Andrew Moore — OGILVIE

Andrew Moore P Altoona Curve

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 207 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 116

ERA5.24

FIP5.24

K%26.7%

BB%21.1%

K-BB%5.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL2020

CMD4545

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	19	96	16	18	2	0%	1.4	12.9%	21.8%	-8.9%	3.3%	6.98	6.58	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	19	96	16	18	2	0%	1.4	16.7%	18.8%	-2.1%	2.1%	6.98	5.58	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	2	42	193	73	29	1	6%	1.3	27.9%	17.9%	10.0%	0.8%	4.29	3.44	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	2	42	193	73	29	1	6%	1.3	37.8%	15.0%	22.8%	0.5%	4.29	2.00	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	19	78	29	11	1	0%	1.3	24.1%	18.0%	6.1%	2.1%	4.34	4.47	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	19	78	29	11	1	0%	1.3	24.1%	18.0%	6.1%	2.1%	4.34	4.47	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	19	78	29	11	1	0%	1.3	37.2%	14.1%	23.1%	1.3%	4.34	2.46	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	59	261	93	41	3	0%	1.7	26.1%	18.5%	7.6%	1.0%	3.79	3.80	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	59	261	93	41	3	0%	1.7	26.1%	18.5%	7.6%	1.0%	3.79	3.80	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	59	261	93	41	3	0%	1.7	35.6%	15.7%	19.9%	1.1%	3.79	2.70	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	47	221	68	43	2	0%	1.2	25.3%	21.4%	4.0%	1.2%	5.17	4.33	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	47	221	68	43	2	0%	1.2	25.3%	21.4%	4.0%	1.2%	5.17	4.33	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	47	221	68	43	2	0%	1.2	30.8%	19.5%	11.3%	0.9%	5.17	3.50	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	32	0	41	186	65	44	1	0%	1.3	28.5%	24.0%	4.5%	0.6%	3.29	4.06	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	32	0	41	186	65	44	1	0%	1.3	28.5%	24.0%	4.5%	0.6%	3.29	4.06	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	SD	22	0	26	110	48	25	0	0%	1.2	43.6%	22.7%	20.9%	0.0%	1.71	2.29	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	SD	10	0	15	76	17	19	1	0%	1.5	22.4%	25.0%	-2.6%	1.3%	6.14	5.10	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	SD	5	0	5	23	6	5	1	0%	1.1	26.7%	21.1%	5.6%	2.5%	5.24	5.24	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	SD	—	—	46	209	71	49	2	—	—	34.0%	23.4%	10.7%	0.7%	3.52	4.19	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SD	56	0	59	247	65	49	6	0%	1.0	26.4%	19.9%	6.4%	2.6%	5.17	5.19	-0.4
2028	28	MLB MLE	SD	54	0	57	240	62	46	6	0%	1.1	26.0%	19.3%	6.7%	2.7%	5.16	5.21	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	SD	21	0	22	93	24	19	2	0%	1.0	26.4%	19.9%	6.4%	2.6%	5.17	5.19	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	SD	32	0	34	144	37	28	4	0%	1.1	26.0%	19.3%	6.7%	2.7%	5.16	5.21	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	56	236	62	46	6	0%	1.1	26.1%	19.5%	6.6%	2.6%	5.16	4.82	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	222	164	21	0%	1.1	26.1%	19.5%	6.6%	2.6%	5.16	4.82	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		165	2	227	1035	262	210	13	1%	1.4	25.3%	20.3%	5.1%	1.2%	4.39	4.20	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	2	200	911	231	184	11	1%	1.4	25.3%	20.3%	5.1%	1.2%	4.39	4.20	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Moore (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.24	26.7%	21.1%	2.5%	—	5.20	26.2%	6.6%	115	-0.04	—	—	—
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	84
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	83
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	81
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	80
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	79
Chris Perry R 2016 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.3%	19.3%	0.9%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	113	79
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	79
Dario Beltre R 2019 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.4%	17.0%	1.4%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	110	79
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	79
Michael Stryffeler R 2022 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	30.4%	17.3%	2.8%	.277	4.89	19.4%	1.1%	33	+0.65	2.43	140	78
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	78
Matt Seelinger R 2021 · 5.37 FIP	26	SU	5.37	28.8%	18.3%	4.3%	.312	4.58	24.8%	12.2%	116	-0.79	3.13	368	78
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	78
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	78
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	78
Eduardo Herrera R 2023 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.9%	16.8%	2.5%	.397	4.26	21.8%	3.6%	75	-0.40	4.13	127	78
Addison Russ R 2021 · 4.58 FIP	26	SU	4.58	24.3%	15.5%	2.9%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	194	78
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	77
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	77
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	26.4%	20.1%	0.99	5.19
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22