Nathan Flewelling
C Bowling Green Hot Rods| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | A+/ATB | 461 | .230/.400/.341 | 6 | 9 | 77 | — | .198/.327/.285 |
| 2026 | 19 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 548 | .253/.371/.441 | 21 | 10 | 80 | — | .193/.280/.365 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBTB | 9 | .203/.301/.341 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ45% MLB | 21 | MLBTB | 200 | .211/.309/.364 | 6 | 3 | 92 | 0.6 | |
| 2029PROJ62% MLB | 22 | MLBTB | 274 | .218/.316/.382 | 9 | 4 | 99 | 1.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 18 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 22 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 429 | 438 | 866 | 188 | 364 | 27 | 23 | 373 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 439 | 336 | 77 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 89 | 121 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 229 | 399 | 336 | 735 | 107 | 329 | 28 | 20 | 342 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 486 | 403 | 98 | 17 | 2 | 21 | 71 | 132 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 243 | 367 | 452 | 819 | 208 | 303 | 27 | 15 | 364 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 62 | 55 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 327 | 403 | 364 | 767 | 36 | 439 | 23 | 11 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 18 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 22 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 333 | 389 | 722 | 167 | 319 | 36 | 14 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 439 | 361 | 71 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 64 | 164 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 197 | 327 | 280 | 607 | 83 | 315 | 37 | 15 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 486 | 430 | 83 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 44 | 173 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 193 | 280 | 365 | 645 | 172 | 256 | 36 | 9 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 461 | 379 | 75 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 67 | 171 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 198 | 327 | 285 | 612 | 87 | 335 | 37 | 15 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 461 | 352 | 81 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 94 | 127 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 230 | 400 | 341 | 741 | 111 | 330 | 28 | 20 | 343 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 548 | 486 | 92 | 14 | 2 | 21 | 50 | 195 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 189 | 276 | 356 | 632 | 167 | 259 | 36 | 9 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 548 | 458 | 116 | 19 | 2 | 21 | 78 | 146 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 253 | 371 | 441 | 812 | 188 | 322 | 27 | 14 | 362 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 461 | 385 | 75 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 67 | 171 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 195 | 327 | 281 | 608 | 86 | 315 | 37 | 15 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 548 | 485 | 92 | 14 | 2 | 21 | 50 | 195 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 190 | 276 | 357 | 632 | 167 | 256 | 36 | 9 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 461 | 385 | 75 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 67 | 171 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 195 | 327 | 281 | 608 | 86 | 315 | 37 | 15 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 548 | 485 | 92 | 14 | 2 | 21 | 50 | 195 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 190 | 276 | 357 | 632 | 167 | 256 | 36 | 9 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | TB | 4% | 596 | 519 | 104 | 19 | 2 | 16 | 65 | 189 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 202 | 300 | 343 | 643 | 140 | 279 | 32 | 11 | 292 | 84 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +11 | +13 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB CTX | TB | 4% | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 301 | 341 | 642 | 137 | 282 | 33 | 11 | 292 | 84 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | TB | 45% | 445 | 387 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 49 | 137 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 210 | 309 | 366 | 675 | 156 | 281 | 31 | 11 | 304 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | TB | 62% | 445 | 386 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 132 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 217 | 315 | 385 | 700 | 168 | 282 | 30 | 11 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.7 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | TB | 68% | 445 | 387 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 49 | 129 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 222 | 319 | 397 | 715 | 175 | 284 | 29 | 11 | 320 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +8 | +10 | 1.9 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | TB | 70% | 445 | 388 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 49 | 126 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 225 | 321 | 403 | 724 | 178 | 285 | 28 | 11 | 323 | 105 | +3 | +0 | -0 | +8 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | TB | 70% | 445 | 388 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 49 | 124 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 227 | 322 | 406 | 728 | 179 | 285 | 28 | 11 | 325 | 106 | +3 | +0 | -0 | +8 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | TB | 71% | 445 | 388 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 49 | 124 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 227 | 322 | 405 | 728 | 179 | 285 | 28 | 11 | 324 | 106 | +3 | +0 | -0 | +8 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | TB | 69% | 445 | 388 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 49 | 125 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 225 | 321 | 402 | 724 | 177 | 284 | 28 | 11 | 323 | 105 | +2 | +0 | -0 | +8 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | TB | 69% | 445 | 388 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 49 | 126 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 223 | 319 | 398 | 717 | 174 | 283 | 28 | 11 | 320 | 103 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.9 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | TB | 67% | 445 | 388 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 49 | 127 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 221 | 316 | 391 | 707 | 170 | 281 | 29 | 11 | 316 | 100 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +8 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | TB | 66% | 445 | 388 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 49 | 129 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 218 | 313 | 383 | 695 | 165 | 279 | 29 | 11 | 312 | 97 | -2 | -0 | -2 | +8 | +10 | 1.4 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | TB | 65% | 426 | 373 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 125 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 213 | 308 | 372 | 680 | 159 | 276 | 29 | 11 | 306 | 93 | -4 | -0 | -3 | +8 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB MLE | TB | 65% | 407 | 356 | 74 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 121 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 208 | 301 | 359 | 661 | 152 | 271 | 30 | 11 | 298 | 88 | -6 | -0 | -4 | +7 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB MLE | TB | 65% | 387 | 339 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 118 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 201 | 294 | 344 | 638 | 142 | 266 | 30 | 11 | 289 | 82 | -8 | -1 | -4 | +7 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB MLE | TB | 60% | 346 | 304 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 108 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 193 | 285 | 325 | 610 | 132 | 258 | 31 | 10 | 277 | 74 | -11 | -2 | -5 | +6 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | TB | 45% | 200 | 174 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 309 | 364 | 674 | 153 | 284 | 30 | 11 | 304 | 92 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +4 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | TB | 62% | 274 | 238 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 81 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 218 | 316 | 382 | 698 | 164 | 285 | 30 | 11 | 313 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +6 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | TB | 68% | 305 | 264 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 88 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 223 | 320 | 394 | 713 | 171 | 286 | 29 | 11 | 319 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +7 | 1.3 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | TB | 70% | 310 | 269 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 88 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 226 | 322 | 400 | 722 | 174 | 288 | 28 | 11 | 323 | 105 | +2 | +0 | -0 | +6 | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | TB | 70% | 313 | 271 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 88 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 323 | 403 | 726 | 175 | 288 | 28 | 11 | 324 | 106 | +2 | +0 | -0 | +6 | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | TB | 71% | 314 | 272 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 88 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 323 | 402 | 725 | 175 | 288 | 28 | 11 | 324 | 106 | +2 | +0 | -0 | +6 | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | TB | 69% | 309 | 268 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 87 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 322 | 400 | 722 | 173 | 287 | 28 | 11 | 322 | 105 | +2 | +0 | -0 | +6 | +7 | 1.4 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | TB | 69% | 306 | 265 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 87 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 320 | 395 | 715 | 170 | 286 | 28 | 11 | 320 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +7 | 1.3 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | TB | 67% | 297 | 259 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 85 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 317 | 388 | 705 | 166 | 284 | 29 | 11 | 316 | 100 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 1.1 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | TB | 66% | 293 | 256 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 85 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 313 | 380 | 693 | 161 | 282 | 29 | 11 | 311 | 97 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | TB | 65% | 278 | 243 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 82 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 309 | 370 | 678 | 156 | 278 | 29 | 11 | 305 | 93 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB CTX | TB | 65% | 264 | 231 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 79 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 302 | 357 | 659 | 148 | 274 | 30 | 11 | 298 | 88 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB CTX | TB | 65% | 250 | 220 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 76 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 202 | 295 | 342 | 636 | 139 | 269 | 30 | 10 | 288 | 82 | -5 | -1 | -3 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB CTX | TB | 60% | 208 | 182 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 65 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 194 | 286 | 323 | 609 | 129 | 261 | 31 | 11 | 277 | 74 | -6 | -1 | -3 | +4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3921 | 3412 | 744 | 130 | 14 | 131 | 430 | 1140 | 45 | 39 | 19 | 218 | 314 | 380 | 693 | 161 | 284 | 29 | 11 | 312 | 94 | -12 | +0 | -14 | +70 | +85 | 13.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 566 | 124 | 22 | 2 | 22 | 71 | 189 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 219 | 313 | 382 | 695 | 163 | 285 | 29 | 11 | 312 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7235 | 6295 | 1346 | 242 | 28 | 238 | 798 | 2184 | 85 | 77 | 42 | 214 | 311 | 375 | 685 | 161 | 283 | 30 | 11 | 307 | 94 | -25 | -2 | -23 | +111 | +135 | 19.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 566 | 121 | 22 | 3 | 21 | 72 | 196 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 214 | 312 | 375 | 686 | 161 | 283 | 30 | 11 | 307 | 94 | -3 | -0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 486 PAwOBA .357 → .278 (−79)K% 27.2% → 35.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.16% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 35.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.042 | 9.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.042 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.960 | ×1.042 | 18.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.960 | ×1.042 | 4.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.960 | ×1.042 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 7.11% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .357 → .278; ISO .208 → .179; BABIP .303 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ACharleston RiverDogs · 439 PAwOBA .338 → .280 (−58)K% 27.6% → 37.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.56% | ÷1.006 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.82% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 14.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.12% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×1.045 | 23.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.44% | ÷0.850 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×1.045 | 7.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.121 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×1.045 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.79% | ÷1.159 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.01% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 103, 2B 70, 3B 124, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .338 → .280; ISO .107 → .089; BABIP .329 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 22 PAwOBA .382 → .316 (−66)K% 27.3% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.27% | ÷1.023 | ×1.310 | — | — | 34.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.73% | ÷0.965 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.050 | 14.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 18.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 7.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 8.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 113, 3B 99, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .382 → .316; ISO .188 → .177; BABIP .364 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .