Cole Roederer — OGILVIE

Cole RoedererOF Iowa Cubs

Age 26 L/L 5'9" / 180 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .268 / .290

PA250

HR4

K%33

BB%9

ISO108

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	161	149	29	3	3	4	11	53	0	13	4	195	250	336	586	141	269	33	7	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	161	142	39	4	4	5	18	37	0	13	4	275	356	465	821	190	337	23	11	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	South Bend Cubs	—	448	400	67	13	2	8	36	163	5	16	5	168	245	270	515	103	250	36	8	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	South Bend Cubs	—	448	384	86	19	4	9	52	112	5	16	5	224	324	365	689	141	285	25	12	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	84	73	14	4	0	0	9	26	1	4	1	192	289	247	536	55	292	31	11	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	84	70	16	5	0	0	12	20	1	4	1	229	349	300	649	71	314	24	14	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	4 teams	—	452	414	82	18	1	11	26	165	5	10	4	198	254	326	580	128	292	37	6	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	4 teams	—	452	394	93	21	1	13	46	105	5	10	4	236	324	393	717	157	285	23	10	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	2 teams	—	372	334	70	8	2	10	28	131	4	10	2	210	279	335	614	126	302	35	8	270	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	2 teams	—	372	317	79	10	2	13	45	104	4	10	2	249	350	416	766	167	320	28	12	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	369	324	46	14	1	5	37	137	6	7	3	142	243	238	480	96	223	37	10	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	369	312	58	19	1	6	49	107	6	7	3	186	308	311	619	125	259	29	13	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	CHC	—	250	222	41	9	1	4	23	83	3	4	1	185	270	288	558	104	268	33	9	259	56	-12	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	CHC	31%	336	298	56	12	1	6	31	108	4	6	2	188	273	295	569	107	271	32	9	265	61	-15	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.7
2027	27	MLB	CHC	31%	104	92	17	4	0	2	10	33	1	2	1	185	272	293	565	109	272	32	10	257	55	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	104	92	17	4	0	2	10	33	1	2	1	185	272	293	565	109	259	32	10	257	55	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	106	25	0	12	62	206	6	12	6	184	270	290	561	106	259	32	10	257	55	-33	+0	+0	-4	+18	-1.9
Career	—			—	2472	2214	405	81	11	48	201	866	28	70	22	183	260	294	554	112	269	35	8	249	48	-144	+5	+0	-15	+70	-8.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	107	21	3	13	53	228	7	18	6	184	260	297	557	113	270	35	8	249	48	-38	+1	+0	-4	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	161	142	39	4	4	5	18	37	0	13	4	275	356	465	821	190	337	23	11	361	134	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2019	19	A	South Bend Cubs	—	448	384	86	19	4	9	52	112	5	16	5	224	324	365	689	141	285	25	12	309	95	-3	+1	—	—	+13	1.1
2021	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	84	70	16	5	0	0	12	20	1	4	1	229	349	300	649	71	314	24	14	303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	205	181	44	7	0	8	17	55	3	3	4	243	318	414	733	171	298	27	8	322	104	+1	-1	—	—	+6	0.6
2022	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	66	61	12	5	1	1	4	19	0	3	0	197	246	361	607	164	262	29	6	264	60	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2022	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	20	15	7	2	0	0	4	2	0	2	0	467	579	600	1.179	133	500	10	20	494	236	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	22	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	161	137	30	7	0	4	21	29	2	2	0	219	331	358	689	139	250	18	13	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2023	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	37	31	9	1	1	0	5	10	0	2	0	290	389	387	776	97	409	27	14	344	121	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	335	286	70	9	1	13	40	94	4	8	2	245	345	420	765	175	310	28	12	339	118	+7	+1	—	—	+9	1.7
2024	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	188	162	35	10	0	5	22	53	3	4	0	216	321	370	691	154	286	28	12	313	98	-0	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	181	150	23	9	1	1	27	54	3	3	3	153	294	247	541	93	229	30	15	261	58	-9	-1	—	—	+5	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cole Roederer (OGILVIE)	26	20	36	49	56	183/268/290	107	268	4	4	33%	9%	56	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	39	43→45	48→50	44	192/283/299	108	293	11	10	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/282/315	121	288	13	11	34%	9%	68	-0.5	127/238/245	118	175	14	9	35%	11%	31	-1.0
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→60	36	176/240/269	93	284	8	11	39%	6%	37	-2.6	186/269/308	122	285	12	21	36%	9%	60	-1.0	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→37	44→50	47→55	38	184/248/300	115	271	12	13	35%	6%	49	-1.8	201/261/346	145	293	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	43→45	51→50	42	184/258/300	116	276	11	10	36%	8%	53	-1.5	191/255/292	101	310	7	9	38%	7%	49	-1.8	158/216/249	91	298	0	4	44%	7%	17	-0.7
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	39→41	43→45	47→50	39	191/254/300	109	301	11	6	39%	7%	51	-1.7	203/285/337	134	323	15	9	38%	10%	74	-0.1	193/282/326	133	300	16	9	38%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	37→31	40	43→50	37	182/237/266	85	290	8	8	38%	7%	34	-2.8	216/287/322	106	294	11	19	28%	8%	70	-0.3	228/308/337	109	285	13	25	23%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA	26	40	41→45	49→50	40	187/263/280	92	313	9	8	40%	8%	50	-1.7	191/281/309	118	321	13	13	41%	10%	66	-0.6	177/276/304	128	288	15	14	40%	11%	59	-0.6
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	37→34	41→40	48→50	40	186/251/287	100	259	9	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	205/270/324	119	291	11	14	32%	7%	64	-0.8	182/254/327	145	270	14	20	36%	6%	54	-0.3
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	41	43→45	45→55	45	199/286/310	111	301	11	8	35%	9%	68	-0.5	224/301/327	103	295	10	18	26%	8%	78	+0.2	228/306/322	93	290	9	25	23%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA	26	35	45	47→30	43	183/250/307	124	260	13	4	34%	8%	51	-1.7	187/258/294	107	293	10	5	37%	8%	51	-1.7	118/199/170	52	253	3	0	50%	9%	-6	-1.3
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	38→36	40→50	42→30	40	186/254/273	87	268	8	2	32%	6%	44	-2.1	190/242/301	111	279	11	4	34%	5%	46	-2.0	167/210/286	119	245	13	1	36%	4%	27	-2.5
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→41	44→45	54→50	40	191/262/305	114	272	13	15	33%	7%	56	-1.3	193/257/300	107	289	10	12	35%	7%	53	-1.5	149/216/240	91	232	8	9	38%	7%	17	-1.5
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	36	39→50	50→55	40	177/243/264	88	262	6	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	198/276/337	139	318	16	16	40%	8%	71	-0.3	186/272/335	149	306	19	19	42%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→29	46→50	50	43	180/253/311	131	257	14	12	35%	8%	54	-1.4	199/273/346	147	278	18	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	173/257/338	165	221	24	12	34%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	39	42→45	45	42	196/255/296	101	271	9	9	30%	7%	50	-1.7	183/269/319	136	279	17	6	38%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40→45	44→45	42	186/257/276	90	290	8	6	36%	8%	46	-2.0	215/267/333	118	308	11	6	32%	6%	65	-0.7	227/273/366	140	303	15	2	29%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Matt Winaker 2022 · AA	26	43→38	38→45	45	47	202/293/283	81	284	5	6	28%	8%	65	-0.7	197/285/295	98	268	9	7	28%	8%	64	-0.8	142/246/227	85	189	9	4	28%	8%	30	-1.3
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	39→35	40	54→55	39	192/243/281	89	271	8	17	31%	6%	40	-2.4	229/282/370	141	281	18	11	25%	6%	81	+0.4	236/283/396	160	253	27	6	20%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Wes Darvill 2018 · AA	26	41→38	41→40	49→45	45	202/263/298	95	262	9	10	26%	7%	53	-1.5	205/253/295	90	296	8	7	32%	6%	49	-1.8	169/209/221	52	247	5	0	33%	5%	7	-1.3
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8