Misael Urbina — OGILVIE

Misael UrbinaOF Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A+ BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .269 / .278

PA216

HR3

K%29

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

40→40

SPD

40→40

EYE

55→55

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.4peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-3M		$-29M	-$25M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$25M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Twins	217	192	40	10	4	2	14	20	9	19	8	.208	.293	.333	.626	.125	.221	9	6	.266	62	-9	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
2021	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	439	383	61	11	4	5	38	114	7	16	6	.159	.248	.248	.496	.089	.204	26	9	.222	28	-36	+1	+0	-3	+12	-2.6
2022	20	A	2 teams	263	238	47	17	1	4	18	86	3	10	5	.197	.263	.328	.590	.130	.283	33	7	.258	55	-13	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.8
2023	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	412	368	51	13	2	3	36	142	6	6	3	.139	.227	.209	.436	.071	.213	34	9	.199	11	-42	+0	+0	-2	+12	-3.3
2024	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	392	348	59	11	1	3	38	126	3	14	6	.170	.257	.233	.490	.063	.253	32	10	.231	35	-29	+0	+0	-2	+11	-2.0
2025	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	268	233	47	11	4	3	27	59	3	2	2	.202	.293	.322	.615	.120	.253	22	10	.272	66	-10	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	MIN	216	192	36	8	1	3	20	63	2	3	1	.188	.271	.286	.557	.099	.259	29	9	.254	53	-12	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 10%	MIN	262	233	46	10	2	4	25	74	2	4	2	.197	.281	.309	.590	.112	.264	28	10	.267	62	-11	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
2028	26	MLB 25%	MIN	330	292	58	12	2	6	32	92	3	5	2	.199	.284	.315	.599	.116	.267	28	10	.274	68	-12	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
2029	27	MLB 43%	MIN	365	323	65	13	2	7	36	101	3	5	2	.201	.287	.319	.606	.118	.268	28	10	.276	70	-12	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.4
2030	28	MLB 52%	MIN	386	341	68	14	2	7	38	107	4	5	2	.199	.287	.314	.601	.114	.269	28	10	.277	70	-13	+0	-1	-2	+11	-0.5
2031	29	MLB 63%	MIN	392	346	69	14	2	7	39	110	4	4	2	.199	.288	.312	.600	.113	.268	28	10	.274	68	-14	+0	-1	-2	+11	-0.7
2032	30	MLB 81%	MIN	394	348	68	14	2	7	39	112	4	3	1	.195	.284	.307	.591	.112	.266	28	10	.271	66	-15	+0	-2	-2	+11	-0.9
2033	31	MLB	MIN	384	340	66	14	2	6	38	111	3	1	1	.194	.281	.300	.581	.106	.264	29	10	.267	63	-16	-0	-3	-2	+11	-1.1
2034	32	MLB	MIN	369	327	63	13	2	6	36	108	3	0	0	.193	.279	.300	.578	.107	.263	29	10	.263	59	-17	+0	-4	-2	+10	-1.2
2035	33	MLB	MIN	341	302	56	11	2	5	33	102	3	0	0	.185	.272	.285	.557	.099	.261	30	10	.258	55	-17	+0	-4	-2	+10	-1.4
2036	34	MLB	MIN	299	266	49	10	2	4	29	92	2	0	0	.184	.269	.282	.551	.098	.259	31	10	.251	51	-17	+0	-5	-2	+8	-1.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5729	5072	949	206	37	82	536	1619	64	97	43	.187	.273	.291	.564	.104	.254	28	9	.256	54	-296	+2	-20	-34	+162	-18.9
/ 162G	—			650	575	107	23	4	9	61	184	7	11	5	.186	.272	.287	.559	.101	.253	28	9	.256	54	-34	+0	-2	-4	+18	-2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Twins	217	183	51	14	5	2	23	14	9	19	8	.279	.386	.443	.829	.164	.290	6	11	.369	140	+10	+1	—	—	+6	1.7
2021	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	439	367	70	12	4	5	54	82	7	16	6	.191	.306	.286	.592	.095	.224	19	12	.272	66	-17	+1	—	—	+12	-0.4
2022	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	217	191	47	16	1	5	23	51	0	9	4	.246	.327	.419	.746	.173	.304	24	11	.328	109	+2	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
2022	20	ROK	FCL Twins	46	40	10	4	0	0	2	9	3	1	1	.250	.333	.350	.683	.100	.312	20	4	.308	94	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	412	355	64	18	3	4	49	109	6	6	3	.180	.290	.282	.572	.101	.246	26	12	.267	63	-17	+0	—	—	+12	-0.6
2024	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	392	330	72	16	2	5	56	97	3	14	6	.218	.337	.324	.661	.106	.291	25	14	.306	92	-4	+0	—	—	+11	0.8
2025	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	268	223	55	15	4	4	37	45	3	2	2	.247	.361	.404	.765	.157	.288	17	14	.340	118	+5	-0	—	—	+8	1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Misael Urbina (OGILVIE)	24	45	40	40	55	.184/.269/.278	.094	.259	3	3	29%	9%	53	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Harrison 2017 · AA	24	43→49	38→40	41→45	46	.205/.283/.291	.086	.289	5	8	29%	8%	61	-1.0	.184/.270/.275	.091	.287	6	9	35%	8%	53	-1.5	.134/.241/.219	.085	.222	5	5	38%	9%	26	-1.9
✕Cam Balego 2019 · A	24	44→41	37→45	42→30	42	.210/.266/.288	.079	.276	4	5	25%	6%	53	-1.5	.212/.288/.321	.109	.276	11	3	26%	7%	72	-0.2	.204/.290/.318	.114	.261	14	1	26%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Billy Hart 2007 · A	24	41→51	41→45	43→50	43	.200/.261/.298	.098	.272	8	9	29%	7%	53	-1.5	.226/.285/.334	.108	.302	7	14	26%	7%	72	-0.2	.235/.295/.349	.114	.309	7	16	25%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	39→45	39→45	45	.193/.271/.272	.079	.282	7	5	32%	8%	51	-1.7	.213/.304/.343	.130	.284	14	8	28%	10%	84	+0.6	.221/.324/.370	.149	.286	16	11	27%	12%	97	+0.8
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2017 · AA	24	45→48	41→40	43→40	45	.220/.277/.319	.100	.285	9	3	25%	7%	65	-0.7	.233/.291/.327	.094	.295	8	5	22%	7%	72	-0.2	.248/.301/.326	.078	.306	6	2	20%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	37→44	42→45	42→50	40	.183/.254/.294	.110	.274	9	8	35%	7%	50	-1.8	.203/.278/.295	.092	.278	9	12	28%	8%	60	-1.0	.202/.282/.286	.084	.266	9	14	26%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Jason Leblebijian 2015 · A	24	43→49	39→45	44→45	43	.206/.268/.293	.087	.270	6	7	25%	6%	55	-1.4	.210/.264/.316	.106	.296	10	8	31%	6%	59	-1.1	.209/.267/.319	.110	.315	12	7	35%	6%	58	-0.9
✕James Guerrero 2008 · A	24	43→45	39→40	40→45	52	.207/.288/.291	.084	.247	7	7	19%	9%	63	-0.8	.203/.287/.291	.088	.262	7	9	23%	10%	63	-0.8	.140/.254/.210	.069	.188	4	10	25%	12%	28	-0.8
✕Ryan Gridley 2019 · A	24	46→44	40	42→45	48	.220/.286/.308	.089	.277	7	7	23%	8%	66	-0.6	.216/.271/.301	.085	.269	6	8	21%	6%	57	-1.2	.210/.264/.285	.075	.259	5	10	20%	5%	47	-1.0
✕Kevin Ahrens 2013 · A	24	40→46	43→45	39→40	46	.201/.269/.306	.105	.261	11	2	26%	8%	59	-1.1	.209/.269/.314	.105	.270	9	3	25%	7%	60	-1.0	.213/.267/.326	.112	.266	10	3	23%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Alika Williams 2023 · AAA	24	43→44	42→45	44→45	43	.211/.265/.309	.098	.267	10	7	25%	6%	57	-1.2	.221/.276/.328	.107	.282	10	7	24%	6%	67	-0.5	.227/.280/.331	.104	.286	10	6	23%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	39→40	46→50	46	.205/.268/.285	.080	.271	6	9	26%	8%	53	-1.5	.214/.264/.307	.093	.327	8	4	35%	6%	56	-1.3	.209/.256/.300	.091	.320	8	0	36%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Anthony Phillips 2014 · A	24	40→49	40	44→50	44	.196/.262/.285	.089	.259	7	9	27%	7%	50	-1.7	.210/.274/.290	.080	.285	5	7	26%	7%	56	-1.3	.205/.258/.257	.052	.280	3	6	26%	6%	38	-1.4
✕Nick Fortes 2021 · A	24	40→43	39→45	46→45	46	.194/.259/.279	.084	.244	6	5	23%	7%	47	-1.9	.220/.285/.345	.125	.255	14	8	20%	6%	76	+0.1	.215/.281/.338	.123	.242	16	8	19%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	44	42→40	48→50	45	.213/.275/.318	.106	.281	8	8	26%	7%	64	-0.8	.216/.308/.313	.097	.284	6	10	24%	9%	78	+0.2	.210/.315/.303	.093	.277	5	10	23%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Adam Weisenburger 2013 · AA	24	43	37→40	44→30	46	.202/.276/.270	.069	.270	4	5	25%	8%	53	-1.5	.214/.291/.304	.090	.282	7	4	25%	8%	68	-0.5	.212/.296/.301	.089	.272	7	2	23%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Eric Wood 2017 · AA	24	44→50	43→55	43→45	43	.214/.272/.324	.110	.285	10	6	28%	7%	64	-0.8	.212/.268/.361	.149	.279	17	7	29%	6%	73	-0.1	.207/.262/.366	.159	.273	18	6	31%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Drew Jackson 2017 · A	24	45	38→45	46→55	43	.216/.271/.294	.078	.277	6	11	24%	6%	56	-1.3	.205/.276/.310	.105	.280	10	17	29%	7%	63	-0.8	.189/.276/.312	.123	.270	14	26	33%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Ti'Quan Forbes 2021 · AA	24	45→49	38→40	40→45	40	.215/.267/.295	.081	.294	6	6	28%	6%	54	-1.4	.220/.270/.320	.100	.320	9	9	32%	5%	62	-0.9	.220/.265/.320	.100	.320	10	8	33%	4%	57	-0.8
✕Luis Carpio 2021 · AA	24	43→40	41→45	38→50	46	.212/.273/.313	.101	.269	9	7	24%	7%	62	-0.9	.206/.264/.301	.095	.295	8	10	31%	7%	55	-1.4	.188/.247/.275	.088	.273	8	10	32%	7%	38	-1.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)