Jeison Pena — OGILVIE

Jeison Pena P Carolina Mudcats

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 165 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.42

FIP5.42

K%18.9%

BB%15.5%

K-BB%3.4%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	11	2	28	131	35	18	1	18%	2.5	18.2%	17.2%	1.0%	1.1%	5.14	4.35	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Gold	11	2	28	131	35	18	1	18%	2.5	26.7%	13.7%	13.0%	0.8%	5.14	2.99	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	2	46	205	64	32	1	8%	1.9	23.9%	15.5%	8.5%	0.7%	3.30	3.40	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	2	46	205	64	32	1	8%	1.9	31.2%	15.6%	15.6%	0.5%	3.30	2.69	—
2023	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	36	0	46	231	51	41	4	0%	1.3	16.3%	20.9%	-4.6%	2.1%	7.96	5.53	—
2023	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	36	0	46	231	51	41	4	0%	1.3	16.3%	20.9%	-4.6%	2.1%	7.96	5.53	—
2023	20	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	36	0	46	231	51	41	4	0%	1.3	22.1%	17.7%	4.3%	1.7%	7.96	4.68	—
2024	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	30	0	43	187	35	26	1	0%	1.4	13.9%	16.4%	-2.6%	0.6%	5.02	4.36	—
2024	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	30	0	43	187	35	26	1	0%	1.4	13.9%	16.4%	-2.6%	0.6%	5.02	4.36	—
2024	21	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	30	0	43	187	35	26	1	0%	1.4	18.7%	13.9%	4.8%	0.5%	5.02	3.59	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	MIL	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.9%	15.5%	3.4%	2.9%	5.42	5.42	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIL	38	0	40	168	34	23	5	0%	1.0	20.2%	13.5%	6.7%	2.8%	5.15	5.05	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIL	16	0	17	72	14	10	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.5%	6.7%	2.8%	5.15	5.05	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	72	14	10	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.5%	6.7%	2.8%	5.15	4.67	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	118	24	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.5%	6.7%	2.8%	5.15	4.67	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		101	4	164	754	136	133	9	4%	1.6	18.1%	17.7%	0.4%	1.2%	5.39	4.45	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	5	200	921	167	163	11	4%	1.6	18.1%	17.7%	0.4%	1.2%	5.39	4.45	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeison Pena (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.42	18.9%	15.5%	2.9%	—	5.05	20.2%	6.7%	40	-0.37	—	—	—
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	91
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	91
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	90
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	89
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	89
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	89
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	88
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	88
Cayne Ueckert R 2019 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	17.5%	14.9%	1.4%	.306	5.92	22.7%	5.0%	78	+1.66	3.95	205	88
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	87
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	280	87
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	87
Ben Hecht R 2018 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	18.3%	14.4%	1.9%	.265	4.51	22.7%	9.8%	58	+0.12	4.39	155	87
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	87
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	86
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	86
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	86
Gabriel Ponce R 2022 · 4.45 FIP	23	SU	4.45	20.5%	14.5%	2.3%	.238	4.61	23.9%	9.0%	61	+0.16	4.45	161	86
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	86
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	86

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	19.7%	14.3%	1.10	5.26
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91