Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 12 | 5 | 34 | 148 | 38 | 20 | 1 | 42% | 2.8 | 17.5% | 16.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 4.81 | 4.34 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 12 | 5 | 34 | 148 | 38 | 20 | 1 | 42% | 2.8 | 25.7% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 0.7% | 4.81 | 3.01 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 17 | 0 | 25 | 114 | 38 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.7% | 18.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 4.32 | 3.55 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 17 | 0 | 25 | 114 | 38 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 33.3% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 4.32 | 2.10 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 2 | 35 | 187 | 34 | 30 | 2 | 12% | 2.2 | 13.0% | 19.2% | -6.3% | 1.3% | 8.92 | 5.15 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 2 | 35 | 187 | 34 | 30 | 2 | 12% | 2.2 | 18.2% | 16.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 8.92 | 4.46 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 27 | 0 | 45 | 207 | 57 | 41 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.6% | 23.1% | -2.5% | 2.5% | 4.57 | 5.65 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIA | 18 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.67 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 64 | 288 | 74 | 50 | 6 | — | — | 25.8% | 17.4% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 4.60 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIA | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.10 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 94 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 72 | 7 | 139 | 656 | 119 | 130 | 9 | 10% | 1.9 | 18.1% | 19.8% | -1.7% | 1.4% | 5.68 | 4.85 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 103 | 10 | 200 | 942 | 170 | 187 | 13 | 10% | 1.9 | 18.1% | 19.8% | -1.7% | 1.4% | 5.68 | 4.85 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis De La Cruz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 2.8% | — | 4.48 | 22.1% | 11.6% | 20 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 90 |
| Owen Holt R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 89 |
| Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 89 |
| Brandyn Sittinger R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.67 | 22.2% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .324 | 4.02 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 72 | -0.65 | 3.50 | 152 | 88 |
| Sean Isaac R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.27 | 19.5% | 12.3% | 2.3% | .342 | 3.78 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 128 | -0.49 | 3.26 | 155 | 88 |
| Cole Gordon R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 88 |
| Zac Ryan R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 88 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 87 |
| Luke Bell R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 87 |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 87 |
| Kyle Marman R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.98 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .270 | 5.27 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 71 | +1.29 | 3.98 | 117 | 87 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 86 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.76 | 20.9% | 14.1% | 3.0% | .254 | 4.52 | 17.5% | 6.3% | 154 | -0.24 | 4.09 | 183 | 86 |
| Jayson McKinley R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 17.5% | 11.4% | 2.4% | .308 | 3.66 | 20.4% | 11.3% | 134 | -0.75 | 2.33 | 173 | 86 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 85 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2028 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 85 |
| Luis Eusebio R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.92 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.79 | 131 | 84 |
| Peyton Williams R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 84 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 84 |
| Vince Arobio R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.47 | 20.5% | 12.0% | 2.9% | .365 | 3.84 | 24.1% | 16.2% | 55 | -0.63 | 3.84 | 118 | 84 |