Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | GCL Twins | 13 | 0 | 17 | 73 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 2.60 | 4.85 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | GCL Twins | 13 | 0 | 17 | 73 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.8% | 8.2% | 20.5% | 2.7% | 2.60 | 3.22 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.40 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.60 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 1 | 58 | 256 | 87 | 33 | 0 | 3% | 1.6 | 25.4% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 0.0% | 2.78 | 2.88 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 1 | 58 | 256 | 87 | 33 | 0 | 3% | 1.6 | 34.0% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 0.0% | 2.78 | 1.81 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 56 | 241 | 73 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.1% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 1.0% | 3.56 | 3.32 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 56 | 241 | 73 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.3% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 0.8% | 3.56 | 2.51 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 29 | 0 | 43 | 192 | 45 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 1.3% | 4.36 | 3.43 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 29 | 0 | 43 | 192 | 45 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 1.6% | 4.36 | 3.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 24 | 0 | 26 | 108 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.07 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 79 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 125 | 1 | 177 | 768 | 176 | 98 | 8 | 1% | 1.4 | 22.9% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 1.0% | 3.36 | 3.34 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 142 | 1 | 200 | 869 | 199 | 111 | 9 | 1% | 1.4 | 22.9% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 1.0% | 3.36 | 3.34 | +4.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Denny Bentley (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 23.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.45 | 22.8% | 13.3% | 24 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 85 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 84 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.31 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .348 | 4.21 | 19.2% | 8.0% | 39 | +0.90 | 3.04 | 153 | 82 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.21 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.19 | 2.33 | 455 | 80 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.20 | 25.5% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .329 | 4.44 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 59 | +0.24 | 2.66 | 230 | 79 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 79 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 79 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .296 | 2.67 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -2.02 | 2.51 | 160 | 78 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 78 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.61 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 1.8% | .336 | 3.52 | 20.7% | 8.3% | 27 | -0.09 | 3.41 | 160 | 78 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.63 | 25.2% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.84 | 238 | 78 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.25 | 24.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | .268 | 3.20 | 26.6% | 13.5% | 55 | -0.05 | 3.20 | 194 | 78 |
| Edward Paredes L 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 77 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 77 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.80 | 26.8% | 8.9% | 3.4% | .242 | 4.68 | 22.9% | 11.7% | 109 | +0.88 | 3.80 | 172 | 77 |
| Mike Dunn L 2028 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 77 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 77 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.93 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 244 | 77 |
| Tristan Garnett L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.13 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 185 | 76 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 75 |