Dualvert Gutierrez
P
Daytona Tortugas
Age 25
RHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 100
ERA4.39
FIP4.39
K%22.4%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Reds | 13 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 76 | 16 | 3 | 69% | 4.0 | 23.5% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 1.6% | 3.29 | 3.14 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Reds | 13 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 76 | 16 | 3 | 69% | 4.0 | 34.5% | 7.3% | 27.3% | 1.4% | 3.29 | 1.85 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Reds | 12 | 5 | 30 | 148 | 36 | 24 | 1 | 42% | 2.5 | 16.5% | 20.3% | -3.7% | 0.8% | 5.46 | 4.74 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Reds | 12 | 5 | 30 | 148 | 36 | 24 | 1 | 42% | 2.5 | 24.3% | 16.2% | 8.1% | 0.7% | 5.46 | 3.54 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 11 | 53 | 226 | 49 | 18 | 4 | 65% | 3.1 | 15.6% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 3.88 | 3.94 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 11 | 53 | 226 | 49 | 18 | 4 | 65% | 3.1 | 21.7% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 1.8% | 3.88 | 3.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 22.4% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 3.98 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 72 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 25 | 135 | 594 | 111 | 72 | 8 | 60% | 3.2 | 18.8% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 4.00 | 3.84 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 37 | 200 | 880 | 165 | 107 | 13 | 60% | 3.2 | 18.8% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 4.00 | 3.84 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dualvert Gutierrez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 22.4% | 9.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.36 | 22.7% | 13.3% | 26 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 85 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 84 |
| Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 83 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 83 |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 79 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 78 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 78 |
| Noah Gotsis R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.38 | 16.5% | 6.5% | 1.5% | .296 | 4.26 | 15.9% | 8.6% | 90 | +0.88 | 3.38 | 138 | 76 |
| Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .316 | 2.73 | 28.3% | 20.8% | 219 | -1.82 | 1.96 | 948 | 76 |
| Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 76 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 76 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 74 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .380 | 4.51 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.25 | 4.50 | 119 | 74 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 74 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 73 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 73 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.50 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | .320 | 4.16 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 138 | -1.34 | 3.45 | 292 | 72 |
| Daniel Federman R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.34 | 23.8% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 119 | 72 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 72 |
| Steven Bruce R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.70 | 14.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | .300 | 3.62 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 94 | -0.08 | 3.62 | 148 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 22.5% | 9.4% | 1.13 | 4.38 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |