Dualvert Gutierrez
P
Daytona Tortugas
+0.2
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.39
FIP4.39
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.4%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%12.9%
IP37
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Reds | 13 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 76 | 16 | 3 | 23.5% | 9.1% | 1.7% | 3.29 | 3.18 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Reds | 12 | 5 | 30 | 148 | 36 | 24 | 1 | 16.5% | 20.3% | 0.9% | 5.46 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 17 | 11 | 53 | 226 | 49 | 18 | 4 | 15.6% | 9.8% | 1.8% | 3.88 | 4.02 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 35 | 15 | 5 | 22.4% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 36 | 15 | 5 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.36 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 37 | — | 37 | 156 | 36 | 15 | 5 | 22.8% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 35 | 15 | 5 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 36 | — | 36 | 150 | 34 | 14 | 5 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.44 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 34 | — | 34 | 146 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.46 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 33 | — | 33 | 141 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 22.2% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 32 | — | 32 | 135 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 21.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.66 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 31 | — | 31 | 129 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 21.6% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 29 | — | 29 | 123 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 21.2% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.87 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 42 | 25 | 135 | 594 | 111 | 72 | 9 | 18.8% | 12.2% | 1.5% | 4.00 | 3.89 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 37 | 200 | 880 | 164 | 107 | 13 | 18.8% | 12.2% | 1.5% | 4.00 | 3.89 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dualvert Gutierrez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 22.4% | 9.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.37 | 22.7% | 13.3% | 111 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.51 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | -0.09 | 3.51 | 103 | 91 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 1.8% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.46 | 3.49 | 140 | 90 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.24 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 116 | +0.39 | 3.85 | 149 | 89 |
| Blake Goldsberry R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.39 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .257 | 5.29 | 23.6% | 12.0% | 44 | +1.90 | 3.39 | 117 | 89 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 3.4% | .275 | 4.54 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.16 | 4.12 | 230 | 89 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .232 | 5.13 | 18.0% | 7.0% | 180 | +1.43 | 3.70 | 223 | 88 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.90 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 3.6% | .299 | 5.28 | 22.4% | 6.5% | 121 | +1.38 | 3.90 | 158 | 86 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .340 | 4.39 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.65 | 3.74 | 223 | 86 |
| Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 1.7% | .291 | 3.65 | 18.9% | 6.4% | 50 | +0.16 | 3.16 | 153 | 86 |
| Brendan Beck R 2025 · 3.19 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.19 | 22.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .289 | 4.15 | 20.6% | 13.7% | 152 | +0.96 | 3.19 | 183 | 85 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.21 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.20 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | -0.01 | 2.42 | 125 | 85 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.53 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .380 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.04 | 4.37 | 119 | 85 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.99 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 100 | 85 |
| Will Vest R 2025 · 3.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.71 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .282 | 3.66 | 20.9% | 11.9% | 124 | -0.05 | 2.53 | 421 | 85 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.41 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.4% | .311 | 5.44 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.41 | 152 | 84 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.8% | .256 | 4.33 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.08 | 3.88 | 180 | 84 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 84 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.24 | 19.4% | 7.4% | 1.5% | .312 | 4.04 | 20.7% | 7.8% | 65 | +0.80 | 3.24 | 113 | 84 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.68 | 22.2% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .313 | 3.35 | 23.4% | 12.8% | 93 | -0.33 | 2.78 | 312 | 84 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.48 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .289 | 3.53 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -0.95 | 1.94 | 131 | 84 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.