Collin PriceC Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 26 R/R 6'4" / 225 lbs AAA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION247 act + 164 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .263 / .320
PA164
HR5
K%35
BB%9
BABIP245
ISO143
MLB%40%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -16.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-17BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +7.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+7POSREP: +11.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.40.50.4+$9M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT40
xwOBA
440.302
POWER60
Avg EV
9093.0
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.5$2M+$1M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.4$1M+$0.7M
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $3M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202222 AFayetteville Woodpeckers 7065 15402 4251 00 231286385670 154342 366 293 82
202222 AFayetteville Woodpeckers 7062 18502 7171 00 290371468839 177372 2410 374 144
202323 A+Asheville Tourists 223196 26803 23783 01 133234219454 87198 3510 212 20
202323 A+Asheville Tourists 223182 361306 37553 01 198342368710 170246 2517 325 107
202424 AA3 teams 481428 8518014 421564 91 199276339615 140268 329 270 65
202424 AA3 teams 481408 9219015 621194 91 225333382716 157274 2513 321 104
202525 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys 449408 7416314 291778 51 181249338588 157271 396 255 53
202525 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys 449392 9218318 451368 51 235326434760 199306 3010 336 115
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD26 AAAHOU 247215 36809 25866 51 167272330603 163223 3510 268 63 -10 +1 +0 +4 +7 0.2
YTD26 AAAHOU 247204 4611012 36676 51 225358456814 230270 2715 362 135 +10 +1 +0 +4 +7 2.2
ROS26 AAAHOU 40% 164146 26605 14573 31 177263320583 143243 359 270 65 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
ROS26 MLBHOU 40% 6659 10202 6231 10 169258305563 136246 359 259 57 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
FULL26 AAAHOU 313274 4610011 311097 61 168269325594 157226 3510 266 62 -13 +1 +0 +6 +9 0.2
TOT26 AAAHOU 411361 6214014 391439 82 171269326595 155232 359 269 64 -17 +1 +0 +7 +12 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727 MLBHOU 47% 336297 5512111 301136 51 185273343617 158249 349 275 69 -12 +1 +0 +6 +10 0.4
202828 MLBHOU 50% 364323 6113112 321206 51 189274347621 158252 339 278 71 -12 +1 -1 +7 +10 0.5
202929 MLBHOU 51% 373331 6313112 331226 51 190276344620 154254 339 278 71 -12 +1 -1 +7 +11 0.4
202727 MLBHOU 47% 157139 26605 14533 20 187276338614 151251 349 265 61 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
202828 MLBHOU 50% 183162 31706 16603 21 191276346622 154255 339 268 64 -8 +0 -0 +3 +5 0.1
202929 MLBHOU 51% 190168 32706 17623 20 190277339616 149256 339 269 64 -8 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 596528 9922019 5319810 71 188274337611 150255 339 267 62 -25 +1 -1 +11 +17 0.2
/ 162G 650576 10824021 5821611 81 188274339613 151254 339 267 62 -28 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.2
Career 24602194 40590673 20784837 327 185266331597 146257 348 266 62 -107 +4 -2 +44 +70 0.8
/ 162G 650580 10724219 5522410 82 184267331598 147257 348 266 62 -28 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202222 AFayetteville Woodpeckers 7062 18502 7171 00 290371468839 177372 2410 374 144 +3 +0 +2 0.6
202323 A+Asheville Tourists 223182 361306 37553 01 198342368710 170246 2517 325 107 +2 -0 +6 0.8
202424 AACorpus Christi Hooks 320275 6112010 36784 51 222321375695 153266 2411 311 96 -1 +1 +9 0.8
202424 A+Asheville Tourists 7260 15403 12200 20 250375467842 217324 2817 375 145 +4 +0 +2 0.6
202424 INTLSurprise Saguaros 8973 16302 14210 20 219345342687 123269 2416 312 97 -0 +0 +3 0.3
202525 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys 449392 9218318 451368 51 235326434760 199306 3010 336 115 +8 +1 +13 2.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
2617208187270341+11+80.70.7
/162664219+11.9+8.60.8pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Collin Price (OGILVIE) 26 40 60 45 50 171/269/326 155232 148 35% 9% 64 +0.3
Cam Devanney
2023 · AAA
26 37→41 50→55 45 40 199/260/351 152262 186 31% 6% 67 -0.5 221/282/381 160291 188 29% 6% 84 +0.6 219/280/38116228919730%6%79+0.2
Jake Rogers
2021 · MLB
26 38→40 52→60 49→45 43 202/278/367 165273 215 33% 8% 79 +0.3 237/301/444 207322 277 33% 8% 108 +2.3 221/284/43521428029232%7%97+0.7
Brendon Davis
2023 · AAA
26 39→44 52→50 47→50 44 211/280/381 170265 2010 29% 8% 84 +0.6 191/268/323 132263 1414 31% 8% 64 -0.8 162/247/274112230121733%8%40-1.3
Luke Ritter
2023 · AAA
26 38→42 51→55 46→45 37 199/267/351 153301 198 39% 7% 71 -0.3 204/290/366 162314 216 39% 9% 85 +0.7 196/289/34915330620439%10%76+0.1
JJ Schwarz
2022 · AA
26 38 46→50 47→30 44 198/261/319 121270 144 32% 8% 59 -1.1 219/286/363 144306 184 32% 8% 81 +0.4 211/283/35614529119133%9%75-0.0
Ray Sadler
2007 · AAA
26 39→43 49→55 46→50 39 206/256/351 145275 1711 32% 6% 65 -0.7 211/263/375 164267 219 29% 6% 75 -0.0 202/255/36516324821828%5%66-0.5
Davis Wendzel
2023 · AAA
26 35→27 50 43→40 41 191/254/334 143251 195 32% 7% 60 -1.0 195/273/339 144246 195 28% 8% 70 -0.3 200/276/34714723117422%7%71-0.1
Johan Mieses
2021 · AAA
26 37→33 51→55 50 40 202/258/351 149255 207 30% 6% 67 -0.5 220/291/413 193279 269 30% 7% 97 +1.5 205/284/41621124730731%8%91+0.5
Zack Short
2022 · MLB
27 36→38 50 47→45 50 192/289/343 151253 197 31% 10% 79 +0.3 193/288/320 127267 1410 30% 11% 72 -0.2 180/282/293113252121131%12%61-0.6
René Pinto
2023 · MLB
26 41 52→60 46→40 34 217/254/382 165301 215 35% 4% 72 -0.2 209/250/383 174294 234 36% 5% 72 -0.2 195/239/37818326927238%5%63-0.4
Peyton Burdick
2023 · MLB
26 35→32 51→55 50 44 187/277/350 163274 1912 37% 9% 75 -0.0 186/266/343 157299 1912 42% 8% 69 -0.4 165/248/320156268211244%8%53-1.0
Brandon Barnes
2012 · AAA
26 37→47 50→55 49→50 38 198/248/355 157263 1810 32% 5% 63 -0.9 229/275/355 126310 1215 29% 5% 73 -0.1 236/281/354118320111629%5%73-0.1
Coco Montes
2023 · AAA
26 39→43 47→50 51→50 41 200/265/338 138281 1410 33% 7% 66 -0.6 219/284/347 128316 1310 33% 8% 76 +0.0 220/284/33711731711932%7%71-0.2
Rodolfo Durán
2023 · AAA
25 37 49→55 47→40 36 201/238/345 145258 174 30% 4% 56 -1.3 222/264/378 156280 185 27% 5% 76 +0.0 225/266/38616127619326%4%75-0.0
Mike Olt
2015 · MLB
26 33→42 52→55 44→40 42 184/255/345 161257 213 37% 8% 64 -0.8 204/268/358 154293 203 36% 7% 72 -0.2 199/262/34214328319035%7%62-0.5
Brandon Waring
2012 · AA
26 36→40 51→55 44→40 35 194/248/353 159279 192 37% 6% 63 -0.8 194/257/369 175291 223 40% 6% 72 -0.2 178/247/35617727623143%6%61-0.7
Lucas May
2012 · MLB
27 40→43 47→55 43→45 40 206/262/338 132278 156 31% 6% 64 -0.8 194/231/301 107272 106 32% 4% 40 -2.4 181/208/272912597333%3%21-1.5
Joe DeCarlo
2019 · AA
25 40→37 52→55 44→30 41 209/281/373 164281 203 32% 7% 82 +0.5 196/261/300 104295 114 35% 7% 54 -1.4 155/222/207522506038%7%11-1.4
Wendell Rijo
2022 · AAA
26 40→41 55 48→50 39 219/270/401 182272 259 30% 6% 85 +0.7 216/276/359 143290 1617 30% 6% 76 +0.1 215/276/365150278152728%6%76+0.0
Erik Kratz
2006 · AA
26 37→44 47→60 49→45 38 198/254/327 129271 176 33% 6% 58 -1.2 205/256/347 142251 184 26% 5% 65 -0.7 218/284/38516725020222%6%85+0.4