Jeter Martinez

P Bradenton Marauders

Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.7 · 2031

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP44ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	APIT	18	17	65	7.06	3.21	21.6%	13.7%	—	K 16.0% · BB 16.2% · FIP 4.05
2026	20	APIT	19	16	64	6.02	4.69	20.6%	13.5%	—	K 15.2% · BB 15.9% · FIP 5.76
2027PROJ	21	MLBPIT	9	9	43	5.93	5.93	16.8%	18.0%	-0.5
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBPIT	6	6	30	5.45	5.31	18.9%	15.7%	-0.2
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBPIT	9	9	46	5.15	5.00	20.2%	14.3%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff48Control39Command30FB velo57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%

CompsKyle Larsen (age 21) · Luis Hernandez (age 21) · Jackson Fristoe (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.93

FIP5.93

K%16.8%

BB%18.0%

K-BB%-1.3%

Proj IP43

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4550

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†4050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	10	8	47	179	55	20	1	80%	4.7	20.9%	14.0%	6.9%	0.8%	1.72	3.52	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	10	8	47	179	55	20	1	80%	4.7	30.7%	11.2%	19.6%	0.6%	1.72	2.31	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	13	11	40	184	49	31	1	85%	3.1	18.1%	21.1%	-3.0%	0.9%	3.86	4.72	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	13	11	40	184	49	31	1	85%	3.1	18.1%	21.1%	-3.0%	0.9%	3.86	4.72	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	13	11	40	184	49	31	1	85%	3.1	26.6%	16.8%	9.8%	0.5%	3.86	3.30	—
2025	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	18	17	65	306	66	42	1	94%	3.6	16.0%	16.2%	-0.2%	0.5%	7.06	4.05	—
2025	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	18	17	65	306	66	42	1	94%	3.6	16.0%	16.2%	-0.2%	0.5%	7.06	4.05	—
2025	19	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	18	17	65	306	66	42	1	94%	3.6	21.6%	13.7%	7.8%	0.3%	7.06	3.21	—
2026	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	19	16	64	296	61	40	8	84%	3.4	15.2%	15.9%	-0.7%	3.5%	6.02	5.76	—
2026	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	19	16	64	296	61	40	8	84%	3.4	15.2%	15.9%	-0.7%	3.5%	6.02	5.76	—
2026	20	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	19	16	64	296	61	40	8	84%	3.4	20.6%	13.5%	7.1%	2.7%	6.02	4.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	PIT	9	9	43	182	30	33	5	100%	4.8	16.8%	18.0%	-1.3%	2.9%	5.93	5.93	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	PIT	12	12	61	259	49	41	7	100%	5.1	18.9%	15.7%	3.1%	2.8%	5.57	5.43	-0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	PIT	12	12	64	269	54	38	8	100%	5.3	20.2%	14.3%	5.9%	2.8%	5.27	5.12	-0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	PIT	12	12	65	276	58	37	8	100%	5.4	20.9%	13.3%	7.6%	2.8%	5.05	4.93	-0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	PIT	11	11	66	279	60	36	8	100%	6.0	21.3%	12.8%	8.5%	2.8%	4.91	4.82	+0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	PIT	11	11	66	279	60	36	8	100%	6.0	21.5%	12.8%	8.8%	2.8%	4.84	4.80	+0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	PIT	11	11	65	275	59	35	8	100%	5.9	21.5%	12.8%	8.7%	2.8%	4.84	4.83	+0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	PIT	11	11	63	266	57	35	8	100%	5.7	21.4%	13.0%	8.4%	2.9%	4.89	4.92	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	PIT	6	6	30	127	24	20	3	100%	5.0	18.9%	15.7%	3.1%	2.6%	5.45	5.31	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	PIT	9	9	46	194	39	28	5	100%	5.1	20.2%	14.3%	5.9%	2.6%	5.15	5.00	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	54	228	48	30	6	100%	5.4	20.9%	13.3%	7.6%	2.6%	4.94	4.82	-0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	58	245	52	31	6	100%	5.8	21.3%	12.8%	8.5%	2.6%	4.80	4.71	+0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	60	253	55	32	6	100%	6.0	21.5%	12.8%	8.8%	2.6%	4.73	4.69	+0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	60	253	55	33	7	100%	6.0	21.5%	12.8%	8.7%	2.6%	4.72	4.71	+0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	59	249	53	32	7	100%	5.9	21.4%	13.0%	8.4%	2.7%	4.77	4.80	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		64	64	369	1557	327	208	40	100%	5.8	21.0%	13.3%	7.7%	2.6%	4.89	4.44	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	177	113	22	100%	5.7	21.0%	13.3%	7.7%	2.6%	4.89	4.44	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		60	52	216	965	165	161	15	87%	3.6	17.1%	16.6%	0.4%	1.5%	5.00	4.61	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	48	200	894	152	149	14	87%	3.6	17.1%	16.6%	0.4%	1.5%	5.00	4.61	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeter Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.93	16.8%	18.0%	2.9%	—	5.15	20.0%	5.6%	190	-0.78	—	—	—
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	86
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	85
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	83
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	83
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	83
Felix Cepeda R 2021 · 5.96 FIP	21	SP	5.96	17.0%	21.6%	2.8%	.276	4.78	17.6%	0.9%	144	-1.18	3.58	204	82
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	82
Holt Jones R 2022 · 6.63 FIP	23	SP	6.63	17.9%	19.5%	4.7%	.296	4.64	18.4%	0.8%	147	-1.99	4.21	254	82
Jacob Watters R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	22	SP	4.87	18.3%	17.1%	2.1%	.319	4.38	17.0%	5.1%	81	-0.49	3.85	165	82
Gage Stanifer R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	20	SP	5.65	17.2%	21.4%	2.4%	.318	3.96	26.2%	11.6%	199	-1.69	2.85	301	82
Jose Diaz R 2021 · 5.27 FIP	21	SP	5.27	16.5%	17.5%	2.5%	.357	5.01	17.6%	0.9%	89	-0.26	3.91	189	82
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	82
Marlon De La Cruz R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	18	SP	5.31	17.1%	20.9%	1.8%	.306	5.34	13.8%	-6.9%	101	+0.03	4.35	140	81
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	81
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	81
Jake Madden R 2023 · 5.46 FIP	21	SP	5.46	15.9%	15.2%	3.2%	.299	4.57	14.1%	-1.1%	44	-0.89	4.57	123	81
Wilmer Blanco R 2024 · 5.76 FIP	20	SP	5.76	14.9%	16.3%	3.4%	.364	5.82	14.1%	2.3%	47	+0.06	3.81	163	81
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	81
Camilo Sanchez R 2024 · 5.26 FIP	21	SP-	5.26	15.2%	14.0%	3.1%	.289	7.17	13.8%	-0.2%	19	+1.91	3.57	117	80
Henry Williams R 2023 · 5.59 FIP	21	SP	5.59	16.5%	14.2%	3.8%	.271	4.62	17.1%	7.4%	343	-0.97	4.16	409	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	62	20.5%	13.9%	1.09	5.13
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*