Luis De La Cruz — OGILVIE

Luis De La Cruz P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 182 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 126

ERA5.77

FIP5.77

K%17.4%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%-0.0%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	12	5	34	148	38	20	1	42%	2.8	17.5%	16.9%	0.6%	1.0%	4.81	4.31	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	12	5	34	148	38	20	1	42%	2.8	17.5%	16.9%	0.6%	1.0%	4.81	4.31	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	12	5	34	148	38	20	1	42%	2.8	25.7%	13.5%	12.2%	0.7%	4.81	3.01	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	17	0	25	114	38	17	0	0%	1.5	22.7%	18.6%	4.0%	0.0%	4.32	3.55	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	17	0	25	114	38	17	0	0%	1.5	22.7%	18.6%	4.0%	0.0%	4.32	3.55	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	17	0	25	114	38	17	0	0%	1.5	33.3%	14.9%	18.4%	0.0%	4.32	2.10	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	2	35	187	34	30	2	12%	2.2	13.0%	19.2%	-6.3%	1.3%	8.92	5.18	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	2	35	187	34	30	2	12%	2.2	13.0%	19.2%	-6.3%	1.3%	8.92	5.18	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	2	35	187	34	30	2	12%	2.2	18.2%	16.0%	2.1%	1.1%	8.92	4.46	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	39	0	64	294	77	59	6	0%	1.6	19.6%	23.4%	-3.7%	2.6%	4.78	5.84	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	39	0	64	294	77	59	6	0%	1.6	19.6%	23.4%	-3.7%	2.6%	4.78	5.84	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	MIA	20	0	41	174	53	29	4	0%	2.0	30.5%	16.7%	13.8%	2.3%	2.88	3.90	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	MIA	19	0	23	120	24	30	2	0%	1.2	20.0%	25.0%	-5.0%	1.7%	8.10	5.49	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIA	61	0	64	271	52	41	8	0%	1.1	19.1%	14.9%	4.2%	2.8%	5.43	5.30	-0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	62	0	65	275	55	37	8	0%	1.0	20.1%	13.3%	6.8%	2.8%	5.15	5.01	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIA	62	0	65	275	57	36	8	0%	1.0	20.6%	13.1%	7.5%	2.8%	5.01	4.94	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIA	61	0	64	271	56	35	8	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.0%	7.6%	2.9%	4.98	4.97	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIA	26	0	27	114	22	17	3	0%	1.0	19.1%	14.9%	4.2%	2.8%	5.43	5.30	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	41	0	43	182	36	24	5	0%	1.0	20.1%	13.3%	6.8%	2.8%	5.15	5.01	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIA	50	0	52	220	45	29	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	13.1%	7.5%	2.8%	5.01	4.94	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIA	52	0	55	232	48	30	7	0%	1.1	20.6%	13.0%	7.6%	2.9%	4.98	4.97	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		168	0	177	747	151	100	21	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.4%	6.9%	2.8%	5.10	4.64	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	113	24	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.4%	6.9%	2.8%	5.10	4.64	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		84	7	158	743	134	151	12	8%	1.9	18.0%	20.3%	-2.3%	1.6%	5.64	5.02	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		106	9	200	941	169	191	15	8%	1.9	18.0%	20.3%	-2.3%	1.6%	5.64	5.02	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis De La Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.77	17.4%	17.4%	2.8%	—	5.08	19.9%	6.2%	194	-0.69	—	—	—
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	87
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	87
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	86
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	85
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	85
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	84
Zach Barnes R 2022 · 5.35 FIP	23	SU	5.35	18.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.378	5.03	14.9%	1.5%	119	-0.32	4.90	145	83
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	83
Willian Suarez R 2021 · 5.23 FIP	23	SU	5.23	20.4%	17.3%	3.0%	.329	5.13	25.4%	9.5%	128	-0.10	3.99	219	83
Matt De La Rosa R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	22	SU	4.72	14.1%	16.5%	1.3%	.304	4.46	17.4%	2.2%	81	-0.26	4.39	102	83
Will McAffer R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	22	SU	4.68	20.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.270	5.96	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.28	4.68	133	83
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	83
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	83
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	83
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	83
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	280	82
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	82
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	82
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	82
Roman Phansalkar R 2022 · 6.38 FIP	24	SU	6.38	13.5%	18.4%	3.8%	.245	4.77	17.4%	4.0%	147	-1.61	4.33	164	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	56	19.9%	13.8%	1.09	5.19
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82