Adolfo Sanchez — OGILVIE

Adolfo SanchezOF ACL Reds

Age 19 L/L 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION198 act + 132 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .290 / .339

PA132

HR3

K%32

BB%7

BABIP297

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	177	150	17	4	2	1	19	95	3	11	2	113	227	187	413	73	271	54	11	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	177	139	30	6	3	2	30	60	3	11	2	216	366	345	712	129	341	34	17	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	154	131	33	5	3	2	14	31	8	10	4	252	359	382	741	130	313	20	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	154	121	41	8	3	2	24	21	8	10	4	339	477	504	981	165	394	14	16	437	192	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	CIN	—	198	175	35	4	1	6	12	76	10	4	3	200	289	337	626	137	312	38	6	266	62	-9	-0	+0	-1	+6	-0.5
YTD	19	ROK	CIN	—	198	167	47	6	2	8	20	53	10	4	3	281	391	485	876	204	368	27	10	389	156	+12	-0	+0	-1	+6	1.7
ROS	19	ROK	CIN	0%	132	118	25	4	1	3	9	42	4	2	1	212	290	339	629	127	289	32	7	276	70	-5	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.2
ROS	19	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	259	56	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	CIN	—	198	176	35	4	1	6	12	76	10	4	3	199	289	335	625	136	309	38	6	266	62	-9	-0	+0	-1	+6	-0.5
TOT	19	ROK	CIN	—	330	293	60	8	2	9	21	118	14	6	4	205	290	338	628	133	305	36	6	270	65	-13	-0	-0	-2	+9	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CIN	34%	318	285	60	10	2	7	23	96	7	5	2	211	286	333	619	123	290	30	7	285	76	-9	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
2028	21	MLB	CIN	48%	423	379	83	14	3	11	31	124	10	7	3	219	295	359	654	140	291	29	7	292	82	-9	+0	-1	-3	+12	0.0
2029	22	MLB	CIN	54%	493	442	97	16	3	13	37	142	11	9	3	219	296	357	653	138	292	29	8	298	86	-8	+1	-1	-3	+14	0.3
2030	23	MLB	CIN	57%	537	479	108	18	4	15	41	153	12	10	4	225	303	374	676	148	293	28	8	301	88	-7	+0	-1	-3	+15	0.4
2031	24	MLB	CIN	57%	565	505	114	19	4	16	43	160	12	10	4	226	302	374	676	149	293	28	8	303	90	-7	+0	-1	-3	+16	0.5
2032	25	MLB	CIN	57%	581	518	118	20	4	17	45	165	13	11	4	228	306	380	686	153	293	28	8	304	90	-6	+1	-1	-3	+16	0.6
2033	26	MLB	CIN	56%	587	524	119	20	4	17	45	166	13	11	4	227	304	378	682	151	293	28	8	304	91	-6	+1	-1	-4	+17	0.6
2027	20	MLB	CIN	34%	109	98	22	4	1	3	8	33	2	2	1	224	296	378	674	153	292	30	7	271	65	-4	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	21	MLB	CIN	48%	205	183	40	7	1	5	15	60	5	3	1	219	296	350	645	131	293	29	7	279	72	-7	+0	-0	-1	+6	-0.2
2029	22	MLB	CIN	54%	267	239	53	9	2	7	20	77	6	5	2	222	298	364	662	142	294	29	7	284	76	-7	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.2
2030	23	MLB	CIN	57%	304	271	61	10	2	9	23	87	7	5	2	225	302	376	679	151	295	29	8	288	78	-7	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2031	24	MLB	CIN	57%	319	285	64	11	2	9	24	91	7	6	2	225	301	372	673	147	296	29	8	290	80	-7	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.0
2032	25	MLB	CIN	57%	328	293	67	11	2	10	25	93	7	6	2	229	305	382	687	154	296	28	8	290	80	-7	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.0
2033	26	MLB	CIN	56%	332	296	67	11	2	10	26	94	7	6	2	226	304	378	682	152	296	28	8	291	81	-7	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1864	1666	374	63	12	53	141	535	41	33	12	224	301	372	673	148	295	29	8	287	78	-47	+2	-4	-11	+53	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	130	22	4	18	49	187	14	12	4	224	300	368	668	145	295	29	8	287	78	-17	+1	-1	-4	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	3967	3531	774	130	30	102	307	1174	93	86	31	219	299	360	658	140	295	30	8	294	83	-75	+5	-8	-24	+112	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	127	21	5	17	50	192	15	14	5	219	298	361	659	142	294	30	8	294	83	-12	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	177	139	30	6	3	2	30	60	3	11	2	216	366	345	712	129	341	34	17	322	105	+1	+1	—	—	+5	0.8
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	154	121	41	8	3	2	24	21	8	10	4	339	477	504	981	165	394	14	16	437	192	+16	+0	—	—	+4	2.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,055	55	36	223	296	366	-12	+0	1.5	1.7
	/162	664	18	12	223	296	366	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adolfo Sanchez (OGILVIE)	19	25→43	36→48	47→48	40	205/290/338	133	305	9	6	36%	6%	65	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
●Tirso Ornelas 2019 · A	19	43→53	40→50	50→45	45	206/273/299	93	288	7	5	30%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/266	76	279	5	5	31%	8%	41	-2.3	249/309/383	134	307	16	7	23%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	190/267/305	115	300	11	8	37%	8%	59	-1.1	154/245/264	110	254	11	8	41%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	41	41→50	46→45	44	205/260/295	90	268	9	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	207/258/303	96	281	7	7	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/277/353	132	285	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Lewin Díaz 2016 · A	19	38→44	43→60	49→30	44	192/261/300	108	254	10	4	28%	7%	54	-1.4	210/250/331	121	266	12	3	26%	4%	56	-1.3	211/261/421	210	239	29	1	26%	5%	85	+0.6
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2019 · A	20	39→44	42→55	49→45	45	192/258/305	112	251	9	7	27%	7%	54	-1.4	191/244/308	117	258	13	7	30%	6%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Estevan Florial 2017 · A	19	41→51	44→55	52→60	38	199/259/314	115	306	11	11	37%	7%	56	-1.3	213/269/331	118	368	10	13	41%	7%	65	-0.7	214/281/384	170	311	19	29	36%	8%	81	+0.4
●Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	37	-2.6	233/283/341	108	299	5	13	22%	6%	72	-0.2	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	41	43→50	47→40	43	202/274/320	118	277	9	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	227/287/334	107	295	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	248/308/368	120	321	11	2	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Luis Barrera 2015 · A	19	35→45	40→45	49→50	44	177/241/269	92	232	7	7	27%	7%	37	-2.6	204/247/283	79	286	4	8	28%	5%	42	-2.3	237/281/345	108	308	5	17	24%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Jordan Schafer 2007 · A	20	39→49	41→50	50→65	37	194/233/299	104	272	8	12	31%	5%	40	-2.4	232/286/371	139	325	12	13	30%	7%	82	+0.5	238/300/385	147	332	12	14	30%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2016 · A	19	42→45	39→55	51→50	40	203/256/285	82	279	6	6	29%	6%	46	-2.0	203/261/324	121	294	11	7	33%	6%	60	-1.0	208/281/368	159	278	20	6	31%	8%	77	+0.1
✕John Drennen 2006 · A	19	39→49	47→50	47→45	42	202/261/332	130	256	15	8	28%	6%	63	-0.9	220/278/321	101	286	9	6	25%	6%	66	-0.6	246/296/375	130	293	10	1	19%	6%	85	+0.5
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.4	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	53	-1.5	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	1	-1.4
✕Jose Quero 2018 · A	19	42	40	43→30	44	208/266/294	86	269	9	3	26%	6%	54	-1.4	194/253/293	99	250	9	5	25%	7%	48	-1.9	196/247/344	148	225	15	4	21%	6%	63	-0.2
●Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→54	42→55	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	77	+0.1	195/265/303	108	302	7	13	35%	8%	56	-1.3	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	42	39→40	49→50	43	201/264/291	89	282	5	8	29%	7%	52	-1.6	183/238/255	72	271	4	6	32%	6%	32	-3.0	149/204/202	52	220	3	3	32%	5%	1	-1.4
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	56	-1.3	205/280/294	89	283	5	16	27%	8%	59	-1.1	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	59	-1.1	209/264/358	149	293	18	11	34%	6%	70	-0.3	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5