Denny Larrondo
P
Visalia Rawhide
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
A
peak 0.6 · 2028
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 123
ERA5.44
FIP5.44
K%18.7%
BB%15.4%
K-BB%3.2%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | 12 | 9 | 32 | 141 | 24 | 21 | 0 | 75% | 2.7 | 11.6% | 18.6% | -7.0% | 0.0% | 5.01 | 4.48 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | 12 | 9 | 32 | 141 | 24 | 21 | 0 | 75% | 2.7 | 17.0% | 14.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 5.01 | 3.56 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 11 | 3 | 26 | 114 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 27% | 2.3 | 22.7% | 17.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 4.56 | 4.79 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 11 | 3 | 26 | 114 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 27% | 2.3 | 33.3% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 1.8% | 4.56 | 3.02 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 13 | 61 | 276 | 68 | 40 | 6 | 87% | 4.1 | 17.1% | 17.9% | -0.8% | 3.4% | 4.43 | 5.77 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 13 | 61 | 276 | 68 | 40 | 6 | 87% | 4.1 | 24.6% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 4.43 | 4.12 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 23 | 23 | 94 | 422 | 107 | 68 | 7 | 100% | 4.1 | 18.8% | 19.0% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 3.56 | 4.91 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 23 | 23 | 94 | 422 | 107 | 68 | 7 | 100% | 4.1 | 25.4% | 16.1% | 9.2% | 1.7% | 3.56 | 3.96 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 17 | 81 | 358 | 92 | 41 | 8 | 85% | 4.0 | 19.3% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 5.36 | 4.57 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 17 | 81 | 358 | 92 | 41 | 8 | 85% | 4.0 | 25.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 2.2% | 5.36 | 3.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 12 | 12 | 67 | 284 | 53 | 44 | 8 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.7% | 15.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.44 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 56 | 39 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.5% | 13.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 5.22 | 5.15 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 57 | 38 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.0% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 5.10 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 57 | 37 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.2% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 24 | 17 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.5% | 13.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 5.22 | 5.15 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 38 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.0% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 5.10 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 44 | 29 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.2% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 21 | 126 | 532 | 106 | 71 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.0% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 5.11 | 4.70 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 168 | 113 | 24 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.0% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 5.11 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 81 | 65 | 293 | 1311 | 238 | 224 | 29 | 80% | 3.6 | 18.1% | 17.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.48 | 4.94 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 44 | 200 | 894 | 162 | 152 | 20 | 80% | 3.6 | 18.1% | 17.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.48 | 4.94 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Denny Larrondo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.44 | 18.7% | 15.4% | 2.9% | — | 5.09 | 19.9% | 6.5% | 203 | -0.35 | — | — | — |
| Carlson Reed R 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.9% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 237 | 86 |
| J.P. Massey R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.62 | 16.1% | 14.2% | 2.0% | .283 | 5.64 | 15.5% | -1.3% | 46 | +1.02 | 4.62 | 195 | 86 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 84 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 82 |
| Zach Fruit R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.26 | 19.3% | 14.1% | 1.8% | .258 | 4.83 | 15.4% | -0.2% | 44 | +0.57 | 4.26 | 151 | 82 |
| Aaron Hernandez R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.45 | 20.9% | 16.4% | 1.9% | .329 | 5.26 | 18.8% | 5.1% | 59 | +0.81 | 4.45 | 194 | 82 |
| Andrew Thurman R 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 24 | SP- | 6.01 | 14.4% | 16.9% | 3.6% | .291 | 2.59 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 25 | -3.42 | 2.59 | 237 | 81 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 81 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.22 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .293 | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 274 | -0.65 | 4.00 | 512 | 80 |
| Phillippe Aumont R 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.64 | 19.6% | 18.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.31 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 64 | +0.67 | 4.64 | 147 | 80 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2025 · 5.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.93 | 17.4% | 15.3% | 4.3% | .228 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 80 |
| Casey Steward R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.79 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 191 | 79 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.55 | 19.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.24 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 143 | -0.31 | 3.72 | 283 | 79 |
| Carlos Tavera R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.54 | 19.6% | 17.3% | 3.5% | .267 | 5.35 | 19.4% | 4.8% | 114 | -0.19 | 4.12 | 263 | 79 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.33 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.0% | .227 | 4.60 | 17.4% | 5.6% | 142 | -0.73 | 4.60 | 529 | 79 |
| Hayden Merda R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.06 | 16.1% | 15.3% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.42 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 87 | -0.64 | 3.50 | 182 | 79 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 17.0% | 14.3% | 1.6% | .335 | 4.05 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 99 | -0.30 | 3.59 | 327 | 78 |
| Ike Buxton R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.52 | 15.4% | 13.1% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.95 | 13.8% | -5.5% | 46 | +0.43 | 4.52 | 196 | 78 |
| Reid Johnston R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.90 | 19.5% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .256 | 5.86 | 17.2% | 2.4% | 31 | +0.96 | 3.72 | 234 | 78 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.86 | 18.8% | 16.6% | 2.3% | .252 | 4.50 | 24.2% | 4.8% | 150 | -0.36 | 4.20 | 311 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 1.12 | 5.20 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |