Collin Price

C Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 27 R/R 6'4" / 225 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAA40-MANPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1958ETA2028MLB%30%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424AA/A+/INTL2 orgs481.225/.333/.38215967—.186/.264/.309
202525AAAHOU449.235/.326/.43418563—.189/.258/.339
202626AAAHOU364.204/.331/.42818856—.153/.251/.300
2027PROJ30% MLB27MLBHOU46.191/.272/.34111720.1
2028PROJ42% MLB28MLBHOU92.192/.273/.34031720.0
2029PROJ46% MLB29MLBHOU110.192/.272/.33731710.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
BB%80
Chase%72
Max EV67
Speed38
Whiff%25
K%23
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.8, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%
CompsBrendon Davis (age 27) · Zack Short (age 27) · Drew Ellis (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .272 / .341
PA46
HR1
K%33
BB%9
BABIP258
ISO122
MLB%30%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT40
xAVG
600.259
POWER60
Avg EV
9093.0
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202222 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 7062 18502 7171 00 290371468839 177372 2410 374 79 — — — — — —
202323 A+Asheville Tourists — 223182 361306 37553 01 198342368710 170246 2517 325 32 — — — — — —
202424 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 320275 6112010 36784 51 222321375695 153266 2411 311 59 — — — — — —
202424 A+Asheville Tourists — 7260 15403 12200 20 250375467842 217324 2817 375 63 — — — — — —
202424 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 8973 16302 14210 20 219345342687 123269 2416 312 97 — — — — — —
202525 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys — 449392 9218318 451368 51 235326434760 199306 3010 336 63 — — — — — —
202626 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys — 364304 6214018 511047 82 204331428759 224239 2914 339 56 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202222 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 7064 15402 5241 00 234300391691 156335 347 285 79 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 223198 27904 21743 01 136230242472 106186 339 216 32 — — — — — —
202424 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 320285 531008 26954 51 186263305569 119236 308 255 59 — — — — — —
202424 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 7265 12302 7260 20 185264323587 138259 3610 261 63 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 449407 7716313 301648 51 189258339597 150269 377 261 63 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 364320 4911012 351257 82 153251300551 147199 3410 251 56 — — — — — —
202222 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 7064 15402 5241 00 234300391691 156342 347 285 79 — — — — — —
202222 A RAWFayetteville Woodpeckers — 7062 18502 7171 00 290371468839 177372 2410 374 79 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 223198 27904 21743 01 136230242472 106190 339 216 32 — — — — — —
202323 A+ RAWAsheville Tourists — 223182 361306 37553 01 198342368710 170246 2517 325 32 — — — — — —
202424 AA MLE3 teams — 481429 8016013 411494 91 186264315578 128245 319 256 59 — — — — — —
202424 AA RAW3 teams — 481408 9219015 621194 91 225333382716 157274 2513 321 59 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 449407 7716313 301648 51 189258339597 150274 377 261 63 — — — — — —
202525 AAA RAWSugar Land Space Cowboys — 449392 9218318 451368 51 235326434760 199306 3010 336 63 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 364320 4911012 351257 82 153251300551 147200 3410 251 56 — — — — — —
202626 AAA RAWSugar Land Space Cowboys — 364304 6214018 511047 82 204331428759 224239 2914 339 56 — — — — — —
202222 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 7064 15402 5241 00 234300391691 156335 347 285 79 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 223197 27904 21743 01 137230244473 107186 339 216 32 — — — — — —
202424 AA MLE3 teams — 481433 8016013 411494 91 185264312575 127240 319 256 59 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 449408 7716313 301648 51 189258338597 150269 377 261 63 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 364319 4911012 351257 82 154251301552 147199 3410 251 56 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 AA MLE3 teams — 481433 8016013 411494 91 185264312575 127240 319 256 59 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 449408 7716313 301648 51 189258338597 150269 377 261 63 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 364319 4911012 351257 82 154251301552 147199 3410 251 56 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLEHOU 30% 380339 6413112 321246 61 189270340610 151254 338 275 72 -13 +1 +0 +7 +8 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXHOU 30% 4641 8201 4151 10 191272341613 150258 339 276 72 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLEHOU 42% 222198 38817 19723 31 190271339610 149255 329 275 72 -7 +0 -1 +4 +5 0.1
202929 MLB MLEHOU 46% 240214 41817 20774 21 190270336606 146255 328 273 71 -8 +0 -1 +4 +5 -0.0
202828 MLB CTXHOU 42% 9283 15303 8301 10 192273340613 148259 339 276 72 -3 +0 -0 +2 +2 0.0
202929 MLB CTXHOU 46% 11098 18403 9352 10 192272337610 145259 328 275 71 -4 +0 -1 +2 +2 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 202181 33706 17653 20 182264320584 138243 328 275 61 -7 +0 -1 +4 +4 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 10623019 5520910 60 182264320584 137244 328 275 61 -22 +1 -3 +12 +14 0.2
Career— MLE — 22041969 35277563 18473632 298 179260319579 140243 338 258 61 -21 +0 -2 +11 +13 0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 10423119 542179 92 179259320579 141243 338 258 61 -22 +0 -2 +12 +14 0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 364 PAwOBA .332 → .251 (−81)K% 28.6% → 34.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.57%÷1.000×1.200——34.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.01%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0039.70%
HBP% /PA1.92%—×0.940—×1.0031.81%
Singles /BIP15.00%÷1.000×0.930×0.950×1.00313.29%
Doubles /BIP7.00%÷1.000×0.830×0.950×1.0035.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.950×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP9.00%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0036.32%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .332 → .251; ISO .224 → .159; BABIP .239 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 449 PAwOBA .330 → .261 (−68)K% 30.3% → 36.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.29%÷0.995×1.200——36.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.02%÷1.056×0.690—×1.0186.67%
HBP% /PA1.78%—×0.940—×1.0181.70%
Singles /BIP20.70%÷1.012×0.930×0.950×1.01818.39%
Doubles /BIP7.03%÷0.891×0.830×0.950×1.0186.33%
Triples /BIP1.17%÷0.900×0.970×0.950×1.0181.22%
Home runs /BIP7.03%÷0.961×0.700—×1.0185.21%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 102, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .330 → .261; ISO .199 → .154; BABIP .306 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 320 PAwOBA .308 → .255 (−53)K% 24.4% → 29.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.38%÷1.003×1.220——29.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.25%÷0.974×0.700—×0.9988.07%
HBP% /PA1.25%—×0.870—×0.9981.09%
Singles /BIP19.80%÷0.968×0.920×0.950×0.99817.83%
Doubles /BIP6.09%÷0.908×0.840×0.950×0.9985.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.908×0.940×0.950×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP5.08%÷0.970×0.800—×0.9984.18%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 94, 2B 82, 3B 82, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .308 → .255; ISO .153 → .127; BABIP .266 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Asheville Tourists · 72 PAwOBA .365 → .261 (−104)K% 27.8% → 36.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.78%÷0.991×1.310——36.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷0.977×0.600—×0.97810.01%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9780.00%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.988×0.870—×0.97817.23%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.079×0.780—×0.9787.07%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP7.50%÷1.073×0.880—×0.9786.02%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 100, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .365 → .261; ISO .217 → .161; BABIP .324 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Asheville Tourists · 223 PAwOBA .319 → .216 (−104)K% 24.7% → 33.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.66%÷0.971×1.310——33.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.59%÷1.033×0.600—×0.9889.52%
HBP% /PA1.35%—×0.770—×0.9881.02%
Singles /BIP13.39%÷0.968×0.870×0.950×0.98811.29%
Doubles /BIP10.24%÷1.099×0.780×0.950×0.9886.82%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.980×0.850×0.950×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP4.72%÷1.218×0.880—×0.9883.37%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 94, 2B 120, 3B 96, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .319 → .216; ISO .170 → .117; BABIP .246 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 70 PAwOBA .364 → .285 (−79)K% 24.3% → 33.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.29%÷0.976×1.360——33.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷0.999×0.690—×0.9906.84%
HBP% /PA1.43%—×0.780—×0.9901.10%
Singles /BIP24.44%÷0.992×0.920—×0.99022.43%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷0.930×0.830—×0.9909.81%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP4.44%÷0.949×0.800—×0.9903.71%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 98, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .364 → .285; ISO .177 → .138; BABIP .372 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .