Eudry Alcantara — OGILVIE

Eudry Alcantara P Hill City Howlers

Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 150 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151143vR 135

ERA6.21

FIP6.21

K%16.8%

BB%20.8%

K-BB%-4.0%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Red	4	0	6	25	4	3	1	0%	1.4	16.0%	12.0%	4.0%	4.0%	6.35	5.46	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Red	4	0	6	25	4	3	1	0%	1.4	16.0%	12.0%	4.0%	4.0%	6.35	5.57	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	11	11	43	202	34	31	4	100%	3.9	11.4%	19.2%	-7.7%	2.7%	7.33	6.03	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	11	11	43	202	34	31	4	100%	3.9	11.4%	19.2%	-7.7%	2.7%	7.33	6.03	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	11	11	43	202	34	31	4	100%	3.9	16.8%	15.3%	1.5%	2.0%	7.33	4.89	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	8	3	10	62	15	17	2	38%	1.3	16.5%	34.3%	-17.8%	4.6%	12.19	8.57	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	8	3	10	62	15	17	2	38%	1.3	16.5%	34.3%	-17.8%	4.6%	12.19	8.57	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	8	3	10	62	15	17	2	38%	1.3	24.2%	27.4%	-3.2%	3.2%	12.19	7.65	—
2025	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	30	0	36	167	28	31	0	0%	1.2	12.4%	21.9%	-9.5%	0.0%	4.79	4.83	—
2025	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	30	0	36	167	28	31	0	0%	1.2	12.4%	21.9%	-9.5%	0.0%	4.79	4.83	—
2025	20	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	30	0	36	167	28	31	0	0%	1.2	16.8%	18.6%	-1.8%	0.0%	4.79	4.14	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	20	0	25	126	32	25	6	0%	1.3	18.8%	23.4%	-4.6%	6.2%	7.46	7.88	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	20	0	25	126	32	25	6	0%	1.3	18.8%	23.4%	-4.6%	6.2%	7.46	7.88	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	CLE	20	0	25	126	32	25	6	0%	1.3	25.4%	19.8%	5.6%	4.8%	7.46	6.08	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CLE	32	0	34	142	27	25	4	0%	1.1	19.0%	17.2%	1.8%	2.7%	5.74	5.55	-0.4
2027	22	MLB CTX	CLE	16	0	17	72	14	12	2	0%	1.1	19.0%	17.2%	1.8%	2.7%	5.74	5.55	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	70	13	12	2	0%	1.0	19.0%	17.2%	1.8%	2.7%	5.74	5.17	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	157	145	24	0%	1.1	19.0%	17.2%	1.8%	2.7%	5.74	5.17	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		73	14	120	582	82	129	17	19%	1.6	14.0%	22.2%	-8.1%	2.9%	6.98	6.33	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		122	23	200	970	136	215	28	19%	1.6	14.0%	22.2%	-8.1%	2.9%	6.98	6.33	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eudry Alcantara (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.21	16.8%	20.8%	2.8%	—	5.55	19.0%	1.8%	34	-0.66	—	—	—
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	87
Tommy McCollum R 2021 · 6.21 FIP	22	SU	6.21	17.1%	27.2%	2.0%	.235	3.80	26.4%	10.9%	112	-2.41	2.90	219	87
Andrew Moore R 2021 · 6.58 FIP	21	SU	6.58	12.9%	21.8%	3.3%	.263	3.75	26.5%	8.4%	103	-2.83	3.44	207	87
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	86
Jaydenn Estanista R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	21	SU	6.67	16.7%	25.7%	3.1%	.348	4.95	21.5%	5.6%	143	-1.72	4.59	230	85
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	85
Brett Hanewich R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	22	SU	5.18	15.9%	17.6%	2.2%	.372	4.32	20.3%	2.8%	108	-0.86	4.24	134	85
Bryce McGowan R 2022 · 5.90 FIP	22	SU	5.90	17.0%	22.9%	2.4%	.368	4.36	20.6%	6.6%	145	-1.54	3.71	178	85
Omar Ventura R 2018 · 5.82 FIP	21	SU	5.82	15.8%	21.6%	2.4%	.254	3.53	19.5%	3.1%	30	-2.29	3.53	125	85
Cole Ayers R 2022 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	13.0%	15.4%	2.9%	.305	4.01	21.2%	10.1%	152	-1.57	3.58	171	84
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	84
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	83
Samuel Fabian R 2023 · 6.61 FIP	20	SU	6.61	16.8%	27.4%	2.7%	.352	4.33	17.2%	4.8%	64	-2.28	4.21	120	83
Ramon Sanchez R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	21	SU	6.06	14.8%	23.6%	2.2%	.200	5.00	16.9%	-6.3%	70	-1.06	3.36	103	83
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	83
Christian Rodriguez R 2023 · 5.51 FIP	18	SU	5.51	15.5%	21.4%	1.8%	.268	4.93	17.0%	1.1%	169	-0.58	4.34	183	83
Edward Baram R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	22	SU	5.05	18.5%	22.7%	1.2%	.354	5.57	15.4%	0.5%	95	+0.52	5.05	119	82
Brendan Hardy R 2021 · 6.99 FIP	21	SU	6.99	15.9%	33.1%	1.9%	.324	3.67	22.9%	7.9%	83	-3.32	2.54	137	82
Jeison Pena R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	20	SU	5.53	16.3%	20.9%	2.1%	.289	4.36	13.9%	-2.5%	43	-1.17	3.40	161	82
Jairo Beras R 2017 · 6.07 FIP	22	SU	6.07	16.4%	16.9%	4.0%	.237	4.35	20.7%	4.5%	96	-1.72	3.48	110	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	18.2%	18.4%	1.06	5.90
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77