Edinzo Marquez P FCL Yankees
Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 208 lbs ROK peak 0.9 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151142vR 133
ERA5.91
FIP5.91
K%10.1%
BB%14.4%
K-BB%-4.3%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP
K: -3.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-3KBB: -3.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: -0.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +4.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: -0.35 (71 IP)-0.3WAR
0.00.10.20.30.30.30.30.20.22628303234
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3030
CTRL4040
CMD3030
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202217ROKDSL NYY Yankees521353168140%2.620.5%18.9%1.7%1.9%4.154.80
202217ROKDSL NYY Yankees521353168140%2.630.2%15.1%15.1%1.9%4.153.48
202419ROKDSL NYY Yankees12124418650200100%3.718.3%13.4%4.8%0.0%3.453.26
202419ROKDSL NYY Yankees12124418650200100%3.726.9%10.8%16.1%0.0%3.452.20
202520MIX2 levels1614743244833488%4.610.2%12.5%-2.2%0.6%4.004.12
202520MIX2 levels1614743244833488%4.614.8%10.2%4.6%1.2%4.003.84
▸ 2026 Season
202621ROKFCL Yankees12126109301218%2.118.7%13.8%5.0%1.3%1.403.97+0.2
ROS21MLBNYY43045190192750%1.010.1%14.4%-4.3%2.7%5.915.91-0.7
ROS21MLBNYY010.1%14.4%-4.3%2.7%5.915.91
2026 TOT21MLBNYY712994939616.5%13.2%3.3%2.0%4.275.20-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722MLBNYY884719927265100%5.913.5%13.0%0.5%2.6%5.565.43-0.5
202823MLBNYY884920732255100%6.115.7%12.2%3.4%2.6%5.285.14-0.3
202924MLBNYY885021236256100%6.316.9%11.8%5.2%2.6%5.084.97-0.2
203025MLBNYY885121438256100%6.317.6%11.5%6.1%2.6%4.954.88-0.2
203126MLBNYY885121438256100%6.317.9%11.5%6.4%2.6%4.894.85-0.2
203227MLBNYY885021138246100%6.217.9%11.6%6.3%2.6%4.894.89-0.2
203328MLBNYY884820536246100%6.117.8%11.7%6.1%2.7%4.944.97-0.2
202722MLBNYY44239713133100%5.813.5%13.0%0.5%2.6%5.565.43-0.2
202823MLBNYY663615224194100%6.015.7%12.2%3.4%2.6%5.285.14-0.2
202924MLBNYY774217730215100%6.016.9%11.8%5.2%2.6%5.084.97-0.2
203025MLBNYY774519034225100%6.417.6%11.5%6.1%2.6%4.954.88-0.2
203126MLBNYY774619435225100%6.617.9%11.5%6.4%2.6%4.894.85-0.2
203227MLBNYY774619435225100%6.617.9%11.6%6.3%2.6%4.894.89-0.2
203328MLBNYY774519034225100%6.417.8%11.7%6.1%2.7%4.944.97-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career4646284119720414132100%6.217.1%11.8%5.3%2.6%5.044.60+2.7
/ 200 IP33332008441449923100%6.117.1%11.8%5.3%2.6%5.044.60+1.9
Career45291576729890464%3.514.6%13.4%1.2%0.6%3.433.91+2.7
/ 200 IP5737200854125115564%3.514.6%13.4%1.2%0.6%3.433.91+3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Edinzo Marquez (OGILVIE) 5.91 10.1%14.4%2.7% 5.18 15.4%3.1%146 -0.73
Juan Gomez R 2025 · 5.39 FIP 20 SP- 5.39 10.9%12.6%2.9%.345 3.58 11.2%-0.1%61 -1.81 3.58 113 88
Kevin Gowdy R 2026 · 5.62 FIP 21 SP- 5.62 11.1%17.0%2.4%.321 5.82 16.3%6.0%130 +0.20 3.31 333 84
Luis Mateo R 2027 · 5.17 FIP 22 SP- 5.17 11.4%14.7%2.1%.315 5.67 15.0%-1.3%55 +0.50 4.52 112 83
Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2026 · 5.32 FIP 21 SP- 5.32 13.9%15.4%2.6%.237 4.05 20.5%4.7%73 -1.27 3.79 101 83
Ismael Cabral R 2026 · 5.11 FIP 21 SP- 5.11 11.6%15.6%1.8%.300 3.40 19.5%4.1%33 -1.71 3.40 146 82
Mason McGwire R 2025 · 6.65 FIP 20 SP- 6.65 11.7%21.2%3.4%.298 3.50 23.5%12.6%52 -3.15 3.50 128 82
Jhon Vergara R 2024 · 5.75 FIP 19 SW 5.75 11.1%13.1%3.5%.337 3.60 106 82
Gillian Wernet R 2024 · 5.46 FIP 19 SP- 5.46 11.2%16.6%2.2%.295 3.65 107 81
Will Childers R 2027 · 5.30 FIP 22 SP- 5.30 11.8%12.1%3.0%.305 4.22 20.1%9.0%143 -1.08 3.50 202 81
Trey Riley R 2026 · 6.03 FIP 21 SP- 6.03 10.6%19.0%2.6%.344 6.14 17.4%5.2%74 +0.11 4.48 227 81
Jheyson Caraballo R 2026 · 5.25 FIP 21 SW 5.25 11.9%10.6%3.3%.322 3.39 101 80
Luis Burgos R 2025 · 5.12 FIP 20 SP- 5.12 9.9%13.1%2.2%.323 4.14 114 80
Wirkin Estevez R 2029 · 5.36 FIP 24 SW 5.36 10.7%13.4%2.7%.316 4.42 12.3%3.5%179 -0.94 4.24 238 80
Adrian Acosta R 2024 · 6.13 FIP 19 SP- 6.13 7.9%21.7%1.7%.276 3.58 120 80
Jol Concepcion R 2027 · 6.53 FIP 22 SW 6.53 12.2%20.0%3.5%.272 4.65 23.9%3.9%50 -1.88 4.65 154 80
Juan Perez R 2026 · 5.28 FIP 21 SW 5.28 15.4%14.1%3.1%.321 4.63 10.8%0.0%56 -0.65 4.63 113 80
Jose Bello R 2026 · 5.58 FIP 21 SP- 5.58 13.4%14.9%3.1%.261 2.34 155 79
Torey Deshazier R 2026 · 5.30 FIP 21 SW 5.30 12.7%12.8%3.0%.319 5.28 14.8%-10.6%41 -0.02 5.28 127 79
Nolberto Henriquez R 2026 · 4.75 FIP 21 SP- 4.75 16.0%13.4%2.4%.305 5.43 11.3%-3.1%52 +0.68 4.75 108 79
Jefferson Medina R 2026 · 5.36 FIP 21 SP- 5.36 13.1%16.1%2.4%.279 3.91 14.1%2.6%187 -1.45 3.58 350 79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION84916.0%12.2%1.025.18
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Buck Farmer ('24)105021.6%10.5%1.234.59
Wily Peralta ('22)77116.1%9.8%1.224.66
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82