Jeremy Reyes
P
Rome Emperors
Age 20
RHP
6'1" / 170 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.0 · 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 44 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147138vR 129
ERA5.73
FIP5.73
K%17.4%
BB%18.4%
K-BB%-0.9%
ROS IP44
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 107 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 5 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 80% | 1.7 | 17.5% | 15.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.52 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 5 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 80% | 1.7 | 17.5% | 15.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.58 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 8 | 37 | 155 | 32 | 25 | 0 | 89% | 4.1 | 14.4% | 19.6% | -5.2% | 0.0% | 1.96 | 4.37 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 8 | 37 | 155 | 32 | 25 | 0 | 89% | 4.1 | 20.6% | 16.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 1.96 | 3.40 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 18 | 18 | 76 | 328 | 84 | 49 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 19.0% | 17.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 2.71 | 4.01 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 18 | 18 | 76 | 328 | 84 | 49 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 25.6% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 0.6% | 2.71 | 3.17 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 15 | 15 | 63 | 290 | 49 | 48 | 8 | 100% | 4.2 | 12.7% | 20.0% | -7.2% | 2.6% | 6.57 | 5.97 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | ATL | 10 | 10 | 44 | 187 | 33 | 34 | 5 | 100% | 4.4 | 17.4% | 18.4% | -0.9% | 2.5% | 5.73 | 5.73 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.4% | 18.4% | -0.9% | 2.5% | 5.73 | 5.73 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 107 | 477 | 82 | 82 | 13 | — | — | 17.1% | 17.3% | -0.2% | 2.7% | 6.22 | 5.87 | -0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 20 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.5% | 18.4% | -0.9% | 2.5% | 5.73 | 5.35 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | ATL | 10 | 10 | 46 | 196 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 100% | 4.6 | 18.4% | 16.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.44 | 5.34 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | ATL | 10 | 10 | 49 | 206 | 41 | 29 | 5 | 100% | 4.9 | 19.7% | 14.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 5.14 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | ATL | 9 | 9 | 50 | 213 | 44 | 28 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.6% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 4.90 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | ATL | 9 | 9 | 52 | 219 | 46 | 27 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.2% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 4.72 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 9 | 9 | 52 | 221 | 48 | 26 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 4.60 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 9 | 9 | 52 | 221 | 48 | 26 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 4.54 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 9 | 9 | 52 | 218 | 48 | 26 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | ATL | 5 | 5 | 23 | 97 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 100% | 4.6 | 18.4% | 16.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.44 | 5.34 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 7 | 36 | 152 | 30 | 22 | 4 | 100% | 5.1 | 19.7% | 14.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 5.14 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | ATL | 8 | 8 | 43 | 182 | 37 | 24 | 5 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.6% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 4.90 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | ATL | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 41 | 24 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.2% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 4.72 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 44 | 24 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 4.60 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 8 | 8 | 49 | 207 | 45 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 4.54 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 8 | 8 | 49 | 207 | 45 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 52 | 52 | 293 | 1239 | 260 | 159 | 31 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.0% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 4.77 | 4.31 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 177 | 108 | 21 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.0% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 4.77 | 4.31 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 47 | 45 | 184 | 813 | 128 | 152 | 9 | 96% | 3.9 | 15.8% | 18.7% | -2.9% | 1.1% | 4.00 | 4.75 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 49 | 200 | 882 | 139 | 165 | 10 | 96% | 3.9 | 15.8% | 18.7% | -2.9% | 1.1% | 4.00 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeremy Reyes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.73 | 17.4% | 18.4% | 2.5% | — | 5.03 | 19.6% | 5.2% | 146 | -0.70 | — | — | — |
| Steven Brooks R 2028 · 5.61 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.61 | 16.6% | 17.9% | 3.0% | .268 | 4.80 | 25.0% | 9.8% | 40 | -0.81 | 4.80 | 103 | 88 |
| Moises Nova R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.61 | 14.2% | 16.8% | 2.9% | .263 | 4.02 | 18.3% | 4.2% | 110 | -1.59 | 3.42 | 219 | 87 |
| Shane Panzini R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.42 | 17.3% | 15.8% | 3.2% | .335 | 4.94 | 18.5% | 5.5% | 251 | -0.48 | 4.58 | 338 | 87 |
| Jeferson Figueroa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.28 | 17.1% | 15.6% | 3.0% | .232 | 4.88 | 20.6% | 5.4% | 188 | -0.40 | 4.66 | 249 | 85 |
| Blake Wolters R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.66 | 14.3% | 22.8% | 1.6% | .250 | 6.02 | 17.6% | 3.2% | 68 | +0.36 | 4.56 | 171 | 84 |
| Jake Madden R 2027 · 5.22 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.22 | 15.9% | 15.2% | 2.8% | .299 | 4.57 | 14.1% | -1.1% | 44 | -0.65 | 4.57 | 123 | 84 |
| Jeter Martinez R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.89 | 15.7% | 15.9% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 209 | 83 |
| Joey Oakie R 2026 · 5.67 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.67 | 18.9% | 22.6% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 105 | 83 |
| Tanner McDougal R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.23 | 19.7% | 16.9% | 3.0% | .285 | 5.09 | 22.0% | 8.4% | 233 | -0.14 | 3.96 | 302 | 83 |
| Jacob Watters R 2028 · 4.70 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.70 | 18.3% | 17.1% | 1.8% | .319 | 4.54 | 17.0% | 5.1% | 81 | -0.16 | 3.96 | 165 | 82 |
| Edelvis Perez R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.22 | 16.8% | 21.6% | 1.5% | .255 | 5.79 | 19.6% | 2.8% | 24 | +0.57 | 5.19 | 103 | 82 |
| Hunter Stratton R 2026 · 5.73 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.73 | 13.1% | 20.3% | 2.1% | .266 | 4.58 | 14.5% | 0.1% | 174 | -1.15 | 2.95 | 532 | 82 |
| Nolan Perry R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.88 | 20.4% | 22.2% | 1.2% | .303 | 3.24 | 29.0% | 19.3% | 52 | -1.64 | 3.24 | 136 | 82 |
| Henry Williams R 2027 · 5.43 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.43 | 16.5% | 14.2% | 3.5% | .271 | 4.77 | 16.7% | 6.5% | 293 | -0.66 | 4.06 | 360 | 82 |
| Maxwel Hernandez R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.07 | 14.1% | 14.2% | 2.5% | .248 | 4.76 | 11.7% | -2.4% | 71 | -0.31 | 3.46 | 167 | 82 |
| Luis Hernandez R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.86 | 16.7% | 14.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 6.15 | 21.4% | 4.1% | 64 | +1.29 | 4.16 | 109 | 81 |
| Wilmer Ortega R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.91 | 14.7% | 18.1% | 1.4% | .292 | 4.78 | 17.2% | 6.3% | 64 | -0.13 | 3.62 | 158 | 80 |
| Jose M. Rodriguez R 2027 · 5.01 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.01 | 16.6% | 18.1% | 1.8% | .250 | 4.38 | 23.6% | 5.6% | 34 | -0.63 | 4.38 | 106 | 80 |
| Darlin Saladin R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.98 | 16.2% | 13.3% | 2.8% | .280 | 3.98 | 18.8% | 7.8% | 255 | -1.00 | 2.91 | 388 | 80 |
| Miguelangel Boadas R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.68 | 14.2% | 15.5% | 1.5% | .320 | 3.44 | 20.6% | 9.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.64 | 129 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 50 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 0.96 | 4.93 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |