Oddanier Mosqueda
P
Memphis Redbirds
Age 27
LHP
5'10" / 208 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110119vR 128
ERA4.82
FIP4.82
K%23.1%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%11.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox 1 | 16 | 0 | 42 | 169 | 54 | 19 | 0 | 0% | 2.6 | 21.7% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 2.36 | 3.05 | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox 1 | 16 | 0 | 42 | 169 | 54 | 19 | 0 | 0% | 2.6 | 32.0% | 11.2% | 20.7% | 0.0% | 2.36 | 1.89 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | 11 | 10 | 39 | 183 | 31 | 22 | 3 | 91% | 3.5 | 11.5% | 15.0% | -3.5% | 2.3% | 7.38 | 5.29 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | 11 | 10 | 39 | 183 | 31 | 22 | 3 | 91% | 3.5 | 16.9% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 7.38 | 4.20 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Greenville Drive | 27 | 0 | 52 | 224 | 69 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 2.0% | 3.29 | 3.65 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Greenville Drive | 27 | 0 | 52 | 224 | 69 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 30.8% | 9.4% | 21.4% | 1.8% | 3.29 | 2.66 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 32 | 0 | 47 | 195 | 66 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.1% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 1.6% | 3.61 | 3.67 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 32 | 0 | 47 | 195 | 66 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 33.8% | 12.8% | 21.0% | 1.0% | 3.61 | 2.45 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 45 | 0 | 59 | 242 | 76 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.4% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 4.4% | 4.30 | 4.53 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 45 | 0 | 59 | 242 | 76 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.4% | 8.3% | 23.1% | 3.7% | 4.30 | 3.53 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 48 | 3 | 61 | 282 | 74 | 39 | 10 | 6% | 1.3 | 23.1% | 14.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 5.31 | 5.10 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 48 | 3 | 61 | 282 | 74 | 39 | 10 | 6% | 1.3 | 26.2% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 3.5% | 5.31 | 4.72 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 55 | 0 | 68 | 296 | 88 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.01 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 55 | 0 | 68 | 296 | 88 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.7% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 3.63 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 55 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 68 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 4.52 | 4.77 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 55 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 68 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | 4.52 | 3.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | STL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 68 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.82 | 4.82 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | STL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 66 | 34 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 4.82 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | STL | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 62 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.88 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | STL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 4.82 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | STL | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 37 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.88 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 65 | 34 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 4.85 | 4.53 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 101 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 4.85 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 289 | 13 | 433 | 1871 | 424 | 237 | 52 | 4% | 1.5 | 22.6% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.31 | +5.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 133 | 6 | 200 | 864 | 196 | 109 | 24 | 4% | 1.5 | 22.6% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.31 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Oddanier Mosqueda (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.82 | 23.1% | 12.1% | 3.2% | — | 4.90 | 22.9% | 10.9% | 133 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.79 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.91 | 3.88 | 269 | 85 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 83 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 82 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 81 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 23.8% | 11.7% | 3.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 79 |
| Will Gilbert L 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 79 |
| A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 203 | 79 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 78 |
| Haylen Green L 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 78 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.22 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.74 | 32.4% | 26.1% | 65 | -0.48 | 1.79 | 186 | 78 |
| Peyton Alford L 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 22.9% | 12.1% | 5.1% | .275 | 2.95 | 30.5% | 20.8% | 37 | -2.52 | 2.95 | 266 | 78 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 78 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.26 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .281 | 3.91 | 20.1% | 10.8% | 34 | -0.35 | 2.34 | 338 | 77 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 77 |
| Will Lamb L 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 77 |
| Jeff Belge L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 77 |
| James Reeves L 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.3% | .226 | 5.24 | 27.0% | 10.8% | 51 | +1.45 | 2.02 | 280 | 77 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .197 | 4.72 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.75 | 3.97 | 133 | 77 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 76 |
| Jake Rice L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.63 | 21.8% | 13.8% | 1.1% | .273 | 6.46 | 16.9% | -1.3% | 54 | +2.83 | 3.29 | 199 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 1.28 | 4.84 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |