Jeferson Figueroa P Wisconsin Timber Rattlers
Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 169160vR 151
ERA6.74
FIP6.74
K%14.1%
BB%22.3%
K-BB%-8.2%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
K: -4.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-4KBB: -10.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-11BBCONTACT: -1.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +2.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -1.52 (59 IP)-1.5WAR
-0.2-0.22627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3030
CTRL2020
CMD2020
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202120MIX2 levels97291253514378%3.217.1%15.6%1.5%3.0%3.415.28
202120MIX2 levels97291253514378%3.228.0%11.2%16.8%2.4%3.413.48
202221ACarolina Mudcats21127735194421057%3.719.8%14.1%5.7%2.9%6.814.81
202221ACarolina Mudcats21127735194421057%3.726.8%12.0%14.8%2.8%6.813.99
202322ACarolina Mudcats27145192512954%1.719.7%17.8%1.8%3.0%2.805.32
202322ACarolina Mudcats27145192512954%1.726.6%15.1%11.5%2.6%2.804.21
202423MIX2 levels32266272803476%2.122.1%14.6%7.5%2.9%3.004.66
202423MIX2 levels32266272803476%2.129.4%12.5%16.9%2.6%3.003.60
202524A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers26042199324170%1.612.4%23.7%-11.3%2.9%5.536.67
202524A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers26042199324170%1.616.1%20.6%-4.5%3.5%5.536.64
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBMIL57060251355670%1.014.1%22.3%-8.2%3.0%6.746.74-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBMIL57060251405370%1.015.8%21.0%-5.2%3.0%6.466.43-1.3
202827MLBMIL56059247405070%1.016.3%20.2%-3.8%3.0%6.316.31-1.2
202726MLBMIL25026110172330%1.015.8%21.0%-5.2%3.0%6.466.43-0.6
202827MLBMIL35037156263150%1.116.3%20.2%-3.8%3.0%6.316.31-0.8
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career59062264425480%1.116.1%20.5%-4.4%3.0%6.375.98-1.0
/ 200 IP1900200844134173260%1.116.1%20.5%-4.4%3.0%6.375.98-1.4
Career1152225911392131903319%2.318.7%16.7%2.0%2.9%4.555.24+0.5
/ 200 IP89172008801651472619%2.318.7%16.7%2.0%2.9%4.555.24+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jeferson Figueroa (OGILVIE) 6.74 14.1%22.3%3.0% 6.37 16.0%-4.5%118 -0.37
Josh Harlow R 2025 · 5.71 FIP 24 SU 5.71 17.1%21.3%2.5%.289 5.52 107 80
Blake Hickman R 2025 · 6.54 FIP 24 SW 6.54 12.9%17.8%4.1%.312 4.45 156 80
Clate Schmidt R 2026 · 5.61 FIP 25 SU 5.61 13.5%13.9%3.4%.290 3.58 160 79
Cre Finfrock R 2027 · 6.27 FIP 26 SU 6.27 16.7%25.2%2.5%.309 4.27 103 78
Leandro Linares R 2025 · 5.59 FIP 24 SU 5.59 16.2%22.0%2.0%.353 1.93 134 77
Luke Savage R 2025 · 5.70 FIP 24 SU 5.70 15.0%17.7%3.0%.358 3.69 117 77
Vanny Valenzuela R 2028 · 6.66 FIP 27 SW 6.66 12.4%14.8%5.0%.314 4.38 15.8%4.6%70 -2.28 3.26 118 77
Conner O'Neil R 2025 · 5.58 FIP 24 SU 5.58 12.8%13.6%3.3%.340 7.24 16.4%4.1%26 +1.66 2.90 115 76
Nicholas Regalado R 2024 · 5.62 FIP 23 SU 5.62 15.0%15.5%3.3%.252 2.99 132 76
Jarod Wright R 2026 · 5.87 FIP 25 SU 5.87 12.7%13.2%4.0%.282 4.28 13.2%3.8%53 -1.59 4.28 170 76
Brady Schanuel R 2026 · 5.65 FIP 25 SW 5.65 17.9%23.5%2.0%.200 3.91 132 75
Jordan Brink R 2024 · 5.96 FIP 23 SW 5.96 18.3%19.2%3.6%.233 4.10 132 75
Alejandro Torres R 2026 · 6.52 FIP 25 SU 6.52 18.3%20.1%4.4%.308 4.42 103 75
Tom Reisinger R 2025 · 6.70 FIP 24 SU 6.70 10.3%15.9%4.5%.284 5.25 110 74
J.P. Massey R 2026 · 5.64 FIP 25 SU 5.64 15.5%16.8%3.1%.263 4.62 195 74
Dallas Woolfolk R 2025 · 6.39 FIP 24 SU 6.39 12.9%21.9%2.9%.324 5.21 14.0%0.7%50 -1.18 5.21 100 74
CJ Weins R 2026 · 5.65 FIP 25 SU 5.65 15.5%14.9%3.6%.292 4.42 113 74
Logan Sendelbach R 2025 · 5.61 FIP 24 SU 5.61 12.3%13.9%3.3%.286 4.06 340 73
Taylor Hawkins R 2024 · 6.08 FIP 23 SU 6.08 7.4%19.5%2.1%.293 5.37 112 73
Jake Smith R 2026 · 5.60 FIP 25 SU 5.60 18.3%21.3%2.5%.232 5.07 219 73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35915.4%21.2%1.156.50
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77