Nathan Flewelling

Nathan FlewellingC Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 19 L/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION486 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP282

ISO120

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$59M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$9M
2032	Arb-1	$6M	+1.7	$9M	+$6M
2033	Arb-2	$9M	+1.8	$8M	+$4M
2034	Arb-3	$14M	+1.7	$7M	+$1M
Totals		$32M		$52M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	22	16	4	1	1	0	5	6	0	0	1	250	429	438	866	188	364	27	23	373	138	+1	-0	—	—	+0	0.1
2025	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	439	336	77	16	1	6	89	121	6	9	2	229	399	336	735	107	329	28	20	342	117	+9	+1	—	—	+10	2.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	22	18	4	1	1	0	3	8	0	0	1	222	333	389	722	167	324	36	14	319	102	+0	-0	—	—	+0	0.0
2025	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	439	369	69	15	1	4	56	171	6	9	2	187	304	266	570	79	307	39	13	265	65	-18	+1	—	—	+10	-0.8
2025	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	461	387	73	16	2	4	59	179	6	9	3	189	305	271	577	83	325	39	13	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	461	352	81	17	2	6	94	127	6	9	3	230	400	341	741	111	330	28	20	343	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	461	393	73	16	2	4	59	179	6	9	3	186	305	267	572	81	308	39	13	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	461	393	73	16	2	4	59	179	6	9	3	186	305	267	572	81	308	39	13	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A+ MLE	TB	—	486	427	79	13	2	16	47	177	8	8	4	185	278	337	615	152	265	36	10	271	70	-18	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A+ RAW	TB	—	486	403	98	17	2	21	71	132	8	8	4	243	367	452	819	208	303	27	15	364	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A+ MLE	TB	4%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		274	30	10	279	75	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	A+ MLE	TB	—	496	436	80	13	2	16	48	180	8	8	4	183	276	333	609	149	262	36	10	271	70	-18	+0	-0	+9	+11	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TB	45%	520	454	92	16	2	16	54	174	7	6	3	203	297	352	650	150	281	33	10	291	83	-11	+0	-0	+9	+11	1.0
2028	21	MLB MLE	TB	62%	520	453	96	17	2	18	55	166	7	6	3	212	307	377	684	166	283	32	11	304	92	-5	+0	-0	+9	+11	1.6
2029	22	MLB MLE	TB	68%	520	453	98	17	2	19	55	160	7	6	3	216	311	389	699	172	284	31	11	313	98	-1	+0	-0	+9	+11	2.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	TB	71%	520	452	100	17	2	20	56	156	7	6	2	221	317	400	717	179	285	30	11	318	102	+1	+0	-0	+9	+11	2.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	TB	71%	520	452	100	17	2	20	56	155	7	6	2	221	317	400	717	179	285	30	11	322	104	+3	+0	-0	+9	+11	2.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	TB	71%	520	451	101	17	2	21	57	154	7	6	2	224	320	410	731	186	285	30	11	325	106	+4	+0	-0	+9	+11	2.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	TB	71%	520	451	101	17	2	21	57	154	7	6	2	224	320	410	731	186	285	30	11	326	107	+4	+0	-0	+9	+11	2.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	TB	69%	520	450	100	17	2	21	58	154	7	6	2	222	320	409	729	187	285	30	11	326	107	+4	+0	-0	+9	+11	2.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	TB	69%	520	450	100	17	2	21	58	155	7	5	2	222	320	409	729	187	284	30	11	325	106	+4	+0	-1	+9	+11	2.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	TB	67%	520	450	100	17	2	21	58	156	7	5	2	222	320	409	729	187	283	30	11	323	105	+3	+0	-2	+9	+11	2.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	TB	66%	520	450	99	17	2	20	58	157	7	5	2	220	318	400	718	180	282	30	11	320	103	+2	+0	-2	+9	+11	2.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	TB	65%	504	435	94	16	2	19	57	154	7	4	2	216	317	393	710	177	279	31	11	316	100	-0	+0	-3	+9	+11	1.7
2039	32	MLB MLE	TB	65%	489	424	89	15	1	18	55	151	7	4	2	210	311	377	688	167	275	31	11	310	96	-2	+0	-4	+9	+11	1.4
2040	33	MLB MLE	TB	70%	473	411	84	14	1	17	53	149	6	4	2	204	304	367	672	163	271	32	11	304	92	-5	+0	-4	+8	+10	1.0
2041	34	MLB MLE	TB	66%	439	381	76	12	1	15	49	141	6	3	1	199	300	354	655	155	265	32	11	295	86	-7	+0	-5	+8	+10	0.5
2042	35	MLB MLE	TB	61%	377	328	62	9	1	12	41	124	5	2	1	189	289	332	621	143	258	33	11	285	79	-9	+0	-6	+7	+8	-0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	TB	45%	234	205	42	8	1	7	24	78	3	3	1	205	297	356	654	151	289	33	10	287	83	-5	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	TB	62%	320	279	60	11	1	11	34	102	4	3	2	215	309	380	689	165	291	32	11	301	92	-3	-0	-0	+6	+7	1.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	TB	68%	356	310	69	12	2	13	38	109	5	4	2	223	317	400	717	177	293	31	11	310	98	-1	+0	-0	+6	+8	1.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	TB	71%	370	323	73	13	2	14	39	111	5	4	2	226	319	409	727	183	293	30	11	315	102	+1	+0	-0	+7	+8	1.6
2031	24	MLB CTX	TB	71%	369	321	74	13	2	15	40	110	5	4	2	231	325	424	749	193	294	30	11	319	104	+2	+0	-0	+7	+8	1.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	TB	71%	369	321	74	13	2	15	40	109	5	4	2	231	325	424	749	193	294	30	11	322	106	+3	+0	-0	+7	+8	1.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	TB	71%	369	321	74	13	2	15	40	109	5	4	2	231	325	424	749	193	294	30	11	323	107	+3	+0	-0	+7	+8	1.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	TB	69%	361	313	73	13	2	15	40	107	5	4	2	233	330	431	761	198	294	30	11	323	107	+3	+0	-0	+6	+8	1.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	TB	69%	358	310	70	12	1	15	40	107	5	4	2	226	324	416	740	190	293	30	11	322	106	+3	+0	-1	+6	+8	1.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	TB	67%	348	301	68	12	1	14	39	104	5	3	2	226	325	412	737	186	292	30	11	320	105	+2	-0	-1	+6	+8	1.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	TB	66%	342	296	67	12	1	14	38	103	5	3	1	226	324	416	740	189	290	30	11	317	103	+1	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.4
2038	31	MLB CTX	TB	65%	328	283	63	11	1	13	37	100	5	3	1	223	323	406	729	184	288	30	11	313	100	-0	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.1
2039	32	MLB CTX	TB	65%	317	275	59	10	1	12	35	98	4	3	1	215	312	389	701	175	284	31	11	307	96	-1	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.9
2040	33	MLB CTX	TB	70%	332	288	61	10	1	12	37	104	4	2	1	212	310	378	689	167	279	31	11	300	92	-3	+0	-3	+6	+7	0.7
2041	34	MLB CTX	TB	66%	289	251	51	8	1	10	32	93	4	2	1	203	303	363	666	159	273	32	11	292	86	-5	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.3
2042	35	MLB CTX	TB	61%	231	201	40	6	1	8	25	76	3	1	1	199	297	358	655	159	266	33	11	282	79	-6	-0	-4	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5293	4598	1018	177	22	203	578	1620	72	51	25	221	318	402	720	181	291	31	11	311	97	-7	+0	-18	+95	+115	18.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	126	22	3	25	71	199	9	6	3	223	320	405	725	182	293	31	11	311	97	-1	+0	-2	+12	+14	2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	8473	7341	1566	268	30	303	937	2642	114	89	36	213	312	382	694	169	284	31	11	311	97	-17	+3	-28	+143	+174	28.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	120	21	2	23	72	203	9	7	3	213	312	380	692	167	284	31	11	311	97	-1	+0	-2	+12	+14	2.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Iannettalast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 4,253 PA	6.4	4,253	141	11	230	345	406	+76	-30	23.7	21.6
/162	664	22	2	+11.9	-4.6	3.7	pk7: 19
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	8.0	5,308	199	52	216	310	391	+87	-3	23.2	18.4
/162	664	25	6	+10.8	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 13
#3Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nathan Flewelling (OGILVIE)	19	44→46	50→54	36→35	58	188/284/322	134	274	9	5	35%	10%	75	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	45→50	45	51	220/308/355	135	308	10	8	30%	11%	89	+0.5	191/267/284	93	292	7	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	188/237/266	78	247	8	4	27%	6%	40	-0.9
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	42→52	47→50	45→40	47	215/281/345	130	270	15	5	26%	8%	77	-0.3	241/299/370	129	293	14	4	22%	7%	89	+0.5	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
●Ryan McMahon 2014 · A	19	46→56	48→55	42→45	40	227/283/376	149	325	15	6	34%	7%	85	+0.2	217/274/360	143	325	13	6	35%	6%	78	-0.3	230/313/394	163	297	19	6	28%	10%	99	+1.3
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	37→47	43→55	45→50	46	184/266/293	108	267	10	7	33%	10%	60	-1.6	197/285/328	131	277	13	9	31%	11%	75	-0.5	225/304/406	181	290	21	8	29%	10%	98	+1.1
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	74	-0.6	209/254/346	137	287	16	2	32%	5%	68	-1.0	243/303/441	198	304	26	1	28%	7%	106	+1.5
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→55	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	63	-1.4	248/300/360	112	296	11	2	20%	6%	86	+0.3	257/334/422	165	298	20	1	20%	10%	111	+1.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	46→45	48	183/286/282	99	291	8	6	36%	11%	66	-1.1	184/261/262	78	291	6	6	35%	9%	51	-2.3	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
●Nolan Gorman 2019 · A	19	43	54→60	38→45	41	219/282/393	174	319	23	4	37%	8%	88	+0.5	203/256/343	140	302	16	4	36%	6%	68	-1.0	216/289/434	218	283	32	7	35%	9%	100	+1.1
✕Victor Ortega 2023 · A	19	48	38→45	43→45	50	224/305/303	79	298	4	6	24%	9%	76	-0.4	218/318/280	62	282	2	7	20%	12%	76	-0.4	223/337/308	85	295	4	3	22%	13%	89	+0.2
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	39	232/274/353	122	292	11	4	25%	4%	76	-0.4	213/267/301	88	291	7	5	28%	6%	61	-1.5	176/240/214	38	249	3	2	28%	6%	30	-1.0
✕Joe Mack 2023 · A	20	42→43	43→55	46→45	50	197/299/302	105	318	11	4	38%	12%	75	-0.5	201/265/313	112	282	13	3	32%	7%	64	-1.3	212/275/370	158	272	21	4	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	46→54	42→45	37→40	45	224/284/332	108	283	10	3	24%	7%	75	-0.5	242/309/351	109	303	9	3	22%	7%	88	+0.5	232/336/343	111	304	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.6
✕Cam Collier 2023 · A	18	48→42	45	43→40	46	235/305/360	125	315	13	6	28%	8%	89	+0.5	208/288/307	99	310	9	3	33%	9%	72	-0.7	204/288/299	95	305	9	2	33%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	41→50	42→45	44	204/265/299	95	266	8	5	26%	7%	60	-1.6	187/235/264	77	245	5	4	25%	5%	40	-3.0	253/312/396	144	279	17	0	16%	7%	98	+0.6
✕Travis Denker 2006 · A	20	46→52	51→50	37→45	50	235/310/393	158	290	19	4	26%	9%	99	+1.3	228/303/363	135	273	15	4	21%	9%	89	+0.5	229/306/370	141	260	15	0	18%	8%	92	+0.4
●Travis Snider 2008 · A	20	50→53	49→55	40→50	39	243/292/396	153	344	15	4	33%	6%	93	+0.8	244/304/414	170	335	19	5	31%	8%	101	+1.4	245/307/425	181	322	22	5	30%	8%	102	+1.3
✕Andrew Lambo 2008 · A	19	50→49	43→60	43→45	48	240/309/354	114	306	9	4	24%	8%	89	+0.5	236/280/362	126	308	12	4	26%	5%	80	-0.2	238/287/430	192	299	24	5	28%	6%	98	+0.7
✕Carter Kieboom 2018 · A	20	46→53	48→50	43→45	42	228/289/370	142	302	15	5	29%	7%	86	+0.3	233/302/363	130	307	14	6	27%	8%	89	+0.5	229/307/352	123	302	14	5	27%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	73	-0.6	183/264/287	104	286	10	6	37%	8%	58	-1.7	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→46	42→50	44→50	46	226/320/334	108	300	8	7	26%	8%	90	+0.6	212/310/340	128	285	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.4	217/303/361	144	274	17	12	26%	7%	88	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps