Trennor O'Donnell

Trennor O'Donnell P Greenville Drive

Age 25 RHP 6'7" / 240 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.73

FIP4.73

K%19.5%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	20	6	63	288	71	21	3	30%	3.1	18.2%	8.6%	9.6%	1.5%	4.00	3.45	—
2024	23	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	20	6	63	288	71	21	3	30%	3.1	18.2%	8.6%	9.6%	1.5%	4.00	3.45	—
2024	23	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	20	6	63	288	71	21	3	30%	3.1	24.7%	7.3%	17.4%	1.0%	4.00	2.47	—
2025	24	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	7	2	23	106	24	13	1	29%	3.3	16.8%	14.5%	2.3%	1.4%	4.70	4.27	—
2025	24	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	7	2	23	106	24	13	1	29%	3.3	16.8%	14.5%	2.3%	1.4%	4.70	4.27	—
2025	24	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	7	2	23	106	24	13	1	29%	3.3	22.6%	12.3%	10.4%	0.9%	4.70	3.27	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	15	4	38	164	35	16	10	27%	2.5	11.5%	12.7%	-1.1%	8.8%	6.69	8.53	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	15	4	38	164	35	16	10	27%	2.5	11.5%	12.7%	-1.1%	8.8%	6.69	8.53	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	BOS	3	3	7	28	10	4	0	100%	2.4	35.7%	14.3%	21.4%	0.0%	2.45	1.89	—
2026	25	A RAW	BOS	3	1	9	36	10	1	3	33%	3.0	27.8%	2.8%	25.0%	8.3%	4.00	5.68	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	BOS	9	0	21	100	15	11	7	0%	2.4	15.0%	11.0%	4.0%	7.0%	9.28	7.07	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BOS	54	0	57	239	49	25	7	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.6%	9.7%	2.8%	4.67	4.65	-0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	BOS	53	0	56	236	48	25	7	0%	1.1	20.5%	10.6%	10.0%	2.9%	4.66	4.67	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	BOS	23	0	24	101	21	11	3	0%	1.0	20.3%	10.6%	9.7%	2.8%	4.67	4.65	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	BOS	33	0	35	148	30	16	4	0%	1.1	20.5%	10.6%	10.0%	2.9%	4.66	4.67	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		57	0	59	251	51	27	7	0%	1.0	20.4%	10.6%	9.9%	2.9%	4.66	4.28	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	91	24	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.6%	9.9%	2.9%	4.66	4.28	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		42	12	124	558	89	61	20	29%	2.9	16.0%	10.9%	5.1%	3.6%	4.95	5.10	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	19	200	902	144	98	32	29%	2.9	16.0%	10.9%	5.1%	3.6%	4.95	5.10	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trennor O'Donnell (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.73	19.5%	10.8%	2.8%	—	4.66	20.4%	9.9%	112	-0.07	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	89
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	82
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	80
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	80
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	79
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	79
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	78
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	77
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	77
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	76
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	76
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	76
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	75
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	75
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	75
Irving Jimenez R 2015 · 3.63 FIP	25	SW	3.63	18.5%	12.8%	0.9%	.313	4.04	14.1%	1.7%	50	+0.41	3.63	104	75
Phil Klein R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	26	SW	3.86	18.1%	11.0%	1.6%	.280	3.10	24.5%	17.9%	97	-0.76	3.10	178	75
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	74
Seth McGarry R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	17.1%	9.6%	3.2%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	261	74
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	45	20.3%	10.6%	1.10	4.68
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64