Joseph Hernandez
P
Everett AquaSox
Age 26
RHP
5'11" / 150 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123113vR 104
ERA4.57
FIP4.57
K%21.5%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%11.2%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 15 | 6 | 39 | 183 | 42 | 22 | 4 | 40% | 2.6 | 15.6% | 15.0% | 0.6% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 5.37 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 15 | 6 | 39 | 183 | 42 | 22 | 4 | 40% | 2.6 | 23.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 2.2% | 4.62 | 3.97 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 4 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.6% | 18.8% | -3.1% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 4.16 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 4 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.6% | 18.8% | -3.1% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 4.43 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 5 | 35 | 157 | 53 | 19 | 4 | 45% | 3.2 | 24.7% | 16.7% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 5.40 | 4.54 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 5 | 35 | 157 | 53 | 19 | 4 | 45% | 3.2 | 33.8% | 12.1% | 21.7% | 2.5% | 5.40 | 3.19 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 24 | 22 | 117 | 486 | 143 | 54 | 10 | 92% | 4.9 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 3.39 | 4.99 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 24 | 22 | 117 | 486 | 143 | 54 | 10 | 92% | 4.9 | 29.4% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 2.1% | 3.39 | 3.15 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 11 | 54 | 241 | 41 | 35 | 5 | 73% | 3.6 | 12.6% | 16.6% | -4.0% | 2.3% | 4.14 | 5.38 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 11 | 54 | 241 | 41 | 35 | 5 | 73% | 3.6 | 17.0% | 14.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.14 | 4.72 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 25 | 0 | 26 | 130 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.3% | 14.2% | -2.9% | 2.1% | 7.27 | 5.12 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 25 | 0 | 26 | 130 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.6% | 12.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 7.27 | 4.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 18 | 0 | 19 | 79 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.57 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.21 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 94 | 44 | 277 | 1229 | 223 | 182 | 36 | 47% | 2.9 | 18.2% | 14.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 5.06 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 32 | 200 | 887 | 161 | 131 | 26 | 47% | 2.9 | 18.2% | 14.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 5.06 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joseph Hernandez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.59 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 20 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 81 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 80 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 78 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 75 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 74 |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 73 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 73 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 73 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 73 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.52 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 1.1% | .341 | 3.55 | 23.0% | 13.0% | 41 | +0.03 | 3.06 | 222 | 72 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.65 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .319 | 4.96 | 18.4% | 6.6% | 242 | +0.31 | 4.39 | 353 | 72 |
| Chase Centala R 2024 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 71 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 71 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.41 | 16.7% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .323 | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 48 | -0.98 | 2.10 | 224 | 71 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 71 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 70 |
| Chad Dallas R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 70 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 70 |
| Jake Walkinshaw R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.66 | 17.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .296 | 4.92 | 13.3% | 3.1% | 116 | +0.26 | 2.20 | 286 | 70 |
| Jake Lyons R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 70 |