Cam Alldred P Indianapolis Indians
Age 30 LHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 30 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104114vR 123
ERA4.58
FIP4.58
K%21.6%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP30
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP
K: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.01 (30 IP)-0.0WAR
0.0-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201822AWest Virginia Power202122100%1.216.7%8.3%8.3%0.0%3.862.75
201822AWest Virginia Power202122100%1.216.7%8.3%8.3%0.0%3.862.67
201923AGreensboro Grasshoppers39060257632460%1.518.1%11.0%7.1%3.0%4.204.60
201923AGreensboro Grasshoppers39060257632460%1.524.5%9.3%15.2%2.3%4.203.50
202125MIX2 levels33066274593070%2.017.7%11.9%5.8%3.1%2.184.83
202125MIX2 levels33066274593070%2.021.5%10.9%10.6%2.6%2.184.05
202226MIX2 levels43267288632555%1.619.2%9.2%10.0%1.9%4.013.68+0.8
202226MIX2 levels43267288632555%1.621.9%8.7%13.2%1.7%4.013.31+1.1
202327AAAIndianapolis Indians311710645398461655%3.419.0%10.7%8.4%3.3%5.204.64
202327AAAIndianapolis Indians311710645398461655%3.421.6%10.2%11.5%3.5%5.204.52
202428AAAIndianapolis Indians993415634183100%3.819.2%12.1%7.1%2.6%6.884.44
202428AAAIndianapolis Indians993415634183100%3.821.8%11.5%10.3%1.9%6.883.84
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBPIT29030127271340%1.021.6%10.2%11.4%3.0%4.584.58-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBPIT27028118251240%1.021.4%10.4%11.0%3.2%4.674.75-0.1
202731MLBPIT10010429410%1.021.4%10.4%11.0%3.2%4.674.75-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career110114710510%1.021.7%9.5%12.2%2.9%4.264.09+0.1
/ 200 IP191020084117789180%1.021.7%9.5%12.2%2.9%4.264.09+3.1
Career1572833514402691564018%2.118.7%10.8%7.8%2.8%4.354.44+3.8
/ 200 IP9417200859160932418%2.118.7%10.8%7.8%2.8%4.354.44+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Cam Alldred (OGILVIE) 4.58 21.6%10.2%3.0% 4.75 21.4%11.0%28 +0.17
Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP 29 SU 4.83 20.2%9.6%4.0%.301 2.68 175 77
Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP 30 SU 4.48 23.7%11.1%3.6%.270 3.80 172 74
Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP 33 SU 4.00 18.8%9.1%2.4%.373 3.04 18.0%11.3%70 -0.96 3.04 101 73
Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP 30 SU 3.73 20.7%10.1%2.0%.271 2.91 21.8%17.1%88 -0.82 2.35 306 72
Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP 30 SU 4.29 24.9%9.8%3.7%.268 8.16 15.0%-1.4%20 +3.87 3.04 145 69
Chris Narveson L 2029 · 4.83 FIP 33 SW 4.83 23.6%8.0%4.9%.333 4.57 14.1%4.5%193 -0.26 4.40 249 69
Ian Krol L 2026 · 4.22 FIP 30 SU 4.22 23.3%10.6%3.2%.311 5.27 23.8%9.2%25 +1.05 2.72 344 69
Arturo Barradas L 2025 · 3.45 FIP 29 SU 3.45 18.1%7.0%1.8%.288 3.17 16.1%9.5%34 -0.28 3.17 163 69
Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.44 FIP 30 SU 3.44 16.2%8.4%1.2%.290 3.67 17.9%13.2%105 +0.23 3.44 152 68
Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP 29 SU 3.73 18.1%7.0%2.3%.342 2.95 20.6%17.2%29 -0.78 2.95 101 68
Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 4.13 FIP 31 SU 4.13 22.1%14.3%2.0%.290 3.06 145 68
Keith Hessler L 2025 · 4.73 FIP 29 SU 4.73 19.8%13.3%3.0%.348 3.33 228 68
Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP 30 SU 4.37 19.1%9.0%3.2%.245 3.99 16.6%8.5%64 -0.38 3.09 244 68
Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 4.62 FIP 30 SU 4.62 22.4%12.4%3.4%.299 4.70 22.5%11.9%154 +0.08 4.40 713 68
David Huff L 2026 · 3.63 FIP 30 SW 3.63 17.1%3.8%2.7%.271 4.00 19.5%14.6%52 +0.37 3.63 158 67
Aaron Brown L 2026 · 5.22 FIP 30 SU 5.22 21.3%12.5%4.2%.253 3.88 269 67
Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.69 FIP 30 SU 4.69 20.7%8.1%4.2%.315 4.13 20.6%15.0%125 -0.56 4.07 424 67
Kelvin Marte L 2025 · 4.87 FIP 29 SW 4.87 16.1%11.4%3.1%.300 5.18 12.0%1.2%71 +0.31 3.50 360 67
Jimmy Reyes L 2024 · 4.73 FIP 28 SU 4.73 13.8%8.0%3.2%.294 3.00 200 67
Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP 30 SU 3.76 27.7%11.9%2.7%.294 4.09 22.5%10.9%110 +0.33 3.72 181 67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22921.5%10.3%1.204.62
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78