Carter Beck

CF Rome Emperors

Age 22 L/R A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2217ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	A+/AATL	135	.283/.400/.389	2	11	82	—	.246/.326/.345
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBATL	245	.217/.287/.327	5	6	74	0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	23	MLBATL	45	.220/.290/.335	1	1	77	-0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBATL	95	.223/.293/.343	2	2	80	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.4M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%92

Speed90

Chase%75

Whiff%74

Z-Con%74

K%72

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 5.4, comp-based) · star 5% · didn't stick 70%

CompsCarlos Guzman (age 22) · Victor Mesa Jr. (age 22) · Chris Meyers (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .285 / .324

PA81

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$7M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A+	Rome Emperors	—	85	69	14	3	1	1	16	17	0	5	1	203	353	319	672	116	255	20	19	316	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	50	44	18	1	0	1	6	7	0	6	2	409	480	500	980	91	472	14	12	441	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	85	75	13	3	1	1	10	22	0	5	1	173	271	280	551	107	229	26	12	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	50	46	17	1	0	1	4	10	0	6	2	370	420	457	877	87	436	20	8	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	135	121	29	3	1	2	14	32	0	11	3	240	319	331	649	91	310	24	10	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	135	113	32	4	1	2	22	24	0	11	3	283	400	389	789	106	345	18	16	362	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	135	120	29	3	1	2	14	32	0	11	3	242	319	333	652	92	306	24	10	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	135	120	29	3	1	2	14	32	0	11	3	242	319	333	652	92	306	24	10	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	245	221	49	8	2	5	20	66	2	6	1	217	287	327	614	110	286	27	8	278	74	-8	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	ATL	35%	130	117	26	4	1	3	11	35	1	3	1	220	290	335	626	115	287	27	8	282	77	-4	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	ATL	46%	205	185	41	7	1	4	17	54	1	5	1	223	293	343	636	120	288	26	8	286	80	-5	+1	-1	+1	+4	0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	268	242	55	9	2	6	22	70	2	6	1	224	295	348	643	124	288	26	8	289	82	-6	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	317	286	65	11	2	7	26	82	2	7	1	226	296	352	648	126	288	26	8	291	83	-6	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	341	306	69	11	2	8	29	88	3	7	1	226	297	352	649	127	288	26	9	292	84	-7	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	350	316	71	12	2	8	29	92	2	7	1	224	295	348	643	124	287	26	8	289	82	-8	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	348	314	69	11	2	7	29	92	2	6	1	222	292	342	634	120	286	26	8	286	79	-9	+1	-2	+1	+8	-0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	341	308	68	11	2	7	28	91	2	6	2	219	289	335	623	116	284	27	8	281	76	-10	+0	-3	+1	+7	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	ATL	35%	45	41	8	1	0	1	4	12	0	1	0	220	290	335	626	115	287	27	9	282	77	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	ATL	46%	95	86	19	3	1	2	8	25	1	2	0	223	293	343	636	120	288	26	8	286	80	-2	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	139	125	29	5	1	3	12	36	1	3	1	224	295	348	643	124	288	26	9	289	82	-3	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	172	155	35	6	1	4	14	45	1	4	1	226	296	352	648	126	288	26	8	291	83	-3	+0	-0	+1	+4	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	185	167	37	6	1	4	15	48	1	4	1	226	297	352	649	127	288	26	8	292	84	-4	+0	-0	+1	+4	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	190	171	38	6	1	4	16	50	1	4	1	224	295	348	643	124	287	26	8	289	82	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	185	167	37	6	1	4	15	49	1	3	1	222	292	342	634	120	286	26	8	286	79	-5	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	179	161	36	6	1	4	15	48	1	3	1	219	289	335	623	116	284	27	8	281	76	-5	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1190	1073	239	39	7	26	99	313	7	24	6	223	293	345	637	122	288	26	8	288	81	-27	+2	-5	+4	+26	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	130	21	4	14	54	171	4	13	3	222	292	343	635	121	287	26	8	288	81	-15	+1	-3	+2	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2516	2268	509	82	16	53	212	658	16	60	12	224	295	345	640	120	290	26	8	287	81	-55	+6	-10	+9	+52	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	131	21	4	14	55	170	4	16	3	224	295	345	639	121	289	26	8	287	81	-15	+2	-3	+2	+14	0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Rome Emperors · 85 PAwOBA .309 → .243 (−66)K% 20.0% → 26.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	26.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.82%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.027	11.60%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×1.027	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.31%	÷1.000	×0.870	×1.033	×1.027	15.98%
Doubles /BIP	5.77%	÷1.000	×0.780	×1.033	×1.027	4.78%
Triples /BIP	1.92%	÷1.000	×0.850	×1.033	×1.027	1.73%
Home runs /BIP	1.92%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×1.027	1.74%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .309 → .243; ISO .116 → .103; BABIP .255 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAugusta GreenJackets · 50 PAwOBA .429 → .368 (−61)K% 14.0% → 19.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.00%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	19.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.00%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.015	8.40%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	0.00%
Singles /BIP	43.24%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.015	40.38%
Doubles /BIP	2.70%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.015	2.28%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×1.015	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.70%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.015	2.19%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .429 → .368; ISO .091 → .073; BABIP .472 → .436. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.8	1,189	26	24	224	291	347	+4	-3	1.3	1.3
/162	664	14	14	+2.4	-1.8	0.7	pk7: 1
#3Milt Cuyler'90-'98 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,567 PA	2.4	1,567	10	77	233*	299*	338*	+1	+4	0.6	0.9
/162	664	4	33	+0.6	+1.9	0.3	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Damon Buford'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,072 PA	3.1	2,072	54	56	230*	296*	371*	-1	-2	0.2	0.8
/162	664	17	18	-0.4	-0.5	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Herm Winningham'84-'92 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,069 PA	3.1	2,069	19	105	238*	296*	357*	+1	-3	-0.5	0.2
/162	664	6	34	+0.3	-1.1	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Beck (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	215/285/324	109	286	1	2	27%	8%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	193/274/305	112	280	11	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	225/272/334	109	314	11	8	30%	6%	70	-0.8	237/289/332	96	308	9	3	25%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2024 · AA	22	43→46	43→55	51→50	42	213/264/326	114	277	10	11	27%	6%	66	-1.1	230/284/377	147	283	17	11	24%	7%	85	+0.2	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→46	41→50	51→40	45	197/266/297	101	258	8	11	26%	7%	61	-1.5	222/279/357	135	292	15	6	28%	6%	79	-0.2	226/286/369	143	292	17	3	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	43→48	45	47→55	44	214/274/339	125	284	11	11	28%	7%	72	-0.7	217/269/335	118	286	12	10	27%	6%	70	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Leandro Pineda 2024 · A	22	39→49	42→50	48→45	42	191/259/302	111	275	9	6	33%	7%	59	-1.6	213/280/341	128	279	13	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Sam Hilliard 2016 · A	22	45→49	44→55	54→55	44	219/281/347	128	305	10	11	30%	8%	76	-0.4	211/262/318	107	335	10	18	38%	6%	63	-1.4	208/281/383	175	283	19	18	32%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Mike Daniel 2007 · A	22	39→49	41→45	48→50	43	192/259/288	96	277	9	11	33%	8%	55	-1.9	236/287/346	110	319	10	14	28%	6%	79	-0.2	241/292/350	108	319	10	15	26%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Blake Tekotte 2010 · A	23	43→47	43→50	50→55	47	213/273/320	107	259	10	15	22%	7%	68	-1.0	222/284/369	147	288	16	21	27%	7%	84	+0.1	216/278/370	155	284	17	23	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2024 · A	21	39→44	40→50	52→55	44	186/271/278	93	294	7	15	36%	9%	59	-1.7	222/298/356	134	324	13	17	33%	9%	86	+0.3	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jason Pridie 2006 · AA	22	43→53	46→50	55	39	215/265/350	135	303	13	16	33%	6%	72	-0.7	235/269/348	113	299	9	17	24%	4%	72	-0.7	249/278/382	133	310	11	22	23%	3%	81	-0.1
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Luis Liberato 2018 · A	22	43→50	44→50	51→50	39	208/258/335	127	306	10	7	34%	6%	65	-1.2	217/263/351	134	286	15	7	28%	6%	71	-0.8	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Loidel Chapelli 2024 · A	22	39→36	43→45	56→55	46	196/271/312	116	271	10	18	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/259/284	88	300	7	17	34%	7%	54	-2.0	176/233/238	63	279	4	20	36%	6%	31	-2.0
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	44→52	39→45	58→55	46	208/280/301	93	279	6	17	26%	8%	66	-1.1	228/306/313	85	303	5	16	24%	9%	78	-0.3	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2022 · A	22	44→54	42→45	52→50	39	218/265/326	108	279	9	9	25%	4%	66	-1.1	234/286/340	106	285	10	10	21%	5%	77	-0.3	229/282/328	99	275	10	12	20%	5%	71	-0.5
✕Mike Papi 2015 · A	22	38→48	41→45	50→45	49	188/265/282	94	249	9	7	27%	9%	57	-1.8	200/279/308	108	281	9	5	30%	9%	68	-1.0	213/297/336	123	282	13	4	27%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Spencer Nivens 2024 · A	22	41→49	41→45	48→50	52	199/280/294	96	255	8	14	24%	10%	65	-1.2	208/277/334	126	276	13	11	28%	9%	73	-0.6	211/281/333	122	272	12	12	26%	9%	73	-0.5
✕Gabriel Rincones Jr. 2024 · A	23	41→42	47→50	54→55	42	207/279/346	139	294	14	18	33%	8%	77	-0.3	212/287/351	139	290	15	20	30%	8%	81	-0.1	206/286/345	139	274	16	20	29%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	43→46	42→50	50	44	203/288/312	110	308	9	12	34%	9%	73	-0.6	210/288/341	131	299	12	11	31%	9%	79	-0.2	201/279/334	133	279	12	10	30%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A	22	40→45	44→50	50	38	198/259/324	126	291	11	7	34%	6%	64	-1.3	217/266/355	138	298	15	9	31%	5%	74	-0.6	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2

Carter Beck

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps