Caleb Baragar
P
St. Paul Saints
Age 32
LHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION14 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.58
FIP4.74
xFIP6.65
SIERA5.80
K%21.4%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%11.1%
IP15
K†5050
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p2692.8
Whiff%
p2722.1%
K%
p1016.3%
xwOBA vs
p450.317
FB+0.9
SL+0.6
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | 15 | 11 | 61 | 242 | 53 | 21 | 2 | 15.6% | 9.2% | 1.3% | 2.51 | 3.65 | +0.7 |
| 2017 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 22 | 22 | 115 | 497 | 81 | 35 | 8 | 12.1% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 4.63 | 4.94 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 26 | 12 | 82 | 337 | 85 | 18 | 10 | 19.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 4.06 | 4.06 | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 28 | 26 | 141 | 582 | 135 | 51 | 15 | 18.5% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 3.57 | 4.85 | +0.9 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 24 | 1 | 22 | 88 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 21.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.03 | 4.03 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 47 | 1 | 45 | 217 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 17.5% | 14.8% | 4.1% | 4.96 | 5.73 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 43 | 3 | 47 | 210 | 50 | 28 | 15 | 21.0% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 5.51 | 7.74 | -1.8 |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 23 | 0 | 32 | 147 | 41 | 27 | 6 | 24.5% | 19.3% | 4.2% | 6.54 | 5.76 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 16 | 4 | 26 | 116 | 26 | 11 | 5 | 19.7% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 5.96 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 15 | — | 15 | 62 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 21.4% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 20.7% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 4.80 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 244 | 80 | 571 | 2436 | 431 | 248 | 94 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 4.30 | 5.01 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 28 | 200 | 853 | 151 | 87 | 33 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 4.30 | 5.01 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Caleb Baragar (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.74 | 21.4% | 10.2% | 3.2% | — | 4.97 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 20 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 4.14 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.59 | 3.60 | 190 | 82 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.05 | 25.9% | 12.7% | 2.8% | .276 | 4.90 | 17.3% | 2.6% | 35 | +0.85 | 3.72 | 181 | 79 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 78 |
| Dan Jennings L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 244 | 78 |
| Phil Coke L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 77 |
| Dana Eveland L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.83 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .272 | 4.91 | 14.7% | 10.0% | 21 | +1.08 | 2.42 | 129 | 77 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.63 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 4.2% | .286 | 5.07 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 32 | +0.44 | 2.37 | 296 | 77 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.45 | 17.5% | 11.0% | 2.6% | .325 | 4.79 | 16.0% | 3.0% | 27 | +0.34 | 3.77 | 127 | 75 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 75 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 75 |
| Luke Westphal L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.48 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .321 | 4.52 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 75 |
| Neal Cotts L 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 74 |
| Craig Breslow L 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 73 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2028 · 3.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.79 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .315 | 4.03 | 13.3% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.24 | 3.39 | 138 | 71 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.21 | 20.2% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .376 | 4.85 | 16.0% | 11.1% | 53 | +0.64 | 4.07 | 424 | 71 |
| Chris Narveson L 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 70 |
| Santiago Gutierrez L 2025 · 3.87 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.87 | 15.0% | 8.2% | 1.8% | .366 | 6.95 | 17.1% | 3.7% | 46 | +3.08 | 3.87 | 341 | 70 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.51 | 20.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 241 | 69 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.73 | 19.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | .290 | 3.42 | 24.5% | 19.8% | 117 | -1.31 | 1.52 | 350 | 69 |
| Franklin Morales L 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.06 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 2.2% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 101 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.