Cayne Ueckert P Knoxville Smokies
Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 112
ERA4.95
FIP4.95
K%21.9%
BB%11.9%
K-BB%10.0%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +0.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.09 (18 IP)-0.1WAR
-0.1-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201923ROKAZL Cubs 215024101261210%1.617.5%14.9%2.7%1.4%1.904.26
201923ROKAZL Cubs 215024101261210%1.625.7%11.9%13.9%1.0%1.902.97
202125MIX2 levels26031114371230%1.224.6%12.9%11.7%3.2%1.454.42
202125MIX2 levels26031114371230%1.232.5%10.5%21.9%2.6%1.453.13
202226AAAIowa Cubs391502566350123%1.321.7%20.5%1.1%5.2%7.746.72
202226AAAIowa Cubs391502566350123%1.324.6%19.5%5.1%4.7%7.746.70
202327AATennessee Smokies36039173502230%1.123.4%14.0%9.4%1.8%4.583.88
202327AATennessee Smokies36039173502230%1.128.9%12.7%16.2%1.7%4.583.23
202428MIX2 levels31035160381850%1.118.7%12.7%6.0%5.4%5.356.11
202428MIX2 levels31035160381850%1.123.8%11.2%12.5%3.1%5.354.32
202529AAKnoxville Smokies28030143352240%1.119.8%16.9%2.9%4.1%5.465.81
202529AAKnoxville Smokies28030143352240%1.124.5%15.4%9.1%2.8%5.464.72
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBCHC180187817930%1.021.9%11.9%10.0%3.3%4.954.95-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBCHC1902084181030%1.121.6%12.0%9.7%3.5%5.015.09-0.1
202731MLBCHC606255310%1.021.6%12.0%9.7%3.5%5.015.09-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career606266310%1.021.6%12.0%9.7%3.5%5.014.71-0.0
/ 200 IP190020084419296320%1.121.6%12.0%9.7%3.5%5.014.71+1.6
Career1751209947200151361%1.221.1%15.9%5.2%3.8%4.825.42-0.1
/ 200 IP1671200906191144341%1.221.1%15.9%5.2%3.8%4.825.42-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Cayne Ueckert (OGILVIE) 4.95 21.9%11.9%3.3% 5.09 21.6%9.7%20 +0.14
Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 91
Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 89
Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 83
Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 82
Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.61 FIP 30 SU 4.61 17.1%10.2%3.0%.338 3.71 11.6%6.3%75 -0.90 3.62 164 81
David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 30 SU 4.32 22.9%7.6%4.0%.287 3.20 24.9%18.4%192 -1.12 2.56 268 80
Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 30 SU 4.18 22.2%11.1%2.8%.349 3.44 17.4%8.5%65 -0.74 3.07 227 80
Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP 31 SU 5.03 19.1%9.4%4.3%.253 3.84 17.2%8.0%67 -1.19 3.73 132 79
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 30 SU 4.81 18.6%7.6%4.2%.373 3.58 18.5%9.3%93 -1.23 3.37 170 78
Jean Machi R 2029 · 4.50 FIP 33 SU 4.50 16.3%8.6%3.1%.276 4.06 18.5%11.9%128 -0.44 3.92 186 77
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP 30 SU 3.97 24.4%11.8%2.6%.301 4.06 24.1%15.2%140 +0.09 1.74 468 77
Taylor Williams R 2026 · 5.70 FIP 30 SU 5.70 19.9%14.1%4.5%.261 3.75 18.9%8.4%101 -1.95 2.59 309 76
Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 30 SU 3.76 23.3%8.5%2.8%.288 4.75 20.6%9.9%86 +0.99 2.71 392 76
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2029 · 4.40 FIP 33 SU 4.40 26.2%11.2%3.8%.263 3.99 18.1%6.8%51 -0.41 3.99 104 75
Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 75
Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.86 FIP 29 SU 3.86 19.5%7.3%2.7%.289 4.49 19.4%8.4%10 +0.63 2.36 172 74
Louis Coleman R 2026 · 4.00 FIP 30 SU 4.00 21.3%10.4%2.5%.288 3.66 22.0%10.9%144 -0.34 3.03 256 74
Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 23.4%8.8%3.9%.245 2.96 160 74
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 30 SU 4.66 18.3%10.2%3.3%.245 4.56 23.0%12.4%49 -0.10 1.74 195 74
Roman Mendez R 2025 · 4.58 FIP 29 SU 4.58 20.8%11.1%3.3%.276 4.12 230 74