Nathan Flewelling

Nathan FlewellingC Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 19 L/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 3.6 · 2032

wRC+†98

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .288 / .327

PA320

HR7

SB5

K%34

BB%10

MLB%4%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

37↗46

PWR

47↗52

SPD

35↘33

FLD

45↗50

EYE

63↘58

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.6peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.9	$25M	+$25M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+3.2	$29M	+$28M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+3.4	$32M	+$31M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.6	$34M	+$27M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+3.6	$35M	+$23M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$18M	+3.6	$36M	+$19M
Totals		$40M		$192M	+$152M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	A	2 teams	461	387	72	16	2	4	59	178	6	9	3	.186	.303	.269	.572	.083	.319	39	13	.268	63	-19	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	19	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	61	55	16	2	1	4	5	19	1	1	0	.291	.361	.582	.942	.291	.375	31	8	.388	155	+4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.7
ROS	19	MLB	TB	259	229	49	9	2	7	25	86	3	4	1	.214	.300	.362	.662	.148	.302	33	10	.296	85	-4	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.8
TOT	19	MLB	TB	320	284	65	11	3	11	30	105	4	5	1	.229	.311	.405	.716	.176	.320	33	9	.314	98	-1	+1	-0	+6	+9	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 15%	TB	520	455	100	18	3	13	53	167	7	8	2	.220	.311	.358	.669	.138	.311	32	10	.303	90	-6	+1	-0	+9	+15	1.9
2028	21	MLB 31%	TB	520	453	103	18	3	15	55	161	7	8	2	.227	.320	.380	.700	.152	.312	31	11	.316	100	-0	+1	-0	+9	+15	2.5
2029	22	MLB 51%	TB	520	451	106	19	3	17	57	155	7	7	2	.235	.330	.404	.734	.169	.312	30	11	.325	107	+4	+1	-0	+9	+15	2.9
2030	23	MLB 74%	TB	520	449	107	19	3	18	59	151	7	7	1	.238	.336	.414	.750	.176	.311	29	11	.331	112	+7	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.2
2031	24	MLB 89%	TB	520	448	107	19	3	18	60	150	7	6	1	.239	.338	.415	.753	.176	.312	29	12	.335	115	+9	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.4
2032	25	MLB	TB	520	447	107	19	3	18	61	149	7	6	1	.239	.340	.416	.756	.177	.313	29	12	.339	117	+10	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.6
2033	26	MLB	TB	520	446	108	19	3	19	62	149	7	5	1	.242	.344	.426	.770	.184	.313	29	12	.340	119	+11	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.6
2034	27	MLB	TB	520	445	108	19	3	19	63	149	7	5	1	.243	.346	.427	.773	.184	.313	29	12	.340	119	+11	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.6
2035	28	MLB	TB	520	445	106	19	3	18	63	150	7	5	0	.238	.342	.416	.757	.178	.313	29	12	.339	118	+10	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.5
2036	29	MLB	TB	520	445	105	18	3	18	63	152	7	4	0	.236	.340	.411	.751	.175	.312	29	12	.337	116	+9	+1	-2	+9	+15	3.3
2037	30	MLB	TB	520	445	105	18	3	18	63	154	7	4	0	.236	.340	.411	.751	.175	.311	30	12	.334	114	+8	+1	-2	+9	+15	3.1
2038	31	MLB	TB	504	431	100	17	3	17	61	151	7	3	0	.232	.337	.404	.740	.172	.309	30	12	.330	111	+6	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.8
2039	32	MLB	TB	489	421	95	16	2	16	59	149	6	2	0	.226	.329	.387	.716	.162	.308	30	12	.325	107	+4	+0	-4	+9	+14	2.4
2040	33	MLB	TB	473	407	90	15	2	15	57	147	6	2	0	.221	.326	.378	.704	.157	.306	31	12	.320	103	+2	+0	-4	+8	+13	2.0
2041	34	MLB	TB	458	394	85	14	2	14	55	147	6	2	0	.216	.321	.368	.689	.152	.304	32	12	.313	98	-1	+0	-5	+8	+13	1.6
2042	35	MLB	TB	427	368	78	13	2	12	51	141	5	2	0	.212	.316	.356	.672	.144	.302	33	12	.305	92	-4	+0	-6	+8	+12	1.1
2043	36	MLB	TB	361	311	63	10	2	9	43	123	4	2	0	.203	.307	.334	.642	.132	.299	34	12	.296	85	-6	+0	-6	+6	+10	0.5
2044	37	MLB	TB	295	255	50	8	1	7	34	103	4	2	0	.196	.300	.318	.618	.122	.294	35	12	.286	77	-8	+0	-7	+5	+8	-0.1
2045	38	MLB	TB	230	199	38	6	1	5	26	82	3	1	0	.191	.294	.307	.600	.116	.289	36	11	.275	69	-8	+0	-8	+4	+7	-0.5
2046	39	MLB	TB	170	147	27	4	1	3	19	62	2	1	0	.184	.286	.286	.571	.102	.282	36	11	.264	60	-8	+0	-8	+3	+5	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9847	8478	1909	333	53	300	1148	3056	129	95	15	.225	.327	.383	.710	.158	.311	31	12	.319	102	+27	+13	-57	+176	+279	44.7
