Yokelvin Reyes P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes
+0.1 WAR
Age 22 LHP 6'1" / 195 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.5 · 2029
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
xFIP
SIERA
K%21.9%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%11.9%
IP44
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2029
K†5055

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202117ROKDSL Angels12120932617019.0%22.8%0.0%3.104.39+0.1
202218ROKDSL Angels801265126012.6%11.5%0.0%10.803.50+0.2
202319ROKDSL Angels14022982910120.1%12.8%1.8%4.034.03+0.2
202420ROKDSL Angels150311423313215.8%11.4%1.8%4.064.20+0.3
202521AInland Empire 66ers186552314922214.8%11.6%1.6%2.134.18+0.5
▸ 2026 Season
202622ARancho Cucamonga Quakes308309202.35
ROS22MLBLAA44441884119521.9%9.9%2.8%4.454.45+0.3
2026 Total22MLBLAA522185021523.0%9.5%2.5%4.143.80+0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202723MLBLAA46461954418522.7%9.3%2.8%4.354.28+0.4
202824MLBLAA47472004718623.3%8.9%2.8%4.254.18+0.4
202925MLBLAA48482034818623.7%8.7%2.8%4.174.12+0.5
203026MLBLAA48482034818623.9%8.7%2.8%4.134.10+0.5
203127MLBLAA48482014818623.9%8.7%2.8%4.124.11+0.5
203228MLBLAA47471984717623.9%8.8%2.8%4.134.13+0.4
203329MLBLAA46461934617623.8%8.9%2.9%4.164.18+0.4
203430MLBLAA44441874417623.6%9.0%2.9%4.214.24+0.4
203531MLBLAA43431814216523.3%9.1%3.0%4.274.32+0.3
203632MLBLAA41411744016523.1%9.2%3.1%4.354.40+0.3
203733MLBLAA39391663816522.8%9.4%3.2%4.444.50+0.2
203834MLBLAA37371573515522.4%9.6%3.3%4.544.61+0.1
203935MLBLAA35351493315522.0%9.8%3.4%4.654.73+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career70714865911186816.9%13.1%1.2%3.654.00+2.2
/ 200 IP9592008911501161116.9%13.1%1.2%3.654.00+3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Yokelvin Reyes (OGILVIE) 4.45 21.9%9.9%2.8% 4.19 23.3%14.3%142 -0.26
Jake Higginbotham L 2026 · 5.15 FIP 22 SU 5.15 17.2%10.6%3.9%.256 4.71 18.8%6.4%59 -0.44 3.37 323 88
Sean Mellen L 2027 · 4.59 FIP 23 SU 4.59 21.5%12.1%3.2%.364 4.01 21.3%10.9%55 -0.58 4.01 101 88
Matt Osterberg L 2026 · 3.88 FIP 22 SU 3.88 20.2%12.3%1.7%.255 4.08 15.6%9.3%274 +0.20 3.72 294 87
Austin Warner L 2027 · 4.02 FIP 23 SU 4.02 18.6%8.1%2.7%.291 4.40 17.6%9.4%284 +0.38 3.83 491 87
Jonathan Hennigan L 2026 · 4.03 FIP 22 SU 4.03 22.0%13.6%1.9%.341 3.57 17.5%5.8%119 -0.46 3.46 265 87
Keylan Killgore L 2026 · 4.24 FIP 22 SW 4.24 20.7%12.7%2.3%.307 3.76 161 87
Hogan Harris L 2026 · 3.82 FIP 22 SU 3.82 20.5%10.6%2.0%.235 3.70 27.4%12.7%74 -0.12 3.15 442 86
Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.28 FIP 22 SW 4.28 18.8%10.6%2.6%.289 4.77 18.0%4.0%152 +0.49 4.09 219 86
Ignacio Briceno L 2026 · 4.54 FIP 22 SU 4.54 17.3%12.7%2.4%.270 3.28 14.7%3.5%76 -1.26 2.39 156 86
Michel Gelabert L 2026 · 4.39 FIP 22 SU 4.39 18.7%12.1%2.4%.248 3.36 107 86
Trevor Seidenberger L 2027 · 4.67 FIP 23 SU 4.67 18.1%14.3%2.3%.248 6.31 13.1%-1.8%52 +1.64 4.67 101 85
James Ziemba L 2026 · 3.73 FIP 22 SU 3.73 18.3%12.5%1.1%.309 5.18 11.7%-0.7%78 +1.45 3.73 110 85
Johnathan Frebis L 2026 · 3.81 FIP 22 SU 3.81 17.0%9.4%1.8%.245 4.24 9.7%-0.6%124 +0.43 3.81 146 85
Juliandry Higuera L 2026 · 3.83 FIP 22 SU 3.83 20.0%9.4%2.2%.358 4.63 13.8%-0.3%43 +0.80 3.83 197 84
Nate Peterson L 2027 · 4.45 FIP 23 SW 4.45 18.4%11.4%2.7%.284 4.96 17.1%5.7%161 +0.51 4.32 236 84
Seth Clark L 2027 · 4.22 FIP 23 SU 4.22 22.5%15.0%2.0%.287 5.22 18.4%0.6%82 +1.00 4.22 128 84
Lucas Knowles L 2027 · 3.87 FIP 23 SU 3.87 20.5%12.9%1.6%.366 4.21 18.5%9.4%177 +0.34 3.37 208 84
Joe Kemlage L 2027 · 4.41 FIP 23 SW 4.41 19.4%13.5%2.2%.278 5.32 17.6%5.9%65 +0.91 4.41 128 84
Kyle Twomey L 2026 · 4.07 FIP 22 SW 4.07 17.6%10.5%2.1%.298 3.95 14.8%6.9%68 -0.12 3.95 141 84
Will Mabrey L 2026 · 4.26 FIP 22 SW 4.26 18.5%12.6%2.1%.256 4.29 19.2%7.0%46 +0.03 4.26 112 84

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Arb-3$0.9M+0.5$2M+$1M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+0.4$2M+$1.0M
2033Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+0.4$2M+$1M
2034Ext / FA-deal$0.4M+0.4$2M+$2M
2035Ext / FA-deal$0.4M+0.3$2M+$1M
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $4M $10M +$6M