Alexander De Los Santos

Alexander De Los Santos P FCL Phillies

Age 19 RHP 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.89

FIP4.89

K%21.8%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	3	0	3	18	3	6	1	0%	0.9	16.7%	33.3%	-16.7%	5.6%	13.50	8.96	—
2023	16	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	3	0	3	18	3	6	1	0%	0.9	16.7%	33.3%	-16.7%	5.6%	13.50	8.96	—
2023	16	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	3	0	3	18	3	6	1	0%	0.9	16.7%	33.3%	-16.7%	5.6%	13.50	12.47	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	11	9	38	156	38	19	0	82%	3.5	16.6%	15.2%	1.3%	0.0%	2.13	3.63	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	11	9	38	156	38	19	0	82%	3.5	16.6%	15.2%	1.3%	0.0%	2.13	3.63	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	11	9	38	156	38	19	0	82%	3.5	24.4%	12.2%	12.2%	0.0%	2.13	2.60	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	2	1	5	23	7	4	1	50%	2.3	30.4%	17.4%	13.0%	4.3%	5.79	5.12	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	2	1	5	23	7	4	1	50%	2.3	30.4%	17.4%	13.0%	4.3%	5.79	5.12	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	2	1	5	23	7	4	1	50%	2.3	30.4%	17.4%	13.0%	4.3%	5.79	5.46	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	7	3	11	69	12	11	6	43%	1.5	11.8%	19.9%	-8.1%	12.2%	15.19	11.31	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	7	3	11	69	12	11	6	43%	1.5	11.8%	19.9%	-8.1%	12.2%	15.19	11.31	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	PHI	7	3	11	69	12	11	6	43%	1.5	17.4%	15.9%	1.4%	8.7%	15.19	8.42	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PHI	8	8	36	152	34	18	4	100%	4.5	22.3%	11.6%	10.7%	2.9%	4.72	4.65	+0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	PHI	4	4	18	76	17	9	2	100%	4.5	22.3%	11.6%	10.7%	2.9%	4.72	4.65	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	18	75	17	9	2	100%	4.4	22.3%	11.6%	10.7%	2.9%	4.72	4.27	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	193	102	23	100%	4.6	22.3%	11.6%	10.7%	2.9%	4.72	4.27	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		23	13	56	266	44	48	10	57%	2.4	16.5%	17.9%	-1.3%	3.9%	5.46	6.11	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	46	200	950	157	170	37	57%	2.4	16.5%	17.9%	-1.3%	3.9%	5.46	6.11	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alexander De Los Santos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.89	21.8%	12.9%	2.9%	—	4.65	22.3%	10.7%	36	-0.24	—	—	—
Luis Victorino R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	19	SP-	4.26	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.98	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.72	4.26	149	87
Alimber Santa R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	18	SW	4.85	17.0%	11.4%	3.2%	.304	5.08	20.9%	1.8%	125	+0.23	3.32	274	83
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	83
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	82
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	82
Jose Morban R 2017 · 4.42 FIP	19	SP-	4.42	18.7%	11.2%	2.7%	.333	3.98	16.9%	5.8%	61	-0.44	3.98	178	81
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	80
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	80
Yimi Presinal R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	18	SW	4.75	20.2%	15.0%	2.7%	.326	4.71	20.8%	4.6%	92	-0.04	3.62	157	80
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	79
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	17	SW	5.09	19.8%	17.4%	2.7%	.322	5.13	19.9%	-0.4%	98	+0.04	3.84	134	79
Michael Dominguez R 2019 · 3.82 FIP	18	SW	3.82	20.8%	13.2%	1.5%	.218	4.69	21.1%	10.6%	110	+0.87	3.82	383	78
Victor Simeon R 2021 · 3.87 FIP	20	SW	3.87	17.7%	13.8%	0.9%	.266	4.21	21.3%	5.1%	105	+0.34	3.22	180	78
Jerming Rosario R 2021 · 4.97 FIP	19	SW	4.97	21.1%	10.5%	4.2%	.303	4.43	20.9%	5.7%	281	-0.54	3.05	505	78
Janser Lara R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	19	SP-	5.61	20.1%	17.3%	3.7%	.354	5.04	17.9%	4.8%	118	-0.57	2.84	220	78
Reynardo Cruz R 2021 · 3.96 FIP	19	SP-	3.96	22.5%	14.8%	1.6%	.264	5.44	16.1%	-2.1%	40	+1.48	3.96	216	78
Henson Leal R 2023 · 5.16 FIP	19	SP-	5.16	17.6%	10.0%	4.2%	.408	4.05	17.7%	7.8%	146	-1.11	3.49	193	77
Ricardo Brizuela R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	19	SW	4.03	20.1%	11.6%	2.1%	.375	4.39	16.0%	7.1%	208	+0.36	3.20	246	77
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	77
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	22.1%	12.1%	1.12	4.79
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10