Daviel Hurtado
P
Brooklyn Cyclones
Age 21
LHP
6'1" / 166 lbs
A+
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112122vR 131
ERA4.95
FIP4.95
K%18.7%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%7.2%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 92 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Mets | 8 | 8 | 16 | 68 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 23.0% | 18.4% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 6.32 | 3.49 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Mets | 8 | 8 | 16 | 68 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 33.8% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 0.0% | 6.32 | 2.08 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 12 | 66 | 272 | 75 | 24 | 3 | 67% | 3.6 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 2.06 | 3.87 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 12 | 66 | 272 | 75 | 24 | 3 | 67% | 3.6 | 27.6% | 8.8% | 18.8% | 1.1% | 2.06 | 2.51 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 13 | 11 | 50 | 183 | 54 | 9 | 3 | 85% | 3.8 | 20.9% | 6.4% | 14.5% | 1.7% | 2.16 | 3.10 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYM | 9 | 9 | 42 | 177 | 33 | 21 | 5 | 100% | 4.7 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 4.95 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.7% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 4.95 | 4.95 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 92 | 360 | 87 | 30 | 8 | — | — | 24.2% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 2.3% | 3.43 | 3.95 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 21 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 18.7% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 4.95 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYM | 9 | 9 | 44 | 186 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 4.9 | 20.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYM | 4 | 4 | 22 | 93 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 20.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4 | 4 | 22 | 93 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 20.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.30 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 173 | 91 | 27 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 4.76 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 39 | 31 | 131 | 523 | 108 | 53 | 9 | 79% | 3.4 | 20.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 1.7% | 2.60 | 3.55 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 47 | 200 | 796 | 164 | 80 | 13 | 79% | 3.4 | 20.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 1.7% | 2.60 | 3.55 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Daviel Hurtado (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.95 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.68 | 20.1% | 9.5% | 44 | -0.27 | — | — | — |
| Avery Short L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.04 | 20.1% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .346 | 4.76 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 271 | -0.28 | 4.31 | 460 | 86 |
| Rylan Kaufman L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.35 | 19.3% | 12.1% | 2.4% | .305 | 4.69 | 18.9% | 4.5% | 131 | +0.34 | 4.01 | 212 | 85 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 82 |
| Nate Peterson L 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 81 |
| Bailey Horn L 2028 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 81 |
| Packy Naughton L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.45 | 17.0% | 9.9% | 2.8% | .323 | 3.57 | 15.9% | 10.0% | 311 | -0.88 | 2.97 | 504 | 80 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 80 |
| Luis Moncada L 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 12.0% | 1.5% | .278 | 3.85 | 17.6% | 5.7% | 68 | +0.04 | 3.81 | 296 | 80 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 80 |
| John Beller L 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.59 | 19.7% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .326 | 4.22 | 22.2% | 7.1% | 90 | -0.37 | 4.00 | 170 | 80 |
| Ryan Lawlor L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.17 | 14.8% | 13.0% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.17 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 107 | -1.00 | 2.24 | 201 | 80 |
| Mac Lardner L 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 80 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2028 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.80 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .360 | 5.95 | 16.3% | -2.8% | 144 | +1.15 | 4.80 | 223 | 79 |
| Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2027 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.67 | 19.6% | 14.6% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.89 | 20.3% | 3.7% | 33 | -0.78 | 2.81 | 146 | 79 |
| Juan Reyes L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.09 | 20.1% | 14.1% | 1.7% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 114 | 79 |
| Erik Rivera L 2028 · 5.95 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.95 | 19.0% | 14.6% | 4.8% | .255 | 4.86 | 23.2% | 5.8% | 87 | -1.09 | 4.69 | 122 | 79 |
| Develson Aria L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.07 | 19.9% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .346 | 6.50 | 16.7% | -11.9% | 47 | +2.43 | 4.07 | 137 | 78 |
| Adalberto Mejía L 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.93 | 14.7% | 9.4% | 1.6% | .237 | 3.71 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 344 | -0.22 | 3.39 | 427 | 77 |
| Sebastian Gongora L 2028 · 3.80 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.80 | 21.8% | 14.0% | 1.4% | .335 | 3.81 | 18.5% | 11.0% | 84 | +0.01 | 3.80 | 152 | 77 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.3% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .313 | 4.65 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 139 | +0.16 | 4.12 | 234 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 43 | 19.4% | 11.1% | 1.11 | 4.85 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |