Brailer GuerreroOF
Charleston RiverDogs
Age 20
L/R
6'2" / 215 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 2.2 · 2032
wRC+†34
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .279 / .345
PA206
HR6
SB6
K%34
BB%8
MLB%4%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45↘44
PWR
60→60
SPD
50→50
FLD
47→47
EYE
48↗53
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.2peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.8 | $16M | +$15M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +2.1 | $19M | +$19M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.2 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +2.2 | $22M | +$17M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +2.1 | $21M | +$14M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +1.9 | $20M | +$10M |
| Totals | $24M | $119M | +$96M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rays | 29 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .286 | .250 | .536 | .083 | .250 | 31 | 10 | .254 | 53 | -2 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Rays | 126 | 112 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 48 | 1 | 13 | 3 | .223 | .310 | .295 | .604 | .071 | .381 | 38 | 10 | .277 | 70 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 19 | A | 2 teams | 249 | 227 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 102 | 2 | 11 | 1 | .198 | .263 | .304 | .567 | .106 | .328 | 41 | 7 | .254 | 53 | -13 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +7 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 66 | 62 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .129 | .169 | .226 | .395 | .097 | .269 | 55 | 5 | .147 | -29 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | TB | 140 | 127 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 51 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .205 | .273 | .354 | .628 | .150 | .289 | 36 | 8 | .268 | 63 | -6 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +4 | -0.3 |
| TOT | 20 | MLB | TB | 206 | 189 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 87 | 1 | 6 | 1 | .180 | .240 | .312 | .552 | .132 | .293 | 42 | 7 | .229 | 34 | -15 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +6 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 14% | TB | 286 | 256 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 79 | 3 | 7 | 1 | .215 | .292 | .383 | .675 | .168 | .266 | 28 | 9 | .298 | 87 | -4 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 31% | TB | 391 | 348 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 104 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .224 | .304 | .408 | .712 | .184 | .270 | 27 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 51% | TB | 459 | 409 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 119 | 4 | 10 | 2 | .230 | .309 | .423 | .732 | .193 | .272 | 26 | 9 | .322 | 105 | +2 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 70% | TB | 504 | 445 | 103 | 19 | 2 | 21 | 49 | 128 | 5 | 11 | 2 | .231 | .315 | .425 | .739 | .193 | .273 | 25 | 10 | .327 | 109 | +5 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +14 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 86% | TB | 529 | 467 | 109 | 20 | 2 | 23 | 52 | 134 | 5 | 11 | 1 | .233 | .317 | .433 | .749 | .199 | .274 | 25 | 10 | .331 | 112 | +7 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +15 | 2.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | TB | 542 | 477 | 112 | 21 | 3 | 23 | 55 | 137 | 5 | 11 | 1 | .235 | .320 | .436 | .756 | .201 | .274 | 25 | 10 | .333 | 113 | +8 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | TB | 546 | 480 | 112 | 21 | 2 | 24 | 56 | 139 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .233 | .320 | .435 | .755 | .202 | .274 | 25 | 10 | .333 | 113 | +8 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | TB | 544 | 478 | 111 | 21 | 2 | 23 | 56 | 139 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .232 | .319 | .429 | .748 | .197 | .274 | 26 | 10 | .332 | 112 | +7 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 2.1 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | TB | 536 | 471 | 108 | 20 | 2 | 23 | 55 | 138 | 5 | 9 | 0 | .229 | .316 | .427 | .743 | .197 | .273 | 26 | 10 | .330 | 110 | +6 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | TB | 526 | 462 | 105 | 19 | 2 | 22 | 54 | 138 | 5 | 9 | 0 | .227 | .315 | .420 | .735 | .193 | .271 | 26 | 10 | .327 | 108 | +5 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | TB | 512 | 449 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 21 | 53 | 136 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .225 | .314 | .416 | .730 | .192 | .270 | 27 | 10 | .323 | 105 | +3 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +15 | 1.3 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | TB | 494 | 435 | 97 | 18 | 2 | 20 | 51 | 134 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .223 | .312 | .411 | .723 | .189 | .268 | 27 | 10 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | TB | 465 | 410 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 18 | 48 | 129 | 4 | 6 | 0 | .217 | .305 | .398 | .703 | .180 | .266 | 28 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | TB | 418 | 368 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 120 | 4 | 6 | 0 | .215 | .304 | .394 | .698 | .179 | .264 | 29 | 10 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | TB | 365 | 322 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 108 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .205 | .293 | .370 | .662 | .165 | .261 | 30 | 10 | .297 | 85 | -6 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2042 | 36 | MLB | TB | 306 | 271 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 94 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .196 | .281 | .347 | .627 | .151 | .258 | 31 | 10 | .287 | 78 | -8 | +1 | -7 | -2 | +9 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7967 | 7038 | 1572 | 290 | 33 | 311 | 788 | 2186 | 74 | 161 | 16 | .223 | .308 | .407 | .715 | .183 | .275 | 27 | 10 | .316 | 100 | +3 | +26 | -37 | -48 | +226 | 17.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 574 | 129 | 24 | 3 | 25 | 64 | 178 | 6 | 13 | 1 | .225 | .309 | .408 | .717 | .183 | .277 | 27 | 10 | .316 | 100 | +0 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +18 | 1.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rays | 29 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .261 | .393 | .391 | .784 | .130 | .333 | 21 | 14 | .348 | 125 | +1 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Rays | 126 | 103 | 34 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 32 | 1 | 13 | 3 | .330 | .452 | .466 | .918 | .136 | .464 | 25 | 17 | .414 | 175 | +11 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.6 |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 220 | 191 | 48 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 64 | 2 | 9 | 1 | .251 | .344 | .403 | .747 | .152 | .341 | 29 | 11 | .334 | 114 | +3 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 19 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | 29 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .077 | .172 | .077 | .249 | .000 | .200 | 55 | 10 | .135 | -39 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Brailer Guerrero (OGILVIE) | 20 | 45→44 | 60 | 50 | 53 | .205/.279/.345 | .140 | .292 | 6 | 4 | 34% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Jay Bruce 2007 · A |
20 | 45→55 | 48→65 | 47→50 | 41 | .226/.275/.380 | .154 | .299 | 15 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .253/.301/.449 | .196 | .322 | 22 | 9 | 28% | 6% | 109 | +2.4 | .253/.334/.464 | .210 | .300 | 26 | 7 | 24% | 10% | 115 | +2.9 |
|
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2019 · A |
21 | 41→51 | 49→60 | 52→60 | 35 | .208/.255/.354 | .145 | .313 | 18 | 11 | 38% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .208/.268/.384 | .176 | .302 | 22 | 16 | 37% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .248/.322/.446 | .198 | .304 | 27 | 36 | 27% | 9% | 113 | +2.3 |
|
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A |
20 | 38→41 | 46→50 | 53→55 | 45 | .189/.278/.319 | .129 | .289 | 14 | 15 | 37% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .210/.289/.331 | .121 | .326 | 12 | 16 | 36% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .216/.296/.349 | .133 | .314 | 15 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
●Oswaldo Arcia 2011 · A |
20 | 47→53 | 48→60 | 49→45 | 40 | .237/.276/.382 | .145 | .293 | 14 | 7 | 24% | 4% | 81 | +0.4 | .245/.293/.422 | .177 | .328 | 19 | 5 | 30% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 | .249/.310/.451 | .201 | .321 | 25 | 3 | 29% | 7% | 110 | +2.1 |
|
●Riley Greene 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 44→60 | 53→50 | 39 | .215/.271/.330 | .115 | .305 | 11 | 9 | 32% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .252/.315/.404 | .152 | .357 | 15 | 10 | 31% | 8% | 103 | +1.9 | .263/.332/.466 | .203 | .338 | 25 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 124 | +3.1 |
|
●Triston Casas 2021 · A |
21 | 39→49 | 49→60 | 47→40 | 40 | .202/.260/.346 | .145 | .273 | 17 | 5 | 32% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .234/.315/.417 | .183 | .288 | 22 | 5 | 26% | 10% | 107 | +2.2 | .243/.337/.447 | .205 | .288 | 26 | 3 | 25% | 12% | 120 | +2.3 |
|
●Travis Snider 2007 · A |
19 | 47→53 | 49→55 | 47→50 | 43 | .236/.291/.385 | .149 | .313 | 18 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .245/.301/.404 | .159 | .345 | 17 | 4 | 32% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .246/.310/.419 | .172 | .343 | 19 | 2 | 32% | 8% | 103 | +1.8 |
|
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A |
20 | 45→55 | 46→60 | 54→50 | 42 | .223/.277/.357 | .134 | .288 | 13 | 15 | 27% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .225/.291/.388 | .163 | .272 | 19 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .237/.305/.454 | .217 | .309 | 28 | 3 | 32% | 8% | 109 | +1.8 |
|
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A |
21 | 37→46 | 49→60 | 51→45 | 45 | .195/.277/.339 | .144 | .267 | 18 | 8 | 33% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .231/.297/.425 | .194 | .284 | 25 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 102 | +1.9 | .233/.299/.438 | .204 | .278 | 26 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 105 | +1.8 |
|
✕Nick Weglarz 2008 · A |
20 | 42→47 | 50 | 44→45 | 44 | .214/.284/.368 | .153 | .292 | 19 | 3 | 32% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .225/.307/.378 | .153 | .286 | 17 | 5 | 26% | 10% | 94 | +1.3 | .225/.314/.383 | .158 | .275 | 17 | 5 | 24% | 10% | 97 | +1.0 |
|
●James Outman 2019 · A |
22 | 40→49 | 47→60 | 53→50 | 39 | .203/.260/.335 | .132 | .285 | 15 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .196/.265/.334 | .138 | .273 | 16 | 13 | 33% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .223/.317/.418 | .195 | .310 | 25 | 14 | 34% | 10% | 107 | +2.0 |
|
●Ryan McMahon 2015 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 46→55 | 43→45 | 39 | .206/.261/.343 | .136 | .298 | 13 | 6 | 34% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .230/.283/.380 | .150 | .335 | 15 | 7 | 34% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .230/.314/.391 | .161 | .298 | 19 | 6 | 28% | 10% | 98 | +1.6 |
|
✕Brandon Allen 2006 · A |
20 | 42→47 | 46→55 | 45→50 | 39 | .207/.270/.333 | .127 | .307 | 14 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .200/.242/.345 | .145 | .281 | 17 | 6 | 34% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .223/.306/.403 | .181 | .284 | 22 | 9 | 28% | 10% | 96 | +1.4 |
|
●Tyler Soderstrom 2022 · A |
20 | 50→52 | 51→60 | 48→40 | 41 | .247/.303/.412 | .166 | .339 | 17 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 101 | +1.8 | .222/.273/.405 | .183 | .292 | 24 | 3 | 32% | 6% | 87 | +0.8 | .251/.328/.452 | .201 | .298 | 25 | 5 | 24% | 9% | 117 | +1.7 |
|
●Mike Carp 2006 · A |
20 | 39→49 | 54→55 | 45→40 | 37 | .210/.281/.381 | .170 | .281 | 23 | 5 | 33% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .233/.304/.372 | .139 | .297 | 16 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .258/.322/.439 | .180 | .318 | 22 | 4 | 25% | 8% | 112 | +1.7 |
|
●MJ Melendez 2019 · A |
20 | 37→47 | 48→60 | 44→50 | 35 | .191/.247/.335 | .144 | .299 | 15 | 5 | 40% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .179/.239/.336 | .157 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 43% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .220/.307/.417 | .197 | .267 | 25 | 4 | 27% | 11% | 100 | +1.7 |
|
●Eddie Rosario 2012 · A |
20 | 46→55 | 53→60 | 55→50 | 41 | .240/.280/.410 | .171 | .290 | 21 | 16 | 26% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .247/.285/.392 | .145 | .306 | 14 | 10 | 23% | 5% | 87 | +0.8 | .277/.313/.475 | .198 | .296 | 27 | 7 | 17% | 5% | 116 | +2.8 |
|
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A |
20 | 45→53 | 50 | 51→55 | 43 | .227/.286/.379 | .153 | .297 | 17 | 14 | 29% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .232/.294/.366 | .134 | .298 | 15 | 17 | 26% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .241/.288/.377 | .137 | .301 | 14 | 21 | 24% | 5% | 83 | +0.4 |
|
●Oneil Cruz 2019 · A |
20 | 43→51 | 43→60 | 47→55 | 36 | .212/.251/.327 | .115 | .305 | 11 | 8 | 34% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .228/.271/.373 | .145 | .324 | 16 | 13 | 33% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .241/.304/.442 | .201 | .317 | 25 | 22 | 31% | 8% | 103 | +1.7 |
|
●Chris Parmelee 2009 · A |
21 | 38→48 | 49→50 | 46→45 | 43 | .196/.270/.343 | .147 | .285 | 17 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .223/.293/.358 | .135 | .292 | 14 | 3 | 27% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .250/.315/.397 | .146 | .295 | 16 | 1 | 20% | 8% | 100 | +1.7 |