Daniel Keaney
P
ACL Rangers
Age 21
RHP
6'4" / 185 lbs
ROK
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.2%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 12 | 3 | 39 | 174 | 50 | 13 | 5 | 25% | 3.2 | 19.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 4.38 | 4.68 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 12 | 3 | 39 | 174 | 50 | 13 | 5 | 25% | 3.2 | 28.7% | 7.5% | 21.3% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 3.20 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 10 | 8 | 43 | 190 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 80% | 4.3 | 21.0% | 6.4% | 14.6% | 1.4% | 3.95 | 2.89 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | TEX | 4 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 67 | 288 | 80 | 19 | 5 | — | — | 27.7% | 6.6% | 21.1% | 1.7% | 4.08 | 3.39 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | TEX | 4 | 4 | 24 | 103 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.1% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.17 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | TEX | 2 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.1% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.17 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.1% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 3.79 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 31 | 31 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 67 | 17 | 100% | 6.4 | 24.1% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 3.79 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 22 | 11 | 82 | 364 | 74 | 28 | 9 | 50% | 3.7 | 20.3% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 4.15 | 3.74 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 27 | 200 | 884 | 179 | 69 | 22 | 50% | 3.7 | 20.3% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 4.15 | 3.74 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Daniel Keaney (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.17 | 24.1% | 15.4% | 24 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Michael Knorr R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 83 |
| Connor Cooke R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 83 |
| Dualvert Gutierrez R 2025 · 3.14 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.14 | 23.5% | 9.1% | 1.6% | .352 | 4.24 | 15.9% | 2.2% | 78 | +1.10 | 3.14 | 130 | 83 |
| Peyton Remy R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.57 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .280 | 4.82 | 16.3% | 5.2% | 140 | +1.25 | 3.57 | 286 | 82 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 81 |
| Alejandro Rivera R 2024 · 3.30 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.30 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 116 | 81 |
| Yusniel Padron-Artiles R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.33 | 17.6% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .343 | 6.52 | 19.2% | 11.3% | 197 | +2.19 | 3.27 | 243 | 80 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 80 |
| Ricky Castro R 2029 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 80 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 79 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2028 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 79 |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 78 |
| Casey Legumina R 2029 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 78 |
| Adrian Ardines R 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.08 | 18.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 114 | 78 |
| Robert Colina R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.17 | 20.5% | 10.8% | 2.6% | .366 | 3.31 | 22.3% | 15.2% | 61 | -0.86 | 3.25 | 266 | 78 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2029 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 78 |
| Jeronimo Castro R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.37 | 25.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .362 | 3.84 | 20.1% | 7.9% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.19 | 158 | 77 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.82 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .298 | 4.56 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 243 | -0.26 | 4.30 | 318 | 77 |
| Chad Donato R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 77 |
| Garrett Hill R 2027 · 3.39 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.39 | 19.2% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .390 | 3.22 | 21.6% | 11.0% | 200 | -0.17 | 3.13 | 539 | 77 |