Cole Ayers
P
Somerset Patriots
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 185 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.65
FIP4.65
K%21.1%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%10.0%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 13 | 0 | 19 | 89 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 13.0% | 15.4% | -2.5% | 2.8% | 5.68 | 5.49 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 13 | 0 | 19 | 89 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.1% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 5.68 | 4.42 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 64 | 275 | 86 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 2.1% | 3.64 | 3.52 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 64 | 275 | 86 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.3% | 8.4% | 22.9% | 1.8% | 3.64 | 2.51 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 64 | 268 | 78 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.1% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 2.5% | 3.36 | 3.86 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 64 | 268 | 78 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 29.1% | 9.7% | 19.4% | 2.2% | 3.36 | 3.10 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 1 | 39 | 175 | 34 | 23 | 3 | 3% | 1.2 | 15.2% | 15.6% | -0.5% | 2.2% | 4.42 | 5.00 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 1 | 39 | 175 | 34 | 23 | 3 | 3% | 1.2 | 19.4% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 4.42 | 4.13 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 24 | 0 | 25 | 105 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.28 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 172 | 86 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 134 | 1 | 186 | 807 | 162 | 94 | 19 | 1% | 1.4 | 20.0% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 3.91 | 4.17 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 144 | 1 | 200 | 866 | 174 | 101 | 20 | 1% | 1.4 | 20.0% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 3.91 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cole Ayers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.65 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 2.8% | — | 4.66 | 21.3% | 10.3% | 25 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 89 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 88 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 88 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 87 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 86 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 86 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 84 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 84 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.03 | 1.61 | 124 | 84 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .289 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 12.1% | 62 | +0.52 | 3.68 | 181 | 83 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 83 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 83 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 83 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 83 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.15 | 3.43 | 187 | 83 |
| Zach Bryant R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.82 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 3.7% | .313 | 4.72 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 84 | -0.10 | 4.36 | 194 | 83 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .306 | 3.61 | 20.1% | 13.5% | 54 | -0.24 | 2.88 | 157 | 82 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 18.4% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .289 | 5.36 | 18.9% | 6.1% | 33 | +1.40 | 3.96 | 242 | 82 |
| Carlos Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 18.2% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .266 | 4.15 | 14.3% | 2.3% | 36 | +0.27 | 3.73 | 154 | 82 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 25 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 1.11 | 4.65 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |