Ricardo Brizuela
P
Kannapolis Cannon Ballers
Age 23
RHP
6'3" / 198 lbs
A
peak 0.7 · 2028
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 128
ERA5.66
FIP5.66
K%13.1%
BB%11.9%
K-BB%1.2%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 15 | 4 | 38 | 162 | 48 | 15 | 3 | 27% | 2.5 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 1.8% | 5.02 | 3.86 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 15 | 4 | 38 | 162 | 48 | 15 | 3 | 27% | 2.5 | 29.6% | 9.3% | 20.4% | 1.9% | 5.02 | 2.78 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 14 | 5 | 51 | 220 | 55 | 16 | 8 | 36% | 3.6 | 17.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 1.5% | 4.62 | 3.64 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 14 | 5 | 51 | 220 | 55 | 16 | 8 | 36% | 3.6 | 25.0% | 7.3% | 17.7% | 3.6% | 4.62 | 3.93 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 12 | 71 | 286 | 69 | 13 | 3 | 60% | 3.5 | 17.1% | 5.4% | 11.7% | 1.8% | 3.57 | 3.35 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 12 | 71 | 286 | 69 | 13 | 3 | 60% | 3.5 | 24.1% | 4.5% | 19.6% | 1.0% | 3.57 | 2.25 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 23 | 23 | 87 | 380 | 74 | 37 | 10 | 100% | 3.8 | 14.4% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.98 | 6.00 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 23 | 23 | 87 | 380 | 74 | 37 | 10 | 100% | 3.8 | 19.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 4.98 | 4.17 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | CWS | 12 | 12 | 62 | 260 | 34 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 5.1 | 13.1% | 11.9% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 5.66 | 5.66 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 41 | 30 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.42 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 45 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 5.25 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 47 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.4% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 5.15 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 47 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 5.13 | 5.12 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CWS | 5 | 5 | 27 | 114 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.42 | 5.36 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 5.25 | 5.18 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 37 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.4 | 17.4% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 5.15 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 40 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 5.13 | 5.12 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 29 | 29 | 174 | 733 | 124 | 80 | 23 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.0% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 5.21 | 4.79 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 143 | 92 | 27 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.0% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 5.21 | 4.79 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 72 | 44 | 246 | 1048 | 174 | 98 | 30 | 61% | 3.4 | 16.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.45 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 36 | 200 | 853 | 142 | 80 | 24 | 61% | 3.4 | 16.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ricardo Brizuela (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.66 | 13.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | — | 5.21 | 16.5% | 5.5% | 191 | -0.45 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Schlaffer R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.25 | 14.5% | 13.3% | 3.1% | .298 | 4.24 | 20.0% | 6.8% | 154 | -1.01 | 4.01 | 363 | 85 |
| Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.91 | 12.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .348 | 3.83 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 135 | -1.08 | 3.22 | 218 | 84 |
| Ben Hansen R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.86 | 12.5% | 11.9% | 2.4% | .372 | 4.29 | 21.5% | 13.2% | 88 | -0.57 | 4.29 | 149 | 84 |
| Brooks Auger R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .299 | 3.81 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 46 | -1.19 | 3.81 | 138 | 84 |
| Jacob Meador R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.28 | 15.6% | 14.0% | 3.1% | .301 | 6.83 | 14.7% | -6.6% | 50 | +1.55 | 5.28 | 139 | 84 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 83 |
| Danny Flatt R 2025 · 5.31 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.31 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.31 | 112 | 83 |
| Casey Steward R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.79 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 191 | 83 |
| Dawson Netz R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 83 |
| Ike Buxton R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .241 | 4.68 | 14.8% | -0.6% | 123 | -0.25 | 4.52 | 196 | 82 |
| Carlson Reed R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.9% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 237 | 81 |
| Garrett Burhenn R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.60 | 13.5% | 8.4% | 2.9% | .312 | 4.38 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 247 | -0.22 | 4.19 | 433 | 81 |
| Justin Dillon R 2027 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .265 | 4.34 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 124 | -0.89 | 3.63 | 239 | 81 |
| Michael Ross R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.05 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .275 | 5.83 | 12.5% | 3.6% | 64 | +0.78 | 5.05 | 146 | 81 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 80 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 80 |
| Wellington Caceres R 2025 · 5.73 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.73 | 12.0% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .366 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 121 | 80 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 80 |
| Tyler McKay R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.73 | 12.1% | 12.8% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 163 | -0.84 | 3.25 | 275 | 79 |
| Roki Sasaki R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.27 | 17.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .253 | 5.33 | 22.7% | 13.3% | 81 | +0.06 | 5.27 | 138 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 63 | 16.0% | 11.1% | 1.23 | 5.32 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |