Jose D. HernandezSS Great Lakes Loons
Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 145 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION197 act + 131 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .284 / .358
PA131
HR4
K%28
BB%9
BABIP259
ISO153
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -14.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-14BATRUN: -0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +9.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.50.70.91.00.90.8+$36M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 53
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT33
scouting grade only
POWER53
scouting grade only
EYE57
scouting grade only
SPEED53
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$6M+$5M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $10M +$9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 162138 24410 17455 66 174287217505 43253 2810 227 32
202118 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 162124 30510 31295 66 242412298711 56309 1819 340 118
202219 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 7565 11411 6221 10 169250308558 138222 298 237 40
202219 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 7562 14511 9161 10 226333387720 161271 2112 313 98
202320 ROKDSL LAD Mega 162139 28913 10399 52 201297345643 144250 246 268 63
202320 ROKDSL LAD Mega 162131 381216 18269 52 290411534946 244314 1611 407 169
202421 ROKACL Dodgers 9990 19403 4315 52 211283356638 144286 314 274 68
202421 ROKACL Dodgers 9986 26604 8215 52 302394512906 209361 218 402 166
202522 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs 2218 7100 241 02 389476444921 56467 189
202522 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs 2218 7100 241 02 389476444921 56467 189 402 166
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 A+LAD 197175 31516 21671 34 177269320589 143245 3411 256 54 -10 -1 +0 +2 +6 -0.4
YTD23 A+LAD 197166 38717 30501 34 229350410760 181284 2515 343 121 +5 -1 +0 +2 +6 1.2
ROS23 A+LAD 0% 131117 24414 12371 21 205284358642 153264 289 282 74 -4 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.1
ROS23 MLBLAD 0% 11 0000 000 00 260 00 271 66 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL23 A+LAD 198176 31516 21671 34 176268318586 142243 3411 256 54 -10 -1 +0 +2 +6 -0.4
TOT23 A+LAD 328292 559210 331042 55 188275335610 147251 3210 266 62 -14 -1 +0 +4 +9 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBLAD 38% 282252 531018 25783 52 210289353642 143268 289 290 80 -6 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.5
202825 MLBLAD 55% 350312 6712210 31954 63 215294362656 147270 279 295 84 -6 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.7
202926 MLBLAD 64% 393351 7614212 351064 74 217295370665 154271 279 298 86 -6 -0 +0 +4 +11 0.9
203027 MLBLAD 66% 410366 7915212 371104 84 216295366661 150272 279 299 87 -6 +0 +0 +4 +12 1.0
203128 MLBLAD 67% 419374 8115213 381134 84 217296372667 155271 279 298 86 -7 +0 -1 +4 +12 0.9
203229 MLBLAD 66% 416371 8015212 381134 84 216295364659 148271 279 296 85 -7 +0 -1 +4 +12 0.8
202724 MLBLAD 38% 10795 21413 10301 21 221302379681 158264 289 278 71 -3 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.1
202825 MLBLAD 55% 194173 37716 17532 42 214292370662 156266 279 283 75 -5 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.2
202926 MLBLAD 64% 250223 47917 22673 52 211290354645 143268 279 286 77 -6 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.4
203027 MLBLAD 66% 269240 51918 24723 53 212292358650 146268 279 287 78 -7 -0 +0 +3 +8 0.4
203128 MLBLAD 67% 280249 531018 26763 53 213295357652 145268 279 286 77 -7 -0 -0 +3 +8 0.3
203229 MLBLAD 66% 273243 51918 25743 53 210292354645 144267 279 285 76 -7 -0 -1 +3 +8 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 13741224 26048640 12437215 2614 212293359652 147269 279 285 76 -37 -0 -1 +15 +39 1.5
/ 162G 650579 12423319 591767 127 214295363657 149271 279 285 76 -17 -0 -1 +7 +18 0.7
Career 29212593 5491071578 25579345 6134 212293355648 143270 279 286 77 -76 -1 -2 +31 +83 3.5
/ 162G 650577 12224317 5717610 148 211294352646 140270 279 286 77 -17 -0 -0 +7 +18 0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 162124 30510 31295 66 242412298711 56309 1819 340 118 +3 -1 +5 0.7
202219 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 7562 14511 9161 10 226333387720 161271 2112 313 98 -0 +0 +2 0.2
202320 ROKDSL LAD Mega 162131 381216 18269 52 290411534946 244314 1611 407 169 +13 +0 +5 1.8
202421 ROKACL Dodgers 9986 26604 8215 52 302394512906 209361 218 402 166 +7 +0 +3 1.1
202522 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs 2218 7100 241 02 389476444921 56467 189 402 166 +2 -1 +1 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,3754126217293368+15+123.03.0
/1626642013+7.1+5.81.5pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jose D. Hernandez (OGILVIE) 23 28→33 48→53 48→53 57 188/275/335 147251 105 32% 10% 62 -0.2
Sicnarf Loopstok
2016 · A
23 40→38 48→55 53→50 39 206/266/349 143284 169 32% 6% 69 -0.4 214/278/357 143300 1610 33% 6% 76 +0.1 212/284/37516329120933%7%83+0.3
Jeferson Morales
2022 · A
23 41→45 48→50 48→50 48 211/295/361 150263 159 26% 8% 85 +0.7 204/282/341 137270 149 29% 7% 74 -0.1 221/296/35713627513823%7%81+0.2
Zack Short
2018 · A
23 42→38 46→50 48→45 53 208/301/343 135264 1311 25% 11% 82 +0.5 198/289/339 141285 148 33% 10% 77 +0.1 175/277/32414824417634%11%65-0.5
Alejandro Segovia
2013 · A
23 42→45 47→50 51→30 47 216/279/354 139247 155 20% 7% 76 +0.0 221/298/369 148268 173 24% 8% 88 +0.9 213/296/36114725818124%8%82+0.3
Ronaldo Hernández
2021 · A
23 44 46→55 51→45 41 224/263/352 128262 148 21% 4% 68 -0.5 226/265/394 168263 223 24% 4% 81 +0.4 216/261/38516924324123%4%74-0.0
Tyler Kolodny
2011 · A
23 40→36 50→45 51→50 40 209/279/369 160275 189 30% 6% 80 +0.4 213/288/327 114289 1010 28% 6% 73 -0.1 210/300/2958527861024%6%67-0.2
Miguel Amaya
2022 · AA
23 44→42 44→50 50→40 49 214/303/331 117278 117 26% 9% 81 +0.4 223/308/361 138300 155 29% 8% 91 +1.1 228/299/36814027116122%7%86+0.3
Jake Rogers
2018 · A
23 41→40 43→60 47→45 41 202/262/316 114279 910 30% 6% 58 -1.2 196/266/342 146271 177 33% 7% 68 -0.5 213/288/42921627131133%8%98+0.8
Jared Keel
2008 · A
23 44→38 51→50 48→45 48 225/305/387 162279 187 26% 8% 95 +1.4 203/288/360 157251 188 26% 9% 82 +0.5 184/277/34115722219826%9%70-0.2
Alex Isola
2021 · A
23 46→45 45→50 49→40 44 227/279/348 122288 128 26% 6% 74 -0.1 217/284/369 152276 204 28% 8% 82 +0.5 213/284/36114826720227%8%77+0.1
Kyle Martin
2008 · A
23 38 48→55 48→45 38 199/242/338 139246 166 27% 4% 56 -1.3 209/259/330 121269 126 26% 5% 60 -1.0 203/255/32312025713526%5%54-0.4
Jonny DeLuca
2022 · A
24 41→38 54→60 56→55 45 219/278/397 178254 2215 24% 7% 87 +0.8 226/291/414 188257 2316 22% 7% 97 +1.5 222/292/406184249221921%7%92+0.8
Austin Wells
2022 · A
23 43 48→55 56→50 47 211/301/358 147306 1512 34% 10% 86 +0.8 217/296/385 168279 2010 28% 9% 92 +1.2 213/294/38517225821826%9%88+0.7
Trey Hair
2018 · A
23 44 48→60 51→45 44 220/290/372 152284 156 27% 7% 85 +0.7 225/286/339 114297 87 26% 6% 74 -0.1 224/283/41619328126530%5%91+0.5
Luis Santana
2023 · A
24 43 44→45 48→50 43 215/283/333 118286 1211 28% 7% 72 -0.2 206/263/326 120268 137 28% 5% 62 -0.9 190/242/30711724015527%4%45-1.1
John Mayberry Jr.
2007 · A
23 42→48 49→55 49→50 43 216/280/366 151284 177 30% 7% 79 +0.3 207/260/378 171259 219 29% 6% 74 -0.1 243/295/401158287191222%6%91+0.9
Ian Rice
2017 · A
23 43→39 47→50 43→30 48 212/291/346 133289 144 30% 9% 79 +0.3 204/289/349 145281 183 32% 10% 79 +0.3 185/276/32013525318033%10%64-0.4
Zachery Almond
2019 · A
23 46 48→55 48→40 40 233/275/372 139288 164 25% 5% 78 +0.2 200/254/305 105291 105 33% 6% 52 -1.6 166/226/256902488335%7%28-2.0
Jeter Downs
2021 · AA
23 42→40 52→50 51→55 45 219/286/388 169275 1917 28% 8% 88 +0.9 179/253/304 125255 1621 35% 8% 53 -1.5 175/266/324149236182633%9%63-0.4
Travis Jones
2009 · A
23 41→47 48→45 46→50 48 212/289/356 144267 1611 27% 9% 81 +0.4 213/284/325 112291 1115 29% 8% 70 -0.3 207/279/3049828691929%8%60-0.6