILVIE

Jordy BarleySS Harrisburg Senators

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs AA HR -9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .254 / .290

PA170

HR3

SB5

K%36

BB%8

MLB%2%

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.2peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-5M		$-20M	-$16M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	AZL Padres	195	186	25	6	3	2	7	94	2	7	2	.134	.174	.231	.406	.097	.256	48	4	.184	-1	-22	+1	+0	+2	+6	-1.4
2018	18	ROK	AZL Padres 2	218	201	27	6	1	3	9	85	5	12	7	.134	.191	.219	.410	.085	.207	39	4	.176	-7	-26	-0	+0	+2	+6	-1.9
2019	19	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	67	62	17	3	1	2	5	19	0	4	0	.274	.328	.452	.780	.177	.366	28	7	—	—	—	—	+0	+1	—	—
2021	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	420	385	66	11	2	7	27	175	6	45	11	.171	.237	.265	.502	.094	.288	42	6	.222	28	-34	+5	+0	+4	+12	-1.3
2022	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	319	303	44	8	2	1	14	131	0	34	4	.145	.183	.195	.378	.050	.249	41	4	.170	-12	-40	+5	+0	+3	+9	-2.3
2023	23	A+	2 teams	263	242	45	7	2	4	14	119	2	31	5	.186	.236	.281	.517	.095	.336	45	5	.221	28	-22	+4	+0	+3	+7	-0.7
2024	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	129	114	16	2	0	2	14	56	0	10	3	.140	.234	.211	.445	.070	.250	43	11	.194	7	-14	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	WSH	170	154	29	5	1	3	13	61	1	5	1	.188	.256	.292	.548	.104	.281	36	8	.250	49	-10	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 11%	WSH	262	237	45	8	1	5	21	91	2	8	2	.190	.262	.295	.557	.105	.283	35	8	.257	55	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2028	28	MLB 22%	WSH	314	283	54	10	1	6	25	107	3	9	2	.191	.264	.297	.560	.106	.283	34	8	.261	58	-15	+1	-1	+3	+9	-0.2
2029	29	MLB 34%	WSH	335	302	59	11	1	7	27	113	3	9	2	.195	.268	.308	.576	.113	.283	34	8	.262	59	-16	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.3
2030	30	MLB 44%	WSH	350	316	61	11	1	7	28	118	3	9	2	.193	.265	.301	.566	.108	.282	34	8	.261	58	-17	+1	-2	+4	+10	-0.4
2031	31	MLB 53%	WSH	341	307	59	11	1	7	28	117	3	7	1	.192	.266	.303	.569	.111	.280	34	8	.257	55	-17	+1	-3	+4	+10	-0.6
2032	32	MLB 71%	WSH	325	294	55	10	1	6	26	113	2	5	1	.187	.258	.289	.547	.102	.278	35	8	.252	51	-18	+1	-4	+3	+9	-0.8
2033	33	MLB 88%	WSH	298	270	49	9	1	5	24	105	2	4	0	.181	.253	.278	.531	.096	.277	35	8	.247	47	-18	+1	-4	+3	+8	-1.0
2034	34	MLB	WSH	256	232	41	7	1	4	20	93	2	2	0	.177	.248	.267	.515	.091	.275	36	8	.241	42	-17	+0	-5	+3	+7	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4262	3888	692	125	20	71	302	1597	36	201	43	.178	.244	.275	.519	.097	.277	37	7	.230	34	-316	+23	-20	+46	+121	-15.0
/ 162G	—			650	593	106	19	3	11	46	244	5	31	7	.179	.244	.277	.520	.098	.278	38	7	.230	34	-48	+3	-3	+7	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	AZL Padres	195	182	44	11	6	4	11	65	2	7	2	.242	.292	.434	.726	.192	.354	33	6	.318	102	+0	+1	—	—	+6	0.7
2018	18	ROK	AZL Padres 2	218	195	39	9	2	4	15	59	5	12	7	.200	.274	.328	.603	.128	.259	27	7	.271	65	-9	-0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2019	19	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	67	62	17	3	1	2	5	19	0	4	0	.274	.328	.452	.780	.177	.366	28	7	.344	122	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2021	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	420	364	83	14	2	10	48	125	6	45	11	.228	.328	.360	.688	.132	.316	30	11	.313	98	-1	+5	—	—	+12	1.6
2022	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	319	295	60	11	4	2	22	100	0	34	4	.203	.259	.288	.547	.085	.297	31	7	.248	48	-19	+5	—	—	+9	-0.5
2023	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	60	53	15	0	0	2	6	24	0	9	2	.283	.356	.396	.752	.113	.481	40	10	.335	115	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	203	180	41	9	2	3	17	67	2	22	3	.228	.302	.350	.652	.122	.336	33	8	.290	80	-5	+3	—	—	+6	0.4
2024	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	129	108	17	2	0	2	20	44	0	10	3	.157	.289	.231	.521	.074	.242	34	16	.252	51	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jordy Barley (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	.185/.254/.290	.104	.281	3	5	36%	8%	49	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA	26	39→33	44→45	54→55	37	.193/.254/.311	.118	.297	12	18	37%	6%	54	-1.4	.184/.251/.289	.105	.364	11	16	48%	7%	47	-1.9	.105/.185/.185	.080	.240	12	21	58%	8%	-9	-1.7
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	46→45	54→55	36	.202/.252/.327	.125	.285	14	17	34%	5%	57	-1.2	.190/.247/.303	.113	.282	13	22	36%	6%	49	-1.8	.172/.233/.265	.093	.260	10	26	36%	6%	31	-1.4
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	37	39→45	50→55	40	.183/.248/.270	.087	.268	6	14	32%	6%	40	-2.4	.194/.274/.324	.130	.304	14	16	38%	9%	67	-0.5	.179/.266/.318	.140	.290	17	19	41%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	38	43→45	51→50	40	.188/.263/.297	.108	.296	12	13	38%	8%	55	-1.4	.201/.277/.307	.106	.299	10	14	34%	8%	63	-0.9	.196/.298/.302	.106	.259	11	24	26%	10%	67	-0.1
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	34→29	46→45	49→50	44	.182/.254/.300	.117	.244	15	18	31%	8%	52	-1.6	.203/.279/.317	.114	.274	13	12	29%	9%	66	-0.6	.204/.281/.310	.106	.271	11	8	28%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Logan Warmoth 2022 · AAA	26	42→39	40→45	52→55	40	.191/.272/.285	.093	.320	8	17	39%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.277/.305	.106	.301	10	21	35%	8%	63	-0.9	.186/.268/.279	.093	.271	9	24	32%	9%	50	-1.0
✕Jason Martinson 2015 · AA	26	39→41	45→50	56→50	38	.196/.256/.311	.115	.296	13	16	37%	7%	55	-1.4	.187/.244/.302	.115	.301	12	11	40%	6%	47	-1.9	.168/.226/.281	.113	.280	13	8	43%	6%	31	-2.1
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→39	45	45→50	39	.191/.258/.315	.124	.278	12	11	34%	6%	57	-1.2	.189/.266/.294	.105	.293	8	13	36%	8%	56	-1.3	.164/.257/.268	.103	.258	7	16	36%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Brandon Hicks 2012 · MLB	26	39→40	46→50	49→50	38	.200/.257/.324	.124	.291	15	13	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.197/.264/.347	.150	.302	18	9	39%	7%	68	-0.5	.179/.257/.331	.153	.269	18	6	39%	8%	58	-0.8
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	40	40	50	38	.193/.248/.281	.088	.293	8	15	36%	6%	43	-2.2	.204/.258/.297	.093	.310	9	12	35%	6%	51	-1.7	.145/.202/.182	.037	.248	4	8	41%	6%	-4	-1.0
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	45→50	48→50	37	.186/.248/.306	.120	.290	14	12	39%	7%	50	-1.7	.185/.245/.287	.102	.286	9	10	36%	7%	43	-2.2	.153/.212/.244	.092	.224	3	6	32%	7%	14	-1.0
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	47→50	39	.184/.244/.304	.120	.244	14	10	30%	6%	48	-1.9	.203/.249/.336	.133	.277	16	10	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.205/.254/.334	.129	.270	15	10	29%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→55	36	.179/.243/.270	.091	.285	8	11	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.186/.268/.305	.119	.285	12	20	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→40	45	54→50	42	.196/.270/.318	.122	.273	13	15	32%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.258/.302	.109	.284	11	12	34%	7%	53	-1.5	.153/.220/.254	.100	.233	9	9	36%	7%	22	-1.3
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	43→40	48→50	40	.177/.276/.289	.112	.295	10	15	40%	8%	59	-1.1	.186/.277/.284	.098	.306	8	15	38%	8%	58	-1.2	.151/.251/.216	.064	.271	3	16	40%	8%	27	-1.6
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	.177/.239/.273	.095	.270	8	7	36%	7%	37	-2.6	.200/.266/.312	.112	.290	11	7	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.191/.265/.302	.110	.270	10	5	31%	8%	52	-0.8
✕Michael O'Neill 2018 · AA	26	41→40	43→45	52→55	36	.205/.252/.312	.108	.296	10	18	34%	5%	53	-1.5	.211/.261/.312	.101	.314	10	21	34%	5%	56	-1.3	.207/.257/.292	.085	.310	9	23	35%	5%	46	-1.5
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	40→43	44→45	48→50	36	.203/.250/.319	.116	.288	12	9	33%	5%	53	-1.5	.216/.261/.332	.116	.297	11	10	30%	5%	62	-0.9	.216/.262/.331	.115	.289	11	10	28%	5%	58	-0.8
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	48→45	51→50	42	.198/.263/.333	.135	.282	16	12	35%	8%	63	-0.8	.187/.269/.297	.110	.295	11	14	37%	9%	57	-1.2	.172/.261/.270	.098	.275	9	12	38%	10%	44	-1.2
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA	25	38→35	44→45	56→60	40	.182/.266/.298	.116	.308	12	23	41%	8%	57	-1.2	.188/.270/.297	.109	.289	10	29	36%	8%	58	-1.2	.175/.260/.280	.105	.257	10	34	34%	8%	47	-0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)