Lazaro Montes — OGILVIE

Lazaro MontesOF Arkansas Travelers

Age 21 L/R 6'5" / 210 lbs AA HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 2.7 · 2031

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .281 / .379

PA320

HR13

SB5

K%37

BB%9

MLB%6%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

28↗40

PWR

54↗67

SPD

35↘32

FLD

31↗40

EYE

54↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.0peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$11M	+$10M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.0	$17M	+$17M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.4	$22M	+$21M
2031	Arb-3	$5M	+2.7	$25M	+$20M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.7	$26M	+$17M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+2.5	$25M	+$12M
Totals		$29M		$126M	+$96M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	223	191	31	8	2	6	20	111	9	3	1	.162	.273	.319	.592	.157	.325	50	9	.265	61	-10	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.5
2023	18	A	2 teams	302	260	61	14	1	12	35	106	6	2	2	.235	.339	.435	.773	.200	.343	35	12	.340	118	+6	-0	+0	-2	+9	1.3
2024	19	A	2 teams	542	478	108	15	1	19	48	176	8	5	3	.226	.307	.381	.688	.155	.306	32	9	.300	88	-8	-0	+0	-3	+15	0.4
2025	20	A+	2 teams	583	519	97	15	5	28	55	227	5	7	3	.187	.271	.397	.668	.210	.257	39	9	.288	78	-14	+0	+0	-3	+17	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	73	64	11	4	0	1	8	30	1	2	1	.172	.274	.281	.555	.109	.303	41	11	.244	45	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	SEA	247	220	43	8	1	9	23	93	2	3	1	.195	.278	.364	.641	.168	.288	38	9	.291	81	-5	+0	-1	-1	+7	-0.1
TOT	21	MLB	SEA	320	284	54	12	1	10	31	123	3	5	2	.190	.277	.345	.622	.155	.289	38	10	.281	73	-10	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 24%	SEA	609	539	113	19	3	25	59	207	6	8	3	.210	.295	.395	.690	.186	.282	34	10	.307	93	-5	+0	-3	-4	+17	0.7
2028	23	MLB 45%	SEA	655	578	125	21	3	29	65	216	7	9	4	.216	.303	.413	.717	.197	.286	33	10	.318	102	+1	+0	-3	-4	+19	1.3
2029	24	MLB 60%	SEA	674	594	132	22	3	32	68	217	7	9	4	.222	.309	.431	.740	.209	.288	32	10	.328	109	+7	+0	-3	-4	+19	2.0
2030	25	MLB 77%	SEA	687	604	137	23	3	34	71	219	7	9	3	.227	.315	.444	.759	.217	.290	32	10	.334	114	+11	+1	-3	-4	+19	2.4
2031	26	MLB 92%	SEA	695	610	139	23	3	35	73	221	7	9	3	.228	.317	.448	.765	.220	.291	32	11	.337	116	+13	+1	-3	-4	+20	2.7
2032	27	MLB	SEA	695	610	139	23	3	35	73	222	7	9	3	.228	.317	.448	.765	.220	.291	32	11	.337	116	+13	+1	-3	-4	+20	2.7
2033	28	MLB	SEA	691	605	138	23	3	35	74	222	7	7	2	.228	.319	.450	.769	.221	.290	32	11	.336	116	+12	+1	-4	-4	+20	2.5
2034	29	MLB	SEA	681	596	134	22	3	34	73	220	7	6	2	.225	.317	.443	.760	.218	.289	32	11	.334	114	+11	+0	-4	-4	+19	2.3
2035	30	MLB	SEA	670	586	130	21	3	33	72	219	7	5	1	.222	.314	.437	.751	.215	.287	33	11	.331	112	+9	+1	-5	-4	+19	2.0
2036	31	MLB	SEA	656	574	127	21	3	32	70	217	7	2	0	.221	.313	.436	.749	.214	.286	33	11	.327	109	+6	+0	-6	-4	+19	1.6
2037	32	MLB	SEA	638	559	121	20	2	30	68	215	6	0	0	.216	.308	.420	.728	.204	.284	34	11	.322	105	+4	+0	-6	-4	+18	1.2
2038	33	MLB	SEA	608	532	113	18	2	28	65	209	6	0	0	.212	.305	.412	.717	.199	.282	34	11	.317	100	+0	+0	-7	-4	+17	0.7
2039	34	MLB	SEA	560	491	102	16	2	25	59	197	5	0	0	.208	.299	.401	.700	.193	.280	35	11	.310	95	-3	+0	-7	-3	+16	0.2
2040	35	MLB	SEA	502	441	88	14	2	21	52	182	4	0	0	.200	.290	.383	.673	.184	.277	36	10	.301	89	-6	+0	-8	-3	+14	-0.3
2041	36	MLB	SEA	440	388	76	12	2	18	45	164	4	0	0	.196	.286	.376	.662	.180	.273	37	10	.291	81	-9	+0	-8	-3	+12	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			11358	9975	2154	358	50	520	1168	3860	124	93	35	.216	.306	.418	.724	.202	.289	34	10	.319	103	+32	+5	-73	-68	+322	22.2
/ 162G	—			650	571	123	20	3	30	67	221	7	5	2	.215	.305	.419	.724	.203	.288	34	10	.319	103	+2	+0	-4	-4	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	223	176	50	13	5	10	35	74	9	3	1	.284	.427	.585	1.012	.301	.421	33	16	.433	189	+23	+0	—	—	+6	3.0
2023	18	A	Modesto Nuts	156	131	42	9	1	7	21	39	4	1	0	.321	.429	.565	.994	.244	.412	25	13	.436	191	+16	+0	—	—	+4	2.1
2023	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	146	110	31	10	1	6	33	37	2	1	2	.282	.455	.555	1.010	.273	.368	25	23	.439	194	+16	-1	—	—	+4	1.9
2024	19	A+	Everett AquaSox	233	192	50	8	0	8	35	69	3	4	3	.260	.383	.427	.810	.167	.356	30	15	.362	135	+9	-0	—	—	+7	1.6
2024	19	A	Modesto Nuts	309	256	79	13	2	13	43	59	5	1	0	.309	.418	.527	.945	.219	.349	19	14	.410	172	+25	+0	—	—	+9	3.5
2025	20	AA	Arkansas Travelers	282	240	51	7	2	14	35	86	4	4	2	.212	.323	.433	.756	.221	.259	30	12	.334	113	+4	+0	—	—	+8	1.3
2025	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	301	250	67	12	5	18	48	83	1	3	1	.268	.387	.572	.959	.304	.327	28	16	.412	174	+25	+0	—	—	+9	3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lazaro Montes (OGILVIE)	21	28→40	54→67	35→32	55	.200/.281/.379	.179	.286	13	3	37%	9%	85	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mark Vientos 2022 · AAA	22	40→50	55→60	37→30	35	.218/.261/.399	.181	.292	25	3	35%	5%	81	+0.4	.243/.298/.442	.199	.327	27	2	33%	7%	107	+2.2	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
✕MJ Melendez 2022 · AAA	23	36→46	60	41→50	43	.209/.278/.423	.214	.275	30	6	36%	8%	94	+1.3	.220/.301/.405	.185	.270	22	6	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.210/.294/.378	.168	.260	19	5	26%	10%	85	+0.7
✕Sergio Pedroza 2007 · A	23	41→47	57→60	39→45	46	.220/.308/.421	.201	.287	25	4	32%	9%	106	+2.2	.228/.302/.397	.169	.303	19	6	30%	8%	97	+1.5	.227/.298/.377	.151	.294	17	7	28%	7%	88	+0.5
●Nolan Gorman 2019 · A	19	43	54→60	39→45	41	.223/.285/.396	.173	.318	23	4	36%	8%	89	+1.0	.205/.259/.351	.146	.301	17	4	36%	6%	66	-0.6	.225/.289/.424	.199	.290	29	6	33%	8%	95	+1.2
★Matt Olson 2015 · A	21	35→45	54→70	44→40	48	.196/.280/.371	.175	.253	22	3	32%	10%	82	+0.5	.199/.285/.372	.173	.263	22	3	32%	10%	84	+0.6	.263/.361/.508	.245	.306	32	1	24%	12%	144	+5.6
★Austin Riley 2018 · AA	21	41→51	50→65	41→40	36	.214/.261/.364	.150	.300	19	3	35%	5%	71	-0.3	.229/.279/.416	.187	.310	24	2	33%	6%	92	+1.2	.273/.345/.498	.224	.325	30	1	25%	8%	136	+4.9
✕Abimelec Ortiz 2023 · A	21	36→39	50→60	43→40	41	.192/.265/.337	.145	.271	19	7	35%	8%	66	-0.6	.210/.271/.394	.184	.280	25	4	34%	7%	83	+0.6	.207/.272/.399	.191	.261	26	2	31%	7%	82	+0.4
●Tyler Soderstrom 2023 · AAA	21	44→52	55→60	45→40	38	.233/.280/.420	.187	.309	24	3	32%	6%	94	+1.3	.224/.282/.408	.184	.286	24	4	30%	7%	92	+1.2	.251/.328/.452	.201	.298	25	5	24%	9%	117	+1.7
●Chris Carter 2008 · A	21	41→51	52→65	43→45	41	.215/.273/.380	.165	.279	21	3	31%	6%	81	+0.4	.225/.295/.427	.202	.289	26	5	31%	8%	102	+1.9	.221/.312/.438	.217	.288	29	4	33%	11%	106	+2.1
●Travis Ishikawa 2006 · A	22	45→49	53→55	41→45	45	.227/.302/.406	.179	.316	20	4	33%	9%	99	+1.7	.218/.281/.379	.161	.305	18	3	33%	7%	82	+0.5	.255/.318/.419	.165	.306	19	6	22%	8%	104	+1.3
●Ryan McMahon 2016 · A	21	45→55	50→55	39→45	38	.223/.277/.382	.159	.321	16	5	35%	6%	82	+0.5	.235/.287/.379	.144	.336	14	8	32%	6%	85	+0.7	.230/.314/.391	.161	.298	19	6	28%	10%	98	+1.6
✕George Valera 2023 · AAA	22	42→40	53→55	44→45	48	.217/.302/.388	.171	.294	21	6	32%	10%	95	+1.4	.213/.290/.367	.154	.295	19	6	32%	9%	84	+0.6	.206/.283/.354	.148	.282	18	4	32%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Bobby Bradley 2018 · AA	22	39→41	53→65	45→40	39	.206/.268/.375	.169	.294	22	3	37%	7%	77	+0.1	.212/.269/.415	.203	.290	27	3	36%	7%	89	+0.9	.200/.264/.425	.225	.262	32	0	37%	7%	86	+0.6
●Mike Carp 2006 · A	20	39→49	54→55	45→40	37	.210/.281/.381	.170	.281	23	5	33%	5%	85	+0.7	.233/.304/.372	.139	.297	16	3	26%	6%	92	+1.2	.258/.322/.439	.180	.318	22	4	25%	8%	112	+1.7
✕Jaff Decker 2012 · AA	22	42→50	52→55	46→55	49	.217/.305/.388	.170	.285	20	9	30%	10%	96	+1.5	.210/.290/.346	.136	.279	14	9	28%	10%	79	+0.3	.223/.297/.332	.109	.287	9	13	24%	9%	75	+0.0
●Travis Snider 2009 · MLB	21	50→53	50→55	40→50	41	.243/.298/.402	.159	.342	18	4	33%	7%	96	+1.5	.247/.305/.414	.167	.329	19	8	29%	7%	102	+1.9	.249/.307/.412	.163	.316	18	13	26%	7%	97	+1.2
●Andy Pages 2023 · AA	22	38→48	57→60	45	44	.208/.292/.405	.196	.269	26	6	32%	8%	95	+1.4	.237/.306/.414	.177	.301	21	9	28%	7%	103	+1.9	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
✕Matt Davidson 2013 · AA	22	42→44	50→60	38→30	42	.217/.283/.369	.152	.287	17	2	30%	7%	82	+0.5	.196/.262/.332	.136	.279	16	2	34%	7%	63	-0.8	.214/.287/.413	.199	.285	28	0	34%	8%	94	+1.0
✕Allan Cerda 2022 · A	22	41→24	54→55	40→45	40	.210/.289/.396	.186	.309	21	5	37%	8%	92	+1.2	.177/.277/.344	.167	.281	21	7	41%	10%	74	-0.1	.144/.256/.302	.158	.223	21	7	43%	11%	52	-0.8
★Chris Davis 2008 · AA	22	43→53	61→70	43→40	34	.233/.274/.450	.217	.317	30	5	36%	5%	99	+1.7	.253/.299/.462	.209	.334	27	5	31%	6%	112	+2.6	.247/.345/.526	.279	.305	38	3	31%	12%	138	+4.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)