Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | 12 | 1 | 20 | 93 | 26 | 17 | 0 | 8% | 1.7 | 19.0% | 22.8% | -3.8% | 0.0% | 3.10 | 4.39 | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | 12 | 1 | 20 | 93 | 26 | 17 | 0 | 8% | 1.7 | 28.0% | 18.3% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 3.10 | 3.05 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 8 | 0 | 12 | 65 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 12.6% | 11.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 3.50 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 8 | 0 | 12 | 65 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 2.59 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Angels | 14 | 0 | 22 | 98 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.1% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 4.03 | 4.13 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Angels | 14 | 0 | 22 | 98 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 29.6% | 10.2% | 19.4% | 1.0% | 4.03 | 2.43 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Angels | 15 | 0 | 31 | 142 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 15.8% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 4.06 | 4.17 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Angels | 15 | 0 | 31 | 142 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 1.4% | 4.06 | 3.07 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 6 | 55 | 231 | 49 | 22 | 2 | 33% | 3.1 | 14.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.13 | 4.22 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 6 | 55 | 231 | 49 | 22 | 2 | 33% | 3.1 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 0.9% | 2.13 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 23 | 1 | 54 | 231 | 51 | 25 | 2 | 4% | 2.3 | 16.3% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 4.53 | 3.96 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAA | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 32 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.6% | 13.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.48 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.6% | 13.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.48 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 106 | 453 | 83 | 54 | 8 | — | — | 18.4% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 5.00 | 4.71 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 38 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.24 | 5.15 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 42 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 5.05 | 4.96 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.24 | 5.15 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 5.05 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 63 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 48 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 5.13 | 4.66 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 146 | 100 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 5.13 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 90 | 8 | 194 | 860 | 140 | 114 | 11 | 9% | 2.2 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 3.94 | 4.09 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 93 | 8 | 200 | 887 | 144 | 117 | 11 | 9% | 2.2 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 3.94 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yokelvin Reyes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.48 | 14.6% | 13.2% | 2.8% | — | 5.05 | 17.3% | 5.5% | 110 | -0.43 | — | — | — |
| Graeme Stinson L 2027 · 5.61 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.61 | 12.6% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .266 | 4.08 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 101 | -1.53 | 3.54 | 146 | 89 |
| Max Green L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.97 | 15.7% | 13.3% | 2.8% | .352 | 4.40 | 13.9% | 6.6% | 86 | -0.57 | 4.23 | 169 | 88 |
| Cole Reynolds L 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.81 | 16.4% | 16.2% | 1.9% | .304 | 5.26 | 17.3% | 0.4% | 52 | +0.45 | 4.81 | 108 | 86 |
| Felix Carvallo L 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.41 | 17.7% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 132 | 84 |
| Justin Kelly L 2027 · 4.96 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.96 | 13.4% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .421 | 3.70 | 19.4% | 4.6% | 123 | -1.26 | 3.48 | 160 | 83 |
| Matt Minnick L 2027 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 83 |
| Caden Monke L 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.38 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 4.1% | .323 | 5.28 | 19.0% | -0.3% | 51 | -0.10 | 3.73 | 152 | 82 |
| Trevor Seidenberger L 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.63 | 18.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .248 | 6.50 | 13.1% | -1.8% | 52 | +1.87 | 4.63 | 101 | 82 |
| Will Gilbert L 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.44 | 12.4% | 11.9% | 1.6% | .339 | 3.53 | 19.2% | 10.3% | 122 | -0.91 | 2.85 | 141 | 82 |
| Davis Schwab L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.46 | 13.6% | 13.8% | 1.4% | .368 | 5.34 | 18.9% | -0.8% | 92 | +0.88 | 4.46 | 114 | 82 |
| Jack O'Loughlin L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.15 | 17.0% | 13.7% | 3.2% | .269 | 4.98 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 239 | -0.17 | 3.83 | 348 | 81 |
| Jake Higginbotham L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.15 | 17.2% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .256 | 5.13 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 59 | -0.02 | 3.39 | 335 | 81 |
| Jordan Mills L 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 13.9% | 12.7% | 1.4% | .323 | 2.70 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 114 | -1.61 | 2.64 | 210 | 81 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2027 · 4.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.92 | 17.0% | 15.6% | 2.3% | .329 | 4.18 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 109 | -0.74 | 4.06 | 135 | 80 |
| Ignacio Briceno L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.53 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 2.3% | .270 | 3.28 | 14.7% | 3.5% | 76 | -1.25 | 2.39 | 156 | 80 |
| Wilfred Salaman L 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.80 | 13.1% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 218 | 80 |
| Chris Reed L 2029 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.08 | 4.84 | 137 | 80 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.64 | 19.3% | 15.7% | 2.2% | .329 | 5.86 | 17.6% | 2.4% | 49 | +1.22 | 4.64 | 107 | 79 |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2028 · 4.77 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.77 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.67 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 179 | -0.10 | 4.57 | 242 | 78 |
| Alex Winkelman L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.37 | 15.8% | 14.7% | 1.4% | .344 | 3.74 | 18.8% | 6.5% | 181 | -0.63 | 3.37 | 246 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 16.4% | 12.2% | 1.09 | 5.25 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |