Yadiel Batista
P
Palm Beach Cardinals
+0.2
WAR
Age 22
LHP
6'3" / 170 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.7 · 2030
ERA4.49
FIP4.49
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.8%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%11.6%
IP63
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2030
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 10 | 9 | 39 | 152 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 16.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.96 | 3.06 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | 11 | 10 | 46 | 197 | 45 | 16 | 4 | 15.5% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 3.88 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 19 | 5 | 75 | 315 | 63 | 22 | 6 | 14.0% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 4.22 | 4.25 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | STL | 11 | 11 | 63 | 264 | 55 | 24 | 8 | 20.8% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 22 | MLB | STL | — | — | 64 | 268 | 57 | 25 | 8 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 60 | 24 | 8 | 21.8% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.33 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 66 | 281 | 63 | 24 | 8 | 22.5% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.23 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 67 | 284 | 65 | 24 | 8 | 22.9% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.18 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 67 | 284 | 66 | 24 | 8 | 23.1% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 4.16 | +0.7 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 67 | 282 | 65 | 24 | 8 | 23.1% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 4.17 | +0.6 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 66 | 278 | 64 | 24 | 8 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.19 | 4.20 | +0.6 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 64 | 271 | 62 | 23 | 8 | 22.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.24 | +0.5 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | STL | 11 | 11 | 62 | 263 | 60 | 23 | 8 | 22.7% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.30 | +0.5 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | STL | 11 | 11 | 60 | 254 | 57 | 22 | 8 | 22.5% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 4.38 | +0.4 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | STL | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 54 | 22 | 8 | 22.2% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.46 | +0.3 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | STL | 55 | — | 55 | 233 | 51 | 21 | 8 | 21.9% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 4.50 | 4.56 | +0.2 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | STL | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 48 | 21 | 7 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 4.60 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | STL | 49 | — | 49 | 209 | 44 | 20 | 7 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 4.72 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 41 | 24 | 161 | 668 | 102 | 50 | 16 | 15.2% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 4.03 | 4.10 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 30 | 200 | 832 | 127 | 62 | 20 | 15.2% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 4.03 | 4.10 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yadiel Batista (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 20.8% | 9.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.25 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 199 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.28 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 4.0% | 152 | +0.49 | 4.09 | 219 | 94 |
| Ryne Slack L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.08 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .293 | 4.99 | 15.4% | 2.5% | 142 | +0.91 | 4.08 | 212 | 94 |
| Shane McCain L 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.31 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 3.0% | .324 | 4.65 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 125 | +0.34 | 4.31 | 201 | 92 |
| Kyle Twomey L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.07 | 17.6% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.95 | 14.8% | 6.9% | 68 | -0.12 | 3.95 | 141 | 90 |
| Cameron Ming L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 17.7% | 7.1% | 2.4% | .308 | 5.58 | 14.3% | 4.9% | 49 | +1.77 | 3.81 | 111 | 90 |
| Hayden Howard L 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.17 | 16.4% | 8.1% | 2.6% | .307 | 3.80 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 123 | -0.37 | 3.76 | 200 | 90 |
| Nate Peterson L 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.45 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.7% | .284 | 4.96 | 17.1% | 5.7% | 161 | +0.51 | 4.32 | 236 | 90 |
| Mac Lardner L 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 4.0% | .332 | 4.36 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.40 | 3.70 | 186 | 89 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2027 · 4.51 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.7% | .312 | 4.36 | 20.4% | 7.2% | 170 | -0.15 | 3.87 | 236 | 89 |
| Michael Johnson L 2028 · 3.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .260 | 4.75 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.88 | 256 | 88 |
| Haylen Green L 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.98 | 16.9% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .291 | 4.09 | 18.6% | 7.8% | 49 | +0.11 | 3.98 | 104 | 88 |
| Ben Onyshko L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.50 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .349 | 5.44 | 20.4% | 8.0% | 100 | +1.94 | 3.50 | 219 | 87 |
| Diego Barrera L 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.2% | 1.8% | .310 | 3.67 | 18.5% | 9.7% | 44 | -0.05 | 3.67 | 111 | 87 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.24 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.3% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 161 | 87 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2028 · 3.91 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.91 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .326 | 4.61 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.70 | 1.71 | 206 | 87 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.26 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 2.6% | .268 | 3.50 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.76 | 1.84 | 238 | 86 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.91 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 4.0% | .360 | 6.05 | 16.3% | -2.8% | 144 | +1.14 | 4.91 | 223 | 86 |
| Russell Smith L 2027 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.20 | 16.0% | 10.4% | 3.9% | .272 | 4.61 | 21.2% | 7.8% | 107 | -0.59 | 3.98 | 175 | 86 |
| Austin Warner L 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.02 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 9.4% | 284 | +0.38 | 3.83 | 491 | 86 |
| Cam Alldred L 2027 · 4.61 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.61 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .323 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 132 | -0.37 | 3.70 | 332 | 86 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.8M | +0.5 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $5M | $13M | +$8M | ||