Xavier Cruz
P
FCL Cardinals
Age 20
RHP
6'3" / 153 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION21 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
K%22.8%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 10 | 0 | 15 | 66 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 4.11 | 3.91 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 10 | 0 | 15 | 66 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 1.5% | 4.11 | 3.43 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 9 | 8 | 25 | 111 | 30 | 19 | 0 | 89% | 2.8 | 18.4% | 21.4% | -3.0% | 0.0% | 4.32 | 4.26 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 9 | 8 | 25 | 111 | 30 | 19 | 0 | 89% | 2.8 | 27.0% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 4.32 | 2.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 7 | 2 | 21 | 89 | 38 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 3.0 | 29.6% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 3.86 | 7.60 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | STL | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.41 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | STL | — | — | 34 | 144 | 51 | 20 | 7 | — | — | 35.1% | 13.6% | 21.5% | 4.6% | 4.07 | 6.38 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | STL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | STL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 4.28 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 3.90 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 26 | 10 | 61 | 266 | 54 | 43 | 9 | 38% | 2.4 | 20.1% | 16.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.11 | 5.29 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 33 | 200 | 867 | 175 | 141 | 29 | 38% | 2.4 | 20.1% | 16.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.11 | 5.29 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Xavier Cruz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.28 | 23.3% | 13.8% | 20 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Carson Rudd R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 84 |
| Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 81 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2027 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 81 |
| Amilcar Chirinos R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.26 | 25.6% | 12.3% | 1.4% | .349 | 4.01 | 19.3% | 6.3% | 147 | +0.75 | 2.86 | 212 | 80 |
| Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .315 | 4.81 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 197 | +0.96 | 3.13 | 286 | 79 |
| Simon Mathews R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 79 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 79 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.42 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 2.7% | .275 | 4.69 | 16.3% | 6.9% | 299 | +0.27 | 4.13 | 397 | 79 |
| Cole Stapler R 2028 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 78 |
| Adrián Martinez R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.30 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .329 | 4.09 | 17.3% | 7.6% | 92 | -0.21 | 2.02 | 526 | 78 |
| Juan Mendez R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 78 |
| Deretd Parra R 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 78 |
| Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 78 |
| Fraynel Nova R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .296 | 4.17 | 14.9% | 4.9% | 110 | +0.17 | 3.49 | 129 | 77 |
| Rodolfo Sanchez R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.72 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.07 | 19.9% | 6.3% | 104 | +0.35 | 3.59 | 255 | 76 |
| Franco Aleman R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 76 |
| Lisandro Almonte R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.83 | 17.9% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .310 | 5.17 | 20.5% | 3.3% | 50 | +0.34 | 3.92 | 128 | 76 |
| Saul Teran R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.23 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | .333 | 3.83 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 94 | -1.40 | 2.28 | 158 | 76 |
| Daniel Bies R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 76 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2029 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 76 |