Ricardo Brizuela

Ricardo Brizuela P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 198 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.0 · 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.53

FIP5.53

K%13.1%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%1.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$5M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†3045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	15	4	38	162	48	15	3	27%	2.5	20.1%	11.6%	8.6%	2.1%	5.02	4.03	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	15	4	38	162	48	15	3	27%	2.5	29.6%	9.3%	20.4%	1.9%	5.02	2.78	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	14	5	51	220	55	16	8	36%	3.6	17.0%	9.1%	7.9%	2.3%	4.62	4.09	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	14	5	51	220	55	16	8	36%	3.6	17.0%	9.1%	7.9%	2.3%	4.62	4.09	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	14	5	51	220	55	16	8	36%	3.6	25.0%	7.3%	17.7%	3.6%	4.62	3.93	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	12	71	286	69	13	3	60%	3.5	17.1%	5.4%	11.7%	1.6%	3.57	3.20	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	12	71	286	69	13	3	60%	3.5	17.1%	5.4%	11.7%	1.6%	3.57	3.20	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	12	71	286	69	13	3	60%	3.5	24.1%	4.5%	19.6%	1.0%	3.57	2.25	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	23	23	87	380	74	37	10	100%	3.8	14.4%	11.5%	2.9%	4.0%	4.98	5.54	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	23	23	87	380	74	37	10	100%	3.8	14.4%	11.5%	2.9%	4.0%	4.98	5.54	—
2025	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	23	23	87	380	74	37	10	100%	3.8	19.5%	9.7%	9.7%	2.6%	4.98	4.17	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	CWS	1	1	5	21	3	2	1	100%	5.0	13.1%	11.5%	1.6%	3.1%	5.53	5.53	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CWS	14	14	80	337	52	37	10	100%	5.7	15.4%	11.0%	4.4%	3.1%	5.31	5.25	-0.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	14	14	81	342	57	37	10	100%	5.8	16.7%	10.7%	6.0%	3.0%	5.15	5.09	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	CWS	13	13	81	342	59	36	10	100%	6.2	17.3%	10.5%	6.8%	3.0%	5.05	5.01	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	CWS	13	13	80	337	65	33	10	100%	6.1	19.4%	9.7%	9.7%	3.1%	4.87	4.76	+0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	CWS	13	13	77	326	63	32	10	100%	5.9	19.3%	9.9%	9.5%	3.2%	4.85	4.84	+0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	CWS	12	12	74	312	59	31	10	100%	6.1	19.1%	10.1%	9.0%	3.3%	4.92	4.97	-0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	CWS	12	12	69	293	55	30	10	100%	5.8	18.7%	10.4%	8.4%	3.5%	5.06	5.15	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	CWS	6	6	34	144	22	16	4	100%	5.7	15.4%	11.0%	4.4%	3.1%	5.34	5.28	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	9	9	54	228	38	24	7	100%	6.0	16.7%	10.7%	6.0%	3.1%	5.18	5.12	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CWS	11	11	64	270	47	28	8	100%	5.8	17.3%	10.5%	6.8%	3.1%	5.08	5.04	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	CWS	11	11	68	287	56	28	9	100%	6.2	19.4%	9.7%	9.7%	3.1%	4.90	4.79	+0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	CWS	12	12	69	291	56	29	9	100%	5.8	19.3%	9.9%	9.5%	3.2%	4.88	4.87	+0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	CWS	11	11	67	283	54	29	10	100%	6.1	19.1%	10.1%	9.0%	3.4%	4.95	5.00	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	CWS	11	11	64	270	51	28	10	100%	5.8	18.7%	10.4%	8.4%	3.6%	5.09	5.18	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		71	71	420	1772	323	182	58	100%	5.9	18.3%	10.2%	8.0%	3.2%	5.03	4.64	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	154	87	28	100%	5.9	18.3%	10.2%	8.0%	3.2%	5.03	4.64	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		72	44	246	1048	174	98	28	61%	3.4	16.6%	9.3%	7.2%	2.7%	4.51	4.36	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	36	200	853	142	80	23	61%	3.4	16.6%	9.3%	7.2%	2.7%	4.51	4.36	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ricardo Brizuela (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.53	13.1%	11.5%	3.1%	—	5.12	16.5%	5.7%	242	-0.41	—	—	—
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2021 · 4.98 FIP	23	SP-	4.98	12.7%	9.1%	3.3%	.348	3.92	16.5%	8.0%	135	-1.06	3.30	218	85
Will Childers R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	22	SP-	5.41	11.8%	12.1%	3.2%	.305	4.45	19.3%	8.7%	150	-0.96	3.60	209	84
Jonathan Hughes R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SP-	4.60	12.9%	12.5%	1.8%	.351	3.79	16.5%	6.2%	146	-0.81	3.44	219	84
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	82
Garrett Burhenn R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	13.5%	8.4%	2.5%	.312	4.36	18.1%	10.2%	247	-0.03	4.30	433	82
Drew McDaniel R 2023 · 4.71 FIP	22	SP	4.71	14.1%	9.1%	3.0%	.323	5.08	18.7%	8.7%	152	+0.37	4.24	230	81
Justin Dillon R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	24	SP-	5.26	11.8%	8.8%	3.7%	.265	4.34	15.6%	9.1%	124	-0.92	3.65	239	81
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	81
Levi Thomas R 2021 · 5.22 FIP	23	SP-	5.22	18.1%	11.9%	3.9%	.328	5.16	20.8%	3.3%	31	-0.06	5.16	116	81
Devereaux Harrison R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	17.6%	11.3%	3.6%	.252	4.76	16.6%	4.4%	294	-0.28	4.43	388	80
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	80
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	80
Ben Ethridge R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	22	SP-	4.45	14.4%	13.2%	1.7%	.250	6.04	13.0%	2.0%	66	+1.59	4.45	144	80
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	80
Chris McElvain R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	22	SP	4.76	15.8%	11.6%	2.8%	.275	5.24	15.8%	4.7%	198	+0.48	4.07	294	80
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	80
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	80
Wellington Caceres R 2018 · 5.73 FIP	22	SP-	5.73	12.0%	11.4%	4.0%	.366	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	121	80
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	80
Lauro Ramirez R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	25	SP-	5.80	9.5%	10.1%	4.1%	.382	4.99	7.2%	-3.4%	90	-0.81	4.99	140	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	75	17.5%	10.4%	1.22	5.08
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99