Adolfo Sanchez — OGILVIE

Adolfo SanchezOF ACL Reds

Age 19 L/L 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION339 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP284

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	177	139	30	6	3	2	30	60	3	11	2	216	366	345	712	129	341	34	17	322	104	+1	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	154	121	41	8	3	2	24	21	8	10	4	339	477	504	981	165	394	14	16	437	182	+15	+0	—	—	+3	1.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	177	150	19	4	2	1	19	90	3	11	2	127	238	200	438	73	248	51	11	201	22	-16	+1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	154	131	32	5	2	2	14	30	8	10	4	244	353	359	712	115	299	19	9	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	177	150	19	4	2	1	19	90	3	11	2	127	238	200	438	73	281	51	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	177	139	30	6	3	2	30	60	3	11	2	216	366	345	712	129	341	34	17	322	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	154	131	32	5	2	2	14	30	8	10	4	244	353	359	712	115	300	19	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	154	121	41	8	3	2	24	21	8	10	4	339	477	504	981	165	394	14	16	437	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	177	153	19	4	2	1	19	90	3	11	2	124	238	196	434	72	248	51	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	154	131	32	5	2	2	14	30	8	10	4	244	353	359	712	115	299	19	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	177	153	19	4	2	1	19	90	3	11	2	124	238	196	434	72	248	51	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	154	131	32	5	2	2	14	30	8	10	4	244	353	359	712	115	299	19	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	CIN	—	339	299	53	9	1	9	26	133	12	5	4	177	270	304	574	127	278	39	8	253	57	-17	-1	+0	-2	+7	-1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	CIN	—	224	188	54	7	2	8	24	60	11	5	3	287	399	473	873	186	383	27	11	389	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	CIN	—	115	97	17	5	0	4	16	33	1	0	1	175	298	351	649	175	213	29	14	295	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	CIN	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		280	30	10	276	73	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	CIN	—	349	308	54	9	1	9	27	136	12	5	4	175	268	299	567	123	274	39	8	253	58	-18	-1	-0	-2	+8	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	349	311	66	12	2	9	28	107	7	5	2	212	292	350	642	138	284	31	8	287	80	-8	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.3
2028	21	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	446	398	85	16	2	12	36	132	9	7	3	214	293	354	648	141	286	30	8	295	86	-8	+0	-1	-3	+10	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	509	452	100	18	3	15	42	147	10	9	4	221	302	374	675	153	287	29	8	300	89	-7	+0	-1	-3	+11	0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	548	486	108	20	3	16	46	156	11	9	4	222	304	374	678	152	288	28	8	303	91	-6	+0	-1	-3	+12	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	573	508	113	21	3	17	48	163	12	10	4	222	305	376	681	154	289	28	8	305	93	-5	+0	-1	-3	+12	0.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	585	519	116	21	3	18	49	165	12	10	4	224	305	380	685	156	289	28	8	307	94	-4	+0	-1	-4	+13	0.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	590	523	117	22	3	18	50	167	12	11	4	224	306	380	686	157	288	28	8	307	94	-4	+1	-1	-4	+13	0.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	589	521	116	21	3	18	51	167	12	11	4	223	307	378	685	155	288	28	9	307	94	-4	+1	-1	-4	+13	0.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	583	515	115	21	3	18	51	166	12	10	4	223	308	381	689	157	288	28	9	306	93	-5	+0	-2	-3	+13	0.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	CIN	58%	572	505	111	20	3	17	50	164	12	10	4	220	305	372	677	152	287	29	9	304	92	-5	+0	-3	-3	+12	0.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	CIN	60%	561	496	109	20	3	16	49	162	11	9	4	220	304	369	673	149	285	29	9	301	90	-7	+0	-3	-3	+12	-0.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	CIN	62%	547	483	104	19	2	16	48	160	11	9	4	215	301	362	663	147	283	29	9	297	87	-8	+0	-4	-3	+12	-0.4
