Alfred Vega — OGILVIE

Alfred Vega P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 169 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 112

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%20.2%

BB%13.9%

K-BB%6.4%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees	14	12	59	250	42	15	5	86%	4.2	11.4%	7.5%	3.9%	2.8%	3.99	4.62	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees	14	12	59	250	42	15	5	86%	4.2	16.8%	6.0%	10.8%	2.0%	3.99	3.54	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees West	8	5	28	129	27	7	2	62%	3.5	14.2%	6.8%	7.4%	2.2%	4.18	3.95	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees West	8	5	28	129	27	7	2	62%	3.5	20.9%	5.4%	15.5%	1.6%	4.18	2.85	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	7	37	150	46	20	3	58%	3.1	20.5%	16.0%	4.5%	2.1%	1.70	4.56	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	7	37	150	46	20	3	58%	3.1	30.7%	13.3%	17.3%	2.0%	1.70	3.29	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	7	2	16	61	22	4	0	29%	2.2	24.5%	8.2%	16.3%	0.0%	1.15	2.07	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	7	2	16	61	22	4	0	29%	2.2	36.1%	6.6%	29.5%	0.0%	1.15	1.06	—
2023	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	23	10	66	314	46	37	6	43%	2.9	10.8%	13.9%	-3.1%	2.4%	6.72	5.28	—
2023	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	23	10	66	314	46	37	6	43%	2.9	10.8%	13.9%	-3.1%	2.4%	6.72	5.28	—
2023	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	23	10	66	314	46	37	6	43%	2.9	14.6%	11.8%	2.9%	1.9%	6.72	4.58	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	10	49	15	3	1	0%	1.0	30.6%	6.1%	24.5%	2.0%	9.58	2.41	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	10	49	15	3	1	0%	1.0	30.6%	6.1%	24.5%	2.0%	9.58	2.41	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	10	49	15	3	1	0%	1.0	30.6%	6.1%	24.5%	2.0%	9.58	2.33	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	0	34	144	39	19	0	0%	1.5	21.1%	15.5%	5.6%	0.0%	3.18	3.28	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	0	34	144	39	19	0	0%	1.5	21.1%	15.5%	5.6%	0.0%	3.18	3.28	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	0	34	144	39	19	0	0%	1.5	27.1%	13.2%	13.9%	0.0%	3.18	2.48	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	NYM	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	20.2%	13.9%	6.4%	2.7%	5.02	5.02	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYM	29	0	31	129	27	17	4	0%	1.1	20.8%	13.4%	7.5%	2.8%	4.93	4.92	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYM	12	0	13	55	11	7	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	13.4%	7.5%	2.8%	4.93	4.92	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	56	12	7	2	0%	1.0	20.8%	13.4%	7.5%	2.8%	4.93	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	106	30	0%	1.1	20.8%	13.4%	7.5%	2.8%	4.93	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		96	36	249	1097	172	125	22	38%	2.6	15.7%	11.4%	4.2%	2.0%	4.33	4.31	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	29	200	880	138	101	17	38%	2.6	15.7%	11.4%	4.2%	2.0%	4.33	4.31	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alfred Vega (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	20.2%	13.9%	2.7%	—	4.92	20.8%	7.5%	31	-0.10	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	83
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	83
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	81
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	78
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	77
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.30 FIP	25	SW	5.30	21.4%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	77
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	77
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	77
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	76
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	75
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	75
Ben Gross R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	17.6%	15.6%	2.3%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	118	75
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	75
Hunter Gregory R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.0%	12.1%	2.0%	.322	5.11	20.1%	8.3%	161	+1.05	3.84	249	75
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	75
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	74
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	74
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	74
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	74
Phil Klein R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	26	SW	3.86	18.1%	11.0%	1.6%	.280	3.10	24.5%	17.9%	97	-0.76	3.10	178	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	20.6%	13.6%	1.06	4.97
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99