Wilmer Ortega
P
FCL Cardinals
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 169 lbs
ROK
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.2%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Blue | 12 | 12 | 55 | 233 | 39 | 17 | 1 | 100% | 4.6 | 11.4% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 2.77 | 3.62 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Blue | 12 | 12 | 55 | 233 | 39 | 17 | 1 | 100% | 4.6 | 16.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 0.4% | 2.77 | 2.85 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 11 | 11 | 39 | 180 | 39 | 26 | 2 | 100% | 3.5 | 14.7% | 18.1% | -3.3% | 1.4% | 4.85 | 4.91 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 11 | 11 | 39 | 180 | 39 | 26 | 2 | 100% | 3.5 | 21.7% | 14.4% | 7.2% | 1.1% | 4.85 | 3.77 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 14 | 7 | 34 | 142 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 50% | 2.4 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | 3.18 | 3.86 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 14 | 7 | 34 | 142 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 50% | 2.4 | 26.8% | 6.3% | 20.4% | 2.1% | 3.18 | 2.81 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 1 | 28 | 127 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 6% | 1.6 | 14.2% | 18.2% | -3.9% | 3.3% | 4.50 | 5.99 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 1 | 28 | 127 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 6% | 1.6 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 4.50 | 4.17 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 14 | 60 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 6.43 | 5.62 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 14 | 60 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.0% | 6.7% | 23.3% | 5.0% | 6.43 | 4.17 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | STL | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | STL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | STL | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 3.96 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 70 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 66 | 31 | 170 | 742 | 108 | 94 | 15 | 47% | 2.6 | 14.6% | 12.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.91 | 4.55 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 36 | 200 | 871 | 127 | 110 | 17 | 47% | 2.6 | 14.6% | 12.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.91 | 4.55 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wilmer Ortega (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.34 | 23.4% | 14.1% | 20 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 82 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 77 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 77 |
| Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .316 | 2.73 | 28.3% | 20.8% | 219 | -1.82 | 1.96 | 948 | 77 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 75 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 74 |
| Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 74 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 73 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 72 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 72 |
| Alex Pham R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.48 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .317 | 3.80 | 23.3% | 8.6% | 38 | +0.32 | 3.48 | 331 | 71 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 71 |
| Dylan King R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 70 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 70 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 69 |
| Brock Stewart R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.92 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.28 | 16.6% | 7.8% | 224 | +1.36 | 1.51 | 596 | 69 |
| Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 69 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 69 |
| Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 69 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 4.1% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 318 | 68 |