2027	20	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	120	107	23	4	1	3	10	37	2	2	1	215	294	355	649	140	288	31	8	277	80	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	216	192	42	8	1	6	18	64	4	3	1	219	299	365	664	146	289	30	8	286	86	-4	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	276	245	55	10	1	9	23	80	6	5	2	224	307	384	690	159	291	29	8	291	89	-4	+0	-1	-2	+6	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	310	275	63	12	2	10	26	88	6	5	2	229	309	396	706	167	291	28	8	295	91	-3	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	324	287	66	12	2	11	27	92	7	6	2	230	312	401	712	171	292	28	8	297	93	-3	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	331	293	67	12	2	11	28	94	7	6	2	229	311	396	707	167	292	28	8	298	94	-3	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	333	295	67	12	2	11	28	94	7	6	3	227	309	393	702	166	292	28	8	299	94	-2	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	327	289	66	12	2	11	28	93	7	6	2	228	312	398	710	170	292	28	9	299	94	-2	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	320	283	64	12	2	10	28	91	6	6	2	226	309	389	698	163	291	28	9	298	93	-3	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	CIN	58%	332	293	67	12	2	11	29	95	7	6	2	229	313	396	709	167	290	29	9	296	92	-3	+0	-2	-2	+7	0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	CIN	60%	338	298	66	12	1	11	30	98	7	6	2	221	307	379	687	158	289	29	9	293	90	-4	+0	-2	-2	+7	-0.0
2038	31	MLB CTX	CIN	62%	338	299	65	12	1	10	29	99	7	5	2	217	301	365	666	147	286	29	9	289	87	-5	+0	-2	-2	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3565	3156	711	130	19	114	304	1025	73	62	23	225	308	387	695	162	293	29	9	294	89	-38	+3	-12	-21	+77	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	130	24	3	21	55	187	13	11	4	226	307	388	695	162	294	29	8	294	89	-7	+1	-2	-4	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6793	6007	1312	240	37	193	582	1979	142	131	51	218	302	367	670	149	289	29	9	300	89	-71	+4	-21	-39	+140	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	126	23	4	18	56	189	14	13	5	219	304	367	671	148	290	29	9	300	89	-7	+0	-2	-4	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.7	3,774	109	65	221	300	372	-23	+0	4.1	3.6
/162	664	19	11	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adolfo Sanchez (OGILVIE)	19	25→43	36→48	47→48	40	199/280/321	122	280	5	4	32%	8%	73	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	42	44→45	47→30	43	207/277/335	127	282	11	6	29%	7%	74	-0.6	230/289/339	109	300	8	5	24%	7%	78	-0.3	252/312/362	110	332	10	2	25%	7%	89	+0.2
✕Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	80	-0.2	198/270/312	114	300	8	13	34%	9%	65	-1.2	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Tirso Ornelas 2019 · A	19	43→53	41→50	50→45	45	207/274/304	97	288	8	5	30%	8%	65	-1.2	190/254/267	77	278	5	5	31%	8%	49	-2.4	249/307/375	126	306	13	7	22%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	70	-0.8	228/293/365	137	300	15	16	28%	8%	86	+0.3	232/299/370	138	298	16	19	26%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42	41→50	46→45	44	206/261/295	89	268	9	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	207/258/303	96	280	7	7	27%	6%	58	-1.7	218/275/359	140	283	14	8	27%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2019 · A	20	39→46	42→55	49→45	45	192/258/305	112	251	9	7	27%	7%	59	-1.6	194/247/315	121	261	13	7	30%	6%	57	-1.8	219/282/397	178	265	23	8	27%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A	20	41	44→50	47→50	41	198/276/319	121	305	10	9	36%	8%	70	-0.9	189/268/291	102	310	9	8	39%	8%	61	-1.5	158/247/253	95	261	8	8	39%	9%	43	-0.7
✕John Drennen 2006 · A	19	39→49	47→45	47→45	42	202/261/332	130	256	15	8	28%	6%	67	-1.1	220/278/321	101	286	9	6	25%	6%	70	-0.8	243/293/365	122	288	8	1	18%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	67	-1.1	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Jesus Vasquez 2011 · A	19	40	43→55	47→55	38	200/249/313	113	263	10	11	28%	4%	57	-1.8	215/279/346	131	293	14	14	30%	6%	77	-0.3	221/297/387	166	294	19	20	30%	8%	97	+0.5
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2023 · A	19	41→43	44→55	44→30	42	200/278/315	116	290	12	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	197/274/331	134	305	16	4	38%	8%	72	-0.7	202/297/392	190	283	25	2	36%	10%	92	+0.6
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	51→45	43	216/277/350	134	270	12	10	25%	6%	77	-0.3	235/294/358	123	286	13	8	22%	5%	85	+0.2	253/307/381	128	303	13	6	20%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	73	-0.6	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	58	-1.7	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	12	-1.3
✕Joe Benson 2007 · A	19	41→50	42→55	46→50	41	204/254/311	107	275	9	10	28%	6%	59	-1.7	211/280/305	94	316	6	13	33%	7%	68	-1.0	229/306/401	172	313	18	15	31%	8%	97	+0.8
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	65	-1.2	190/247/308	118	273	11	8	33%	7%	55	-1.9	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
✕Luis Barrera 2014 · A	18	37→47	43→45	47→50	47	186/254/303	117	227	10	7	23%	7%	57	-1.8	194/247/272	78	270	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	247/292/355	108	317	4	17	23%	5%	79	-0.1
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A	19	40→43	41→55	48→50	50	195/275/298	102	255	8	6	26%	9%	64	-1.3	195/268/291	96	304	8	7	35%	8%	60	-1.6	209/318/396	187	271	23	9	30%	12%	102	+1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps