Johzan Oquendo — OGILVIE

Johzan Oquendo P South Bend Cubs

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%24.1%

BB%13.9%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	18	5	41	181	49	21	2	28%	2.3	18.4%	14.5%	3.9%	1.5%	4.57	4.22	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	18	5	41	181	49	21	2	28%	2.3	27.1%	11.6%	15.5%	1.1%	4.57	2.88	—
2022	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	31	0	58	268	88	36	2	0%	1.9	24.3%	15.9%	8.4%	1.0%	4.94	3.62	—
2022	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	31	0	58	268	88	36	2	0%	1.9	32.8%	13.4%	19.4%	0.7%	4.94	2.38	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	54	230	70	39	0	0%	1.9	22.7%	19.8%	2.9%	0.0%	2.32	3.69	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	54	230	70	39	0	0%	1.9	22.7%	19.8%	2.9%	0.0%	2.32	3.69	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	54	230	70	39	0	0%	1.9	30.4%	17.0%	13.5%	0.0%	2.32	2.68	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	36	153	46	22	2	0%	1.3	25.1%	13.9%	11.1%	1.7%	2.72	3.69	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	36	153	46	22	2	0%	1.3	25.1%	13.9%	11.1%	1.7%	2.72	3.69	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	36	153	46	22	2	0%	1.3	30.1%	14.4%	15.7%	1.3%	2.72	3.10	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	CHC	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	24.1%	13.9%	10.2%	2.8%	4.75	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CHC	31	0	33	138	33	19	4	0%	1.1	24.2%	13.4%	10.8%	2.8%	4.69	4.68	-0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	CHC	13	0	14	59	14	8	2	0%	1.1	24.2%	13.4%	10.8%	2.8%	4.69	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	59	14	8	2	0%	1.1	24.2%	13.4%	10.8%	2.8%	4.69	4.30	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	199	114	28	0%	1.1	24.2%	13.4%	10.8%	2.8%	4.69	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		106	5	190	832	189	136	8	5%	1.8	22.7%	16.3%	6.4%	1.0%	3.69	3.78	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	5	200	874	199	143	9	5%	1.8	22.7%	16.3%	6.4%	1.0%	3.69	3.78	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Johzan Oquendo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	24.1%	13.9%	2.8%	—	4.68	24.2%	10.8%	33	-0.07	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	89
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	87
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	87
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	85
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	85
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	85
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	85
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	84
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	84
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	84
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	84
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	84
Conor Grammes R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	28.6%	16.8%	3.3%	.293	4.52	20.8%	1.1%	128	-0.12	4.11	171	83
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	83
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	83
Mason Vinyard R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	22.7%	13.6%	1.5%	.270	4.67	19.3%	5.9%	147	+0.94	3.60	207	83
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	83
Trey Benton R 2023 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	23.8%	13.9%	3.0%	.366	2.92	18.1%	7.4%	31	-1.57	2.92	139	82
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	24.2%	13.6%	1.09	4.71
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41