Ty Van Dyke
P
Peoria Chiefs
Age 22
RHP
6'2" / 255 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION65 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%22.9%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 5 | 5 | 14 | 55 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 2.8 | 16.1% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 2.57 | 3.92 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 5 | 5 | 14 | 55 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 2.8 | 21.8% | 5.5% | 16.4% | 1.8% | 2.57 | 2.96 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 15 | 13 | 65 | 264 | 62 | 27 | 5 | 87% | 4.4 | 17.7% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 3.86 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | STL | 2 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.2 | 22.9% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | STL | — | — | 74 | 299 | 70 | 30 | 6 | — | — | 23.4% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 2.0% | 3.91 | 4.42 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | STL | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.7% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | STL | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.7% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.19 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.7% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 3.81 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.7% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 20 | 18 | 79 | 319 | 56 | 35 | 8 | 90% | 4.0 | 17.4% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 3.63 | 4.34 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 45 | 200 | 804 | 140 | 88 | 19 | 90% | 4.0 | 17.4% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 3.63 | 4.34 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ty Van Dyke (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 22.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.19 | 23.7% | 15.1% | 20 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Ricky DeVito R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.36 | 22.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.57 | 21.5% | 2.4% | 151 | +0.21 | 4.05 | 215 | 86 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.67 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .341 | 3.99 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.32 | 3.44 | 259 | 86 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 84 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 84 |
| Chad Patrick R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 82 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 81 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2028 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 80 |
| Brendan Beck R 2028 · 3.18 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.18 | 22.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .289 | 3.78 | 20.9% | 13.1% | 225 | +0.60 | 3.18 | 256 | 80 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 79 |
| Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 79 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 79 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 79 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 78 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 236 | -0.19 | 3.12 | 482 | 78 |
| Chih-Jung Liu R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .331 | 6.04 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 233 | +1.32 | 4.72 | 283 | 78 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2028 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 77 |
| Gus Varland R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.13 | 19.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .294 | 5.81 | 18.1% | 5.7% | 105 | +1.68 | 2.54 | 304 | 77 |
| Mike Vasil R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.71 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .264 | 4.60 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +0.89 | 3.71 | 429 | 76 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 76 |
| Brandon White R 2027 · 5.11 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.11 | 16.7% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .264 | 4.10 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 245 | -1.01 | 3.90 | 264 | 76 |