Dualvert Gutierrez

Dualvert Gutierrez P Daytona Tortugas

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.83

FIP4.83

K%19.7%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	13	9	52	220	76	16	3	69%	4.0	23.5%	9.1%	14.4%	1.7%	3.29	3.22	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	13	9	52	220	76	16	3	69%	4.0	34.5%	7.3%	27.3%	1.4%	3.29	1.85	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	12	5	30	148	36	24	1	42%	2.5	16.5%	20.3%	-3.7%	0.9%	5.46	4.76	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	12	5	30	148	36	24	1	42%	2.5	16.5%	20.3%	-3.7%	0.9%	5.46	4.76	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	12	5	30	148	36	24	1	42%	2.5	24.3%	16.2%	8.1%	0.7%	5.46	3.54	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	11	53	226	49	18	4	65%	3.1	15.6%	9.8%	5.8%	1.8%	3.88	4.00	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	11	53	226	49	18	4	65%	3.1	15.6%	9.8%	5.8%	1.8%	3.88	4.00	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	11	53	226	49	18	4	65%	3.1	21.7%	8.0%	13.7%	1.8%	3.88	3.25	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	CIN	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	19.7%	11.1%	8.6%	2.9%	4.83	4.83	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CIN	8	8	48	203	41	22	6	100%	6.0	20.4%	10.9%	9.5%	2.9%	4.76	4.74	+0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	CIN	8	8	47	200	41	22	6	100%	5.9	20.7%	10.9%	9.8%	3.0%	4.74	4.75	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	CIN	4	4	21	89	18	10	3	100%	5.2	20.4%	10.9%	9.5%	2.9%	4.76	4.74	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	CIN	5	5	30	127	26	14	4	100%	6.0	20.7%	10.9%	9.8%	3.0%	4.74	4.75	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	8	50	212	44	23	6	100%	6.3	20.6%	10.9%	9.7%	3.0%	4.75	4.37	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	175	92	24	100%	6.0	20.6%	10.9%	9.7%	3.0%	4.75	4.37	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		42	25	135	594	111	72	9	60%	3.2	18.8%	12.2%	6.6%	1.5%	4.00	3.90	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	37	200	880	165	107	14	60%	3.2	18.8%	12.2%	6.6%	1.5%	4.00	3.90	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dualvert Gutierrez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.83	19.7%	11.1%	2.9%	—	4.74	20.6%	9.7%	95	-0.09	—	—	—
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.53	17.5%	5.2%	170	-0.49	3.97	187	81
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	79
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	79
Jake Bray R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	25	SP-	5.37	15.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.294	5.65	20.5%	7.7%	61	+0.28	2.51	198	79
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	78
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	77
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.07	22.5%	13.4%	138	-1.14	3.38	292	77
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	76
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	76
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	76
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	76
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	76
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	75
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	75
Orlando Rodriguez R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SP-	4.54	20.8%	10.1%	3.5%	.380	4.51	19.3%	7.9%	101	-0.03	4.40	119	75
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	75
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	74
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	74
Michael King R 2020 · 4.56 FIP	25	SW	4.56	21.5%	9.1%	3.9%	.316	2.74	28.3%	20.8%	219	-1.82	1.97	1,014	74
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	40	20.4%	10.9%	1.14	4.77
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64