Jeison Pena
P
Carolina Mudcats
Age 23
RHP
6'1" / 165 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122112vR 103
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
K%22.1%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Brewers Gold | 11 | 2 | 28 | 131 | 35 | 18 | 1 | 18% | 2.5 | 18.2% | 17.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 5.14 | 4.37 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Brewers Gold | 11 | 2 | 28 | 131 | 35 | 18 | 1 | 18% | 2.5 | 26.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 0.8% | 5.14 | 2.99 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 2 | 46 | 205 | 64 | 32 | 1 | 8% | 1.9 | 23.9% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 0.6% | 3.30 | 3.36 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 2 | 46 | 205 | 64 | 32 | 1 | 8% | 1.9 | 31.2% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 0.5% | 3.30 | 2.69 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 36 | 0 | 46 | 231 | 51 | 41 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.3% | 20.9% | -4.6% | 2.0% | 7.96 | 5.45 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 36 | 0 | 46 | 231 | 51 | 41 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.1% | 17.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 7.96 | 4.68 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 30 | 0 | 43 | 187 | 35 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 13.9% | 16.4% | -2.6% | 0.6% | 5.02 | 4.33 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 30 | 0 | 43 | 187 | 35 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.7% | 13.9% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 5.02 | 3.59 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | MIL | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 26 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 3.99 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 87 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 101 | 4 | 164 | 754 | 136 | 133 | 8 | 4% | 1.6 | 18.1% | 17.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 5.39 | 4.42 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 123 | 5 | 200 | 921 | 167 | 163 | 10 | 4% | 1.6 | 18.1% | 17.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 5.39 | 4.42 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeison Pena (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 2.9% | — | 4.37 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 27 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 95 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 91 |
| Luke Bell R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 91 |
| Owen Holt R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 91 |
| Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 90 |
| Peyton Williams R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 89 |
| Michael Gomez R 2025 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 89 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 4.09 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 134 | +0.14 | 3.24 | 172 | 89 |
| Tyler Bray R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .356 | 3.17 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 114 | -0.91 | 2.81 | 152 | 88 |
| Cole Gordon R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 88 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 88 |
| Austin Smith R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 88 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2028 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 88 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 88 |
| Kyle Martin R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 88 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 87 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 87 |
| Joey Stock R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.38 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .275 | 5.22 | 22.5% | 6.8% | 95 | +1.84 | 3.38 | 121 | 87 |
| Shane Broyles R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.90 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.59 | 25.7% | 14.5% | 159 | -0.31 | 3.10 | 218 | 87 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.45 | 23.0% | 11.7% | 3.3% | .278 | 6.27 | 16.7% | -8.5% | 36 | +1.82 | 4.27 | 103 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 1.10 | 4.47 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |