Shane Panzini
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137128vR 119
ERA5.26
FIP5.26
K%18.2%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%6.8%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 92 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 17 | 17 | 63 | 283 | 66 | 38 | 9 | 100% | 3.7 | 17.3% | 15.8% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.00 | 5.42 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 17 | 17 | 63 | 283 | 66 | 38 | 9 | 100% | 3.7 | 23.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 5.00 | 4.67 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 97 | 434 | 105 | 56 | 11 | 100% | 4.4 | 18.3% | 15.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 5.29 | 4.70 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 97 | 434 | 105 | 56 | 11 | 100% | 4.4 | 24.2% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 2.5% | 5.29 | 4.14 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 16 | 7 | 51 | 219 | 48 | 26 | 8 | 44% | 3.2 | 16.9% | 13.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.29 | 6.14 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 16 | 7 | 51 | 219 | 48 | 26 | 8 | 44% | 3.2 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 5.29 | 4.79 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 17 | 109 | 471 | 114 | 47 | 14 | 65% | 4.2 | 19.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 3.39 | 4.58 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 17 | 109 | 471 | 114 | 47 | 14 | 65% | 4.2 | 24.2% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 3.39 | 3.97 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 13 | 3 | 25 | 122 | 21 | 18 | 10 | 23% | 1.9 | 15.1% | 15.5% | -0.3% | 9.0% | 10.22 | 8.73 | -1.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | KC | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 52 | 32 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 5.26 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | KC | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 5.26 | 5.26 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | KC | — | — | 92 | 406 | 73 | 50 | 20 | — | — | 17.9% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.59 | 6.19 | -1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | KC | — | — | 7 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 18.2% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 5.26 | 4.88 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | KC | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 55 | 30 | 10 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 5.08 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | KC | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 57 | 30 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.98 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | KC | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 56 | 29 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 4.95 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | KC | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 54 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 4.99 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | KC | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 5.08 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | KC | 8 | 8 | 47 | 198 | 39 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.98 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | KC | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 44 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 4.95 | 4.96 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | KC | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 4.99 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 38 | 32 | 195 | 823 | 162 | 86 | 28 | 84% | 5.1 | 19.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 5.00 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 32 | 200 | 844 | 166 | 88 | 29 | 83% | 5.1 | 19.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 5.00 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 94 | 66 | 345 | 1529 | 276 | 211 | 56 | 70% | 3.7 | 18.0% | 13.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.99 | 5.33 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 38 | 200 | 887 | 160 | 122 | 32 | 70% | 3.7 | 18.0% | 13.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.99 | 5.33 | +0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Shane Panzini (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.26 | 18.2% | 11.4% | 3.4% | — | 4.98 | 19.6% | 9.2% | 203 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 88 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 86 |
| Carlos Sano R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 86 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 85 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 83 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 82 |
| Matt Peacock R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.22 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .300 | 4.20 | 13.6% | 5.2% | 202 | -0.02 | 3.96 | 354 | 81 |
| Matt Ager R 2025 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 146 | 81 |
| Houston Roth R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.40 | 19.3% | 11.2% | 2.7% | .306 | 4.83 | 21.2% | 8.3% | 168 | +0.43 | 3.57 | 389 | 81 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 81 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 81 |
| Grant Ford R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 80 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.55 | 19.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.24 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 143 | -0.31 | 3.72 | 283 | 80 |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.52 | 19.4% | 12.5% | 4.5% | .257 | 5.02 | 18.7% | 3.7% | 127 | -0.50 | 4.07 | 378 | 80 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.46 | 14.7% | 10.6% | 4.1% | .330 | 4.19 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 139 | -1.27 | 3.27 | 339 | 80 |
| Matt Marsh R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.87 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.34 | 3.13 | 143 | 80 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 80 |
| Ryan Long R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.90 | 15.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .239 | 4.63 | 17.0% | 6.5% | 132 | -0.27 | 4.13 | 405 | 80 |
| Matt Ball R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.63 | 21.3% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 312 | 79 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.22 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .293 | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 274 | -0.65 | 4.00 | 512 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 67 | 19.3% | 10.6% | 1.31 | 5.05 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |