Charles McAdoo
2B Buffalo Bisons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AA/A+2 orgs | 519 | .279/.368/.479 | 17 | 21 | 82 | — | .223/.290/.370 |
| 2025 | 23 | AATOR | 494 | .247/.319/.413 | 16 | 34 | 60 | — | .199/.256/.328 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAATOR | 385 | .269/.368/.465 | 16 | 12 | 90 | — | .233/.311/.381 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBTOR | 106 | .258/.308/.392 | 3 | 2 | 94 | 0.4 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 25 | MLBTOR | 70 | .225/.293/.365 | 2 | 3 | 85 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ51% MLB | 26 | MLBTOR | 161 | .227/.296/.372 | 5 | 8 | 88 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ53% MLB | 27 | MLBTOR | 170 | .227/.296/.371 | 5 | 8 | 87 | 0.2 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 114 | 96 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 302 | 412 | 510 | 923 | 208 | 348 | 19 | 15 | 408 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 261 | 228 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 72 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 224 | 317 | 399 | 716 | 175 | 287 | 28 | 10 | 319 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 258 | 223 | 75 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 56 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 336 | 420 | 561 | 980 | 224 | 410 | 22 | 10 | 424 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 494 | 445 | 110 | 24 | 1 | 16 | 45 | 137 | 2 | 34 | 6 | 247 | 319 | 413 | 733 | 166 | 321 | 28 | 9 | 326 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 106 | 97 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 258 | 308 | 392 | 699 | 134 | 310 | 24 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 385 | 331 | 89 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 48 | 86 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 269 | 368 | 465 | 833 | 196 | 316 | 22 | 12 | 369 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 106 | 97 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 258 | 308 | 392 | 699 | 134 | 310 | 24 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 114 | 101 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 248 | 333 | 406 | 739 | 158 | 315 | 25 | 11 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 261 | 236 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 88 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 178 | 251 | 297 | 548 | 119 | 255 | 34 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 258 | 234 | 63 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 71 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 269 | 329 | 444 | 774 | 175 | 342 | 28 | 6 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 494 | 457 | 91 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 173 | 2 | 34 | 6 | 199 | 256 | 328 | 584 | 129 | 285 | 35 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 106 | 97 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 258 | 308 | 392 | 699 | 134 | 310 | 24 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 385 | 344 | 80 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 103 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 233 | 311 | 381 | 692 | 148 | 291 | 27 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 114 | 101 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 248 | 333 | 406 | 739 | 158 | 309 | 25 | 11 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 114 | 96 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 302 | 412 | 510 | 923 | 208 | 348 | 19 | 15 | 408 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 519 | 470 | 106 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 159 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 226 | 292 | 377 | 668 | 151 | 307 | 31 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 519 | 451 | 126 | 27 | 6 | 17 | 54 | 128 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 279 | 368 | 479 | 847 | 200 | 350 | 25 | 10 | 371 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 494 | 457 | 91 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 173 | 2 | 34 | 6 | 199 | 256 | 328 | 584 | 129 | 287 | 35 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA RAW | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 494 | 445 | 110 | 24 | 1 | 16 | 45 | 137 | 2 | 34 | 6 | 247 | 319 | 413 | 733 | 166 | 321 | 28 | 9 | 326 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 441 | 105 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 128 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 238 | 310 | 383 | 693 | 145 | 298 | 26 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 491 | 428 | 114 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 55 | 111 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 266 | 355 | 449 | 804 | 182 | 315 | 23 | 11 | 356 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 114 | 100 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 250 | 333 | 410 | 743 | 160 | 315 | 25 | 11 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 519 | 470 | 106 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 159 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 226 | 292 | 377 | 668 | 151 | 298 | 31 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 494 | 456 | 91 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 173 | 2 | 34 | 6 | 200 | 256 | 329 | 585 | 129 | 285 | 35 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 442 | 105 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 128 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 238 | 310 | 382 | 692 | 145 | 295 | 26 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 519 | 470 | 106 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 159 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 226 | 292 | 377 | 668 | 151 | 298 | 31 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 494 | 456 | 91 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 173 | 2 | 34 | 6 | 200 | 256 | 329 | 585 | 129 | 285 | 35 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 442 | 105 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 128 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 238 | 310 | 382 | 692 | 145 | 295 | 26 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | TOR | 45% | 380 | 344 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 105 | 3 | 18 | 4 | 224 | 293 | 363 | 656 | 140 | 286 | 28 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -7 | +2 | -2 | +1 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | TOR | 45% | 70 | 63 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 225 | 293 | 365 | 658 | 140 | 287 | 27 | 9 | 294 | 85 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | TOR | 51% | 315 | 284 | 64 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 86 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 226 | 295 | 371 | 666 | 145 | 286 | 27 | 8 | 298 | 88 | -5 | +2 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | TOR | 53% | 323 | 291 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 88 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 226 | 295 | 370 | 666 | 144 | 286 | 27 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -5 | +2 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | TOR | 53% | 324 | 292 | 67 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 88 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 225 | 295 | 367 | 662 | 142 | 285 | 27 | 8 | 296 | 86 | -5 | +2 | -3 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | TOR | 53% | 314 | 284 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 85 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 224 | 293 | 363 | 656 | 139 | 284 | 27 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -6 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | TOR | 52% | 305 | 275 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 83 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 222 | 291 | 358 | 648 | 136 | 282 | 27 | 8 | 290 | 83 | -6 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | TOR | 51% | 161 | 146 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 227 | 296 | 372 | 668 | 145 | 287 | 27 | 8 | 298 | 88 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | TOR | 53% | 170 | 153 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 46 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 227 | 296 | 371 | 667 | 144 | 287 | 27 | 8 | 298 | 87 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | TOR | 53% | 173 | 156 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 47 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 226 | 295 | 368 | 664 | 142 | 286 | 27 | 8 | 297 | 86 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | TOR | 53% | 165 | 150 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 225 | 294 | 364 | 658 | 140 | 285 | 27 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -3 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | TOR | 52% | 159 | 144 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 223 | 291 | 358 | 650 | 136 | 283 | 27 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -3 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 934 | 846 | 196 | 31 | 5 | 27 | 74 | 250 | 5 | 36 | 6 | 232 | 297 | 376 | 673 | 144 | 293 | 27 | 8 | 297 | 83 | -15 | +5 | -7 | +5 | +20 | 0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 137 | 22 | 3 | 19 | 51 | 174 | 3 | 25 | 4 | 233 | 297 | 377 | 673 | 144 | 294 | 27 | 8 | 297 | 83 | -10 | +3 | -5 | +3 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3354 | 3036 | 679 | 114 | 15 | 96 | 261 | 962 | 30 | 145 | 30 | 224 | 292 | 366 | 657 | 142 | 292 | 29 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -30 | +9 | -14 | +8 | +40 | 1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 132 | 22 | 3 | 19 | 51 | 186 | 6 | 28 | 6 | 224 | 293 | 369 | 662 | 145 | 292 | 29 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -11 | +3 | -5 | +3 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAABuffalo Bisons · 385 PAwOBA .361 → .301 (−60)K% 22.3% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.34% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 9.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.980 | ×1.048 | 22.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×1.048 | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×1.048 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.79% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .361 → .301; ISO .196 → .151; BABIP .316 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 494 PAwOBA .318 → .257 (−61)K% 27.7% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.73% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.11% | ÷0.983 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.40% | ÷1.029 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 20.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.79% | ÷1.030 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 6.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷0.997 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.19% | ÷0.885 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.70% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 99, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .318 → .257; ISO .166 → .135; BABIP .321 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 261 PAwOBA .312 → .248 (−64)K% 27.6% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.59% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.96% | ÷0.990 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 7.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.59% | ÷1.015 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 17.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.051 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 6.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.28% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.145 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 3.64% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .312 → .248; ISO .175 → .127; BABIP .287 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 258 PAwOBA .417 → .332 (−84)K% 21.7% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.71% | ÷1.029 | ×1.310 | — | — | 27.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.08% | ÷0.974 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 6.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.14% | ÷1.024 | ×0.870 | ×0.982 | ×1.012 | 23.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.98% | ÷0.950 | ×0.780 | ×0.982 | ×1.012 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.40% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.982 | ×1.012 | 2.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.39% | ÷1.106 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 4.34% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 106, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .417 → .332; ISO .224 → .186; BABIP .410 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ABradenton Marauders · 114 PAwOBA .398 → .328 (−70)K% 19.3% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.30% | ÷1.037 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.91% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 10.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷0.958 | ×0.920 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 25.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.05% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 3.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.76% | ÷0.971 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 5.65% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 92, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .398 → .328; ISO .208 → .170; BABIP .348 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).