/ 162G	—			650	560	126	22	3	20	76	202	9	6	1	.225	.328	.382	.710	.157	.310	31	12	.319	102	+2	+1	-4	+12	+18	2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	22	16	4	1	1	0	5	6	0	0	1	.250	.429	.438	.866	.188	.364	27	23	.373	143	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	439	336	77	16	1	6	89	121	6	9	2	.229	.399	.336	.735	.107	.329	28	20	.342	120	+10	+1	—	—	+12	2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nathan Flewelling (OGILVIE)	19	37→46	47→52	35→33	58	.200/.288/.327	.127	.293	7	4	34%	10%	74	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	44→50	45	51	.220/.307/.353	.132	.309	10	8	30%	11%	87	+0.8	.194/.270/.290	.096	.293	8	5	33%	9%	56	-1.3	.183/.230/.260	.077	.238	8	4	26%	5%	28	-1.0
●Ryan McMahon 2014 · A	19	46→56	48→55	42→45	40	.227/.283/.373	.146	.325	15	6	34%	7%	82	+0.5	.215/.270/.360	.145	.319	14	6	35%	6%	73	-0.1	.230/.314/.391	.161	.298	19	6	28%	10%	98	+1.6
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	46→50	46→40	47	.216/.283/.346	.130	.273	14	5	26%	8%	75	-0.0	.241/.299/.377	.136	.292	16	4	22%	7%	90	+1.0	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5
●Nolan Gorman 2019 · A	19	43	54→60	39→45	41	.223/.285/.396	.173	.318	23	4	36%	8%	89	+1.0	.205/.259/.351	.146	.301	17	4	36%	6%	66	-0.6	.225/.289/.424	.199	.290	29	6	33%	8%	95	+1.2
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	45→60	43→30	45	.215/.274/.337	.122	.275	14	3	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.206/.251/.346	.140	.279	17	2	32%	5%	62	-0.9	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	40	40→45	46→45	47	.186/.285/.282	.096	.298	8	6	36%	11%	61	-1.0	.184/.262/.261	.077	.294	6	6	36%	9%	44	-2.1	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
●Gary Sánchez 2012 · A	19	43→51	51→65	45	38	.220/.269/.377	.157	.304	20	4	34%	6%	78	+0.2	.225/.273/.367	.142	.295	17	6	29%	5%	76	+0.1	.232/.315/.480	.248	.254	37	1	26%	9%	119	+2.3
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	38→47	43→50	46→50	46	.188/.269/.299	.110	.273	10	7	33%	10%	58	-1.2	.198/.288/.331	.133	.275	13	9	30%	11%	74	-0.1	.206/.294/.357	.151	.275	17	10	30%	11%	81	+0.4
●Travis Snider 2008 · A	20	50→53	49→55	40→50	41	.246/.296/.400	.154	.339	16	5	31%	6%	94	+1.3	.245/.304/.414	.169	.339	19	5	31%	8%	102	+1.8	.244/.306/.422	.179	.324	22	5	30%	8%	101	+1.5
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	42→30	44	.214/.269/.309	.096	.275	10	4	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.248/.300/.359	.111	.296	11	2	19%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.327/.424	.162	.295	21	1	19%	8%	110	+1.4
✕Josue Briceño 2023 · A	18	39→41	42→60	44→40	38	.195/.242/.294	.099	.280	10	5	33%	6%	43	-2.2	.222/.286/.353	.131	.282	14	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	.228/.304/.389	.161	.273	19	2	23%	9%	94	+0.6
★Xander Bogaerts 2012 · A	19	43→53	49→60	42→55	41	.222/.273/.365	.143	.281	17	4	27%	6%	76	+0.0	.244/.297/.396	.152	.312	17	5	26%	6%	94	+1.3	.293/.370/.507	.214	.325	27	7	18%	10%	148	+4.3
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	40	.230/.273/.349	.119	.292	11	4	25%	4%	71	-0.3	.214/.267/.303	.089	.290	7	4	27%	6%	56	-1.3	.176/.240/.214	.038	.249	3	2	28%	6%	21	-1.0
✕Max Stassi 2011 · A	20	39→43	45→55	43→40	38	.194/.254/.315	.121	.302	13	5	39%	7%	55	-1.4	.211/.269/.347	.136	.289	16	4	31%	6%	69	-0.4	.208/.295/.359	.151	.271	20	0	30%	10%	81	+0.2
✕Luis Toribio 2021 · A	20	43→39	43→50	44→40	49	.206/.297/.319	.114	.304	10	6	33%	11%	75	-0.0	.184/.256/.297	.113	.305	12	3	40%	8%	51	-1.7	.156/.227/.288	.133	.253	17	0	44%	8%	35	-1.7
✕Rayner Santana 2021 · A	18	46	47→50	43→40	43	.215/.300/.355	.140	.337	15	5	38%	9%	85	+0.7	.170/.234/.261	.091	.383	10	5	54%	6%	33	-2.9	.108/.166/.164	.056	.288	8	3	62%	5%	-23	-1.7
●Edgar Quero 2022 · A	19	44→54	43→50	48→40	45	.202/.300/.317	.115	.331	10	6	38%	10%	76	+0.1	.235/.325/.382	.147	.300	16	5	25%	10%	103	+1.9	.239/.326/.387	.148	.293	17	4	23%	9%	102	+1.4
✕Travis Denker 2006 · A	20	45→52	52→50	38→45	49	.233/.303/.397	.164	.282	20	4	25%	9%	97	+1.5	.226/.299/.365	.139	.268	16	4	21%	9%	87	+0.8	.233/.308/.392	.159	.261	18	0	18%	8%	97	+0.8
✕Nick Weglarz 2008 · A	20	42→47	50	44→45	44	.214/.284/.368	.153	.292	19	3	32%	8%	82	+0.5	.225/.307/.378	.153	.286	17	5	26%	10%	94	+1.3	.225/.314/.383	.158	.275	17	5	24%	10%	97	+1.0
✕Randel Alcantara 2015 · A	18	41	43→45	42→45	42	.202/.270/.308	.106	.277	11	4	30%	7%	60	-1.0	.201/.267/.310	.109	.267	8	6	27%	6%	59	-1.1	.186/.252/.305	.119	.241	8	6	25%	5%	48	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)