Jerson Alejandro

Jerson Alejandro P FCL Yankees

Age 20 RHP 6'6" / 255 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 120

ERA5.45

FIP5.45

K%22.4%

BB%17.8%

K-BB%4.6%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	10	9	36	157	36	17	3	90%	3.6	15.6%	13.5%	2.1%	1.6%	4.50	4.35	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	10	9	36	157	36	17	3	90%	3.6	15.6%	13.5%	2.1%	1.6%	4.50	4.35	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	10	9	36	157	36	17	3	90%	3.6	22.9%	10.8%	12.1%	1.9%	4.50	3.60	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	12	11	38	180	57	34	0	92%	3.1	21.5%	23.6%	-2.1%	0.0%	5.02	4.27	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	12	11	38	180	57	34	0	92%	3.1	21.5%	23.6%	-2.1%	0.0%	5.02	4.27	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	12	11	38	180	57	34	0	92%	3.1	31.7%	18.9%	12.8%	0.0%	5.02	2.78	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	8	4	12	63	18	15	0	50%	1.5	19.4%	29.8%	-10.3%	0.0%	6.00	5.23	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	8	4	12	63	18	15	0	50%	1.5	19.4%	29.8%	-10.3%	0.0%	6.00	5.23	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	NYY	8	4	12	63	18	15	0	50%	1.5	28.6%	23.8%	4.8%	0.0%	6.00	3.70	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	NYY	6	6	36	150	34	23	4	100%	5.9	22.9%	15.2%	7.7%	2.9%	5.16	5.05	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	NYY	3	3	18	76	17	12	2	100%	6.0	22.9%	15.2%	7.7%	2.9%	5.16	5.05	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	18	74	17	11	2	100%	4.4	22.9%	15.2%	7.6%	2.9%	5.16	4.67	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	194	126	23	100%	4.8	22.9%	15.2%	7.6%	2.9%	5.16	4.67	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		30	24	86	400	75	82	2	80%	2.9	18.9%	20.6%	-1.8%	0.6%	4.94	4.45	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	56	200	934	176	193	6	80%	2.9	18.9%	20.6%	-1.8%	0.6%	4.94	4.45	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jerson Alejandro (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.45	22.4%	17.8%	2.9%	—	5.05	22.9%	7.6%	36	-0.40	—	—	—
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	87
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	86
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	85
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	83
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	82
Daniel Corniel R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	19	SP-	5.15	20.3%	17.1%	2.9%	.364	4.37	15.7%	3.2%	140	-0.78	3.50	218	81
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	80
Royber Salinas R 2021 · 4.69 FIP	20	SP-	4.69	27.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.280	4.36	26.1%	11.3%	213	-0.33	3.75	285	80
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	211	80
Deivy Mendez R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	19	SP-	4.43	20.3%	20.5%	0.8%	.308	4.98	22.9%	3.4%	81	+0.55	2.84	130	79
Edgar Leon R 2023 · 4.36 FIP	18	SP	4.36	18.2%	15.4%	1.5%	.268	4.93	17.6%	-3.0%	83	+0.57	4.13	144	78
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	17	SW	5.09	19.8%	17.4%	2.7%	.322	5.13	19.9%	-0.4%	98	+0.04	3.84	134	78
Luis Reyes R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	17	SP-	6.24	18.4%	20.7%	3.8%	.333	4.28	17.1%	5.1%	129	-1.96	4.02	167	78
Randry De Leon R 2023 · 6.45 FIP	18	SP-	6.45	17.7%	20.2%	4.2%	.308	4.83	18.4%	3.3%	123	-1.62	4.37	153	78
Alfred Vega R 2021 · 4.56 FIP	20	SP-	4.56	20.5%	16.0%	2.1%	.203	4.66	13.4%	0.6%	81	+0.10	2.07	234	78
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	77
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	77
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	76
Natanael Garabitos R 2021 · 5.15 FIP	20	SP-	5.15	21.4%	19.3%	2.6%	.323	5.14	19.1%	-0.2%	127	-0.01	4.25	221	76
Carlos Lagrange R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	20	SP	4.34	22.1%	15.5%	2.1%	.291	3.97	25.4%	12.1%	198	-0.37	3.66	272	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	22.7%	16.2%	1.12	5.27
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99