Jose Romero — OGILVIE

Jose Romero P South Bend Cubs

Age 25 RHP 5'10" / 185 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 120

ERA5.45

FIP5.45

K%21.4%

BB%17.6%

K-BB%3.7%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	18	0	30	129	42	17	1	0%	1.7	22.1%	16.5%	5.7%	0.7%	2.67	3.71	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	18	0	30	129	42	17	1	0%	1.7	32.6%	13.2%	19.4%	0.8%	2.67	2.44	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	2	24	105	31	17	2	18%	2.2	22.7%	17.2%	5.4%	1.7%	6.29	4.29	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	2	24	105	31	17	2	18%	2.2	29.5%	16.2%	13.3%	1.9%	6.29	3.72	—
2023	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	28	0	49	212	68	23	3	0%	1.7	23.7%	12.8%	10.9%	1.9%	2.77	3.77	—
2023	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	28	0	49	212	68	23	3	0%	1.7	23.7%	12.8%	10.9%	1.9%	2.77	3.77	—
2023	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	28	0	49	212	68	23	3	0%	1.7	32.1%	10.8%	21.2%	1.4%	2.77	2.52	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	37	0	52	248	63	48	2	0%	1.4	19.6%	22.3%	-2.7%	1.1%	4.70	4.88	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	37	0	52	248	63	48	2	0%	1.4	19.6%	22.3%	-2.7%	1.1%	4.70	4.88	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	37	0	52	248	63	48	2	0%	1.4	25.4%	19.4%	6.0%	0.8%	4.70	3.95	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	17	1	19	99	29	15	0	6%	1.1	20.0%	25.3%	-5.3%	0.0%	11.37	4.61	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	17	1	19	99	29	15	0	6%	1.1	20.0%	25.3%	-5.3%	0.0%	11.37	4.61	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	CHC	9	1	9	49	16	4	0	11%	1.0	32.7%	8.2%	24.5%	0.0%	12.54	1.38	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	CHC	8	0	10	50	13	11	0	0%	1.2	26.0%	22.0%	4.0%	0.0%	10.24	3.69	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CHC	44	0	46	196	43	33	6	0%	1.1	21.8%	16.8%	5.0%	2.8%	5.32	5.31	-0.4
2028	27	MLB MLE	CHC	44	0	46	193	42	31	6	0%	1.0	21.9%	16.3%	5.6%	2.9%	5.27	5.28	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	CHC	42	0	44	187	41	30	6	0%	1.1	21.8%	16.1%	5.8%	3.0%	5.28	5.31	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	CHC	19	0	20	84	18	14	2	0%	1.1	21.8%	16.8%	5.0%	2.8%	5.32	5.31	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	CHC	28	0	29	122	27	20	4	0%	1.0	21.9%	16.3%	5.6%	2.9%	5.27	5.28	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	CHC	31	0	33	139	30	22	4	0%	1.1	21.8%	16.1%	5.8%	3.0%	5.28	5.31	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		78	0	82	347	76	57	10	0%	1.1	21.8%	16.3%	5.5%	2.9%	5.29	4.92	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	139	24	0%	1.1	21.8%	16.3%	5.5%	2.9%	5.29	4.92	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		111	3	174	793	171	147	9	3%	1.6	21.6%	18.5%	3.1%	1.2%	4.76	4.28	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		128	3	200	911	197	169	11	3%	1.6	21.6%	18.5%	3.1%	1.2%	4.76	4.28	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Romero (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.45	21.4%	17.6%	2.8%	—	5.30	21.8%	5.5%	137	-0.15	—	—	—
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	88
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	86
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	86
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	86
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	86
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	85
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	85
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	85
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	85
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	84
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	84
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	84
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	83
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	83
Carlos Contreras R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.46	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.29	107	83
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	83
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	83
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	83
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	83
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	43	21.7%	16.6%	1.11	5.32
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91