Cole Roederer — OGILVIE

Cole RoedererOF Iowa Cubs

Age 26 L/L 5'9" / 180 lbs AAA BB +5%HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .268 / .307

PA250

HR5

SB5

K%35

BB%9

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

21→21

PWR

37→37

SPD

49→49

EYE

55→55

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.5peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-12M		$-25M	-$13M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	161	149	29	3	3	4	11	53	0	13	4	.195	.250	.336	.586	.141	.269	33	7	.240	42	-11	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2019	19	A	South Bend Cubs	448	399	69	14	2	7	37	146	5	16	5	.173	.252	.271	.522	.098	.245	33	8	.236	39	-31	+1	+0	-3	+13	-2.0
2021	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	84	73	14	4	0	0	9	27	1	4	1	.192	.289	.247	.536	.055	.298	32	11	.244	45	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2022	22	AA	4 teams	452	415	83	18	1	12	25	157	5	10	4	.200	.254	.335	.589	.135	.283	35	6	.259	56	-22	+0	+0	-3	+13	-1.2
2023	23	AA	2 teams	372	333	69	8	2	11	29	133	4	10	2	.207	.279	.342	.621	.135	.297	36	8	.271	66	-14	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.5
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	369	326	47	14	1	5	35	136	6	7	3	.144	.240	.239	.479	.095	.225	37	9	.219	26	-31	+0	+0	-2	+10	-2.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	CHC	250	223	42	9	1	5	22	89	3	5	1	.188	.270	.305	.575	.117	.279	36	9	.264	60	-11	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 25%	CHC	336	299	58	12	1	8	30	115	4	6	2	.194	.276	.321	.597	.127	.281	34	9	.270	65	-13	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.6
2028	28	MLB 37%	CHC	364	324	63	13	1	8	33	122	4	6	2	.194	.277	.315	.592	.120	.282	34	9	.273	67	-14	+0	-1	-2	+10	-0.6
2029	29	MLB 47%	CHC	373	332	65	13	1	9	34	124	4	5	1	.196	.278	.322	.601	.127	.282	33	9	.274	67	-14	+1	-1	-2	+11	-0.6
2030	30	MLB 55%	CHC	378	337	66	13	1	9	34	126	4	5	1	.196	.277	.320	.598	.125	.280	33	9	.272	66	-14	+1	-2	-2	+11	-0.8
2031	31	MLB 73%	CHC	369	329	63	13	1	8	33	125	4	3	0	.191	.273	.310	.583	.119	.279	34	9	.268	63	-15	+1	-3	-2	+10	-0.9
2032	32	MLB 90%	CHC	354	315	59	12	1	7	32	121	4	2	0	.187	.271	.298	.569	.111	.277	34	9	.263	60	-16	+0	-4	-2	+10	-1.2
2033	33	MLB	CHC	326	291	54	11	1	6	29	114	3	1	0	.186	.266	.292	.558	.107	.275	35	9	.258	56	-16	+0	-4	-2	+9	-1.3
2034	34	MLB	CHC	284	254	46	9	1	5	25	102	3	0	0	.181	.262	.283	.546	.102	.273	36	9	.252	51	-16	+0	-5	-2	+8	-1.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4920	4399	827	166	18	104	418	1690	54	93	26	.188	.267	.305	.572	.117	.274	34	8	.259	56	-244	+8	-20	-30	+139	-14.9
/ 162G	—			650	581	109	22	2	14	55	223	7	12	3	.188	.266	.305	.570	.117	.272	34	8	.259	56	-32	+1	-3	-4	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	161	142	39	4	4	5	18	37	0	13	4	.275	.356	.465	.821	.190	.337	23	11	.361	134	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2019	19	A	South Bend Cubs	448	384	86	19	4	9	52	112	5	16	5	.224	.324	.365	.689	.141	.285	25	12	.309	95	-3	+1	—	—	+13	1.1
2021	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	84	70	16	5	0	0	12	20	1	4	1	.229	.349	.300	.649	.071	.314	24	14	.303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	205	181	44	7	0	8	17	55	3	3	4	.243	.318	.414	.733	.171	.298	27	8	.322	104	+1	-1	—	—	+6	0.6
2022	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	66	61	12	5	1	1	4	19	0	3	0	.197	.246	.361	.607	.164	.262	29	6	.264	60	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2022	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	20	15	7	2	0	0	4	2	0	2	0	.467	.579	.600	1.179	.133	.500	10	20	.494	236	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	22	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	161	137	30	7	0	4	21	29	2	2	0	.219	.331	.358	.689	.139	.250	18	13	.314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2023	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	37	31	9	1	1	0	5	10	0	2	0	.290	.389	.387	.776	.097	.409	27	14	.344	121	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	335	286	70	9	1	13	40	94	4	8	2	.245	.345	.420	.765	.175	.310	28	12	.339	118	+7	+1	—	—	+9	1.7
2024	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	188	162	35	10	0	5	22	53	3	4	0	.216	.321	.370	.691	.154	.286	28	12	.313	98	-0	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	181	150	23	9	1	1	27	54	3	3	3	.153	.294	.247	.541	.093	.229	30	15	.261	58	-9	-1	—	—	+5	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cole Roederer (OGILVIE)	26	21	37	49	55	.187/.268/.307	.120	.279	5	5	35%	9%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	39	43→45	48→50	44	.190/.284/.298	.108	.293	11	10	36%	9%	65	-0.7	.190/.283/.309	.119	.284	13	11	35%	10%	66	-0.6	.126/.240/.244	.118	.172	15	9	35%	12%	32	-1.0
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→55	36	.179/.243/.270	.091	.285	8	11	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.186/.268/.305	.119	.285	12	20	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	44→50	47→55	38	.183/.247/.298	.115	.269	11	13	35%	6%	48	-1.9	.201/.262/.346	.145	.292	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	.199/.260/.339	.140	.286	17	24	35%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	38→42	43→45	47→50	39	.187/.250/.294	.107	.292	11	6	38%	7%	48	-1.9	.201/.285/.328	.127	.324	14	9	38%	10%	72	-0.2	.191/.281/.316	.125	.300	14	9	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	41	44→45	45→55	45	.202/.287/.319	.117	.301	13	8	35%	9%	71	-0.3	.224/.301/.331	.107	.295	10	18	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.230/.306/.325	.095	.290	9	25	22%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA	26	40→41	42→45	49→50	41	.190/.265/.290	.099	.310	9	8	39%	8%	53	-1.5	.191/.282/.312	.121	.320	14	13	41%	10%	67	-0.5	.176/.277/.309	.133	.286	16	14	41%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	44→45	51→50	42	.188/.261/.308	.120	.276	12	10	35%	8%	56	-1.3	.189/.254/.290	.101	.308	7	9	38%	7%	48	-1.9	.160/.216/.252	.092	.300	0	4	44%	7%	17	-0.7
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	40→37	46→45	48→45	44	.205/.275/.336	.132	.274	14	11	30%	8%	69	-0.4	.212/.284/.329	.117	.274	12	7	26%	8%	71	-0.3	.192/.282/.265	.072	.245	6	0	22%	10%	51	-0.6
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→40	45	54→50	42	.196/.270/.318	.122	.273	13	15	32%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.258/.302	.109	.284	11	12	34%	7%	53	-1.5	.153/.220/.254	.100	.233	9	9	36%	7%	22	-1.3
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	38→35	42→45	43→30	40	.191/.259/.288	.097	.275	10	2	33%	7%	50	-1.7	.184/.241/.291	.107	.277	11	4	36%	6%	43	-2.2	.158/.206/.269	.111	.240	13	1	39%	5%	20	-2.8
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	38→31	39→40	43→50	39	.185/.242/.267	.083	.288	7	7	37%	7%	37	-2.7	.221/.294/.329	.108	.299	11	19	28%	8%	76	+0.0	.239/.321/.353	.114	.297	13	25	23%	9%	89	+0.6
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	38	42→45	43→45	44	.190/.273/.285	.095	.272	10	5	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.226/.321/.370	.144	.293	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	.221/.324/.370	.149	.286	16	11	27%	12%	97	+0.8
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	47→40	48→55	41	.209/.268/.341	.133	.288	15	14	32%	7%	68	-0.5	.231/.302/.338	.107	.302	9	28	25%	8%	81	+0.4	.241/.322/.332	.091	.312	6	48	22%	9%	85	+0.3
✕Ross Adolph 2022 · AA	25	41→33	44→45	44→50	39	.192/.273/.308	.117	.318	12	8	40%	8%	62	-0.9	.208/.312/.331	.123	.364	12	11	42%	10%	85	+0.7	.191/.333/.297	.106	.358	9	16	41%	13%	84	+0.3
✕Patrick Dorrian 2022 · AAA	26	39→37	48→55	48→45	41	.200/.265/.342	.141	.295	16	6	36%	8%	66	-0.6	.196/.262/.348	.152	.292	19	6	37%	8%	67	-0.5	.176/.243/.318	.142	.254	19	5	37%	7%	48	-1.1
✕Will Toffey 2021 · AA	26	43	43→45	46→50	49	.208/.295/.324	.116	.301	10	7	32%	10%	75	-0.0	.202/.286/.331	.129	.342	13	12	41%	9%	73	-0.1	.185/.274/.320	.135	.321	13	13	43%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Drew Vettleson 2017 · AA	26	37→47	44→45	49→50	33	.189/.226/.300	.111	.290	12	10	38%	5%	38	-2.6	.193/.233/.301	.108	.315	12	13	41%	5%	42	-2.3	.136/.157/.214	.079	.232	12	21	47%	2%	-17	-1.1
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA	26	41→42	47→45	45→40	41	.208/.272/.337	.129	.274	15	5	29%	6%	69	-0.4	.214/.278/.342	.128	.278	13	8	27%	6%	72	-0.2	.177/.265/.331	.155	.216	16	6	26%	8%	60	-0.2
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→30	47→50	50	44	.181/.258/.318	.137	.259	15	13	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.189/.267/.321	.132	.273	16	12	35%	9%	63	-0.9	.160/.249/.296	.136	.218	19	12	36%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→39	45	45→50	39	.191/.258/.315	.124	.278	12	11	34%	6%	57	-1.2	.189/.266/.294	.105	.293	8	13	36%	8%	56	-1.3	.164/.257/.268	.103	.258	7	16	36%	9%	46	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)