Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 15 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 26 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.5% | 14.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.90 | 4.26 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 15 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 26 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 1.0% | 1.90 | 2.97 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 31 | 114 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 1.45 | 4.42 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 31 | 114 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.5% | 10.5% | 21.9% | 2.6% | 1.45 | 3.13 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 39 | 1 | 50 | 256 | 63 | 50 | 12 | 3% | 1.3 | 21.7% | 20.5% | 1.1% | 5.2% | 7.74 | 6.72 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 39 | 1 | 50 | 256 | 63 | 50 | 12 | 3% | 1.3 | 24.6% | 19.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.74 | 6.70 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 36 | 0 | 39 | 173 | 50 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 4.58 | 3.88 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 36 | 0 | 39 | 173 | 50 | 22 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.9% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 1.7% | 4.58 | 3.23 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 35 | 160 | 38 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.35 | 6.11 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 35 | 160 | 38 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 5.35 | 4.32 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 28 | 0 | 30 | 143 | 35 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 16.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.46 | 5.81 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 28 | 0 | 30 | 143 | 35 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 5.46 | 4.72 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 18 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 4.95 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 5.01 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 5.01 | 5.09 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 5.01 | 4.71 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 96 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 5.01 | 4.71 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 175 | 1 | 209 | 947 | 200 | 151 | 36 | 1% | 1.2 | 21.1% | 15.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.82 | 5.42 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 167 | 1 | 200 | 906 | 191 | 144 | 34 | 1% | 1.2 | 21.1% | 15.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.82 | 5.42 | -0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cayne Ueckert (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.95 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 3.3% | — | 5.09 | 21.6% | 9.7% | 20 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 91 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 89 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 83 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 82 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.61 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.71 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.90 | 3.62 | 164 | 81 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 80 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 80 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 79 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 78 |
| Jean Machi R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 77 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.97 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .301 | 4.06 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | +0.09 | 1.74 | 468 | 77 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.70 | 19.9% | 14.1% | 4.5% | .261 | 3.75 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 101 | -1.95 | 2.59 | 309 | 76 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .288 | 4.75 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.99 | 2.71 | 392 | 76 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 75 |
| Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 75 |
| Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 74 |
| Louis Coleman R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.00 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .288 | 3.66 | 22.0% | 10.9% | 144 | -0.34 | 3.03 | 256 | 74 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 74 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.66 | 18.3% | 10.2% | 3.3% | .245 | 4.56 | 23.0% | 12.4% | 49 | -0.10 | 1.74 | 195 | 74 |
| Roman Mendez R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.58 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.3% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 74 |