Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 10 | 9 | 36 | 157 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 90% | 3.6 | 15.6% | 13.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 4.50 | 4.10 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 10 | 9 | 36 | 157 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 90% | 3.6 | 22.9% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 1.9% | 4.50 | 3.60 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 12 | 11 | 38 | 180 | 57 | 34 | 0 | 92% | 3.1 | 21.5% | 23.6% | -2.1% | 0.0% | 5.02 | 4.27 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 12 | 11 | 38 | 180 | 57 | 34 | 0 | 92% | 3.1 | 31.7% | 18.9% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 5.02 | 2.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 6 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 67% | 1.4 | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | — | — |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | NYY | 4 | 4 | 22 | 94 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.40 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 31 | 139 | 35 | 20 | 3 | — | — | 25.0% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 2.0% | 4.33 | 3.16 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | NYY | 4 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.6% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | NYY | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.6% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.6% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.89 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 87 | 17 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.6% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 28 | 24 | 82 | 382 | 76 | 75 | 2 | 86% | 2.9 | 20.0% | 19.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 4.70 | 4.14 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 58 | 200 | 928 | 185 | 182 | 4 | 86% | 2.9 | 20.0% | 19.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 4.70 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jerson Alejandro (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.27 | 23.6% | 14.0% | 23 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.82 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .337 | 3.35 | 15.0% | 3.0% | 27 | -0.47 | 2.50 | 103 | 85 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 83 |
| Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 82 |
| Clarke Schmidt R 2028 · 3.53 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.53 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 108 | -0.30 | 2.76 | 537 | 82 |
| Jonathan Stiever R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.39 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | .308 | 4.32 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 219 | -0.07 | 3.96 | 247 | 81 |
| Carson Fulmer R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .259 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 4.0% | 364 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 879 | 80 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 79 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 79 |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.83 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .238 | 4.84 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 230 | +1.01 | 3.83 | 358 | 77 |
| Ryan Fernandez R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .357 | 3.52 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 53 | -0.92 | 2.97 | 335 | 77 |
| Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .315 | 4.81 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 197 | +0.96 | 3.13 | 286 | 77 |
| Amilcar Chirinos R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.26 | 25.6% | 12.3% | 1.4% | .349 | 4.01 | 19.3% | 6.3% | 147 | +0.75 | 2.86 | 212 | 77 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 77 |
| River Ryan R 2029 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.58 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .321 | 3.86 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 134 | +0.28 | 2.13 | 218 | 76 |
| Ulices Campos R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.60 | 17.9% | 11.5% | 2.8% | .253 | 5.16 | 12.0% | 1.0% | 65 | +0.56 | 4.13 | 153 | 76 |
| Grant Holman R 2027 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.18 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | .308 | 3.75 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 133 | -1.43 | 3.08 | 184 | 76 |
| Fraynel Nova R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .296 | 4.17 | 14.9% | 4.9% | 110 | +0.17 | 3.49 | 129 | 75 |
| Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 75 |
| Porter Hodge R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 75 |
| Pedro Reyes R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.66 | 18.0% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .159 | 5.02 | 11.0% | 0.5% | 90 | +0.36 | 2.87 | 180 | 75 |