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Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 5 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 40% | 2.6 | 20.5% | 18.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.15 | 4.80 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 5 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 40% | 2.6 | 30.2% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 1.9% | 4.15 | 3.48 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 12 | 12 | 44 | 186 | 50 | 20 | 0 | 100% | 3.7 | 18.3% | 13.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 3.45 | 3.26 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 12 | 12 | 44 | 186 | 50 | 20 | 0 | 100% | 3.7 | 26.9% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 3.45 | 2.20 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 14 | 74 | 324 | 48 | 33 | 4 | 88% | 4.6 | 10.2% | 12.5% | -2.2% | 0.6% | 4.00 | 4.12 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 14 | 74 | 324 | 48 | 33 | 4 | 88% | 4.6 | 14.8% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 4.00 | 3.84 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 12 | 1 | 26 | 109 | 30 | 12 | 1 | 8% | 2.1 | 18.7% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 1.40 | 3.97 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYY | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 19 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 10.1% | 14.4% | -4.3% | 2.7% | 5.91 | 5.91 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.1% | 14.4% | -4.3% | 2.7% | 5.91 | 5.91 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 71 | 299 | 49 | 39 | 6 | — | — | 16.5% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.27 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 47 | 199 | 27 | 26 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 13.5% | 13.0% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 5.56 | 5.43 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 49 | 207 | 32 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.7% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.28 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 50 | 212 | 36 | 25 | 6 | 100% | 6.3 | 16.9% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 5.08 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 51 | 214 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 100% | 6.3 | 17.6% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 4.95 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 51 | 214 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 100% | 6.3 | 17.9% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 4.89 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 50 | 211 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.9% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 4.89 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 48 | 205 | 36 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.8% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 4.94 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYY | 4 | 4 | 23 | 97 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 13.5% | 13.0% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 5.56 | 5.43 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 24 | 19 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.7% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.28 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 30 | 21 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.9% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 5.08 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 45 | 190 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 6.4 | 17.6% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 4.95 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 46 | 194 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 6.6 | 17.9% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 4.89 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 46 | 194 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 6.6 | 17.9% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 4.89 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 45 | 190 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 6.4 | 17.8% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 4.94 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 46 | 46 | 284 | 1197 | 204 | 141 | 32 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.1% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 5.04 | 4.60 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 144 | 99 | 23 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.1% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 5.04 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 45 | 29 | 157 | 672 | 98 | 90 | 4 | 64% | 3.5 | 14.6% | 13.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 3.43 | 3.91 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 37 | 200 | 854 | 125 | 115 | 5 | 64% | 3.5 | 14.6% | 13.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 3.43 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Edinzo Marquez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.91 | 10.1% | 14.4% | 2.7% | — | 5.18 | 15.4% | 3.1% | 146 | -0.73 | — | — | — |
| Juan Gomez R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.39 | 10.9% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .345 | 3.58 | 11.2% | -0.1% | 61 | -1.81 | 3.58 | 113 | 88 |
| Kevin Gowdy R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.62 | 11.1% | 17.0% | 2.4% | .321 | 5.82 | 16.3% | 6.0% | 130 | +0.20 | 3.31 | 333 | 84 |
| Luis Mateo R 2027 · 5.17 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.17 | 11.4% | 14.7% | 2.1% | .315 | 5.67 | 15.0% | -1.3% | 55 | +0.50 | 4.52 | 112 | 83 |
| Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.32 | 13.9% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .237 | 4.05 | 20.5% | 4.7% | 73 | -1.27 | 3.79 | 101 | 83 |
| Ismael Cabral R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.11 | 11.6% | 15.6% | 1.8% | .300 | 3.40 | 19.5% | 4.1% | 33 | -1.71 | 3.40 | 146 | 82 |
| Mason McGwire R 2025 · 6.65 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.65 | 11.7% | 21.2% | 3.4% | .298 | 3.50 | 23.5% | 12.6% | 52 | -3.15 | 3.50 | 128 | 82 |
| Jhon Vergara R 2024 · 5.75 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.75 | 11.1% | 13.1% | 3.5% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 106 | 82 |
| Gillian Wernet R 2024 · 5.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.46 | 11.2% | 16.6% | 2.2% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 107 | 81 |
| Will Childers R 2027 · 5.30 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.30 | 11.8% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .305 | 4.22 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 143 | -1.08 | 3.50 | 202 | 81 |
| Trey Riley R 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 21 | SP- | 6.03 | 10.6% | 19.0% | 2.6% | .344 | 6.14 | 17.4% | 5.2% | 74 | +0.11 | 4.48 | 227 | 81 |
| Jheyson Caraballo R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.25 | 11.9% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 101 | 80 |
| Luis Burgos R 2025 · 5.12 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.12 | 9.9% | 13.1% | 2.2% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 114 | 80 |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2029 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 80 |
| Adrian Acosta R 2024 · 6.13 FIP | 19 | SP- | 6.13 | 7.9% | 21.7% | 1.7% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 120 | 80 |
| Jol Concepcion R 2027 · 6.53 FIP | 22 | SW | 6.53 | 12.2% | 20.0% | 3.5% | .272 | 4.65 | 23.9% | 3.9% | 50 | -1.88 | 4.65 | 154 | 80 |
| Juan Perez R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.28 | 15.4% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .321 | 4.63 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 56 | -0.65 | 4.63 | 113 | 80 |
| Jose Bello R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.58 | 13.4% | 14.9% | 3.1% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 155 | 79 |
| Torey Deshazier R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.30 | 12.7% | 12.8% | 3.0% | .319 | 5.28 | 14.8% | -10.6% | 41 | -0.02 | 5.28 | 127 | 79 |
| Nolberto Henriquez R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.75 | 16.0% | 13.4% | 2.4% | .305 | 5.43 | 11.3% | -3.1% | 52 | +0.68 | 4.75 | 108 | 79 |
| Jefferson Medina R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.36 | 13.1% | 16.1% | 2.4% | .279 | 3.91 | 14.1% | 2.6% | 187 | -1.45 | 3.58 | 350 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 49 | 16.0% | 12.2% | 1.02 | 5.18 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |