Adolfo Sanchez

OF ACL Reds
Age 20 L/L 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1753ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKCIN177.216/.366/.34521126—.122/.244/.196
202518ROKCIN154.339/.477/.50421078—.217/.340/.310
202619A/ROKCIN339.249/.365/.43212556—.180/.270/.307
2027PROJMLE20MLBCIN449.214/.285/.33810776-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBCIN99.221/.293/.3613282-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBCIN188.225/.297/.3725386-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$1M2034Arb-2$2M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Max EV51
BB%45
Whiff%30
Chase%28
Z-Con%24
Speed23
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.4, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%
CompsCarlos Jimenez (age 20) · Hoy Park (age 20) · Shed Long Jr. (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .283 / .335
PA210
HR4
K%27
BB%7
ISO124
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.20.20.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2033Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Arb-2$2M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-3$2M———
Totals $2M $2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Reds — 177139 30632 30603 112 216366345712 129341 3417 322 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Reds — 154121 41832 24218 104 339477504981 165394 1416 437 78 — — — — — —
202619 ADaytona Tortugas — 11597 17504 16331 01 175298351649 175213 2914 295 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Reds — 224188 54728 246011 53 287399473873 186383 2711 389 66 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 177148 18421 21763 112 122244196440 74209 4312 206 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 154129 28521 16268 104 217340310650 93245 1710 283 78 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 115102 14403 11451 01 137228265493 127190 3910 221 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Reds — 224198 40516 148611 53 202291328620 126309 386 266 66 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 177148 18421 21763 112 122244196440 74224 4312 206 26 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Reds — 177139 30632 30603 112 216366345712 129341 3417 322 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 154129 28521 16268 104 217340310650 93262 1710 283 78 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Reds — 154121 41832 24218 104 339477504981 165394 1416 437 78 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 339300 53819 2513112 54 177267300567 123273 397 251 56 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAW2 teams — 339285 7112212 409312 54 249365432797 182326 2712 357 56 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 177151 18421 21763 112 119244192436 73209 4312 206 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 154129 28521 16268 104 217340310650 93245 1710 283 78 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 339299 53819 2513112 54 177267301568 124269 397 251 56 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 177151 18421 21763 112 119244192436 73209 4312 206 26 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Reds — 154129 28521 16268 104 217340310650 93245 1710 283 78 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 339299 53819 2513112 54 177267301568 124269 397 251 56 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLECIN 0% 449406 8716310 331227 72 214285338623 124279 277 281 76 -13 +1 -1 -3 +10 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLECIN 34% 289261 581127 22774 52 219291353644 133280 278 289 82 -6 +0 -1 -2 +6 -0.2
202922 MLB MLECIN 48% 387348 7714210 301016 72 223295363658 140282 268 295 86 -7 +1 -1 -2 +8 -0.1
203023 MLB MLECIN 54% 450405 9217312 351167 83 226298370669 145283 268 299 89 -6 +0 -0 -3 +10 0.1
203124 MLB MLECIN 55% 488440 10019313 381247 93 228301376676 147284 258 302 91 -5 +1 +0 -3 +11 0.3
203225 MLB MLECIN 56% 511458 10620314 411297 93 229302378681 149285 258 304 92 -5 +1 +0 -3 +11 0.4
203326 MLB MLECIN 56% 522468 10820315 421327 93 229302378680 149284 258 304 92 -5 +1 +0 -3 +11 0.4
203427 MLB MLECIN 55% 523469 10720314 421337 93 228301375676 147284 258 302 91 -6 +1 +0 -3 +11 0.3
203528 MLB MLECIN 55% 518465 10519314 411337 83 226299370669 144283 268 299 89 -7 +0 -1 -3 +11 0.1
203629 MLB MLECIN 53% 507455 10219313 401327 73 224296364660 140281 268 296 86 -8 +0 -1 -3 +11 -0.1
203730 MLB MLECIN 53% 494446 9718212 391306 63 220292356649 136279 268 291 83 -10 +0 -2 -3 +11 -0.4
202821 MLB CTXCIN 34% 9990 21413 8261 21 221293361654 139281 268 293 82 -2 +0 -0 -1 +2 -0.1
202922 MLB CTXCIN 48% 188168 38715 15493 31 225297372669 146283 268 299 86 -3 +0 -0 -1 +4 -0.0
203023 MLB CTXCIN 54% 244219 50917 19634 51 228301380680 151284 268 304 89 -3 +1 -0 -1 +5 0.1
203124 MLB CTXCIN 55% 270243 561028 21694 52 231303385688 154286 268 307 91 -3 +0 +0 -2 +6 0.2
203225 MLB CTXCIN 56% 286257 611129 23724 52 232305388692 156286 258 308 92 -3 +0 +0 -2 +6 0.2
203326 MLB CTXCIN 56% 294265 621129 23744 52 232304387692 156286 258 308 92 -3 +0 +0 -2 +6 0.2
203427 MLB CTXCIN 55% 289260 611129 23744 52 231303385688 154285 268 307 91 -3 +0 +0 -2 +6 0.2
203528 MLB CTXCIN 55% 284255 591128 23734 42 229301380681 151284 268 304 89 -4 +0 -0 -2 +6 0.0
203629 MLB CTXCIN 53% 271244 551018 21704 42 226298373671 147282 268 300 86 -4 +0 -1 -2 +6 -0.1
203730 MLB CTXCIN 53% 260235 51917 20683 32 223295365659 142280 268 295 83 -5 -0 -1 -2 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 24852236 514931573 19663835 4117 230302383685 153287 268 303 84 -34 +1 -3 -15 +54 0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 13424419 511679 114 229300381682 152287 268 303 84 -9 +0 -1 -4 +14 0.1
Career— MLE — 55694981 109120233139 448149791 10739 219295357652 138282 278 292 84 -71 +5 -6 -29 +106 0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 12824416 5217511 125 220297358655 138284 278 292 84 -9 +1 -1 -4 +14 0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Reds · 224 PAwOBA .378 → .266 (−112)K% 26.8% → 38.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.79%÷1.000×1.440——38.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.27%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9956.33%
HBP% /PA4.91%—×0.720—×0.9953.52%
Singles /BIP28.91%÷1.000×0.820×1.028×0.99524.26%
Doubles /BIP5.47%÷1.000×0.720×1.028×0.9954.03%
Triples /BIP1.56%÷1.000×0.720×1.028×0.9951.15%
Home runs /BIP6.25%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9954.85%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .378 → .266; ISO .186 → .128; BABIP .383 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ADaytona Tortugas · 115 PAwOBA .290 → .221 (−69)K% 28.7% → 39.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.70%÷1.000×1.360——39.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.91%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0309.89%
HBP% /PA0.87%—×0.780—×1.0300.70%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.920×0.993×1.03011.76%
Doubles /BIP7.81%÷1.000×0.830×0.993×1.0306.63%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.993×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP6.25%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0305.15%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .290 → .221; ISO .175 → .132; BABIP .213 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Reds · 154 PAwOBA .429 → .283 (−146)K% 13.6% → 16.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.64%÷0.993×1.220——16.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.58%÷1.038×0.700—×0.99510.46%
HBP% /PA5.19%—×0.700—×0.9953.62%
Singles /BIP28.00%÷0.994×0.680×0.961×0.99518.32%
Doubles /BIP8.00%÷1.065×0.600×0.961×0.9954.31%
Triples /BIP3.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.961×0.9951.91%
Home runs /BIP2.00%÷0.994×0.470—×0.9950.94%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 99, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .429 → .283; ISO .165 → .096; BABIP .394 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Reds · 177 PAwOBA .324 → .206 (−119)K% 33.9% → 43.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.90%÷0.957×1.220——43.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.95%÷0.994×0.700—×1.00812.03%
HBP% /PA1.69%—×0.700—×1.0081.20%
Singles /BIP24.05%÷1.068×0.680×0.966×1.00814.91%
Doubles /BIP7.59%÷0.960×0.600×0.966×1.0084.62%
Triples /BIP3.80%÷0.901×0.600×0.966×1.0082.46%
Home runs /BIP2.53%÷1.136×0.470—×1.0081.06%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .324 → .206; ISO .129 → .070; BABIP .341 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).