Jose D. HernandezSS
Ontario Tower Buzzers
Age 23
R/R
6'1" / 145 lbs
A
HR +15%K -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.1 · 2030
wRC+†70
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .280 / .322
PA79
HR1
K%28
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.1peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.1 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.0 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.5 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.6M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $12M | $28M | +$15M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 162 | 138 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 44 | 5 | 6 | 6 | .174 | .287 | .217 | .505 | .043 | .250 | 27 | 10 | .229 | 33 | -12 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 75 | 65 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .169 | .250 | .308 | .558 | .138 | .222 | 29 | 8 | .233 | 37 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | 162 | 139 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 9 | 5 | 2 | .201 | .297 | .345 | .643 | .144 | .250 | 24 | 6 | .270 | 65 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 99 | 90 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .211 | .283 | .356 | .638 | .144 | .286 | 31 | 4 | .274 | 68 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | 22 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .389 | .476 | .444 | .921 | .056 | .467 | 18 | 9 | — | — | — | — | +0 | +0 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Ontario Tower Buzzers | 44 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .175 | .250 | .475 | .725 | .300 | .190 | 36 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -1 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAD | 35 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .188 | .257 | .312 | .570 | .125 | .278 | 29 | 9 | .276 | 69 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | LAD | 79 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .181 | .253 | .403 | .656 | .222 | .214 | 33 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -3 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | LAD | 144 | 129 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .225 | .301 | .372 | .673 | .147 | .272 | 24 | 8 | .293 | 82 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | LAD | 250 | 224 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 60 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .228 | .302 | .379 | .682 | .152 | .274 | 24 | 8 | .300 | 88 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 42% | LAD | 325 | 290 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 78 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .228 | .304 | .376 | .680 | .148 | .276 | 24 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | LAD | 366 | 327 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 88 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .229 | .306 | .382 | .688 | .153 | .276 | 24 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | LAD | 390 | 348 | 79 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 95 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .227 | .305 | .379 | .684 | .152 | .276 | 24 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | LAD | 398 | 355 | 80 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 98 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .225 | .304 | .375 | .678 | .149 | .275 | 25 | 9 | .301 | 89 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | LAD | 400 | 357 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 99 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .218 | .297 | .359 | .656 | .140 | .274 | 25 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | LAD | 393 | 351 | 76 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 99 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .217 | .295 | .353 | .648 | .137 | .272 | 25 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -7 | +0 | -3 | +4 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 378 | 337 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 98 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .293 | .344 | .638 | .131 | .271 | 26 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 351 | 313 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 93 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .211 | .290 | .339 | .629 | .128 | .269 | 26 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 309 | 276 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 84 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .207 | .284 | .333 | .618 | .127 | .267 | 27 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -10 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +9 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4259 | 3789 | 824 | 154 | 28 | 104 | 369 | 1077 | 61 | 47 | 22 | .217 | .297 | .355 | .652 | .138 | .273 | 25 | 9 | .289 | 79 | -100 | +1 | -20 | +46 | +121 | 4.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 578 | 126 | 24 | 4 | 16 | 56 | 164 | 9 | 7 | 3 | .218 | .297 | .356 | .653 | .138 | .274 | 25 | 9 | .289 | 79 | -15 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 162 | 124 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 6 | .242 | .412 | .298 | .711 | .056 | .309 | 18 | 19 | .340 | 118 | +3 | -1 | — | — | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 75 | 62 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .226 | .333 | .387 | .720 | .161 | .271 | 21 | 12 | .313 | 98 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | 162 | 131 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 2 | .290 | .411 | .534 | .946 | .244 | .314 | 16 | 11 | .407 | 169 | +13 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.8 |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 99 | 86 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .302 | .394 | .512 | .906 | .209 | .361 | 21 | 8 | .402 | 166 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | 22 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .389 | .476 | .444 | .921 | .056 | .467 | 18 | 9 | .402 | 166 | +2 | -1 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jose D. Hernandez (OGILVIE) | 23 | — | — | — | — | .213/.280/.322 | .109 | .286 | 1 | 1 | 28% | 7% | 68 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A |
23 | 41→40 | 44→55 | 47→45 | 42 | .205/.269/.327 | .122 | .280 | 11 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .196/.267/.342 | .146 | .271 | 17 | 7 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.283/.412 | .206 | .265 | 29 | 1 | 33% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕John Hester 2007 · A |
23 | 42 | 43→55 | 50 | 41 | .206/.271/.327 | .122 | .299 | 10 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .224/.267/.365 | .141 | .298 | 14 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .249/.292/.416 | .167 | .322 | 15 | 10 | 27% | 5% | 94 | +0.7 |
|
●Eduardo Valencia 2023 · A |
23 | 44→54 | 42→50 | 49→30 | 45 | .215/.282/.315 | .100 | .276 | 10 | 5 | 25% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .222/.280/.345 | .123 | .283 | 14 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .250/.305/.416 | .166 | .304 | 22 | 0 | 25% | 6% | 100 | +1.0 |
|
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A |
24 | 39→46 | 46→45 | 49→50 | 44 | .197/.277/.329 | .131 | .260 | 14 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .215/.289/.346 | .131 | .275 | 13 | 9 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .223/.298/.355 | .132 | .277 | 12 | 8 | 23% | 7% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A |
22 | 45→48 | 42→50 | 51→50 | 43 | .218/.284/.328 | .110 | .300 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.275/.332 | .128 | .317 | 14 | 12 | 38% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .220/.308/.345 | .126 | .328 | 13 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA |
23 | 42 | 44→50 | 49→40 | 49 | .210/.296/.330 | .120 | .268 | 12 | 7 | 25% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .225/.309/.364 | .139 | .303 | 15 | 5 | 29% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .233/.304/.378 | .146 | .278 | 16 | 1 | 22% | 7% | 91 | +0.5 |
|
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A |
23 | 46→43 | 45→50 | 49→40 | 44 | .228/.280/.350 | .122 | .284 | 12 | 8 | 24% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .216/.283/.365 | .149 | .274 | 20 | 4 | 28% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .212/.282/.359 | .148 | .263 | 20 | 2 | 27% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A |
21 | 43→45 | 45→55 | 50 | 43 | .213/.273/.339 | .126 | .289 | 12 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .229/.292/.389 | .160 | .276 | 19 | 13 | 24% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .230/.293/.405 | .176 | .264 | 22 | 16 | 22% | 7% | 92 | +1.1 |
|
✕P.J. Higgins 2016 · A |
23 | 44→54 | 41→45 | 54→40 | 42 | .215/.265/.321 | .106 | .286 | 8 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .230/.300/.300 | .070 | .287 | 3 | 4 | 19% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .241/.304/.366 | .126 | .307 | 13 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 87 | +0.5 |
|
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A |
24 | 44 | 45 | 48→50 | 42 | .218/.280/.341 | .124 | .281 | 13 | 11 | 27% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .212/.267/.334 | .122 | .269 | 14 | 7 | 26% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .195/.248/.310 | .116 | .241 | 15 | 5 | 25% | 5% | 48 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jacob Stallings 2014 · A |
24 | 40→50 | 42→45 | 46→40 | 48 | .195/.285/.304 | .108 | .271 | 8 | 5 | 29% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .207/.266/.299 | .092 | .289 | 7 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .251/.331/.384 | .134 | .303 | 14 | 0 | 21% | 10% | 98 | +0.8 |
|
✕Brett Harris 2022 · A |
24 | 45→50 | 45 | 49→50 | 43 | .220/.290/.339 | .119 | .296 | 12 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .239/.311/.381 | .142 | .289 | 16 | 10 | 22% | 8% | 96 | +1.5 | .236/.316/.369 | .133 | .284 | 15 | 9 | 22% | 8% | 91 | +0.9 |
|
✕Taylor Featherston 2013 · A |
23 | 45 | 45→50 | 51→50 | 43 | .223/.284/.349 | .126 | .295 | 12 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.268/.364 | .142 | .290 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .212/.256/.355 | .143 | .273 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 4% | 63 | -0.6 |
|
✕Paul Vasquez 2008 · A |
23 | 47 | 43→45 | 52→30 | 39 | .231/.271/.342 | .111 | .307 | 10 | 9 | 28% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .234/.273/.339 | .105 | .293 | 8 | 5 | 22% | 3% | 68 | -0.5 | .235/.269/.339 | .104 | .292 | 8 | 2 | 22% | 2% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A |
23 | 43 | 40→50 | 50→40 | 43 | .207/.281/.298 | .092 | .283 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.276/.336 | .132 | .276 | 16 | 3 | 31% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .179/.260/.330 | .151 | .234 | 22 | 0 | 33% | 7% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Kody Clemens 2019 · A |
23 | 46→43 | 44→60 | 50→45 | 45 | .228/.287/.347 | .119 | .291 | 11 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .203/.262/.335 | .132 | .276 | 13 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .216/.278/.416 | .200 | .247 | 26 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Zelous Wheeler 2010 · A |
23 | 46→52 | 42→50 | 46→45 | 46 | .225/.292/.332 | .107 | .286 | 9 | 8 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .238/.310/.361 | .123 | .288 | 11 | 8 | 20% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .242/.315/.375 | .133 | .285 | 14 | 7 | 19% | 8% | 93 | +1.0 |
|
✕Luis Alvarez 2013 · A |
23 | 44 | 44→45 | 46→45 | 42 | .220/.276/.333 | .113 | .274 | 11 | 6 | 24% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .222/.273/.352 | .130 | .285 | 14 | 6 | 27% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .210/.253/.368 | .158 | .249 | 21 | 0 | 25% | 3% | 66 | -0.1 |
|
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A |
22 | 46→47 | 42→65 | 50→40 | 43 | .220/.291/.330 | .111 | .304 | 9 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .215/.268/.415 | .200 | .284 | 26 | 4 | 34% | 6% | 88 | +0.9 | .221/.275/.455 | .234 | .259 | 32 | 2 | 29% | 6% | 99 | +1.4 |
|
✕Jack Mayfield 2014 · A |
23 | 43→45 | 42→55 | 45→50 | 42 | .214/.272/.319 | .105 | .279 | 10 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .219/.268/.334 | .115 | .275 | 12 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .219/.267/.394 | .175 | .252 | 22 | 7 | 23% | 5% | 80 | +0.3 |