Natanael Garabitos

Natanael Garabitos P Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.06

FIP6.06

K%15.8%

BB%18.2%

K-BB%-2.3%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	14	0	20	90	18	17	1	0%	1.5	13.6%	23.6%	-10.0%	1.6%	3.10	5.80	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	14	0	20	90	18	17	1	0%	1.5	20.0%	18.9%	1.1%	1.1%	3.10	4.48	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	12	7	41	181	57	28	3	58%	3.4	21.4%	19.3%	2.1%	2.6%	5.31	5.15	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	12	7	41	181	57	28	3	58%	3.4	31.5%	15.5%	16.0%	1.7%	5.31	3.32	—
2022	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	35	0	44	205	59	35	3	0%	1.3	21.3%	20.1%	1.2%	2.2%	5.11	5.08	—
2022	21	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	35	0	44	205	59	35	3	0%	1.3	28.8%	17.1%	11.7%	1.5%	5.11	3.69	—
2023	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	39	1	40	179	54	31	1	3%	1.0	22.3%	20.4%	1.9%	0.8%	4.02	4.25	—
2023	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	39	1	40	179	54	31	1	3%	1.0	22.3%	20.4%	1.9%	0.8%	4.02	4.25	—
2023	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	39	1	40	179	54	31	1	3%	1.0	30.2%	17.3%	12.8%	0.6%	4.02	3.05	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	34	0	42	186	33	28	5	0%	1.2	13.7%	17.3%	-3.7%	3.5%	4.46	6.06	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	34	0	42	186	33	28	5	0%	1.2	13.7%	17.3%	-3.7%	3.5%	4.46	6.06	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	34	0	42	186	33	28	5	0%	1.2	17.7%	15.1%	2.7%	2.7%	4.46	5.06	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	34	173	29	32	4	0%	1.1	13.3%	20.7%	-7.4%	2.7%	7.49	6.07	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	34	173	29	32	4	0%	1.1	13.3%	20.7%	-7.4%	2.7%	7.49	6.07	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	34	173	29	32	4	0%	1.1	16.8%	18.5%	-1.7%	2.3%	7.49	5.77	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	KC	2	0	2	8	1	2	0	0%	1.0	15.8%	18.2%	-2.3%	2.9%	6.06	6.06	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	KC	36	0	38	161	28	28	5	0%	1.1	17.6%	17.2%	0.4%	2.9%	5.83	5.79	-0.5
2027	26	MLB CTX	KC	16	0	17	72	13	12	2	0%	1.1	17.6%	17.2%	0.4%	2.9%	5.83	5.79	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	71	12	12	2	0%	1.0	17.6%	17.2%	0.4%	2.9%	5.83	5.41	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	144	144	24	0%	1.1	17.6%	17.2%	0.4%	2.9%	5.83	5.41	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		165	8	221	1014	183	202	23	5%	1.3	18.1%	19.9%	-1.9%	2.3%	5.00	5.36	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		149	7	200	916	165	183	21	5%	1.3	18.1%	19.9%	-1.9%	2.3%	5.00	5.36	-2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Natanael Garabitos (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.06	15.8%	18.2%	2.9%	—	5.79	17.6%	0.4%	38	-0.27	—	—	—
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	90
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	86
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	85
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	85
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	84
Aroni Nina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.8%	20.5%	1.1%	.312	3.04	18.8%	8.7%	64	-1.86	2.68	115	83
Tim Elliott R 2023 · 6.21 FIP	25	SU	6.21	15.5%	16.1%	4.3%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	5.54	138	82
Yunior Thibo R 2023 · 5.32 FIP	25	SU	5.32	14.3%	15.6%	2.7%	.231	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	110	81
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	81
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	81
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	81
Will McAffer R 2022 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	14.5%	20.2%	1.7%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	4.68	133	81
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	80
Jonathan Sprinkle R 2023 · 6.20 FIP	25	SU	6.20	17.4%	22.9%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	80
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	80
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	153	80
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	79
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	79
Yennier Cano R 2019 · 5.94 FIP	25	SU	5.94	17.6%	20.2%	3.2%	.219	3.89	23.6%	12.1%	128	-2.05	2.43	377	79
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	17.0%	17.6%	1.14	5.91
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91