Jordy Barley — OGILVIE

Jordy BarleySS Harrisburg Senators

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .271 / .314

PA170

HR3

SB5

K%30

BB%8

ISO111

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	AZL Padres	—	195	186	25	6	3	2	7	94	2	7	2	134	174	231	406	97	256	48	4	184	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK	AZL Padres	—	195	182	44	11	6	4	11	65	2	7	2	242	292	434	726	192	354	33	6	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	AZL Padres 2	—	218	201	27	6	1	3	9	85	5	12	7	134	191	219	410	85	207	39	4	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	AZL Padres 2	—	218	195	39	9	2	4	15	59	5	12	7	200	274	328	603	128	259	27	7	271	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	67	62	17	3	1	2	5	19	0	4	0	274	328	452	780	177	366	28	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	67	62	17	3	1	2	5	19	0	4	0	274	328	452	780	177	366	28	7	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	420	386	63	11	2	5	26	182	6	45	11	163	227	241	468	78	289	43	6	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	420	364	83	14	2	10	48	125	6	45	11	228	328	360	688	132	316	30	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	319	301	45	8	2	1	16	135	0	34	4	150	192	199	392	50	263	42	5	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	319	295	60	11	4	2	22	100	0	34	4	203	259	288	547	85	297	31	7	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	2 teams	—	263	240	46	8	2	4	16	125	2	31	5	192	248	292	540	100	368	48	6	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	2 teams	—	263	233	56	9	2	5	23	91	2	31	5	240	314	361	674	120	364	35	9	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	129	115	15	2	0	2	13	56	0	10	3	130	219	200	419	70	228	43	10	190	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	129	108	17	2	0	2	20	44	0	10	3	157	289	231	521	74	242	34	16	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	WSH	—	170	154	32	6	1	3	13	50	1	5	1	208	274	318	592	110	279	29	8	267	62	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	WSH	27%	262	237	49	9	1	5	21	76	2	7	2	207	277	316	593	110	280	29	8	273	67	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2028	28	MLB	WSH	40%	314	283	59	11	1	6	25	90	3	8	2	208	280	318	598	110	281	29	8	276	69	-11	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.1
2029	29	MLB	WSH	45%	335	302	64	12	2	7	27	96	3	8	2	212	283	334	618	123	281	29	8	277	70	-11	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.1
2030	30	MLB	WSH	48%	350	315	67	13	2	7	29	100	3	8	2	213	285	333	619	121	280	29	8	275	69	-12	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.0
2027	27	MLB	WSH	27%	70	63	12	2	0	1	6	20	1	2	0	190	271	270	541	79	280	29	9	267	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	28	MLB	WSH	40%	125	113	24	4	1	3	10	36	1	3	1	212	282	345	627	133	281	29	8	270	65	-5	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	29	MLB	WSH	45%	150	136	28	5	1	3	12	43	1	4	1	206	275	324	599	118	281	29	8	270	65	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.0
2030	30	MLB	WSH	48%	166	150	31	6	1	3	14	48	1	4	1	207	279	320	599	113	280	29	8	269	64	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	511	462	95	17	3	10	42	147	4	13	3	206	278	320	598	115	276	29	8	269	64	-21	+1	-2	+5	+14	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	122	22	4	13	53	187	5	17	4	207	279	325	603	117	278	29	8	269	64	-26	+2	-2	+7	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	3042	2782	509	95	18	47	207	1108	27	179	41	183	246	281	527	98	281	36	7	229	34	-228	+19	-4	+33	+86	-9.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	109	20	4	10	44	237	6	38	9	184	247	281	528	98	282	36	7	229	34	-49	+4	-1	+7	+18	-2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	AZL Padres	—	195	182	44	11	6	4	11	65	2	7	2	242	292	434	726	192	354	33	6	318	102	+0	+1	—	—	+6	0.7
2018	18	ROK	AZL Padres 2	—	218	195	39	9	2	4	15	59	5	12	7	200	274	328	603	128	259	27	7	271	65	-9	-0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2019	19	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	67	62	17	3	1	2	5	19	0	4	0	274	328	452	780	177	366	28	7	344	122	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2021	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	420	364	83	14	2	10	48	125	6	45	11	228	328	360	688	132	316	30	11	313	98	-1	+5	—	—	+12	1.6
2022	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	319	295	60	11	4	2	22	100	0	34	4	203	259	288	547	85	297	31	7	248	48	-19	+5	—	—	+9	-0.5
2023	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	60	53	15	0	0	2	6	24	0	9	2	283	356	396	752	113	481	40	10	335	115	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	203	180	41	9	2	3	17	67	2	22	3	228	302	350	652	122	336	33	8	290	80	-5	+3	—	—	+6	0.4
2024	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	129	108	17	2	0	2	20	44	0	10	3	157	289	231	521	74	242	34	16	252	51	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	515	10	13	211	279	329	+6	+6	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	14	17	211	279	329	+7.1	+7.7	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jordy Barley (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	203/271/314	110	279	3	5	30%	8%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Jackson 2019 · AA	26	41→43	43→45	50→55	42	206/275/317	112	280	11	19	29%	6%	65	-0.7	195/273/306	111	288	11	20	34%	8%	61	-1.0	178/266/272	94	285	10	25	38%	9%	47	-0.9
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	39→43	47→50	51→50	41	200/265/338	138	281	14	10	33%	7%	66	-0.6	219/284/347	128	316	13	10	33%	8%	76	+0.0	220/284/337	117	317	11	9	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Tony Thomas 2012 · AAA	26	40→46	45→50	53→55	38	202/250/331	129	273	12	16	30%	5%	57	-1.2	200/246/330	130	284	12	17	33%	5%	55	-1.4	195/240/329	134	281	12	16	34%	5%	49	-1.3
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	37→41	45→50	51→50	38	192/249/314	122	273	13	15	34%	6%	53	-1.5	201/262/346	145	307	18	11	38%	7%	67	-0.5	192/257/340	148	302	19	10	41%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→41	44→45	54→50	40	191/262/305	114	272	13	15	33%	7%	56	-1.3	193/257/300	107	289	10	12	35%	7%	53	-1.5	149/216/240	91	232	8	9	38%	7%	17	-1.5
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	46→45	54→55	36	201/251/328	127	286	14	18	34%	5%	57	-1.2	188/246/300	112	281	12	22	36%	6%	48	-1.9	163/230/248	84	244	7	29	34%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Mycal Jones 2013 · AA	26	41→45	41→45	49→55	42	202/260/302	100	267	8	18	27%	6%	53	-1.5	215/271/304	89	279	6	22	24%	6%	59	-1.1	219/277/306	87	283	6	24	24%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Yusniel Díaz 2023 · AAA	26	42→50	43→45	46→50	41	209/266/311	102	293	12	12	32%	7%	59	-1.1	234/305/382	148	295	17	12	25%	9%	94	+1.3	246/322/413	168	301	19	8	24%	10%	105	+1.4
✕Cody Puckett 2013 · AAA	26	37→39	47→50	50	39	195/247/328	133	260	15	11	31%	6%	55	-1.4	212/254/352	140	250	18	10	23%	5%	65	-0.7	208/243/357	149	220	23	8	19%	4%	58	-0.8
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→40	45→50	54→55	44	194/276/317	123	270	12	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/287/354	145	287	18	23	32%	8%	79	+0.3	198/279/346	148	268	20	26	32%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Ryan Klosterman 2008 · AA	26	41→45	43→45	55	43	203/267/314	111	263	10	20	26%	6%	60	-1.0	210/273/315	105	278	9	15	26%	7%	63	-0.9	206/273/310	105	273	10	14	27%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	42	195/273/320	125	283	13	16	34%	8%	65	-0.7	201/277/315	114	267	11	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	164/253/261	97	214	9	20	27%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Derrick Mitchell 2013 · AAA	26	43→47	45→50	49→55	41	216/263/339	123	271	13	17	26%	5%	65	-0.7	206/261/336	130	265	14	14	27%	7%	63	-0.8	191/251/327	136	244	15	15	28%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	38→47	44→45	49→50	40	196/248/301	105	255	13	12	28%	6%	48	-1.9	209/272/329	120	259	14	13	24%	7%	66	-0.6	205/273/329	124	247	15	14	23%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	47→40	48→55	41	209/268/345	136	287	15	14	32%	7%	69	-0.4	232/305/339	107	304	9	27	25%	8%	82	+0.5	243/325/332	89	317	5	48	23%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Travis Witherspoon 2015 · AA	26	41→47	47→50	53→55	42	207/266/338	131	282	15	23	31%	7%	66	-0.6	198/252/297	99	279	10	17	31%	6%	49	-1.8	168/212/229	61	232	7	19	30%	5%	11	-2.1
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA	27	40→48	44→45	50	42	201/261/318	117	257	11	13	26%	6%	59	-1.1	210/280/367	157	289	18	16	33%	6%	80	+0.4	173/256/351	178	230	22	20	35%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Bubba Starling 2019 · AAA	26	39→46	45	48→50	38	202/248/325	124	270	13	10	30%	5%	55	-1.4	222/264/345	123	299	14	11	29%	5%	66	-0.6	221/258/345	124	289	15	11	29%	5%	61	-0.5