Justin Chambers
P
Great Lakes Loons
Age 20
LHP
6'3" / 212 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99108vR 117
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.5%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 75% | 0.9 | 15.0% | 25.0% | -10.0% | 0.0% | 17.18 | 5.00 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 75% | 0.9 | 15.0% | 25.0% | -10.0% | 0.0% | 17.18 | 5.55 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 1 | 35 | 150 | 54 | 20 | 1 | 5% | 1.7 | 25.4% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 0.7% | 3.09 | 3.38 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 1 | 35 | 150 | 54 | 20 | 1 | 5% | 1.7 | 36.0% | 13.3% | 22.7% | 0.7% | 3.09 | 2.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 25 | 1 | 31 | 146 | 41 | 25 | 3 | 4% | 1.2 | 21.6% | 19.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 6.46 | 5.18 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | LAD | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 4.33 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 51 | 234 | 62 | 34 | 5 | — | — | 26.4% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 2.4% | 5.60 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 20 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 3.95 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | LAD | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.20 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 3.82 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 202 | 74 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 5 | 69 | 316 | 73 | 58 | 5 | 10% | 1.4 | 23.0% | 18.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 5.32 | 4.31 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 144 | 14 | 200 | 912 | 210 | 168 | 14 | 10% | 1.4 | 23.0% | 18.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 5.32 | 4.31 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Justin Chambers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.20 | 23.9% | 14.4% | 22 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Denny Bentley L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.85 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .318 | 2.88 | 25.4% | 10.3% | 58 | -1.97 | 2.88 | 175 | 85 |
| Abdallah Aris L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.63 | 22.4% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 109 | 85 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.09 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .208 | 4.77 | 16.8% | 7.4% | 223 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 82 |
| Ronnie Glenn L 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.47 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | .330 | 4.85 | 11.1% | -2.6% | 171 | +1.38 | 3.47 | 212 | 82 |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2029 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.75 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .333 | 2.67 | 23.8% | 15.8% | 78 | -1.08 | 2.51 | 119 | 81 |
| Harry Gustin L 2028 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 81 |
| Connor Curlis L 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.49 | 19.3% | 10.8% | 1.2% | .306 | 6.24 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 172 | +2.75 | 3.49 | 309 | 81 |
| Marlon Perez L 2028 · 3.25 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.25 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 1.3% | .250 | 4.25 | 22.9% | 12.2% | 103 | +1.00 | 3.25 | 145 | 80 |
| Oddanier Mosqueda L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.65 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .308 | 4.15 | 25.7% | 14.1% | 106 | +0.50 | 3.05 | 433 | 80 |
| Garvin Alston L 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.29 | 19.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | .333 | 4.76 | 16.4% | 2.9% | 84 | +0.47 | 4.01 | 232 | 80 |
| Jeff Singer L 2028 · 3.23 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.23 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 1.0% | .263 | 3.54 | 22.6% | 10.4% | 174 | +0.31 | 2.83 | 292 | 80 |
| Dominic LoBrutto L 2028 · 3.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.31 | 21.4% | 6.9% | 2.1% | .333 | 3.51 | 17.8% | 10.6% | 84 | +0.20 | 2.99 | 135 | 80 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 79 |
| Jonathan Hennigan L 2028 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.31 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .341 | 3.53 | 17.5% | 5.8% | 119 | -0.78 | 3.41 | 265 | 78 |
| Zach Morris L 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.59 | 18.5% | 10.1% | 1.4% | .286 | 4.59 | 13.9% | 2.4% | 84 | +1.00 | 3.40 | 109 | 78 |
| Gabriel Moya L 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.90 | 26.6% | 10.9% | 3.0% | .283 | 2.73 | 26.4% | 18.8% | 201 | -1.17 | 1.97 | 270 | 78 |
| Wesley Moore L 2029 · 3.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.83 | 25.9% | 13.2% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.14 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 58 | +0.31 | 3.83 | 111 | 78 |
| Kelvin Bautista L 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.26 | 26.5% | 13.8% | 1.2% | .328 | 4.33 | 17.2% | -2.0% | 79 | +1.07 | 3.16 | 283 | 77 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2029 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.52 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .294 | 2.76 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.76 | 2.17 | 310 | 77 |
| Vance Tatum L 2027 · 5.04 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.04 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | .319 | 5.18 | 15.6% | 2.3% | 85 | +0.14 | 4.80 | 116 | 77 |