Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 11 | 10 | 41 | 179 | 28 | 18 | 3 | 91% | 3.7 | 10.6% | 12.6% | -1.9% | 2.3% | 4.17 | 5.04 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 11 | 10 | 41 | 179 | 28 | 18 | 3 | 91% | 3.7 | 15.6% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 4.17 | 4.00 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 13 | 52 | 250 | 50 | 38 | 3 | 93% | 3.7 | 14.6% | 17.7% | -3.1% | 2.2% | 4.13 | 5.30 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 13 | 52 | 250 | 50 | 38 | 3 | 93% | 3.7 | 20.0% | 15.2% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 4.13 | 4.11 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 15 | 62 | 264 | 58 | 34 | 3 | 88% | 3.6 | 15.3% | 15.8% | -0.5% | 1.9% | 2.61 | 4.87 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 15 | 62 | 264 | 58 | 34 | 3 | 88% | 3.6 | 22.0% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 1.1% | 2.61 | 3.50 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 7 | 30 | 136 | 43 | 30 | 1 | 54% | 2.3 | 27.1% | 20.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.37 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 7 | 30 | 136 | 43 | 30 | 1 | 54% | 2.3 | 31.6% | 22.1% | 9.6% | 0.7% | 5.40 | 3.67 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 25 | 0 | 33 | 169 | 47 | 36 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.9% | 24.9% | -4.0% | 3.0% | 9.92 | 6.14 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIA | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.55 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 55 | 262 | 68 | 46 | 7 | — | — | 25.9% | 17.6% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 7.76 | 5.50 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIA | 22 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 4.40 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 4.40 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 4.40 | 3.93 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 88 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 4.40 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 80 | 45 | 218 | 998 | 168 | 178 | 20 | 56% | 2.7 | 16.8% | 17.8% | -1.0% | 2.0% | 4.75 | 5.02 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 41 | 200 | 916 | 154 | 163 | 18 | 56% | 2.7 | 16.8% | 17.8% | -1.0% | 2.0% | 4.75 | 5.02 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Juan De La Cruz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.31 | 23.4% | 13.5% | 23 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| Carson Rudd R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 84 |
| Juan Mendez R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 83 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 82 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 82 |
| Brendan Collins R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 81 |
| Breidy Encarnación R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.48 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 1.9% | .222 | 3.47 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 67 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 164 | 80 |
| Eiberson Castellano R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.94 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 189 | -0.01 | 3.69 | 348 | 80 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 80 |
| Simon Mathews R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 79 |
| Franco Aleman R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 79 |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 79 |
| Cole Stapler R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 79 |
| Wilmer Ortega R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.86 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .304 | 5.83 | 16.1% | 1.8% | 30 | +1.97 | 3.62 | 158 | 79 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 78 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 78 |
| Miguel Alfonseca R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.24 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .400 | 5.54 | 14.9% | -0.9% | 92 | +1.30 | 4.24 | 123 | 77 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 77 |
| Anthony Cruz R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.61 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .192 | 5.46 | 16.2% | 1.7% | 148 | +1.85 | 3.26 | 245 | 77 |
| Rodolfo Sanchez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.72 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.07 | 19.9% | 6.3% | 104 | +0.35 | 3.59 | 255 | 77 |
| Alec Barger R 2028 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 77 |