Maxwel Hernandez

Maxwel Hernandez P FCL Phillies

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.17

FIP5.17

K%17.6%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%5.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	11	11	50	196	51	16	1	100%	4.5	17.7%	10.2%	7.5%	0.8%	0.72	3.36	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	11	11	50	196	51	16	1	100%	4.5	26.0%	8.2%	17.9%	0.5%	0.72	2.27	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	10	10	46	193	40	22	2	100%	4.6	14.1%	14.2%	-0.2%	1.8%	2.76	4.72	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	10	10	46	193	40	22	2	100%	4.6	14.1%	14.2%	-0.2%	1.8%	2.76	4.72	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	10	10	46	193	40	22	2	100%	4.6	20.7%	11.4%	9.3%	1.0%	2.76	3.36	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	12	8	40	181	30	25	0	67%	3.3	11.3%	17.3%	-6.0%	0.0%	4.95	4.34	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	12	8	40	181	30	25	0	67%	3.3	11.3%	17.3%	-6.0%	0.0%	4.95	4.34	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	12	8	40	181	30	25	0	67%	3.3	16.6%	13.8%	2.8%	0.0%	4.95	3.48	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	1	39	178	34	13	6	6%	2.3	12.1%	9.8%	2.3%	3.3%	5.35	5.12	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	1	39	178	34	13	6	6%	2.3	12.1%	9.8%	2.3%	3.3%	5.35	5.12	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	1	39	178	34	13	6	6%	2.3	19.1%	7.3%	11.8%	3.4%	5.35	4.37	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	PHI	2	0	2	8	1	1	0	0%	1.0	17.6%	12.4%	5.2%	2.9%	5.17	5.17	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PHI	35	0	37	156	30	17	5	0%	1.1	19.2%	11.2%	8.0%	2.9%	4.95	4.87	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	PHI	15	0	16	68	13	8	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	11.2%	8.0%	2.9%	4.95	4.87	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	67	13	7	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	11.2%	8.0%	2.9%	4.95	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	89	25	0%	1.1	19.2%	11.2%	8.0%	2.9%	4.95	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		50	30	174	748	104	96	11	60%	3.5	13.9%	12.9%	1.0%	1.5%	3.26	4.36	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	34	200	860	119	111	13	60%	3.5	13.9%	12.9%	1.0%	1.5%	3.26	4.36	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Maxwel Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.17	17.6%	12.4%	2.9%	—	4.87	19.2%	8.0%	37	-0.30	—	—	—
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	87
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	83
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	83
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	82
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	81
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	81
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	80
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	78
Houston Roth R 2021 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	16.4%	10.5%	2.9%	.263	4.83	20.8%	8.3%	228	+0.20	3.79	406	78
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.53	17.5%	5.2%	170	-0.49	3.97	187	78
Matt Marsh R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	24	SW	4.14	15.5%	10.7%	1.8%	.275	3.65	20.5%	11.4%	70	-0.49	3.13	143	78
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	78
Axel Rios R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	23	SW	4.70	13.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.06	15.2%	3.2%	97	-0.64	3.50	153	78
Michael Santos R 2018 · 4.41 FIP	23	SW	4.41	17.4%	9.1%	2.9%	.289	4.87	15.0%	6.4%	49	+0.46	2.26	276	77
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	77
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.4%	13.8%	142	-2.14	2.93	176	76
Jheyson Caraballo R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	21	SW	5.25	11.9%	10.6%	3.3%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	101	76
Juan Mercedes R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	21	SW	4.33	18.5%	12.2%	2.3%	.321	4.86	17.0%	3.6%	59	+0.53	4.33	116	76
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	76
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	18.6%	11.6%	1.13	5.03
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77